Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiJasmin Mujanović @jasminmuj.bsky.social · 7hBosnia's Central Elections Commission says the turnout for tonight's general elections was just 41.48%, down fully 10% from 2022. Even if we assume the country's voter rolls are inflated (so turnout is actually higher percentage wise) this still a shocking figure. 033
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiJasmin Mujanović @jasminmuj.bsky.social · 3hWe will need to re-asses once the final figures are available. But looking at the cantonal results, based on some 95% of the vote, it is the HDZ BiH which appears to have suffered some of the most extensive raw vote losses due to the increased reliability and transparency of the voting process. 161
Reposted by Anthony Zacharzewskimathieu gallard @mathieugallard.bsky.social · 3h🗳️Ca devrait terminer vers 47-47,5 pour Flavio Bolsonaro et 45-45,5 pour Lula. Sachant que la participation est forte car obligatoire (~79%) et que l'électorat des petits candidats penche plutôt vers Bolsonaro, on semble se diriger vers la première défaite de Lula depuis 1998. 166
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 8h"Trying on a suit jacket in John Lewis on a Saturday afternoon" 040
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 9hSure, but after a few differences over the years we're reunited in a happy European polycule - eind goed, al goed. 010
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 9hBovendien zou NL+BE met 30 miljoen inwoners, volgens het systeem van ‘degressive proportionality’ voor de zetelverdeling in de EU, minder zetels in het Europees Parlement hebben (en dus ook minder stemmen in de Europese Raad) – nu 53, als één lidstaat ongeveer 49. 120
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiRahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 18hToday, Brazilian voters head to the polls to elect a new president. A fitting occasion to remind us Europeans how concentrated presidentialism is in the Americas & to (re-)read Linz’s seminal “The Perils of Presidentialism.” (I created this map for my lecture, using Anckar/Fredriksson's cool data) 2338
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 9hEveryone is very excited about the Toryeux (AI) Tapestry but with all the rats, migrants and dead white taxpayers it makes me think of nothing more than this crude racist cartoon from the Ellis Island Museum of Immigration, minus the artistic skill. 085
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiEva Platteau @evaplatteau.bsky.social · 9hInteressant interview met @janrosenow.bsky.socialstandaard.beOxfordprof ziet elektrificatie als enige uitweg uit de crisis: “Hoge energieprijzen toeschrijven aan energietransitie? Belachelijk”Over een maand kunnen Amerikaanse kiezers komaf maken met de dubbele Republikeinse meerderheid in het Congres. Historische data tonen dat de beurzen opveren in de maanden na de midterms. Herhaalt dat scenario zich onder Trump II? 061
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 10hThank you! Here in Belgium we're more for the bread and meat. 130
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiRelmans @krisremels.bsky.social · 15hDit soort reacties hoor je overal wanneer het over het afstappen van aardgas gaat. Dat klopt natuurlijk, het gaat om miljoenen woningen, maar we hebben dat eerder al een keer gedaan. In 1960 verwarmde 88% van de huishoudens met steenkool, in 1980 was dat nog 18%. 13576
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiKees van der Leun @sustainable2050.bsky.social · 11hYou've probably seen this news by now. I find it hard to deal with. 20% of all the ice in Switzerland's glaciers lost in 5 years! And it's not just the beauty of the high Alps; this has major implications for Europe's water supply. #ClimateChangeisWaterChange 24416
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiJasmin Mujanović @jasminmuj.bsky.social · 12hAs expected, turnout at Bosnia’s general elections is running behind the 2022 figure. There will be a rush of participation as we get closer to 19:00 local time but it is looking likely that the final figure will be below 50%. A scathing indictment of the entire establishment. 1156
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiEd Wilson @eddwilson.bsky.social · 12h"he will not have to strike any deals with the populist Latvia First and Sovereign Power–New Latvians parties, whose leniency toward Russia had alarmed many voters. Finishing [with] a combined total of 32 seats – they will form a determined but powerless opposition" #WATO 0105
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiJon Connorton @jonconnorton.com · 17hThey're not targeting Riga and Tallinn for the same reason they're not targeting Kaliningrad - they're a Kremlin stooge party and see those as Russian. 1121
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 17hI should say AfD Youth not the party itself. This is the Tory youth movement (FCS) wearing “Hang Nelson Mandela” badges in the ‘80s. 0120
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 17hI don’t like to inquire into the fascist mindset because there are enough abysses to stare into, thanks, but AfD appear to be seeking territory not just from Belgium, Switzerland and France but also … Łódź? And Transylvania? Why not Rīga and Tallinn, or indeed Namibia at that rate? 65014
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 18hAI models can also be skewed, as Grok has shown. There are a lot of opportunities for funny business - also true of AI-driven voter advice. 110
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 18hLeave it, Jesus, he’s not worth it! In return here’s Tony Blair being held back from attacking someone in a pub. 010
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Hugues Dayez also here. “Satire that rapidly becomes hollow, leaden effects and blatant messages. Satire is easy to get wrong, it’s all about the right dosage, … but today the geopolitical reality is more outrageous than any fiction, and Digger already feels dated.” www.rtbf.be/article/les-...rtbf.beLes critiques d’Hugues Dayez avec 'Digger', quand Tom Cruise s’essaie à la satire - RTBF ActusDigger Rockwell (Tom Cruise) est un magnat du pétrole, c’est l’homme le plus puissant du monde. Il est inquiet : son... 000
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026I can see synthetic VI polling being usable in a way I can’t see a synthetic focus group (which is what the original post referred to, I was sloppy in my use of language). 040
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026But will certainly look for the research - any tips welcome. But I start from a place of civic republican concern… 320
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Does averaging that and weighting it in some way give you a sense of what people actually think about the topics they’re discussing? Or what they would want the government to do, if asked? Or if they discussed it with others Aside from the ethical question of using that information. 110
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Ok … I can see how they can be made more current that way. But I still think that social media personas are not the same as their citizen personas, I just don’t see how you control for that. This is too long for a Bluesky conversation but if you had a listening device sitting under every pub table 140
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Not the most important point but synthetic public opinion polling is like asking what people thought six months ago. No relevance to today and no forward perspective. 2355
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026“Oh well that sword was poisoned so I guess Hamlet’s dead soon. … excuse me … sorry … yes … can I just get past … thanks” *door slams* 130
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiHelene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Rather difficult not to feel a bit gloomy about the state of the country atm, so I wasn’t going to make much of a thing of this anniversary this year. And then I saw this and started to cry. Because a free and united Germany in a free and united Europe was worth it. And is worth fighting for now. 1728176
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiVia Baltica @viabaltica.bsky.social · 03/10/2026In parliamentary #elections in #Latvia, exit polls show PM Andris Kulbergs and his United List alliance winning by a landslide. United List may garner 35% of votes, far ahead of all other #parties. Voter turnout was estimated at just 50%.viabaltica.fiLatvia: PM’s party wins by landslide: exit pollLatvian Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs and his United List alliance may win the country’s parliamentary elections by a landslide, according to pollster SKDS’s exit poll, LSM reports. 042
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiThe Tennessee Holler @thetnholler.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Endless corruption. 629120625435
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026🇧🇪 🇧🇪 Belgisch auteur Stefan Hertmans voorgedragen als kandidaat voor de Nobelprijs Literatuur vrtnws.be/p.pAMZEGypYvrtnws.beBelgisch auteur Stefan Hertmans voorgedragen als kandidaat voor de Nobelprijs Literatuur | VRT NWS NieuwsDe Belgische auteur Stefan Hertmans, onder meer bekend van 'Oorlog en terpentijn', is voorgedragen als kandidaat voor de Nobelprijs Literatuur. Dat zegt Ton van Kalmthout, voorzitter van de Maatschapp... 010
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026No, it was also advertised on the radio (by one of the supermarkets) 100
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Last Thursday was international day of chocolate, now it’s international week of steak-frites, are they trying to kill me? 5122
Reposted by Anthony Zacharzewskifinrodsauronverynsfwprivatefolderdonotlook @yungdreyfusard.bsky.social · 02/10/2026its kinda great that robespierre invented liberalism communism and fascism over the course of like 5 years 48412
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiÉamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social · 03/10/2026macdonnchada.substack.com/p/stay-or-go... One for election fans even if not especialy interested in Spain 275
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Yes I was thinking about my career (at 53) and reflecting the other day that the fact I’ve made a lot of mistakes but in a relatively restricted field of work has taught me a lot. 170
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Very true it is something I am very conscious of in myself having seen it in so many others. (Not to say that I don’t do the same, I’m sure I do) 020
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026I have been on the old Virgin service from Brighton to Manchester and the short version is what’s the bloody point. I think there was one station (Oxford) for which there was a time saving. It was useful, twice, for my mother who was getting too old to change trains. 100
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Spot on. I met him for a research project pretty much exactly two decades ago and was very impressed and then recently heard him spouting utter nonsense on a podcast and thought “is this the same guy?” 280
Reposted by Anthony ZacharzewskiLewis Baston @lewisbaston.bsky.social · 03/10/2026The panels representing the fate of massed ranks of Conservative councillors in the local elections in 2025 and 2026 are too upsetting to display to general audiences. 510816
Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 03/10/2026Of course if the writer is in fact 250 years old and can remember the days when London was a mostly English city, I will politely apologise. 010