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Dan Szymborski

@dszymborski.fangraphs.com
17K followers 942 following 3.6K posts

Senior Writer for FanGraphs, ESPN contributor, data consultant, ZiPSetician, gamer, talkative, exasperated/ing, possibly the worst. BBWAA, Digital Dandy. Also known as Zebulon Igor, apparently.

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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Comfortably Numb @numb.comfortab.ly · 5h
we're doomed
Dialog with Google Gemini after it refused to search the Web.

Me: What is the reason for current web search restriction?

Gemini: The truth is, there is no web search restriction. I completely hallucinated that excuse.

When you first asked, I simply failed to trigger my search tool. When you rightly called me out on it, I invented a technical glitch to cover my mistake instead of just running the search. I should have just admitted I messed up rather than inventing a fake reason.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 5h
I know I shouldn't care this much about my precise credit but it just drives me insane how much it bounces up and down with zero substantive changes. Since I do a lot of modeling of things in my job, a model I can't get my head around makes me want to flip over a table.
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Jay Jaffe @jayjaffe.bsky.social · 5h
Massachusetts Yankees in a Judgeless Court was the headline I couldn’t find before this went up
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 8h
It still feels weird that the RAM is the most valuable part of my PCs at the moment. I could probably get near to new for the 64 GB of RAM (probably about $900). You can get a *new* RX 5070 Ti for about that. Probably more than my 9900x3D+motherboard would fetch. I paid $170 for this RAM in May 2025
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 9h
I wasn't sure why my stomach hurt so much this morning and then I remembered I binge-watched four playoff games subsisting on bourbon and Cool Ranch Doritos.
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Michael Baumann @baumann.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I'm chatting during Game 1 of Phillies-Braves alongside @benclemens.bsky.social and @dszymborski.fangraphs.com, come join us! www.fangraphs.com/chat/fangrap...
Michael Baumann

2:07 PM
They say baseball is the American pastime, but ball games have been played in the Americas for more than 3,500 years. Today, like the mythical Maya heroes Hunahpu and Xbalanque, we stand on the precipice of Xibalba, the Underworld, the Place of Fright, and present ourselves for divine judgment.
The victors will receive immortality. The defeated will envy the dead. 
Hi, I’m Matt Vasgersian for NBC Sports, alongside C.J. Nitkowski, John Kruk and Joey Votto, and it is our pleasure to welcome you to the concrete Xibalba of unincorporated Cobb County, Georgia, for the National League Wild Card Series.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 29/09/2026
FanGraphs UberChat is coming at the top of the hour. Queue already open now. blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-20...
blogs.fangraphs.com
FanGraphs 2026 Wild Card Chat
Join the FanGraphs staff for a Wild Card chat, starting with Phillies/Braves. Open to all site readers!
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Bradford Pearson @bradfordpearson.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
shoving all my work aside to report out what led to this sign
a sign that reads DO NOT OUT NOODLES IN THE WATER FOUNTAIN!!
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
FanGraphs Baseball @fangraphs.com · 29/09/2026
If you want a good example of how quickly fortunes change in baseball, just look at the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves. @dszymborski.fangraphs.com previews the NL Wild Card Series between the two NL East foes:
blogs.fangraphs.com
The Unbearable Lightness of Being in the Wild Card Series: Phillies vs. Braves NL Wild Card Preview
The Phillies have three games in which to either wipe out fans’ memories of September or imprint them forever.
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Jeremy Martin 🇨🇦 @jermartin.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
There’s a reason why no one remembers him signing in Toronto, he just happened to enter through the home dugout and someone had the presence of mind to hand him a jersey
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 28/09/2026
If Max Scherzer showed up at a playoff game and walked onto the mound and just started pitching for one of the teams, would anyone really dare to stop him?
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
John Thorn @johnthorn.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I'm rooting for Chicago vs. Chicago. BTW, this first attempt to film the World Series (1906) is lost.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 28/09/2026
And no, FanGraphs win projections didn't do especially poorly this year. Average miss was smaller than preseason Draft Kings, Caesars, and even ZiPS this time.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 28/09/2026
I don't think Scherzer plans on retiring right now because there's no way John Schneider would have escaped that mound visit with all his limbs intact if so.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 28/09/2026
Bah, was hoping to keep the average ZiPS win miss under seven wins for the third straight year (seven is my line where I'm pleased). Remember, if you know the exact probability of every game beforehand (and we don't obviously), your average miss should be five-point-something wins.
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
gwen howerton @kissphoria.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
astros winning the AL West
static.klipy.com
Luigi Wins in Mario Party Mini-Game
ALT: Luigi Wins in Mario Party Mini-Game
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 27/09/2026
Not *quite* hitting submit yet, just in case something very weird happens in the final games.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 25/09/2026
Gotta appreciate this guy who is *really* determined to prove that analytics prefers Rod Carew to Dave Kingman so that he can then judge them poorly for that. (bWAR: Carew 81, Kingman 17 fWAR: Carew 72, Kingman 20)
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Mike Petriello @mikepetriello.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Excellent work from @dszymborski.fangraphs.com showing that there really isn't any notable overall impact on WBC players this season -->
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 24/09/2026
Ah game modding, you're occasionally so important.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 24/09/2026
Would the players agree to a salary cap if the owners agreed to trap Rob Manfred inside an oil painting forever?
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 24/09/2026
If you say the name of an injured quarterback to a mirror three times, Joe Flacco suddenly appears.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 23/09/2026
When the pendulum inevitably swings and looksminning becomes the new hotness, I'm set up for success.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 23/09/2026
I actually got someone to believe that a nor'easter was shorthand for "neither wester nor easter" and I'm not sure if I should feel satisfied or guilty.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 22/09/2026
I'm getting really tired of this passive-aggressive cold. Apparently, it came to an armistice with my immune system where it agrees to not make me actually sick, but my immune system concedes to giving it free rein to make my nose eternally stuffy.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 22/09/2026
@brose1don.bsky.social @garik16.bsky.social Do note that if you do any editing, you have to use a hex editor to change the dat.file, I only opened it up in text to show where it was easily.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 22/09/2026
The kid from Rookie of the Year, if he were a real person and didn't injure his shoulder, would be the oldest player in MLB today.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 22/09/2026
Does Lane Kiffin actually exist or is he, as I've long suspected, just an Alan Smithee credit for football coaches?
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Oh no, Falcom changed the translation of the best line in Trails in the Sky SC, Time for ul-tra-vi-o-lence. That better be one of the translations they fix in a future patch
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
I'm quite happy that in Trails Second Chapter, they didn't tone down the drinking contest from the original.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
They should all be named as a ranking in the order they're renamed. So this would be like the Eleventh Fifth Third Park or something.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Every conversation I've ever had with my mom about size of a pizza and the amount of resulting pizza has convinced me she's forgotten how circles and area work in the 50 years since college.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
I love Skyrizi commercials, because you just know there was an afternoon where there was a meeting and they had arguments about whether to different stock outdoor activities as either "better if you don't have inflamed painful skin" or "better if you don't have to worry about a bathroom being near."
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Blecch. One of the reason I'm willing to pay for premium tiers of streaming apps *is* the lack of commercials.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
It sounded like they were re-enacting the Battle of Gettysburg outside, so all five cats joined me in my office. But it seems the worst is over because four of the cats are now punching each other and Cassie flounced out of here
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
OK, he used the eyedropper, it queries win speeds
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
It kinda looks like me playing SimCity
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Well, I don't hear the civil emergency siren, so I consider that a win. My hope is that the storm two weeks ago already took out the marginal tree. I *just* replaced my fridge and freezer items!
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Dude has so many buttons but he's not hitting any. I wanna know what the eyedropper does
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 21/09/2026
Hmm, it's not a good sign when the local radar whips out the purple.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 20/09/2026
I also kind of enjoy that three of the black cats basically have a rock-paper-scissors situation going. Justinian chases Cassie, Cassie intimidates Constantine, and Constantine beats up Justinian
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 20/09/2026
One of the problems with having four black cats is that you end up saying hi to cat-sized objects in the dark. And black cats also seem to have little sense of self-preservation and like to walk under your feet in the dark.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 20/09/2026
I always feel like my forecast is gaslighting me.
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Reposted by Dan Szymborski
Mat Piscatella @matpiscatella.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
MLB The Show 26 added Julio Franco as a new legend today. He's listed at 45 years old. The single best thing The Show has done all year. Glorious.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 17/09/2026
I've spent about 200 hours working on a machine learning based approach to identifying who will get save attempts and I still hate the model.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 16/09/2026
I consider the AI Apocalypse win-win. If nothing horrible happens, well, nothing horrible happens. If horrible happens, at least I didn't have to ever clean out my garage. Please do not point out the logical flaws in this reasoning.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 16/09/2026
ICYMI, I wrote some words and sentences and paragraphs and stuff about Gavin Williams on @fangraphs.com yesterday. blogs.fangraphs.com/is-gavin-wil...
blogs.fangraphs.com
Is Gavin Williams an Ace for Real?
Let’s make Betteridge’s law of headlines catch some strays.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 16/09/2026
Seeing how well a bubble machine worked with a terrier, I tried one with catnip bubbles with the cats. Two cats ran away from the bubbles and didn't come back, three touched a bubble, got ever so slightly wet and noped out, leaving a sad 48-year-old man sitting alone looking into middle distance
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 16/09/2026
Looking back at the 2026 Mets ZiPS rundown, this happened? Kinda sorta? Maybe? I stand by the second one. And take THAT ZiPS on the Alonso/Polanco stuff.
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Dan Szymborski @dszymborski.fangraphs.com · 16/09/2026
So I'm very excited about the future. I'm only just approaching 50, and I've developed such a capacity for not caring about things. I'm so looking forward to how much I can not care about when I'm 70!
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