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Kevin Cashman

@cashman.bsky.social
463 followers 1K following 101 posts

America watching, and thinking about anti-militarism and climate @transitionsec.bsky.social | fellow Economists for Peace & Security and Just Foreign Policy | previously @ceprdc.bsky.social | 🇺🇸 in 🇬🇧

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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🚨NEW🚨: Ten unions call for Andy Burnham to end Britain’s military support for Saudi Arabia, due to the war crimes it has committed in Yemen. The unions also argue that, contrary to government claims, “Escalating this war will make our bills more expensive”.
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Forum on the Arms Trade @forumarmstrade.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
1/ ICYMI - On Friday, the Trump administration notified Congress of $5.75 billion in potential Foreign Military Sales (FMS) to #SaudiArabia including 10,000 bombs and 60 tank engines www.forumarmstrade.org/us-saudi-arm...
forumarmstrade.org
Trump's US-Saudi Arms Sales
Trump administration arms sales to Saudi Arabia, with resources including from government, Congress and civil society.
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
NEW: European NATO members are set to raise military and security spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. Simone Gasperin tells the four-decade cautionary tale of Leonardo and explores the economic risks of European rearmament 🧵 transitionsecurity.org/leonardos-st...
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
🚨NEW🚨: Ten unions call for Andy Burnham to oppose the war on Iran & stop British bases being used to launch US air strikes. The unions argue that the “devastating, illegal war” is a catastrophe for the Middle East & that it directly undermines Burnham’s cost of living agenda.
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
🚨 NEW: Our new analysis has found that the funding settlement issued with the Defence Investment Plan will lead to a net loss in jobs in the UK. 📑 Buying the Dip: The Defence Investment Plan Will Produce Domestic Unemployment Our key findings 🧵👇
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
PANEL EVENT: Securing The Future? War and Peace in a Warming World Join us at London Climate Week with @samar42.bsky.social, @adriennebuller.bsky.social, Adam Hanieh, Guillaume Long and Lorah Steichen. 🗓️ Fri 26 June ⏰ 6.30-8.30PM 📍 Science Gallery, London, SE1 9GU 🎟️ luma.com/ohafnco9
luma.com
Securing the Future? War and Peace in a Warming World · Luma
Panel Discussion and Live Podcast with The BREAK—DOWN. Co-sponsored by the Transition Security Project This event is part of the Climate Security Forum @…
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Leases on more than a fifth of the 222,000 acres of Hawaiian land occupied by the US military are set to expire. What could Hawaiʻi look like if the military didn’t occupy so much land? Watch our new video to learn more 👇
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
🚨 NEW ESSAY: “Military Minerals: How US Military Demand Is Intensifying Extraction on Indigenous Lands” Nessie Nankivell explores the Pentagon’s expansion of mining on Indigenous territories in Canada. transitionsecurity.org/military-min...
transitionsecurity.org
Military Minerals: How US Military Demand Is Intensifying Extraction on Indigenous Lands
As Pentagon demand for minerals grows, Canada’s mining expansion is accelerating extraction on Indigenous territories.
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
“No matter what happens to Cuba, this is a clear signal to other countries that renewables are something that they need to focus on.”

@cashman.bsky.social interviewed by @cnn.com on our report detailing how Cuba can break free from the US blockade with renewables.👇 edition.cnn.com/2026/05/13/c...
edition.cnn.com
As the US starves it of oil, Cuba is pulling off one of the fastest solar revolutions on the planet — with China’s help | CNN
Cuba is struggling with nationwide blackouts as the US’s effective oil blockade strangles fuel supplies. But the crisis may accelerate its clean energy revolution
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David Zipper @davidzipper.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
An inconvenient truth from @giuliomattioli.bsky.social: “To make car use reliable & convenient, we made the use of other modes less reliable & convenient, for example by giving cars priority over the use of street space. Moving in the other direction would require taking some of that space away.”
theguardian.com
Vienna’s public transport is the envy of the world – so why can’t it ditch cars?
Austrian capital mulls expanding tram network and park-and-ride car parks in effort to reduce private vehicle use
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
DC brain: The two most significant events of the last 2,000 years: the founding of my religion and my country’s middle class tax revolt.
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Nick Turse @nickturse.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
The comparison should really be with things that cost a $1 trillion. Trump’s War on Iran Could Cost Trillions theintercept.com/2026/03/17/t...
theintercept.com
Trump’s War on Iran Could Cost Trillions
“My kids’ kids, and probably their kids, are going to be paying for this,” said one official briefed on the U.S war on Iran.
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Preconditions for a new USAID post-Trump should foreground the saving lives part, and get rid of the "advancing our interests" part — which included regime change initiatives and money hoses for US contractors (neither of which advance the interests of everyday people anywhere).
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
I’m pleased to share my latest report for @transitionsec.bsky.social: Sunrise After the Blockade. The report argues that cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and that the world should help pay for it. transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte... 1/
transitionsecurity.org
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
“Once a driver of stable employment, jobs in the arms sector have declined even as military spending soars.” @tkbarnes.bsky.social exposes the broken relationship between the Pentagon’s soaring budget and secure jobs. transitionsecurity.org/labor-of-the...
transitionsecurity.org
Labor of the US Military-Industrial Complex
Jobs in the military industry have declined even as the Pentagon budget soars, exposing a broken industrial model.
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Patrick Bigger @pmbigger.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
I am pleasantly astonished how much more the media is covering the climate & ecological impacts of war in the last year compared to when I started working on this stuff a decade ago. Just this week we have coverage in really diverse outlets- Wired on one hand, the Lancet on the other. Links below.
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
“The case for solar in Cuba is so compelling and what the US is doing is so cruel ... it is creating a humanitarian crisis on purpose.” Our latest briefing by @cashman.bsky.social on Cuba & breaking free of US energy dominance in Yale Climate Connections 👇 yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/as-c...
yaleclimateconnections.org
As Cuba’s grid fails, solar power becomes a lifeline » Yale Climate Connections
Ten percent of the Caribbean nation’s electricity was generated by renewable energy in 2025, up from 3.6% in 2024.
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Judd Legum @juddlegum.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Articles about Jared Kushner's diplomatic role with Iran that mention Kushner has received billions from the Saudi government (2/28-4/19): NYT: 5 of 58 WashPost: 1 of 43 WSJ: 0 of 40 AP: 0 of 26 CNN Wire: 0 of 18 NY Post: 0 of 17 Chicago Tribune: 0 of 4 LA Times: 0 of 4 Boston Globe: 0 of 2
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
“The US’s energy dominance strategy seeks to entrench dependence on fossil fuels, stall the green transition and strengthen US power.” Our new briefing by @cashman.bsky.social on how Cuba could break free from the US blockade with renewables in @theguardian.com 👇 www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...
theguardian.com
Cuba could beat US energy blockade with $8bn investment in renewables, says thinktank
Report by Common Wealth argues rest of the world should pay for country’s transition as reparative climate finance
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
“Cuba’s crisis is part of the US ‘energy dominance’ strategy, using coercion and force to control energy supplies and, ultimately, Cuba itself.” Cuba could break the US blockade with renewables — & the world should help pay for it. 🖋️ @cashman.bsky.social www.transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
transitionsecurity.org
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Tom Strand @tomstrand.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
a new report by @cashman.bsky.social at @transitionsec.bsky.social on the US’s war on Cuba, the resulting energy crisis in Cuba, and a possible counter to the US strategy of energy dominance transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
transitionsecurity.org
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
“Cuba is in the midst of a US-imposed energy and humanitarian crisis.” Our new briefing by @cashman.bsky.social examines how Cuba could break free of US energy dominance with renewables — and why the world should help pay for it. www.transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
transitionsecurity.org
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
“We’ve had heavy bombers, US strategic bombers, being launched from British soil to strike Iran. It’s a key part of the US strategy and it means that we are unfortunately involved in this illegal and destabilising war.”

Khem Rogaly on @lbc.co.uk 👇
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Patrick Bigger @pmbigger.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
This is exactly what @cashman.bsky.social and I warned about last week in @the-breakdown.bsky.social: oil shocks have all sorts of bad outcomes- higher prices hit working class people the hardest, windfall profits for oil companies, and as seen here, justification for new fossil fuel production
axios.com
Iran war could boost Trump's Alaskan gas vision
The proposal, estimated at $44 billion, has long been an uphill climb.
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
“Security cannot be achieved through force projection in the Gulf. In the meantime, the people of Iran & working-class communities across the world will continue to suffer the consequences of US fossil energy dominance” 🖋️ @pmbigger.bsky.social & @cashman.bsky.social www.break-down.org/oil-war-ii/
break-down.org
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
"Windfall profits are the hidden redistribution that happens with every oil shock...They are perfectly legal, thoroughly opaque and a recurring part of the system, as we see now with the war on Iran." www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
We can tell you who will really get rich from this oil crisis – and how we can stop them | Isabella Weber and Gregor Semieniuk
Soaring oil costs signal the great transfer of wealth away from households, but also a new opportunity to redistribute it, say economists Isabella Weber and Gregor Semieniuk
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
“The war on Iran is part & parcel of the US’s omnicidal ‘energy dominance’ agenda, turbocharging the climate crisis today while rooted in the long standing architecture of a fossil fuelled empire.” 🖋️ @pmbigger.bsky.social & @cashman.bsky.social for @the-breakdown.bsky.social 👇
break-down.org
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
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Reposted by Kevin Cashman
The BREAK—DOWN @the-breakdown.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Part II of our symposium on the American-Israeli war on Iran. @katemac.bsky.social on the long-term effects of the closing of the Strait of Hormuz on oil markets and petrostates @pmbigger.bsky.social and @cashman.bsky.social on the Omnicidal Fossil Empire www.break-down.org/oil-war-ii/
break-down.org
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
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Patrick Bigger @pmbigger.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Our final tally of the climate pollution cause by Israel and allies' assault on Gaza is out today in @cp-oneearth.bsky.social. Emissions are not the most important reason to demand an end to the US & Israel's aggressive, illegal military interventions, but they are yet another reason to demand it.
sciencedirect.com
Israel-Gaza conflict carbon emissions exceeded 30 million tons
Comprehensive greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) inventories are vital for effective climate governance. However, a decade after the Paris Agreement, sign…
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Patrick Bigger @pmbigger.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
"The Transition Security Project estimates that the 2022 energy shock cost the EU and UK $1.8tn between 2022 and 2025, while US firms made $241bn in windfall profits. Higher inflation pushed up interest rates, making capital-intensive renewables harder to finance than fossil fuels."
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
“Instead of clinging on to a broken transatlantic partnership, Europe needs to develop an independent foreign policy based on international solidarity, restraint and climate collaboration.” Our briefing in @theguardian.com 👇 www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
UK must double down on renewables as wars drive up energy costs, experts say
Fossil fuel price surge after US-Israeli attacks on Iran prompts calls to end dependence on ‘volatile’ energy source
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Patrick Bigger @pmbigger.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Great write up of the tremendous work by my colleague @cashman.bsky.social showing the absurdly huge cost that Europeans are paying for hitching their wagon to US LNG instead of going all-in on renewables.
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Transition Security Project @transitionsec.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The US–Israeli attack on Iran will deepen the cost of living crisis. The last energy shock cost Europe $1.8tn. Europe’s leaders have backed the illegal war that may cause the next shock. The transatlantic alliance is Europe’s trillion dollar bill. 🧵 transitionsecurity.org/trillion-dol...
transitionsecurity.org
Trillion Dollar Bills: The Costs of Transatlantic Dependence for Europe
From imposing fossil energy dominance to NATO spending targets, the US is extracting more from Europe and putting the climate transition at risk.
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Eric Umansky @ericumansky.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
The U.S. torpedoed a ship w/ 180 crew that was 2k miles from Iran It had just been in a joint exercise that....the US had also been in. The ship “thought it was safe in international waters,” said Hegseth, “instead, it was sunk by a torpedo,” Just 32 survivors. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/w...
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
It's worth noting that Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, and Denmark, facing aggression, all negotiated with the US and made extraordinary concessions. Nevertheless, the US attacked Venezuela and Iran and is blockading Cuba. The US wants control, not concessions.
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Mark Ruffalo @markruffalo.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Next week, Reps. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie will force a vote to stop Trump’s march to an illegal, disastrous war with Iran. Call 1-833-STOP-WAR (1-833-786-7927) to connect with your Reps to urge them to vote YES on the Khanna-Massie War Powers Resolution.
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Drop Site @dropsitenews.com · 17/02/2026
“As a Palestinian, the best moment of my life was being on top of an Israeli weapons factory with a sledgehammer being able to destroy that site. And knowing, that just that by being there and causing damage, they would have to shut down. Not just while I was there, but for weeks after.” Huda...
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Drop Site @dropsitenews.com · 14/02/2026
The Secretary General’s spokesman, for a second day, failed to speak clearly or defend UN’s Albanese against a manufactured misinformation campaign: bsky.app/profile/drop...
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JW Mason @jwmason.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The NYC Policy Forum is a very exciting new project which I am thrilled to be part of.
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Quinn Slobodian @quinnslobodian.com · 10/02/2026
New definition of sovereignty dropped
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Ro Khanna @rokhanna.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Rep. Thomas Massie and I have requested a meeting with Todd Blanche to ask why the senders of these emails have been redacted. Concealing the reputations of these powerful men is a blatant violation of the Epstein Transparency Act we passed.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 31/01/2026
This is just insane. It’s only a matter of time before DHS kills another innocent person here. (clip via MPR and @davidjbier.bsky.social on X)
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Eli Valley @elivalley.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
Everybody who perpetrated this while covering it up should be in the Hague www.reuters.com/world/early-...
The staff reported seeing a human femur and other bones on the roads, dead bodies abandoned in cars and “catastrophic human needs, particularly for food and safe drinking water.”
But the U.S. ambassador to Jerusalem, Jack Lew, and his deputy, Stephanie Hallett, blocked the cable from wider distribution within the United States government because they believed it lacked balance, according to interviews with four former officials and documents seen by Reuters.
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Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
My gosh. Alex Pretti was notifying neighbors that Trump and Vance's agents were chasing a family. A mob of agents then tackled him and broke his rib. He thought he was going to die. Then the very next week, he came back out to support his neighbors. And a mob of agents killed him.
The earlier incident started when he stopped his car after observing ICE agents chasing what he described as a family on foot, and began shouting and blowing his whistle, according to a source who asked not to be named out of fear of retribution.

Pretti later told the source that five agents tackled him and one leaned on his back – an encounter that left him with a broken rib. The agents quickly released him at the scene.

“That day, he thought he was going to die,” said the source.
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
🚨HOLY CRAP. An ICE whistleblower just revealed a secret memo authorizing ICE officers to break into homes without a judicial warrant, which DHS's own legal training materials say is unconstitutional! ICE then hid the memo from the public, passing it along by word of mouth and private conversation.
The Gravamen of the Disclosure

4. The gravamen of the disclosure is as follows: 
a. By memorandum dated May 12, 2025 (“the May 12 Memo”), Acting ICE Director Todd Lyons authorizes ICE agents to forcibly enter into certain people’s homes without a judicial warrant, consent, or an emergency.

b. Specifically, in the May 12 Memo, the Acting ICE Director authorized ICE Agents to rely on Form I-205 (which is not a judicial warrant) to enter the residence of an alien subject to a final order of deportation, without consent, including by “a necessary and reasonable amount of force.”2c. While addressed to “All ICE Personnel,” in practice the May 12 Memo has not been formally distributed to all personnel. Instead, the May 12 Memo has been provided to select DHS officials who are then directed to verbally brief the new policy for action. Those supervisors then show the Memo to some employees, like our clients, and direct them to read the Memo and return it to the supervisor.
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
This is the most astonishing graph of what the Trump regime has done to US science. They have destroyed the federal science workforce across the board. The negative impacts on Americans will be felt for generations, and the US might never be the same again. www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
This line graph illustrates the percentage change in agency staff levels from the previous year for nine major U.S. federal scientific and health organizations between the fiscal years 2016 and 2025. The agencies tracked include the CDC, Department of Energy, EPA, FDA, NASA, NIH, NIST, NOAA, and NSF. For the majority of the timeline between 2016 and 2023, the agencies show relatively stable fluctuations, generally staying within a range of +5% to -5% change per year. However, there is a dramatic and uniform plummet starting in the 2024–25 period. Every agency depicted shows a sharp downward trajectory, with staffing losses ranging from approximately -15% to over -25%. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) shows the most significant decline, dropping to roughly -26%, while the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) shows the least severe but still substantial drop at approximately -15%.
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Kevin Cashman @cashman.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
I'm sorry, this is just fan fiction. There's no way you can look at the United States' record of intervention and flagrant violation of international law and write this sentence.
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 19/01/2026
i think it is simply true that for all intents and purposes stephen miller is the president of the united states
theatlantic.com
The Wrath of Stephen Miller
The man who turns President Trump’s most incendiary impulses into policy
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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
It's cool that these guys just use pepper spray casually now, against people who are wholly within their rights, without a moment's hesitation. Several shots of them using it as they climb into their cars and drive away, not even a pretense of urgency or need. Just a parting "fuck you" to them.
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Christopher Webb @cwebbonline.com · 19/01/2026
Sunday, at least 7 ICE agents stormed a house and took an elderly man out into the freezing cold, wearing only his underwear and a blanket. He was a member of the Hmong community, which came to the area from Laos in the 1970s after siding with the US in the Vietnam War. Notice the suppressors 1/2
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