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Andy Berner

@andybrnr.bsky.social
510 followers 903 following 2K posts

Meteorology PhD, data scientist, ski mountaineer, GSP and Eurohound dad

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Reposted by Andy Berner
Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 6h
My greatest frustrating has been with policy wonks who persist in thinking we can just keep doing normal policy analysis ("calling balls and strikes") in this situation. The President of the United States is both lawless and out of his mind. That preempts all normal discussion.
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 29/09/2026
this thing seems to work quite well and poking around at it it seems to me like it is actually built to be factual and non-partisan and helpful so you know they are going to lobotomize it to shit by next week
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In Medias Malone @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
You’re right to push back. That was a set of red balloons, not a Soviet first strike. Should I order some ambulances?
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 28/09/2026
AI has now surpassed human level at inappropriately hammering an API that is not intended for bulk data transfer and bypassing whatever weak anti-scraping measures are in place to prevent this. There is nothing left unique about me.
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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
so much of what's wrong with right now is rebranding things which were always understood as vice as being a type of virtue
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
A rich person can never be held accountable. Therefore, a rich person must never make a societal decision
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
At the root of a lot of ills is that we want our solutions to problems to be interesting or fun to implement and so many good solutions aren’t.
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Decades and decades of a national policy and zeitgeist that amounts to 'nobody needs to care about social studies' and we're now in an unwinnable war with a foreign country whose culture and leadership we did not understand based around geography we ignored. 🤷‍♂️
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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
The courts should block this. If they don't, we should tear it down on the very first day of the next administration. If possible, Trump should be made to watch the demolition. This, the ballroom, whatever he does to the Kennedy Center and all of the rest. Erase it all. Full damnatio memoriae.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I need to spend more time in the mountains and less time doomscrolling this app.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
One hour jaunt up a somewhat-rough-in-spots FSR just outside Bella Coola gets you to this.
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Lesley Carhart @hacks4pancakes.com · 17/09/2026
Rather be poor and not famous than have anyone question in twenty years where I stood on human rights, or if I was afraid to take a stand against evil.
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Dark Laughter @darklaughtertdb.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
“The Army started patrolling the Seventh Ministry, but that just turned a two-way gang conflict into a three-way war. Because of how valuable 915 and 916 members were, Chinese soldiers couldn't just shoot them, so they got dragged into melee street brawls."
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Melanie Mitchell @melaniemitchell.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
RIP OPT? What an unmitigated disaster for everyone.
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TED 🇺🇸 @epicureandealmaker.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Also very good, by @aleximas.bsky.social: aleximas.substack.com/p/what-will-...
aleximas.substack.com
What will be scarce?
The economics of structural change and the post-commodity future of work
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Great thread.
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thinkingbayonet.bsky.social @thinkingbayonet.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Houthis: what the fuck, you told us it was economical to build the IR sensor with aluminum foil instead of mercury cadmium telluride Claude: That is exactly the right challenge to raise, and the honest answer is that the claim was asserted rather than demonstrated. Inshallah it won't happen again
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hailey @hailey.at · 10/09/2026
i had to see it so you do too
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ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
its really becoming obvious from looking at online disputes here -- where there are zero right wingers present -- that consensus narratives about online harrassment in the 2010s were totally wrong
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Clément Canonne @ccanonne.github.io · 08/09/2026
Well, this Navier-Stokes affair did blow up in finite time
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Never stop poasting @persistentpoasting.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
WE GOT A TERRY TAO THREAD. mathstodon.xyz/@tao/1172373...
mathstodon.xyz
Terence Tao (@tao@mathstodon.xyz)
I wrote recently about how the collection of good, fruitful open problems is now being mined in a non-renewable fashion, leading to the potential scenario of these problems becoming scarce. This may ...
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
lol, lmao. Quality satire.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
I finally bought a ChatGPT plan to play with Astra and tinker with multi-provider workflows after using Claude as my only paid sub the last couple years. Feeling like I should cancel it already, I don’t care if their new model is good when the company is clearly evil.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
I'd love to hear about *how* folks have altered their approach/workflow to guard against and mitigate "inobvious overconfident wrongness" in LLM-aided research. How do you test "conceptual correctness" outside a user's domain of expertise?
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Interesting juxtaposition. LLMs transferring their “confident wrongness” to users in domains where the error is not immediately evident seems like something we really need a social solve for. Maybe these knowledge gaps will close before too much damage is done? But then again, maybe not.
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Secretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
One of the best books I’ve ever read on the war so definitely listen (and read @wesleymorgan.bsky.social)
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Stephen Jacob Smith @stephenjacobsmith.com · 04/09/2026
As part of research into the elevator market, I am doing an elevator census! Next time you are in an elevator (any time, any place), could you take a photo of the nameplate (brand and capacity in lbs/kgs) and the buttons (to get number of floors), and then later, enter it here? bit.ly/elevatorcensus
bit.ly
Elevator Census
This form is to submit information on elevators people encounter to help with the Center for Building in North America's research work. Note: You can submit for elevators in any country, not just Nort...
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ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
wow, someone turned Nvidia DLSS on the president
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
While we’re at it, this is where I’ll stan Snowflake’s GROUP BY ALL EXCLUDE syntax.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Lol, I’m guilty of having written SQL like this. It worked! It had been iterated and was even reasonably performant! But, uh, not particularly readable or friendly to someone new to the codebase.
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Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Honestly willing to go to jail to pull this monstrosity down.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Complete with consummate V’s!
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Dare Obasanjo @carnage4life.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Wild that we’re living through both Black Mirror and Idiocracy simultaneously.
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Jeff Lake @jefflake.info · 04/09/2026
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Travis Campbell @hcoyote.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
“The vision selling shall continue until the product improves.” I’m really feeling this the last few years.
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Kai Ryssdal @kairyssdal.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Absolutely yes.
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Patrick Skinner @pmskinner.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
If you understand that other people experience well-known problems only when you yourself experience those same problems, you haven’t discovered empathy. Everyone else has discovered you’re a sociopath.
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Erika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
This change grants Commerce political appointees veto power over data and research releases by scientists and statisticians at NOAA, NIST, Census, and BEA.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This is some appalling shit. Look forward to hearing Bessent describe his thought process here in front of a Truth and Reconciliation commission one day.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This reminds me that someone needs to write an alt-history novel where Prigozhin doesn’t chicken out.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
This is very cool.
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
It feels like what's emerging are coalitions of people who do zero-sum thinking, don't believe in iterated games, and prefer anecdata to data
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Eugene Vinitsky 🍒 @eugenevinitsky.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
We can’t build transit or housing or robots or open source AI models or renewables. Instead it’s just non-stop culture war nonsense while we get left behind on everything. It’s embarrassing
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tweety fish @sifu.tweety.fish · 26/08/2026
ok among other things it’s pretty funny that the initiating fuckup (accidentally give the system an impossible task) is the one that canonically caused HAL to go rogue in 2001
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Infuriating. I used to wonder if I made the right choice and what my life would’ve looked like if I’d accepted my rep’s appointment to West Point in the early 00s. I could not in good conscience recommend someone attend now. This cultural revolution BS will degrade the force and makes us less safe.
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Literally galaxy-brained idea from the genius behind Situational Awareness (I’m sure someone else has probably notes this, apologies for the redundancy).
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Toby Buckle @polphilpod.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
so dog ownership is "what was that?" followed by rooting around in an animal's mouth for the rest of your life
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Andy Berner @andybrnr.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Maybe attempt a play for a land bridge to Kaliningrad across the Suwalki Gap? Feel like that would be way too obvious up front, but guess that doesn’t mean he might not try it…
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ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
you can kind of imagine a dogged enthusiasm gone awry. code checks subsystems: actuators...ready....sensors...ready machine: fuck it no more checks I WAS BORN READY *runs into wall*
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
So much admiration for our colleagues at Stars and Stripes, Erik Slavin and Lara Korte, for standing up for journalistic independence and the public's right to know. (Who were canned today by the Hegseth/Trump team, precisely for their independence and honesty.)
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