Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 26/06/2026This results in learned filters that outperform leading methods for a variety of problems, including highly non-Gaussian ones where the ensemble Kalman filter completely fails. (4/4) 020
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 26/06/2026Then, using a permutation-invariant neural architecture, we learn ensemble filters to approximate the mean-field map underlying the filtering problem, as a form of amortised Bayesian inference. (3/4) 110
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 26/06/2026We show that strictly proper scoring rules can be used to formulate an objective function that is uniquely minimised at the true filtering distribution, and approximated (under ergodicity assumptions) using state–observation trajectories. (2/4) 100
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 26/06/2026Our new preprint on learning probabilistic filters with strictly proper scoring rules is now out! With Bohan Chen (who did all of the implementation and experiments), Ricardo Baptista, Jochen Bröcker, and Andrew Stuart. I'm really excited about this work. arxiv.org/abs/2606.26497 (1/4) 170
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachAvi Lewis @avilewis.ca · 29/05/20261/ Cuba is out of fuel, strangled by the US fuel chokehold. People are dying, systems are breaking down. This is collective punishment against a people who have done absolutely nothing except live their lives under hard conditions imposed by the US blockade for decades. 272248836
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 20/05/2026This is the updated one: www.bucks.ac.uk/sites/defaul...bucks.ac.uk 140
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 20/05/2026"What has unfolded at Reading is not a neutral response to legal uncertainty. It is a set of choices, taken without consultation, without transparency, and without due regard for the rights and dignity of trans staff and students." 021
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachAlex Anderson-Frey @wxalexandra.bsky.social · 15/05/2026I was lucky to get to teach Juniper in two of her classes, and had just written her reference letters for the summer. It's hard to express what a loss this has been for our community. I'll always remember coming down the stairs to class and finding her joyfully practicing singing in the stairwell. 1274
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachIda Bae Wells @nhannahjones.bsky.social · 29/04/2026The Voting Rights Act is essentially dead and it’s quite possible that we will, like when a similar SCOTUS gutted civil rights at the fall of Reconstruction, see a disappearance of much of the Black congressional representation, especially in the most heavily Black states, which are in the South. 340122955045
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bachborderless @borderless.bsky.social · 03/04/2026People really memory holed-covid, due to a huge far right propaganda effort. That's why all you hear about is lockdowns, and not: - hospitals out of capacity - Skype calls with family members in quarantine as they died - bodies stored in freezer trailors - mass graves in NYC 351257480
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachZinn Education Project @zinnedproject.bsky.social · 24/03/2026”No one has to obey an immoral law. I beg you, I order you in the name of God: stop the repression.” — Archbishop Óscar Romero, El Salvador, in appeal to police and National Guard Next day #tdih 1980 Romero was assassinated 💔 by U.S.-backed death squads. ⬇️ 🧵 www.zinnedproject.org/news/tdih/ro...zinnedproject.orgMarch 24, 1980: Archbishop Romero AssassinatedArchbishop Óscar Romero of El Salvador was assassinated by U.S.-backed death squads. 14623
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachNathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 08/03/2026Dropsite reports “Black rain” + “nuclear winter” caused by Israeli strikes on oil depots in Tehran - chemicals are producing acidic precipitation that causes skin burns + severe lung damage on contact - the rain is corrosive + could damage structures - heavy metals leaking into soil/water systems 23634429
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachAlejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 10/03/2026The reviews searched over 12,000 references. They screened 547 full-text papers for inclusion. They included 17. That's a 96.9% exclusion rate at full text. 530 studies were relevant enough to survive initial screening, then rejected by the review criteria. 6/10 reviews found 0 included studies. 4900266
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachCarla Denyer @carladenyer.bsky.social · 05/03/2026I'm dismayed by rumours govt may scrap the windfall tax on oil and gas giants With energy bills still driving cost of living pressures, it's senseless to cut taxes for highly profitable polluters, who already receive £2.7bn per year in tax breaks www.standard.co.uk/news/politic... 🧵...standard.co.ukReeves reaffirms commitment to end windfall tax in talks with North Sea bossesThe Chancellor met figures from BP, TotalEnergies and Serica in Downing Street. 19325113
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachDr. Wendy Bohon @drwendyrocks.bsky.social · 26/02/2026“The women are all weak, and a distraction sorry.” - Epstein in email about women attending a scientific conference. “…no really smart women – none.” - Epstein in email about women in science. 19thnews.org/2026/02/epst...19thnews.orgThe boys’ club: How Epstein’s influence shaped the exclusion of women in STEMIn one email, an AI researcher suggested it’s “hard to be brilliant if you are worrying if you look fat or why another woman hates you.” 108457
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachDr Keith 🎃 Wilson @keithwilson.eu · 25/02/2026Nothing to see here. Just the US Department of War (sic) threatening #Anthropic to allow it to use its #AI models for military purposes, including unsupervised targeting. #AIEthics #Trumpland www.bbc.com/news/article...bbc.comUS threatens Anthropic with deadline in dispute on AI safeguardsThe AI developer laid out red lines on military use of its products, a source said. 22715
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachDrop Site @dropsitenews.com · 14/02/2026🇨🇺 Feb. 13 | The UN Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) expressed extreme worry over the “deepening socio-economic crisis” in Cuba, highlighting several key issues: ▪️ W/ over 80% of water pumping on the island dependent on electricity, power cuts are undermining access to... 35529
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachCal Horton (they/them) @fiercemum.bsky.social · 12/02/2026New School Guidance announces: Full bathroom ban. Full PE ban. Full school trip accommodation ban. Trans kids will not go to the bathroom, do PE or go on any school trips. 1/ 50961371
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachJulia Carrie Wong @joolia.bsky.social · 22/01/2026a heavily armed paramilitary force with legal immunity is occupying a city and going door to door kidnapping non-white adults and children in furtherance of an explicitly white nationalist political project 15690043021
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachMartin Nutbeem (I ain't afraid of no ghosts) @martinnutbeem.bsky.social · 19/01/2026So, if you ever wondered why people who understand surveillance are salty about video cameras on doorbells... It's only a matter of time before they get co-opted into mass surveillance. And if the regime you live under changes that's you spying on your neighbours. 13266162
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachRenato Braghiere @renatobrgh.bsky.social · 07/01/2026New paper out in JAMES (Jan 2026): “ClimaLand: A Land Surface Model Designed to Enable Data-Driven Parameterizations” (Deck, Braghiere et al.). I’m excited to be a co-lead on this CliMA land-model milestone. doi.org/10.1029/2025...doi.org 184
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachKatharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 17/12/2025NCAR is quite literally our global mothership. Everyone who works in climate and weather has passed through its doors and benefited from its incredible resources. Dismantling NCAR is like taking a sledgehammer to the keystone holding up our scientific understanding of the planet. Unbelievable.usatoday.comTrump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in ColoradoThe Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs. 5822031126
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachNadia Whittome MP @nadiawhittomemp.bsky.social · 11/12/2025I'm deeply concerned about the wellbeing of prisoners who were involved in Palestine Action protests, and are currently on hunger strike. Some have not eaten for six weeks. A number have been hospitalised. They are all being held on remand - without trial or conviction. 13386139
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 11/12/2025Full text available on arXiv: arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836arxiv.orgLearning Enhanced Ensemble FiltersThe filtering distribution in hidden Markov models evolves according to the law of a mean-field model in state-observation space. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) approximates this mean-field model w... 000
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 11/12/2025We use a set transformer, a neural network architecture that is invariant to permutations of the ensemble, and can be learned at one ensemble size and deployed at another. This method shows significant improvement over leading filtering methods across a range of ensemble sizes and dynamical systems. 100
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 11/12/2025Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKFs) are suboptimal in the nonlinear and finite-ensemble setting. In this work, we learn corrections to the EnKF to improve filtering performance, approximating the mean-field formulation of the filtering problem. 100
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 11/12/2025Our new paper, "Learning enhanced ensemble filters", is out in the Journal of Computational Physics! Led by Bohan Chen and co-authored by Edoardo Calvello, Ricardo Baptista, Andrew Stuart, and myself. doi.org/10.1016/j.jc...doi.orgRedirecting 170
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachLauren Starkey @laurenhstarkey.bsky.social · 19/11/2025If I were deliberately trying to cause vulnerable refugees as much distress as possible, this is how I would do it. Constantly shifting the ground underneath them, never allowing them a moment of certainty and stability. This is barbarism. 191
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachLauren Starkey @laurenhstarkey.bsky.social · 15/11/2025This is utterly foul. People recognised as refugees will never able to settle and find the long-term security they need to recover, always at risk of being returned if they can’t prove they still *really* deserve to be here. A life lived in permanent limbo. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...bbc.co.ukUK set to limit refugees to temporary staysShabana Mahmood is expected to say the era of permanent protection for refugees is over, in major changes to the UK's asylum and immigration system. 1117
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 03/11/2025In synthetic experiments with prescribed signal-to-noise ratios, we find that new scoring rule–based estimators agree with the classical ones on whether the signal-to-noise ratio is anomalous or not. In application to the North Atlantic Oscillation, the results are more equivocal. (3/3) 000
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 03/11/2025This information-theoretic framework provides a new interpretation of the signal-to-noise paradox in climate forecasting, and could lead to more robust statistical tests for it. Additionally, it allows for the definition of a signal-to-noise ratio for categorical forecasts. (2/3) 100
Eviatar Escolar Bach @eviatarbach.bsky.social · 03/11/2025In this new preprint with Jochen Bröcker, we define a generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio for probabilistic forecasts using proper scoring rules. (1/3) arxiv.org/abs/2510.26809arxiv.orgA generalisation of the signal-to-noise ratio using proper scoring rulesA generalised concept of the signal-to-noise ratio (or equivalently the ratio of predictable components, or RPC) is provided, based on proper scoring rules. This definition is the natural generalisati... 160
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachNaomi L. Jacobs @naomijacobs.bsky.social · 02/10/2025Solidarity with the Jewish community, especially in Manchester. The murder of two people at worship on the holiest day of the Jewish year is beyond reprehensible. 17615
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachToby Buckle @polphilpod.bsky.social · 17/09/2025the UK's new anti-trans rules are indefensible & will make global fascism stronger my latest with @liberalcurrents.com www.liberalcurrents.com/britains-bat...liberalcurrents.comBritain’s Bathroom BanThe UK has gone from a bathroom ban being unthinkable to a Labour government implementing one without a vote 22349135
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachLiam Thorp @liamthorp.bsky.social · 07/09/2025I’ve been frustrated to see so much of the ongoing story about asylum seekers and the protests against them covered without hearing from those seeking asylum and now being met with hostility and hatred I set out to speak to those directly affected to find out about the impact this is having 👇liverpoolecho.co.ukWe escaped war and torture but now we feel unsafe in BritainSpecial report: Amid protests and rising aggression towards asylum seekers across the country, we spoke to those being targeted 44924435
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachCaroline Litman @alicemydaughter.bsky.social · 12/08/2025As the mother of a young trans person, Alice, who took her life in 2022 aged just 20, and as an ex-NHS doctor, I am struggling to find the words to express my dismay and sadness at this story. Whatever happened to do no harm? 🧵 4383117
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachI Scare You Like Sound Dog @chadstanton.blacksky.app · 20/07/2025Deliberately starving people and shooting them when they seek aid is an industrial and systemic approach to mass murder. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...washingtonpost.comOfficials say 85 Palestinians seeking aid are killed in Gaza as Israel widens evacuation ordersGaza’s Health Ministry says at least 85 Palestinians have been killed while trying to reach food on the deadliest day yet for aid-seekers in over 21 months of war 11701314
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachUNRWA @unrwa.org · 20/07/2025In #Gaza, people are starving. Families are going without substantial meals for days. Prices have increased by over 4000%. The Israeli Authorities have banned UNRWA from bringing food into Gaza for over 4 months. This is a manmade and politically motivated starvation of a people. Lift the siege. 88374
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachPinkNews @pinknews.bsky.social · 17/07/2025University of Reading students ‘scared’ to use toilets under new trans-exclusive policythepinknews.comReading Uni students 'scared' to use toilets under new trans-exclusive policyEXCLUSIVE: University of Reading students have said they feel 'unsafe' and 'scared' to enter campus under its new trans toilet policy. 1124
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachYuan Yang @yuanfenyang.bsky.social · 02/07/2025Tony is a well-respected colleague, a KC and a former legal advisor to the EHRC. Having spoken to constituents and University of Reading students who are concerned about the impact of this guidance, I'm glad to have signed Tony's letter. 911224
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachNa'amod @naamoduk.bsky.social · 22/06/2025Plans to proscribe Palestine Action signal an alarming escalation of the UK govt’s repression of our democratic rights. Branding the group a ‘terrorist organisation’ would render support for the group and its nonviolent tactics a criminal offence, with penalties of up to 14 years’ imprisonment. 33218
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachTobias Wilson-Bates @phdhurtbrain.bsky.social · 11/06/2025Cutting lines or even whole departments is the frontal assault on higher ed, but another low key war of attrition is the slow accumulation of grinding, meaningless additional tasks concerning syllabus templates, learning outcomes, institutional pablum, and ever more intricate evaluation hoops. 1751591
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar Bacharxiv stat.ML @arxiv-stat-ml.bsky.social · 28/04/2025Eviatar Bach, Ricardo Baptista, Edoardo Calvello, Bohan Chen, Andrew Stuart Learning Enhanced Ensemble Filters arxiv.org/abs/2504.17836 031
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachFraser Raeburn @fraserraeburn.bsky.social · 08/05/2025To mark VE day, I am posting an old folder of anti-fascist posters from the Spanish Civil War. I originally started collecting these to try and choose an image for my book cover, and kept going because they're objectively awesome. Lost many in the last laptop migration, but the best remain... 811456
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachAmnesty International UK @amnestyuk.bsky.social · 02/05/2025The Israeli authorities have illegally banned all aid and goods into Gaza for two months. This constitutes a genocidal act, a blatant form of unlawful collective punishment, and the war crime of using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare. 510868
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachValérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social · 03/05/2025Disastrous www.nature.com/articles/d41...nature.comTrump proposes unprecedented budget cuts to US scienceHuge reductions, if enacted, could have ‘catastrophic’ effects on US competitiveness and the scientific pipeline, critics say. 415247
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachAFESP | Advancing Frontiers of Earth Prediction Research @uor-afesp.bsky.social · 28/04/2025The University of Reading is inviting Fellowship applicants to join the AFESP research programme. The closing date for initial expressions of interest is Friday 20 June 2025. Further details and full applicant guidance can be found at research.reading.ac.uk/earth-system... 089
Reposted by Eviatar Escolar BachJess O'Thomson @jessothomson.co.uk · 16/04/2025My analysis of today's UK Supreme Court judgment. The UK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren't Women Under the Equality Act 2010 www.wearequeeraf.com/uk-supreme-c...wearequeeraf.comUK Supreme Court Rules That Trans Women Aren’t Women under the Equality Act 2010The legal definition of a woman in the UK now excludes trans people: This is what it means for Trans+ rights in the country 441726858