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Delaney Simon

@delaneysimon.bsky.social
699 followers 244 following 81 posts

Senior Analyst, U.S. Program @crisisgroup. Before, UN in Afghanistan, Lebanon, Yemen. New here. Usual caveats. www.crisisgroup.org/who-we-are/peop…

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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Michael Hanna @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org · 26/06/2025
Very pleased to see this report out. Core lesson from this short-lived experience is that Washington was right to impose consequences on settler violence, but sanctions alone are a limited tool absent a broader policy on settlements. Great to work with my old friends @centuryintl.bsky.social on this
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Policymakers in the United States and elsewhere should learn from this experience when deploying sanctions in the future. 5/5
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Washington was right to impose consequences on settler violence. But sanctions cannot be truly effective as long as they are a surrogate for a broader policy on Israel’s settlements. 4/5
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
But it is clear that the sanctions failed to stem rising settler violence during the eleven months they were in effect—and became burdened by loopholes and backlash over the course of their brief existence. 3/5
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
President Trump scrapped the sanctions on his first day in office, and it is impossible to know whether the sanctions regime would have ultimately evolved into a more effective policy under a different American administration. 2/5
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
I wrote about the Biden administration's efforts to sanction Israeli settlers for @centuryintl.bsky.social. The program had some real successes, but in other ways, it backfired. tcf.org/content/comm... 🧵 1/5
tcf.org
The Lessons of the Biden Administration’s Efforts to Sanction Israeli Settlers
Among the possible U.S. policies to reign in Israeli excesses, measures targeting illegal settlements in the West Bank might seem to be relatively
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Tune in to my interview on the CBC with Canadian journalism legend Susan Ormiston. I discuss with the great @edwardfishman.bsky.social and Andrea Charron whether economic punishment actually shapes behavior — or just creates diplomatic noise.🎙️ Listen here: www.cbc.ca/listen/live-...
cbc.ca
© CBC/Radio-Canada 2025. All rights reserved.
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
My latest in @foreignpolicy.com. Trump has promised to lift sanctions on Syria. I explain why it's not that easy to fully end the sanctions—and their effects. foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/02/t...
foreignpolicy.com
It’s Not That Easy to Lift Sanctions on Syria
Other presidents have struggled with political and logistical obstacles when trying to effect a rollback.
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
The chance to improve Libya’s long-term future should not be missed. Modest reforms carry low risk and could better protect Libyan wealth. They would also boost the credibility of UN sanctions, which risk fair criticism as outdated. The Council and LIA should take action. End/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
🚩The Council should pursue further sanctions reforms to let the fund grow, but maintain safeguards 🚩With no imminent resolution to Libya’s political crisis, they should set a realistic plan for long-term sanctions relief 🚩LIA must improve its credibility and transparency 8/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
The reforms remove important curbs on the fund, but sanctions still block it from growing to its full potential. What should be done? 7/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
In January 2025, the Security Council made a novel decision to reform the LIA sanctions regime by allowing the fund to invest its cash reserves, as long as the reinvested funds and the interest they accrue remain frozen. 6/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
But sanctions may have also saved the LIA. After the revolution, other Libyan institutions were dogged by allegations of corruption and misappropriation. The LIA was not, at least not on the same scale. Sanctions protected the LIA from graft. 5/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
Years of sanctions have curbed the LIA's growth. Billions of dollars sat in cash for 10+ years without the LIA being able to reinvest them. The LIA's growth stagnated while other wealth funds, and the markets, soared. 4/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
Almost 15 years after the revolution, Libya is still embroiled in political and economic turmoil. Political elites benefit from the country’s enormous oil wealth, but the Libyan people see little of it. 3/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
I went to Tripoli with my colleague @claudiagazzini.bsky.social to understand what the sanctions on the fund, the Libyan Investment Authority (LIA), mean for Libyans. 2/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
🚨NEW @crisisgroup.org REPORT Libya's $70 billion sovereign wealth fund has been under UN #sanctions since the revolt against Muammar al-Qadhafi in 2011. The sanctions remain in place more a decade after his death.🧵 www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
crisisgroup.org
Frozen Billions: Reforming Sanctions on the Libyan Investment Authority | Crisis Group
Libya’s sovereign wealth fund has been under UN sanctions since the revolt against Muammar al-Qadhafi in 2011. These measures restrict investment that would enlarge the fund. The UN has eased them, bu...
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Important article on how the West, and especially the U.S., cannot figure out how to lift sanctions. But they are very good at imposing them. www.justsecurity.org/108458/sanct...
justsecurity.org
To Support Peace Efforts, the West Needs a Coordinated Way to Effectively Reduce Sanctions
Western leaders don't know how to lift economic and financial sanctions once a war ends and elongated sanctions regimes need to be changed.
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Key members of Syria’s interim government are under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis. For @crisisgroup.org, @jeromed.bsky.social @mayaungar.bsky.social & I explain why the UN Security Council should consider starting the delisting process www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...
crisisgroup.org
Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group
Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
As in centuries past, those who wield famine as a weapon will be able to deny or hide what they are doing – and responsible actors will find their ability to cry foul radically diminished. 4/4
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
We could return to the grim situation of the last century, where great famines – meaning those with death tolls in the hundreds of thousands – are the norm. Yet most of the world may not even realise that a famine is taking place. 3/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
More frequent and deadlier famines are likely since the Trump administration's moves to dismantle the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) and slash U.S. foreign aid budgets. 2/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Chris Newton and I explain in our @crisisgroup.org commentary how U.S. aid cuts will make famine more likely and easier to hide. www.crisisgroup.org/united-state... 1/
crisisgroup.org
U.S. Aid Cuts Make Famine More Likely and Easier to Hide | Crisis Group
The Trump administration has put a 90-day hold on most U.S. foreign aid, with devastating effects on the system built over decades for preventing famine. The result may be more and deadlier famines, w...
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 25/01/2025
International Crisis Group’s Delaney Simon on U.S. sanctions relief for Syria, arguing that more is needed, faster. @delaneysimon.bsky.social @lawfare.bsky.social @crisisgroup.org www.lawfaremedia.org/article/u.s....
lawfaremedia.org
U.S. Sanctions Relief for Syria Is an Important Start, but Not Enough
The Trump administration must offer bolder reforms if it wants to prevent the new Syria from descending into chaos.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 24/01/2025
@delaneysimon.bsky.social for @lawfare.bsky.social on the limitations of U.S. sanctions relief so far for post-Assad Syria, and what more the Trump administration should now do to help stabilize the country's economy: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/u.s....
lawfaremedia.org
U.S. Sanctions Relief for Syria Is an Important Start, but Not Enough
The Trump administration must offer bolder reforms if it wants to prevent the new Syria from descending into chaos.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Esfandyar Batmanghelidj @yarbatman.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
"Washington should take advantage of the opportunity to shape Syria’s future for the better and remove the obstacles it has placed in its path. Inaction could place a millstone around Syria’s neck." Smart view on Syria sanctions from @delaneysimon.bsky.social. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/u.s....
lawfaremedia.org
U.S. Sanctions Relief for Syria Is an Important Start, but Not Enough
The Trump administration must offer bolder reforms if it wants to prevent the new Syria from descending into chaos.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Lawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 23/01/2025
Following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian people have serious challenges as they rebuild their society—including U.S. sanctions. @delaneysimon.bsky.social explains the reforms the Trump administration could implement to prevent Syria from descending into chaos.
lawfaremedia.org
U.S. Sanctions Relief for Syria Is an Important Start, but Not Enough
The Trump administration must offer bolder reforms if it wants to prevent the new Syria from descending into chaos.
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
But it's not nearly enough. In the article, I explain what the license does and doesn't do, and what's needed to enable true recovery in Syria. Washington should take advantage of the opportunity to shape Syria’s future for the better and remove the obstacles it has placed in its path. 3/3
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
The enormous web of overlapping sanctions that the U.S. and other countries imposed on the Assad regime is choking Syria's economy. The General License that the U.S. Treasury issued earlier this month to ease some of the sanctions is a crucial step. 2/3
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 23/01/2025
As I wrote in @lawfare.bsky.social, President Trump should offer bolder sanctions reforms than Biden did if he wants to prevent Syria from descending into chaos. 1/3 🧵 www.lawfaremedia.org/article/u.s....
lawfaremedia.org
U.S. Sanctions Relief for Syria Is an Important Start, but Not Enough
The Trump administration must offer bolder reforms if it wants to prevent the new Syria from descending into chaos.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 16/01/2025
Syria’s new leaders seem eager to curry favor with the West, and international leaders should engage with them to set Syria up for success, argue @delaneysimon.bsky.social, Graeme Smith, and Jerome Drevon.
foreignaffairs.com
Don’t Repeat in Syria the Mistakes of Afghanistan
Isolating Damascus's new rulers won't moderate them.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Sunniva Rose @sunnivarose.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
When trying to gauge the possible impact of the lifting of sanctions on Syria, many analysts look back at when the EU lifted sanctions on Iran in 2016. At the time, EU companies struggled. www.thenationalnews.com/news/europe/...
thenationalnews.com
European talks on Syria sanctions relief overshadowed by doubts on Trump’s moves | The National
EU efforts widely hailed as important but full co-ordination must wait for Washington’s new rulers
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Sunniva Rose @sunnivarose.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
European foreign ministers are coordinating on how to (partially) lift sanctions on Syria at their next meeting in Brussels on the 27th. While it's a move that is likely to be widely welcomed, there's a big question mark around what the US will do, @delaneysimon.bsky.social tells me
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Rachel Ziemba @reziemba.bsky.social · 06/01/2025
Good work on web of syria sanctions in work by @delaneysimon.bsky.social and @crisisgroup.org colleagues foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/do… And @alexzerden.bsky.social Scott anderson @lawfare.bsky.social lawfaremedia.org/article/our-ma���
foreignaffairs.com
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Andrew Friedman @andrewbfriedman.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
@delaneysimon.bsky.social, @graemesmith.bsky.social & @jeromed.bsky.social on learning from #Afghanistan in #Syria is great. The need to give HTS "adequate clarity about how to gain diplomatic recognition and shake off sanctions" is universal for transitions. www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...
foreignaffairs.com
Don’t Repeat in Syria the Mistakes of Afghanistan
Isolating Damascus's new rulers won't moderate them.
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Rachel Ziemba @reziemba.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Importat timely piece on syria sanctions policy from @delaneysimon.bsky.social and @crisisgroup.org colleagues @foreignaffairs.com They highlight importance of both quick humanitarian relief channels AND need for clear signals on what would be needed for broad sanctions relief. t.co/D9z5KOSsd7
t.co
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/dont-repeat-syria-mistakes-afghanistan
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Reposted by Delaney Simon
Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Good free-to-read @foreignaffairs.com piece piece on how the USA and Europe appear set to wreck Syria’s transition by simply defaulting to economic warfare for lack of clear ideas. @delaneysimon.bsky.social @jeromed.bsky.social @graemesmithauthor.bsky.social www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...
foreignaffairs.com
Don’t Repeat in Syria the Mistakes of Afghanistan
Isolating Damascus's new rulers won't moderate them.
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Western officials are excited about the prospect of a new Syria, and rightly so. But without actions that allow Syria to rebuild its economy after years of war, the country will descend further into crisis. Syrians deserve better. The West should act differently this time. 12/end
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
➡️Within weeks, governments should also coordinate to offer clear, realistic, and time-bound demands for Syria’s new leaders in exchange for relief from both the terrorism sanctions that affect them directly as well as other economic restrictions imposed on the Assad regime. 11/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
➡️ Also right away, sanctioning countries should unconditionally relieve pressure on key sectors of Syria's economy (i.e. energy and banking), as recovery cannot begin while key sectors are blocked. 10/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
➡️Right away, the U.S., EU, UK and other actors should issue broad exemptions to allow economic and commercial activity, similar to the General License 20 that the U.S. Treasury issued in 2022 for Afghanistan. 9/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Syria now stands at a crossroads: one path offers a chance to rebuild and reengage with the world, and the other leads toward deeper isolation and suffering for the Syrian people. International actors should learn from their failures in Afghanistan and move decisively. 8/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Yet, the world may make the same mistakes in Syria that it did in Afghanistan. Countries have yet to act swiftly to soften the harsh effects of sanctions or to establish a clear path toward the removal of these sanctions in exchange for actions from Syria’s new leaders. 7/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
But without urgent action, Syria could sink into deeper crisis, a tragic fate that neither the West nor Syrians want. Syria is crippled by one of the most intensive sanctions regimes in the world. Without reform, the country is blocked from any real economic recovery. 6/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
International officials have engaged more deeply with HTS in the past month than they did with the Taliban after the fall of Kabul, and HTS's words and actions have given foreigners more confidence that outreach is the right strategy. 5/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
After the Taliban seized Kabul, Afghanistan staggered under the weight of sanctions and other kinds of economic and diplomatic isolation. Countries failed to act quickly to ease Afghanistan's poverty crisis and declined to negotiate with the Taliban in any serious way. 4/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
But Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the group that dislodged Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad in early December, and outside governments alike can learn from a cautionary precedent: the Taliban’s 2021 return to power in Afghanistan. 3/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Syria’s new leaders have few models to follow in their quest to win international recognition. There are no guidebooks for listed terrorists on how to run a government or a clear set of rules for foreign governments on how to bring a former al Qaeda affiliate in from the cold. 2/
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Delaney Simon @delaneysimon.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
In @foreignaffairs.com, @graemesmithauthor.bsky.social, @jeromed.bsky.social and I urge Western policymakers to make better choices in #Syria than they did in #Afghanistan, or risk sabotaging Syria's transition 🧵1/ www.foreignaffairs.com/afghanistan/...
foreignaffairs.com
Don’t Repeat in Syria the Mistakes of Afghanistan
Isolating Damascus's new rulers won't moderate them.
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