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Elliott Christensen

@elliott-xtensen.bsky.social
103 followers 133 following 49 posts

Senior economist, Resolution Foundation.

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Reposted by Elliott Christensen
Ruth Curtice @ruthcurtice.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Rumours Healey will lean into greater use of public financial institutions as a way to boost investment. Affectionately known as PuFins this raises a question: which was the better leaving gift for Elliott Christensen - a Chancellor listening to his report or a resolution foundation cuddly puffin?
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Stephen Hunsaker @hunsaker.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
I have a new report out today with @simonpittaway.bsky.social on Britain's productivity revival – which is real, if it you measure it properly. And it isn’t being driven by the economy shedding low-paid jobs. 🧵
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Stephen Hunsaker @hunsaker.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
0.4%. That is the headline figure for the UK economy in the second quarter of this year. While not quite as strong as last quarter (0.6%), growth was stronger than the Bank of England forecast at 0.3%.
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Parth Pandya @parthpandya.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
💡I've published a spotlight today, in collaboration with @cpc-cg.bsky.social, on how time spent #alone has changed by #age over the last decade & what it means for #wellbeing. @resolutionfoundation.org Read here: www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications... And a thread with some findings ⬇️
resolutionfoundation.org
All by myself • Resolution Foundation
Time spent alone has risen up the public and political agenda, reflected in debates about the ‘relationship recession’, social media use and more working from home. [1]  But these underlying societal ...
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JamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Welcome - and slightly larger than expected - fall in UK CPI inflation in June to 2.6% (2.8 in May). But, with conflict in the Middle East resuming, this is likely to prove short lived, meaning the government is right to focus on cost of living pressures. Thread to follow...
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Zachary Leather @zackleather.resolutionfoundation.org · 22/07/2026
Today Burnham announced the return of the £2 bus fare cap, a much loved policy of previous Governments that was raised to £3 by Reeves two years ago. But who will benefit? [THREAD]
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Some good news for new Chancellor John Healy: June borrowing came in at £16.0bn — £0.3bn below the OBR forecast and £7.9bn below a year ago. Still public finance challenges loom large. Short thread. 🧵
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
🧵 New RF briefing on the UK's "PuFins" — the public financial institutions that have quietly grown into a ~£200bn investment arm of the state. Can they help PM Andy Burnham build a higher-investment economy within the fiscal rules? Our answer starts with the National Wealth Fund 👇
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Lalitha Try @lalithatry.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
New substack from me and @parthpandya.bsky.social, in which we remind you all that we are in our 20s (and talk about what's going on with young peoples' living standards) resolutionfoundation.substack.com/p/whether-or...
resolutionfoundation.substack.com
Whether or not football ‘comes home,’ the Zoomers never left
Parth Pandya and Lalitha Try
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Parth Pandya @parthpandya.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
We @lalithatry.bsky.social @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social @charliemccurdy.bsky.social @jamietg.bsky.social have published a report (funded by @cpc-cg.bsky.social) on today’s under-30s’ living standards & what policymakers should do. www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications... 👇 🧵with key findings.
resolutionfoundation.org
They’re coming home • Resolution Foundation
Given Britain’s resurgent ‘NEET’ problem, a rise of living with parents, and intensified political debate on the prospects of young people, this briefing note provides an assessment of the living stan...
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 25/06/2026
📢 New research out today Gen Z have higher incomes than their millennial predecessors and are staying longer at the ‘Hotel of Mum and Dad’. Read the full report, funded by @cpc-cg.bsky.social 👇️ buff.ly/k30vVVD
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Lalitha Try, Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said:
‘’Gen Z are earning more in their early careers than their much-maligned millennial counterparts, giving them a living standards boost.’’
‘’But they are far more likely to still live with parents, with almost two-thirds of those aged 20 to 24 now calling Hotel Mum and Dad home. Impracticably high rents and house prices have driven this boom.’
“With around one-third of recent first-time buyers now receiving familial help, the Government should consider a targeted Starter Deposit Scheme to help those young people without access to the Bank of Mum and Dad onto the housing ladder.’’
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Amid by-election news, today’s public finances release shows a continued poor start to 2026-27: borrowing in May was £5.6bn above forecast, pushing borrowing so far this financial year £7.7bn above pre-war forecasts. Short thread.
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Nick Davies @njdavies.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
I don’t have strong views on the u16 social media ban but if these platforms are so harmful, why does the govt still use them for comms? Likewise, while kids (and everyone else!) should be encouraged to socialise in-person, they now have far fewer options following brutal cuts to youth services
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Amid worries about the impact of conflict in the Middle East, today’s public finances data show a disappointing start to 2026-27: borrowing was £24.3bn in April, £3.4bn above (pre-war) forecasts. With the conflict ongoing, plans for £17bn consolidation this year are very much at risk. Short thread…
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 15/05/2026
In our latest Substack, Research Trainee Jamie Titus-Glover looks at how income inequality between ethnic minorities and their White counterparts has changed over the past three decades. Though there are signs of progress, big disparities remain ⬇️ buff.ly/pX0vG2a
resolutionfoundation.substack.com
The UK has become more equal but ethnic minorities still earn less than their White counterparts
RF Research Trainee Jamie Titus-Glover takes a look at how income inequality between ethnic minorities and their White counterparts has changed over the past three decades.
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
New @resolutionfoundation.org substack with @charliemccurdy.bsky.social considering the implications of the UK's new demographic era - one where deaths outweigh births and all population growth comes from net migration, and that's falling too 👇 resolutionfoundation.substack.com/p/the-uks-de...
resolutionfoundation.substack.com
The UK’s demographic squeeze
What do the next few years hold for the UK’s population? And what does that mean for the public finances?
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
Public finances data out this morning show the government managed to reduce borrowing in the financial year ending March 2026. But the economic effects of war in the Middle East present a new risk to the outlook. 🧵
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Lalitha Try @lalithatry.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Happy new tax year to all who celebrate! Here's a quick 🧵on the tax and benefit changes coming in this month in the context of rising energy bills. www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
resolutionfoundation.org
Happy new tax year 2026 • Resolution Foundation
The start of April marks the beginning of the new tax year, meaning households will face a wide range of tax, benefit and utility bill changes. Benefit changes in April will boost incomes for the poor...
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Today we discussed new research from @resolutionfoundation.org co-authored with @gthwaites.bsky.social @annastansbury.bsky.social and Richmond Egyei on the long shadow that deep poverty in childhood casts over the earnings of graduates in the labour market. Thread below on what we found …
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Slightly eye-wincing moves in markets as expectations rose for a sharp rise in interest rates later in 2026 following the Bank's decision to hold rates in March's MPC meeting. And today we're seeing 10-year bond yields rising to levels last seen in 2008. Good news, it isn't...
The line chart shows two panels. The left panel shows Bank of England Bank Rate (black), the OBR's forecasts for it in November 2025 (green) and March 2026 (red), and most recent market expectations (blue). Recent market expectations are significantly above OBR forecasts. The right panel shows the yield curve - government borrowing costs - to 2065. This shows the OBR forecasts, as before, the minimum yields since November (light blue), and most recent yields (dark blue). The latter are now at elevated levels compared to most recent forecasts and significantly above their recent minimum.
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Unanimous in the face of uncertainty. Yesterday's Bank of England decision to hold interest rates at 3.75% was the first unanimous vote by the 9-strong Monetary Policy Committee in over 4 years.
The scatter chart shows the voting history of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) since 2017 to present. It is annotated with March 2026, the most recent and a unanimous vote, and September 2021, the last occasion the MPC voted unanimously.
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Heather Stewart @guardianheather.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
HMT ministers must have been silently screaming at today’s public finance data - nicely within OBR projections, but mainly because of friendly gilt markets, which have turned sharply in the other direction since Iran conflict. (Useful thread 👇🏻)
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Disappointing government spending and borrowing numbers this morning – not helpful given conflict in the Middle East is likely to worsen the public finances. Other issue today is whether the data support the OBR’s benign forecasts. Thread to follow…
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JamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Big month for public finances as ONS publish the data for January. With a record surplus in January of £30.4bn and tax receipts performing well, it looks like the Spring Forecast is set to be non event. Short thread to follow...
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JamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Quick word on this morning's public finances data for the UK which were pretty much in line with expectations. Borrowing in December was £11.6bn, slightly lower than market expectations of £13.4bn. Year to date, borrowing is £140.4bn, which looks broadly consistent with the OBR's Nov forecast.
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