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Alex Hodnett

@alexhodnett.bsky.social
110 followers 811 following 146 posts

playing hopscotch at the firm/state frontier

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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I cannot wait to go back to never thinking about finance
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Every example of the “k shaped economy” just looks like a recession with a bubble attached
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
I would really welcome a study on Anthropic’s IPO financials initially being shared with investors and the bond explosion kicking off. Based on what’s been shared publicly, these seem to have been within days of each other
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Lads, is it good when one of the magnificent 7 are claiming “construction delays” are an unforseeable act of god
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Excited for inevitable moment the RNLI vs Jersey Lifeboat Association discourse takes to the national stage
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
This feels like February 2020. Nothing has gone wrong yet. But I do *not* like the look of those storm clouds. They look far, far too Great Depression shaped for my liking.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Apparently we’ve invested four times more into LLMs than we did into subprime housing. Which I’m sure is fine, given those reliable returns on investment LLMs offer
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Annual repost (until the heatwaves move further north)
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
I'm so glad we've blown up the entire global economy in pursuit of slightly better chatbots. Such a great allocation of resources by the paperclip maximiser economy.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
From what I've seen so far, AI use is insightful for what it says about value. For most (corporate) AI use, the same job can do can be done better by the right human, so the choice to use AI suggests that it isn't a valuable task / that isn't the value add of that person.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 19/10/2025
Just seen something mentioning how Musk's net worth is greater than the GDP of South Africa - which happens a lot but mixes up stocks (net worth) and flows (GDP, which is value per year). But then I was curious about what country he is equivalent to, based on comparing flow with flow.
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Gonçalo Pina @alvespina.bsky.social · 05/07/2025
Price discrimination can be welfare improving (nobody likes it)
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
The decision to move to Scotland remains flawless
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
What’s great about AI is now everyone can have an evil advisor whispering in their ear and corrupting them
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Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
Everything is political economy, tariff pass through edition Once again, economics worked in exactly the way we knew economics worked, because the sun had risen before many times, even though we (again) pretended we didn't know how economics worked, because of politics: bsky.app/profile/mcop...
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 18/05/2025
I wish to recind all my criticism of the Eurovision juries (for a year)
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 29/04/2025
"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
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Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 03/04/2025
we could discuss the trade policy of the 1930s but that would be a Smoot point
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
Unbelievably, my idea to buy a coffee machine "because it will be cheaper to make my own" appears to be retrospectively becoming a brilliant decision
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
“Fund managers to debate ethics of just wars before investment decisions”
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 12/02/2025
Lesson one of diplomatic language:
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Elle @centristmum.bsky.social · 28/01/2025
Thermostatic public opinion is up there with compound interest as one of the most powerful forces in the universe
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Paul Bassett Davies @thewritertype.bsky.social · 20/01/2025
Ironically, most penguins aren't aware that today is Penguin Awareness Day and they think it's just a regular Monday. The reason for this, of course is that they refused to adopt the new Gregorian calendar in 1582, and still adhere to the old Julian one, for tax purposes.
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Shengwu Li @shengwuli.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
The LA wildfires have given landlords an opportunity to raise rents. California has anti-price-gouging regulation that might prevent that. If you want to step beyond Econ 101, here’s a recent Econometrica paper that shows how price caps can raise welfare. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Econometrica | Econometric Society Journal | Wiley Online Library
Policymakers frequently use price regulations as a response to inequality in the markets they control. In this paper, we examine the optimal structure of such policies from the perspective of mechani...
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Tim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
One of those brilliant suggestions you read and think to yourself, 'Why on earth haven't I thought of or read about this idea before? It's so damned obvious!'
theconversation.com
Why stopping knife crime needs to start in the kitchen
Phasing out pointed-tip kitchen knives in favour of round-tip knives is a natural extension of the UK’s progress on weapons control.
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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
Instead, we should look to history, path dependency, institutional structures, politics, and economics. For Tokyo, I think urban planning—walkability, mixed use neighborhoods, affordable real estate—all contribute to the richer media and commercial systems that feed into culture.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 27/11/2024
No one can ever complain about the lack of a written constitution for the UK ever again! researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CB...
researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
RTing for my current thinking about signals
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bilbo 🍊 @bilbo.cat · 22/11/2024
i am standign for election. i promise to do Nothing 🥇
An extremely smug looking Bilbo sits on the colourful sofa blankets, looking into the camera saying "I am running for election. I promise to do nothing."
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
JMP season is great bc you see so much interesting and new research being disseminated. Really interesting on the overlap between industrial policy and innovation
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
I’ve hit a few starter packs in the last few days and now I feel like I follow too many people, but don’t want to offend anyone by unfollowing. More first world problems to come as we hear about them
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Steven Medema @spydermed.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
There are two types of economists. 1. Those skeeting about impending doom. 2. Those making long lists of impending natural experiments.
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Conor Sewell @ccsewell.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
A political fact that a decade-plus of low inflation made everyone forget: The public DESPISE inflation. People see rising prices as the government’s fault but salary rises as rewarding their own hard work - so even if raises outstrip inflation, people will still be mad at you.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
Must admit this morning on this side of the Atlantic feels a bit Tennyson; ours is not to reason why, ours is but to do
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Alastair Meeks @alastairmeeks.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
I'm never going to have a better use for this meme.
Tintin strikes again.
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
I had put significant weight onto the Selzer poll. Clearly this did not capture the US aggregate. We learn.
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Pseudoerasmus @pseudoerasmus.bsky.social · 18/10/2024
Here is my extremely brief (potted) history of institutions in macro-development thinking -- just before the AJR intervention. I had most of these thoughts prior to the Nobel week, but now they are crystallising.
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James Feigenbaum @jamesfeigenbaum.bsky.social · 15/10/2024
And it just won a Nobel prize!
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 04/07/2024
Is it too late to choose the coalition of chaos with Ed Milliband
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 28/06/2024
Chevron deference repeal seems like a pretty big issue for regulatory and investor uncertainty?
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 17/06/2024
You know what I really want? A TV debate with a Logical Fallacy Referee (complete with whistle and ability to mute participants). Would be immensely entertaining
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P(aul) Frazee @pfrazee.com · 04/06/2024
Banning the word “febrile” yall had your chance and you took advantage
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 01/06/2024
BVB hoping for a Reus Ex Machina
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 26/05/2024
So far not seen the use of the word “voluntold”, which is really a bit of a crime against reporting tbh
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Alex Hodnett @alexhodnett.bsky.social · 26/05/2024
I was worried the election campaign would be boring. That concern has been addressed.
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