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Carlton Haelig, PhD

@carltonhaelig.bsky.social
274 followers 321 following 70 posts

Defense Fellow at the Center for a New American Security. Views are my own.

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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
‼️ New Report ‼️ The war with Iran consumed over half our high-end interceptors and many exquisite strike weapons. In my new @cnas.bsky.social report, I ask whether the FY27 budget can meet the Pentagon’s ambitious munitions targets. The answer: not yet. www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
Munitions Procurement and the Fiscal Year 2027 Defense Budget
This report finds that the FY27 budget, despite the significant increase in requested procurement, is a necessary but insufficient vehicle for closing…
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
An "AI-first" warfighter doesn't just mean autonomous lethal weapons. A new @cnas.bsky.social report by Josh Wallin and myself shows how agentic AI can enhance three critical support functions: supply, maintenance, and planning. www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
Behind the Front Line
Integrating AI Agents into Joint Force Support Functions
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Alex Zalben @azalben.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Dolly Parton, among a thousand other amazing things she did in her life, gifted over 330 million books to kids through her Imagination Library program. Her passing is a tremendous loss to the world, but you can support the program today to keep it going imaginationlibrary.com
imaginationlibrary.com
Dolly Parton's Imagination Library | USA, UK, IE, CA, AU
Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library is a book gifting program that mails free books to children from birth until they begin school in participating areas.
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 14/06/2026
HISTORY.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
The record-setting FY 2027 defense budget request offers an unprecedented opportunity to push modernization forward. But it relies on reconciliation for a significant portion of funding in key areas like munitions production. (1/5)
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Brian Kerg @briankerg.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Just finished cruising through this banger on behalf of @usniproceedings.bsky.social. A full review will appear in a forthcoming issue. BLUF: The author argues that the Corps' post-WWII survival took more than legislative battles. The decisive action was the Corps' performance in the Korean War.
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Sebastian Bae @sebastianbae.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
SUPER BOWL BOUND!!!! LET'S GO!!!
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Mauro Gilli @maurogilli.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
We have only limited data, so here is a conjecture based on what we know about US approaches to suppressing and destroying enemy air defenses from the past.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
New from @cnas.bsky.social. We make a case for why acquisition reforms require stable defense budgets. Shutdowns, CRs, and delayed budgets harm defense modernization initiatives, create fiscal uncertainty for industry, and reinforce the "developmental cul-de-sac."
cnas.org
CNAS Insights | Budgetary Own Goals Undermine “Speed and Volume”
Reforms will not result in weapons delivered at speed and scale to American warfighters, or a stronger defense industrial base, if Congress does not pass…
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 22/10/2025
Tune in tomorrow, October 23rd at 11am for a conversation surrounding our recent @cnas.bsky.social report on the FY 2026 defense budget, military modernization, and the challenge of matching resources to strategy. www.cnas.org/events/virtu...
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
Here is a quick thread highlighting my recent @cnas.bsky.social report with Phil Sheers on the FY26 defense budget. (1/12) 🔗 www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
Stuck in the Cul-de-Sac
For more than a decade, the United States has sought to modernize its military to deter China, but it has become stuck in a developmental cul-de-sac.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
One of the bright spots early in my national security career was the opportunity to work with Cassandra for a stint at Penn. Ahead of the curve, her work — and her story! — is worth reading.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
In a forthcoming @cnas.bsky.social report we highlight several pitfalls with relying on reconciliation for defense modernization. (1/2) subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...
subscriber.politicopro.com
POLITICO Pro: Trump could shift funds to pay troops, White House officials say
GOP congressional leaders are resisting standalone military pay legislation, fearing it will take pressure off Democrats.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
1/ The White House has been slow to release details on its FY26 defense budget request. We do know it aims to reallocate 8% of defense spending toward critical areas needed to modernize the military and retain its edge over competitors like China.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
It’s time we take nuclear signaling srsly again. My @cnas.bsky.social colleague Phil Sheers makes a clear argument in favor of building up the US ability to do so and discusses what changes the US needs to make to ensure it can credibly signal in a future crisis. foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/27/t...
foreignpolicy.com
The U.S. Military Needs to Relearn Nuclear Signaling
A more flexible force can be a stronger deterrent in a crisis.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
I enjoyed sitting down for an interview with the @thecipherbrief.bsky.social this afternoon. We hit on several topics, including sluggish procurement practices, budgetary challenges to equipping the future force, and yes, even some Golden Dome. Thanks to Tom for having me. youtu.be/ALO2WzOQTc8?...
youtu.be
The Pentagon Push to Change an “Antiquated” System
YouTube video by The Cipher Brief
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
1. There is a lot to consider in the significant set of reorganizations and orders included in Hegseth's Army transformation memo released today. I want to highlight the significance of just one. (thread)
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The Center for a New American Security @cnas.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
NEW: CNAS launches National Security Human Capital (NSHC) Program, a major research program led by @klkuzminski.bsky.social focused on strengthening the United States’ most critical defense asset: its people. www.cnas.org/press/press-...
cnas.org
CNAS Launches New National Security Human Capital Program to Safeguard America’s Warfighting Edge
Military personnel, political appointees, and civil servants meet the demands of the National Security Strategy by providing the nation with the…
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Becca Wasser @beccawasser.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
Pleased to release my latest @cnas.bsky.social report on how to revitalize the U.S. defense industrial base so that it can keep pace with modern conflict, deter a future China challenge, and secure U.S. and global interests. Read more here: www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
From Production Lines to Front Lines
The United States needs a different DIB than it has today if it wants to deter and prevail in future great power conflict.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 14/03/2025
Thinking about Andrew Marshall today and the legacy of strategic thought and disruptive analysis he built over generations of American success and security and the countless thinkers he shaped through ONA.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
This is a solid read and provides a strong argument for how the geography of the Indo-Pacific and advances in Chinese capabilities which hold targets at risk over much longer distances really complicate our force design and concepts in the region.
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RUSI @rusi.bsky.social · 05/03/2025
Outsized combat aircraft built for stealthy long-range supersonic flight may be worth the cost for the US and China, but countries in Europe may be better off pursuing other capabilities, writes @justin-br0nk.bsky.social.
rusi.org
Large, Crewed Sixth-Generation Aircraft Have Unique Value in the Indo-Pacific
Outsized combat aircraft built for stealthy long-range supersonic flight may be worth the cost for the US and China, but countries in Europe may be better off pursuing other capabilities.
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Richard Fontaine @rhfontaine.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
Here are 15 national security actions the administration should take in its first 100 days 👇👇 www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
The First 100 Days
The First 100 Days is a series of recommendations from CNAS experts. The recommendations span the most pressing issues that will test the administration.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 21/01/2025
How can the Trump administration improve the US military's position in the Indo-Pacific? Along with @spettyjohn.bsky.social, @beccawasser.bsky.social, and Josh Wallin we offer several recommendations in our contribution to the @cnas.bsky.social first 100 days initiative. www.cnas.org/publications...
cnas.org
Build a High-Low Mix to Enhance America’s Warfighting Edge and Deter China
The Trump administration can take immediate actions to deter China and reverse negative trends in military power in the Indo-Pacific.
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Zach Ota @zachota.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
“The USMC is dramatically increasing its relevance to the war fighting capability of the U.S. As the world lurches into an age of renewed strategic competition, the USMC understands that it must be at the forefront of innovation in high-intensity warfare.” www.aspistrategist.org.au/small-agile-...
aspistrategist.org.au
Small, agile, deadly: the US Marine Corps and future war | The Strategist
The US Marine Corps is dramatically increasing its relevance to the war fighting capability of the United States. As the world lurches into an age of renewed strategic competition, the Marine Corps un...
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Michael Kofman @michaelkofman.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Given this week’s events Assad's regime is finished & it’s a race to Damascus. The Russian position in Syria, and MENA region writ large is consequently in deep trouble, because of Syria’s importance as a logistics hub for Russian operations. Short thread. 1/
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Richard Fontaine @rhfontaine.bsky.social · 07/12/2024
Astonishing that in one year Iran has lost Hamas, Hezbollah, Syria, its air defenses, the effectiveness of its ballistic missiles, and the taboo against striking Iran directly. Incentives to negotiate or go nuclear will be high. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/06/w...
nytimes.com
Iran Begins to Evacuate Military Officials and Personnel From Syria
The withdrawals by one of President Bashar al-Assad’s key backers come amid a resurgent rebel offensive.
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The Center for a New American Security @cnas.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Read more content from research leads Andrea Kendall-Taylor, @jonathanlorddc.bsky.social, @jacobstokes.bsky.social and others here⬇️ www.cnas.org/axis-of-uphe...
cnas.org
Axis of Upheaval
Today a new Axis of Upheaval —the increasing alignment among China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea—is fundamentally altering the geopolitical landscape.…
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
The problems that @beccawasser.bsky.social & I have talked about recently are compounding. The US is firing low inventory systems at a very high rate, it can’t replace them anywhere near the rate of expenditure, and it’s already inadequate inventory in the Pacific has senior leaders very concerned.
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Fabian Hoffmann, PhD @frhoffmann.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Please don't get caught up on the range of the missile system launched. Whether it was an ICBM or an IRBM, the range isn't the important factor. For signalling purposes it's much more significant that it was a MIRVed payload, which is exclusively associated with nuclear-capable missiles.
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The Center for a New American Security @cnas.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Follow CNAS experts now on Bluesky! go.bsky.app/4iNX4qL
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
The alarm bells have been going off in the Indo-Pacific for some time now.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Excited to start sharing ideas with a new audience! With a laundry list of security and foreign policy options under review right now, I wanted to share a recent piece of mine in which I go through how the US should balance its regional interests going forward. breakingdefense.com/2024/10/to-f...
breakingdefense.com
To focus on China, US needs to wean off Europe and Middle East missions
In this op-ed, Carlton Haelig of CNAS argues the US needs to shift its priorities away from Europe and the Middle East in order to better focus on the threat of China.
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Carlton Haelig, PhD @carltonhaelig.bsky.social · 31/08/2023
*taps mic*, Can everyone hear me?
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