Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026How my last day at Conference started / how it ended (Solidarity has many facets) 000
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026The Fabians are NOT helping to refute conspiracy theories 000
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026…or get to ask a panel including a minister an extremely niche question on mixed oxide nuclear fuel (great answers btw) 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026I love Labour Party Conference so much Where else do you casually bump into a Minister of Defence of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, or see thousands of policy nerds squeezing their brain juices to the last drop to make the country better 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026…or get to ask a panel including a minister an extremely niche question on mixed oxide nuclear fuel (great answers btw) 000
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 29/09/2026I love Labour Party Conference so much Where else do you casually bump into a Minister of Defence of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, or see thousands of policy nerds squeezing their brain juices to the last drop to make the country better 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 26/09/2026We just accepted the right wing framing of tax = bad, so Labour doesn't even try to argue that working and paying taxes is moral and that everyone should get things back for the tax we're paying 000
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 26/09/2026(necropost) I find it interesting to ponder why compulsory income insurance like www.a-kasser.dk/unemployment... is not even on the radar for any political party in the UKa-kasser.dkUnemployment insurance in SwedenSee an article about unemployment insurance in Sweden.. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 26/09/2026You don't need a study to see how one-off tools that would take a professional a number of hours or days (and thus won't get made) take an activist half an hour now 000
Reposted by Dan Groshevdame @dame.is · 27/08/2026we have passed a threshold where i am comfortable saying that the left *must* be using and leveraging AI it can be done responsibly there’s no going back, and to avoid or reject this technology at this point would be a massive generational mistake that lets the far right take further control 820026
Reposted by Dan Groshev"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 21/08/2026I wrote a(nother) thing! This time it is about how no amount of military technical excellence can salvage a situation where political leadership has, in their abject strategic incompetence, demanded the military accomplish an impossible mission. Gift link: foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/21/i...foreignpolicy.comThe U.S. Is Learning the Wrong Lessons in IranTactical excellence can never salvage strategic incompetence. 19623133
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 26/09/2026I like this post: "why i'm still bearish on LLMs after navier-stokes" dank.systems/posts/2026-0...dank.systemswhy i'm still bearish on LLMs after navier-stokes | jay kruer 000
Reposted by Dan GroshevJames Austin @jamesdaustin.bsky.social · 23/09/2026As a side point - one thing the far right are very good at doing is bombarding MPs inboxes which (alongside protests, polling, media etc) is one of the things which makes MPs responsive to their issues 1326
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 20/09/2026> Aella specifically is effectively the cultural leader of rationalism right now What a day to be able to understanding sentences 010
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 18/09/2026There's a crucial difference: this very reaction - you know of it - you're ashamed of it Europe managed to hold the mirror up, look, and regret the crimes. Not the case for most (all?) other imperialisms. Absolutely not the case for Russia, for example. Doubtful that it's the case for China. 111
Reposted by Dan Groshev𝕋𝕙𝕖 ℍ𝕚𝕤𝕥🎃𝕣𝕪 𝕠𝕗 ℂ𝕙𝕚𝕟𝕒 ℙ💀𝕕𝕔𝕒𝕤𝕥 @thoc.bsky.social · 18/09/2026The US Civil War (1861-65) ran concurrently within the Taiping Rebellion (1850-1864). USCR: 600-700k deaths/4 yrs... ~ 175,000 killed/yr TPHK: 20-30M deaths/14 yrs... ~1.4-2.1M killed/yr There were single battles & city slaughters that eclipsed over a few days the entire yearly KIA of the US war. 18413
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 17/09/2026"The Ukrainians use five billion drones a day and move them in cardboard boxes, this is the future of warfare" Now try this across the Pacific. You can fit three Ukraines between Guam and China 150
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 17/09/2026Also how much bigger is the logistic impact of all that mass 141
Reposted by Dan GroshevEduin Latimer @eduinlatimer.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This really should be bigger news. Most important driver on long-term changes in living standards is productivity and recent revision to how it is measured suggests output per hour actually grew almost twice as fast from 2009 to 2019 (up from 0.7% a year to 1.3% a year) 197
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 12/09/2026Cool cool. You don't do credible 2nd strike by building out silos though 000
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 12/09/2026How is this racism Is their rapid nuclear buildout racism too 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 12/09/2026Please PLEASE let's do NIMBYs next. Opposing a reservoir cannot be a respectable opinion 011
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 07/09/2026The story of salesman DHH, who wakes to find himself inexplicably transformed into D88 000
Reposted by Dan GroshevChaminda Jayanetti @cjayanetti.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Make Britain a hostile environment for fascists 8556109
Reposted by Dan GroshevSunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Channel 4 News have produced this news report where Reform UK is offered illegal funding by undercover reporters posing as wealthy US donors. www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXut...youtube.comUndercover: Exposing Reform's secret donations plotYouTube video by Channel 4 News 13613233
Reposted by Dan Groshevdame @dame.is · 03/09/2026insane how much good will, longstanding trust, and real business 1Password is willing to destroy just so they can donate some money to a racist project — this is such a catastrophically dumb move that should’ve been a no brainer to walk back within the first 12 hours 724639
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 03/09/2026So much this And frankly the dhh donation is just a cherry on the cake. They rebuilt their company as a standard SV outlet (B2B SaaS focus, chasing AI, frequent updates) and don't deserve the trust anymore 020
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 03/09/2026Are there other sources of funding for this website available? Like, "dipshit techbro types" are literally bankrolling it as a charity, we didn't pay a cent 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 01/09/2026It's a bubble not a con. But also here's a thing: after this bubble bursts, the US will have a ton of bankrupt companies. They will also have more infrastructure and expertise for post-bubble adoption than anyone and a permanent advantage. Maybe our distaste of bubbles needs more nuance. 010
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 01/09/2026…(which is both a necessity and a source of self-worth and pride) is largely outside of your control and mostly depends on family help/inheritance/state help. Would be a miracle if this new reality didn't affect young people. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 01/09/2026In my view, economics (and therefore living conditions) matter more in the medium to long run. We extended the depressive, disempowering plight of disadvantaged kids from the hoods to middle classes. What's the point of working and striving if having a home of your own… 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 01/09/2026Right, but memes and attitudes take time to propagate. Like the get-rich-quick-through-property thing that homeowners experienced in the 2000s can't repeat again, BTLs are poor business for quite a while, and yet property schemes have been seen as THE key to wealth for what, two decades now? 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 01/09/2026Yes, but also there are qualitative differences now. Asset wealth (primarily housing) got much further removed from income than in the most of 20th century, which might affect ambitions and aspirations 200
Reposted by Dan GroshevAndrew Lilley Brinker @alilleybrinker.com · 31/08/2026Hey @1password.bsky.social, time to change course.alilleybrinker.com1Password Supports the Ethnic Cleansing of Europe — Andrew Lilley Brinker1Password has committed $300,000 to Omarchy. This is unacceptable and must be rescinded. 541518622
Reposted by Dan GroshevAlex Wellerstein @wellerstein.bsky.social · 31/08/2026Striking-yet-difficult-to-parse Cold War report graphic of the day — "Time History of Biological Response to Ionizing Radiation" (US Naval Radiological Laboratory, 1965) 107011
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026You yourself just argued how drones are good for protracted economic warfare. They don't work for stopping munition manufacturing or breaking armoured advances. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026I just don't think it's a sufficient strategy to stop Russia from attacking the Baltic states. "Guys you can try attacking but if you do your economy will suffer in a few years" didn't work for Ukraine and wouldn't work to defend Lithuania 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026Any air defence system leaks at some point. Theirs is still extremely capable (otherwise Ukraine would be much freer to operate their planes) and would decimate a NATO air force without the US support. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026I take it Russia is folding now? Supporting Ukraine doesn't mean drinking the social media kool-aid. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026You can notice that the targets that you listed (oil, large warehouses full of flammable goods) are very, very thin-skinned and flammable, so those tiny drones can do something. There's a reason there were so few attempted hits at like Almaz-Antey. 100
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026That doesn't stop Russia from growing ballistic missile production or launching a hundred+ at Ukraine every month. They absolutely do have air defence, just compare the number of reported launches and the number of reported hits, they are apart by about two orders of magnitude. 300
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026I suppose the heavily hinted motivation here is a large additional number of people with low lifetime earnings and therefore their lifetime tax not covering their own needs in the old age. 000
Reposted by Dan GroshevAndrew Lilley Brinker @alilleybrinker.com · 31/08/2026Hey @1password.bsky.social, longtime customer here: stop giving your money to fascists. 19457131
Dan Groshev @dangroshev.com · 31/08/2026How's Iskander launch or supply chain interdiction going? The number of things those small drones can do is pretty limited 200
Reposted by Dan GroshevIlya Petoushkoff @petoushkoff.bsky.social · 30/08/2026Great things are possible when seen as necessary. 052
