Sign in

The Cipher Brief

@thecipherbrief.bsky.social
1.6K followers 497 following 493 posts

The Cipher Brief is the only media outlet focused exclusively on bringing you a higher level of confidence around national security events via news, analysis, and interviews with government and private sector leaders.

PostsRepliesMedia
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Today's Open Source Report: Ukraine, Russia, China, the Middle East, cyber threats, and the latest national security developments—distilled by The Cipher Brief's expert team. Read smarter. Stay ahead. www.thecipherbrief.com/report/globa...
thecipherbrief.com
Global Intelligence Report for Monday, August 3, 2026
100
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
America's adversaries aren't waiting for the next war. They believe they're already fighting one. China. Russia. Iran. Different tactics. One strategy: wear down U.S. power over time—below the threshold of open conflict. www.thecipherbrief.com/endless-warf...
thecipherbrief.com
Endless Warfare – Part II: Countering Endless Warfare and its Networks
Winning tomorrow’s conflicts means countering the persistent networks, cognitive warfare, and gray-zone strategies already targeting America today.
021
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
The Cipher Brief's Global Intelligence Report for Wednesday, July 8, 2026 www.thecipherbrief.com/report/globa...
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Colombia’s election marks a rightward shift, but not a settled mandate. David Fitzgerald examines the security, economic, and political challenges facing Abelardo de la Espriella. www.thecipherbrief.com/colombias-el…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
NATO arrives in Ankara facing its toughest security environment in decades. Can the alliance stay united as the threats multiply?
thecipherbrief.com
What's at Stake as NATO Meets in Ankara
Russia, Ukraine, defense spending, and the Middle East dominate an alliance searching for unity at one of its most consequential summits in decades.
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Normandy is more than history. Dave Pitts explains why the lessons of D-Day, from leadership and alliances to the human side of war, remain as relevant today as they were in 1944. www.thecipherbrief.com/reflections-…
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
It's been a busy weekend in Nat Sec News. Here's what's happened since Friday afternoon.
thecipherbrief.com
Global Intelligence Report for Sunday, June 28, 2026
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Iran cannot be trusted to enrich uranium. Ambassador Joseph DeTrani argues the next nuclear deal must begin with one non-negotiable principle: no domestic enrichment. www.thecipherbrief.com/dont-permit-…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
The next DNI’s challenge is building an Intelligence Community for 2045. Renee Novakoff explains how. www.thecipherbrief.com/dni-day-two-…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
As negotiations to end the war drag on, Middle East and Energy Expert Norm Roule explains why missiles, mines, cyber operations may define the next phase of the crisis. www.thecipherbrief.com/what-iran-wa…
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
New intelligence shows Cuba has significantly upgraded its ability to monitor U.S. communications and military activity. The implications extend far beyond Havana. www.thecipherbrief.com/cubas-new-sp…
031
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
President Trump says he stopped bombing Iran because the costs were becoming too high.Columnist Walter Pincus examines the costs, both obvious and hidden that could dictate the coming months. www.thecipherbrief.com/from-bombing…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
This wasn’t a peace deal. It may be something more important: a system for preventing escalation. Arvid Bell and Chip Usher explain. www.thecipherbrief.com/deal-should-…
011
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Matt Stern argues America’s cyber laws punish attackers after the damage is done—and leave defenders powerless when it matters most. Read more in The Cipher Brief. www.thecipherbrief.com/cyber-policy…
220
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Can the Intelligence Community evolve fast enough for the AI and space age? Former senior intelligence leaders Shelby Pierson and Renee Novakoff outline three critical decisions facing the next DNI—from bureaucracy and budgets to strategic competition with China, Russia, and Iran.
thecipherbrief.com
DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution
The next Director of National Intelligence will inherit an intelligence enterprise confronting AI-driven disruption, strategic competition, and mounting resource pressures. Shelby Pierson and Renee Novakoff examine three critical decisions that will shape the future of the Intelligence Community.
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
The problem is not that intelligence agencies fail to see threats. The problem is that leaders often fail to act on the warnings they receive. Read the full analysis at The Cipher Brief. www.thecipherbrief.com/why-correct-…
151
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Russian influence operations didn’t begin in 2016—and they aren’t ending anytime soon. Read the full piece at The Cipher Brief. www.thecipherbrief.com/russia-escal…
042
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The Pentagon’s innovation overhaul was billed as more than a reorganization. The real test is whether the new system can deliver before competitors gain further ground. Read the full analysis from Joey Gagnard in The Cipher Brief.
thecipherbrief.com
Can the Pentagon’s New Innovation System Deliver?
Five months after Secretary Hegseth's sweeping innovation overhaul, the Pentagon's new acquisition architecture is beginning to take shape—but key questions about execution, speed, and strategic impact remain.
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
What if war no longer has a clear beginning or end? Part I of this series explores the concept of “Endless Warfare” and how Iran, Russia, and China are reshaping the character of modern conflict.
thecipherbrief.com
How America’s Adversaries Compete Across Peace and War
Rather than seeking decisive battlefield victory, U.S. adversaries are using long-term pressure campaigns to erode American power, autonomy, and resolve.
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
This Memorial Day, we remember the Americans who quietly volunteered to stand with Ukraine after Russia’s invasion — not for recognition, but because conscience demanded it. Some never came home. Their stories deserve to be told. 🇺🇸🇺🇦
thecipherbrief.com
The Americans Who Made Ukraine’s War Their Own
This Memorial Day, The Cipher Brief is focusing on Americans who answered an unsettling call after Russia launched its unprovoked, deadly attack on Ukraine in February of 2022. What follows is a deeply personal account of the war through the eyes of two Americans who have lived it. This piece was wr
041
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Trump’s Beijing summit produced few clear deliverables - but it gave Xi Jinping something valuable: a global stage to project China as America’s equal. Two Cipher Brief experts assess what the summit revealed about U.S.-China competition, Taiwan, AI and Beijing’s growing confidence.
thecipherbrief.com
“The G-2”: Takeaways from Trump's Trip to Beijing
The Beijing summit offered a display of diplomatic stability, but beneath the choreography, China pressed its claim to equal status and kept the pressure on Taiwan.
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Iran doesn’t need to cripple the U.S. grid to create pressure. Small disruptions at scale can erode public confidence without crossing military red lines. Read more.
thecipherbrief.com
Iran's Digital War Machine Targeting U.S. Infrastructure
Despite strikes on Iranian command centers, Tehran’s cyber operators continue targeting U.S. healthcare, energy, water, and government systems through dispersed networks and proxy groups.
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
No major deals. No breakthrough on Iran. No movement on Ukraine. Yet Xi may have achieved what mattered most: Images of equality with a U.S. president, staged among 1,000-year-old trees inside Zhongnanhai. www.thecipherbrief.com/the-symbolis…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
In The Cipher Brief, Sean M. Wiswesser examines the threat of Sino-Russian opportunism, intelligence miscalculation, and the risk of parallel crises from the Baltics to Taiwan. Read the full analysis at The Cipher Brief. www.thecipherbrief.com/the-bear-and…
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
The Pentagon has the money. The defense tech sector has the tools. But Joey Gagnard argues the real question is whether America’s procurement system can move fast enough to matter. www.thecipherbrief.com/a-bridge-too…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
The article examines the psychological dynamics between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping ahead of a summit that could reshape global politics.
thecipherbrief.com
When a Charismatic and a Machiavellian Meet
031
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
The frontline of national security no longer stops at government systems. It now runs directly through corporate networks, cloud infrastructure, and supply chains. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/corporate-cy…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Inside the Pentagon’s High-Stakes Nuclear Overhaul www.thecipherbrief.com/inside-the-p…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Latin America’s leftward shift is hitting economic and political limits. From Colombia to Venezuela, rising crime, inflation, and U.S. pressure are reshaping the hemisphere’s strategic landscape.
thecipherbrief.com
From Socialist Surge to Regional Realignment- Latin America’s Pink Tide Is Receding
From Colombia to Venezuela, the balance of power in Latin America is changing fast.
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
North Korea is rapidly expanding its nuclear arsenal - new enrichment sites, advanced ICBMs, & possible Russian tech support. Experts warn: Pyongyang is moving from deterrence to warfighting capability. Is the U.S. missing this threat?
thecipherbrief.com
That Other Nuclear Nightmare: North Korea Sounds New Alarms
Experts say a whole new approach is needed to deal with Pyongyang’s nuclear arsenal
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
Human vs. Machine: Operational Realities from Ukraine’s Frontline www.thecipherbrief.com/human-vs-mac…
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Britain’s Antisemitism Crisis Is Now a National Security Threat www.thecipherbrief.com/britains-ant…
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Exclusive: Deep in Cartel Country: CIA Deaths Expose Fragile U.S.-Mexico Security Ties. As Washington escalates its war on cartels, intelligence ops are moving closer to the front lines - testing sovereignty, trust, & cooperation with Mexico.
thecipherbrief.com
Deep in Cartel Country: CIA Deaths Expose Fragile U.S.-Mexico Security Ties
The deaths of two CIA officers highlight a growing U.S. intelligence footprint in cartel territory - and the political backlash it’s triggering in Mexico City.
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
From Ukraine to the Red Sea, wars are no longer defined by single decisive strikes—but by thousands of small, relentless attacks that wear down systems, budgets, and resolve. The U.S. is still adapting. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/pakistans-te…
030
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
North Korea isn’t just expanding its nuclear arsenal—it’s doing so with growing political cover from China and Russia. That combination is reshaping the strategic landscape in ways Washington can’t ignore. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/pyongyangs-b…
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
The U.S. mastered drones for counterterrorism. Now it’s struggling with the version that matters most: cheap, mass-produced systems designed to exhaust defenses and budgets. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/america-figh…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
From Caracas to Tehran, suspicious wagers made on the online betting site Polymarket are raising serious national security questions. www.thecipherbrief.com/dangerous-tr…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Buried in the Pentagon’s FY2027 budget is a seismic shift: a $54.6B bet on autonomous warfare. The future of conflict may no longer be defined by platforms but by the software that controls them. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/pentagons-be…
020
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
From ISIS-K to Hezbollah, 15 adversarial groups are converging on the same media playbook — built on speed, platform agility, and narrative control. Understanding one may now mean understanding them all. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/extremist-gl…
121
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Pakistan is no longer dealing with a single conflict. War with Afghanistan, instability along the Iran border, and renewed tensions with India are converging into a three-front crisis with no clear exit. Read more.
thecipherbrief.com
Pakistan: Broker of Peace While Still at War
Just a few weeks ago, Pakistan, the host for fragile ceasefire talks aiming to end the war between the U.S. and Iran, was at war with Afghanistan in what has been described as the worst conflict between the two countries in years.
000
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Former FBI Cyber Deputy Director warns letting FISA 702 lapse would create gaps adversaries are ready to exploit. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/fbi-fisa-sec…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
As missile threats shift over the North Pole, Greenland's location could make it central to U.S. defense. A look at why the Arctic is becoming a strategic frontier. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/greenland-go…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Iran isn’t seeing Russia’s war as a failure - it’s seeing a roadmap. From drones to sanctions survival to internal repression, Tehran may be learning how to endure & win. That should worry Washington. Read more: www.thecipherbrief.com/iran-learnin…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Former NSA cybersecurity director Rob Joyce argues Section 702 is indispensable to U.S. national security. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/case-for-rea…
010
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
The U.S. entered its first real drone war - and paid the price. $5.6B spent in 2 days. 850+ Tomahawks in 5 weeks. All to stop drones costing ~$20K. Meanwhile, Ukraine, Russia & Iran are producing drones at scale.
thecipherbrief.com
Is the U.S. lagging when it comes to drone warfare superiority?
After years of observing from afar, the U.S. is now confronting the economic and operational realities of drone warfare in real time.
022
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
The war in Iran isn’t just about Tehran — it’s disrupting China’s global strategy. From Belt & Road routes to military cooperation, the ripple effects could reshape great power competition. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/iran-china-g…
001
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
In a new Iron Triangle piece, Joey Gagnard argues the Pentagon’s drone ambitions are exposing dangerous weaknesses in America’s supply chain, manufacturing base, and long-term defense readiness. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/americas-dro…
031
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Drones have turned the surface into a kill zone. Steve Blank argues the U.S. is investing in shooting them down, but not in protecting what matters most. Time to go underground. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/drones-chang…
031
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Former senior CIA officer William Usher examines how the Iran war is triggering second- and third-order effects far beyond the Gulf. Read more. www.thecipherbrief.com/iran-war-reo…
040
The Cipher Brief @thecipherbrief.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
U.S. intelligence had a warning before the first bomb fell: Iran’s regime was unlikely to collapse. Four weeks later, that assessment looks increasingly accurate. www.thecipherbrief.com/sobering-ass…
080