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Alessandro Di Nola

@aledinola.bsky.social
419 followers 695 following 13 posts

Assistant Professor at University of Birmingham, PhD in economics at Bocconi University, Inter. sites.google.com/site/alessandrodin…

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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
This is a great resource for PhD students who wish to learn how to solve and estimate (with GMM/SMM) structural life-cycle models: github.com/vfitoolkit/I... From simple one-asset models to richer settings with portfolio choice, housing, dual-earner couples, etc.
github.com
GitHub - vfitoolkit/IntroToLifeCycleModels: Gradually build up a life-cycle model
Gradually build up a life-cycle model. Contribute to vfitoolkit/IntroToLifeCycleModels development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
“.. The Yale Budget Lab have updated their simulations using the 30% tariff on China, .. Bottom line: Still a significant stagflation shock to the US economy.” - Apollo budgetlab.yale.edu/research/sta...
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Q: "I do wonder what you think might make some of these tariffs worth it? In other words what your guideposts are for justifying the trade war that this White House has launched." My answer: "Let's not tie ourselves up in knots trying to make sense of something that we can't make sense of."
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Colby Smith @colbylsmith.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
NEW: @goolsbee.bsky.social tells @nytimes.com that despite the reprieve with China, tariffs are likely to still raise prices and lower growth. He's in wait-and-see mode and the bar to cut is high "The way that we’re doing this is not free for the economy" www.nytimes.com/2025/05/12/b...
nytimes.com
Fed Official Still Bracing for Economic Shock Despite China Tariff Pause
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Very interesting! Cc @leokaas.bsky.social @haominwang.bsky.social
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
I don't see how 104% tariffs on China will help Americans, and I see lots of ways they'll hurt. Let's explore iPhone economics.
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Tim Kehoe 🇺🇸🇨🇦🇲🇽🇺🇦 @tkehoe.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
Last week I pointed out that most economists think President Trump's ideas about tariffs are wacko. I also pointed out financial markets would soon express their views. Today all three major U.S. stock indices set new 52-week lows. I predict lower lows coming soon.
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Leo Kaas @leokaas.bsky.social · 10/02/2025
Submit your papers on search and matching (labor, housing, ...) and contribute to a great conference! Submissions open for another 5 days👇
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Jesse Rothstein @jrothst.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
It seems almost unavoidable at this point that we are headed for a deep, deep recession. Just based on 200K+ federal firings & pullback of contracts, the March employment report (to be released April 4) seems certain to show bigger job losses than any month ever outside of a few in 2008-9 and 2020.
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Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke @kevinhorourke.eurosky.social · 08/01/2025
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Tariffs and the current account with short-run capital specificity
Permanent tariff reductions are shown to result in a deterioration of the current account, even under intertemporal optimising by consumers. This is d…
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
#EconSky
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
It's a MAGA eat MAGA world, and Musk is the president open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
open.substack.com
MAGA Is Already Eating Its Own. Pass the Popcorn
Dear Laura Loomer: You weren't in on the con. You were one of the marks.
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Jason Furman @jasonfurman.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
I explain my increased enthusiasm for monetary policy rules in my latest WSJ. Not putting policy on autopilot but instead using them as a rebuttable presumption. Specifically would do three things:
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Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
And the new era begins. My Substack is alive again, and here's my first post paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-fraudu...
paulkrugman.substack.com
The Fraudulence of “Waste, Fraud and Abuse”
History repeats itself, the first time as farce, the second as clown show
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
👇
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Jessica Riedl @jessicabriedl.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
In today's Washington Post, I put numbers on the (modest) budget savings available from laying off federal workers. Obviously govt shouldn't employ more workers than is necessary to get the job done, but the big savings still must come from the big programs. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...
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Brad DeLong @braddelong.bsky.social · 23/11/2024
< braddelong.substack.com/p/the-unmaki... > What happens when a global financial hub bets on the wrong policies at the wrong time? Britain's story since 2008 is one of lost potential, economic stagnation, and repeated grave self-inflicted wounds. And even those are not enough to account for... 1/
braddelong.substack.com
The Unmaking of a Modern Economy: Brexit, Austerity, and Britain's Great Retraction
Austerity's False Economy? Brexit's Blow? The Long Shadow of 2008? You need much more than those to account for Britain's pitiful economy since Nick Clegg decided to let the Tories govern the place...
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Explore the VFI toolkit by trying out this example based on Cocco, Gomes & Maenhout (2005) - Consumption and Portfolio Choice over the Life Cycle [doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhi017] github.com/robertdkirkb...
github.com
LifeCycleOLGReadingList/CoccoGomesMaenhout2005 at main · robertdkirkby/LifeCycleOLGReadingList
Contribute to robertdkirkby/LifeCycleOLGReadingList development by creating an account on GitHub.
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Forthcoming in the AER: "Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy" by Matteo Benetton, Alessandro Gavazza, and Paolo Surico. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
aeaweb.org
Mortgage Pricing and Monetary Policy
(Forthcoming Article) - This paper provides novel evidence on lenders' mortgage pricing and how central bank policies affected it. Using the universe of mortgages originated in the UK, we show that le...
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Interested in estimation of life-cycle models based on simulated method of moments? Look at this new feature of VFI toolkit in Matlab discourse.vfitoolkit.com/t/gmm-estima... and at an example based on Gourinchas and Parker (2022) github.com/robertdkirkb...
discourse.vfitoolkit.com
GMM Estimation of Life-Cycle Models
Originally published at: GMM Estimation of Life-Cycle Models – VFI Toolkit GMM Estimation of Life-Cycle Models is done in Life-Cycle Models 45-50 in pdf: An Introduction to Life-Cycle Modelsand GM...
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Very interesting job market paper 👇
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
On quits and layoffs 👇 www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2024...
minneapolisfed.org
Where is the U.S. labor market heading? Interpreting the mixed signals| Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
New data series connects layoffs with the unemployment rate, providing a fresh look at where the labor market might be headed
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
On quits and layoffs 👇 www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2024...
minneapolisfed.org
Where is the U.S. labor market heading? Interpreting the mixed signals| Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
New data series connects layoffs with the unemployment rate, providing a fresh look at where the labor market might be headed
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Lauren Bauer @laurenhlb.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
SNAP work requirements fail to increase employment. Just plain getting on SNAP does improve labor market outcomes. www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/... #EconSky
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Nice toolkit to solve heterogeneous agents models in Matlab with GPU github.com/vfitoolkit. Codes to replicate well-known papers in the macro and finance literature are available as well 👇
github.com
vfitoolkit
A Toolkit for Macroeconomic Models using Value Function Iteration - vfitoolkit
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Jeffrey Wooldridge @jmwooldridge.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Consider the simplest DiD setup with panel data. T = 2, controls X(i) don't change over time. D(i) is the "ever treated" indicator, f2(t) the second period time dummy. W(i,t) the time-varying treatment W(i,t) = D(i)*f2(t). The X(i) appear flexibly to allow selection and heterogeneous trends.
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
US business formation still remains significantly elevated from pre-COVID levels, as a stronger labor market and the work-from-home shift continue to boost startup activity
a graph of US business applications
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Ezgi Kaya @kayaez.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
It was a pleasure to co-organise the Cardiff Workshop on the Economics of Migration with @Luisanna Onnis, hosted by @Cardiff Business School! Many thanks to @ADR UK for their support, and to the presenters and keynote speakers for their insightful contributions. Find out more: ➡️ bit.ly/4eAAwSZ
bit.ly
Workshop unites experts in migration economics
Cardiff Business School hosted the Cardiff Workshop on the Economics of Migration.
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Simon Toussaint @simontoussaint.nl · 14/11/2024
📯 Job Market Paper Alert 📯 Private businesses make up 50% of sales & profits and are the main wealth component of the wealthiest households. So, what is their value? Well, that's difficult, since they're not listed: their value is unobservable by definition! My #EconJMP tackles this problem 1/
Robust Estimation of Private Business Wealth*
Job Market Paper
Simon J. Toussaint†
November 14, 2024
[Most recent version here]
Abstract
Estimating the market value of private businesses is essential for understanding both aggregate firm dynamics and top wealth
inequality, yet these values are inherently unobservable. This paper introduces an econometric approach that treats the gap
between true market values and initial estimates as measurement error. I employ time-series restrictions on these errors as
moment conditions within a GMM framework, and use the fitted values from these estimations as error-free estimates of
private business wealth and capital stocks. Applying this method to Dutch administrative data linking the universe of firms
to their owners, I find that aggregate private business wealth increases by 30% of GDP initially, and is more stable than the
unadjusted series. Top 1% and 0.1% wealth shares increase by 3–5 percentage points, peaking at 38% and 20%, respectively.
Adjusted returns to firm wealth exhibit a steeper gradient across the wealth distribution than unadjusted returns, consistent
with models of return heterogeneity.
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 06/11/2024
A Great Depression-era push to encourage work sharing shows that such policies can generate higher levels of employment, but may cause some decline in earnings, say researchers at the University of Arizona and Auburn University. www.aeaweb.org/research/wor... #econsky
aeaweb.org
Origins of the 40-hour workweek
How did workweek restrictions instituted during the Great Depression impact US labor markets?
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
I dislike the partial equilibrium mindset that pervades this type of analysis. Multiple things can be true at the same time: supply chain distortions constrained supply at the same time that unprecedented fiscal (and monetary) stimuli were boosting demand. www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
washingtonpost.com
Opinion | The real story of inflation
Covid-era stimulus didn’t cause higher prices. It was the pandemic itself.
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Good point
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Leo Kaas @leokaas.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
SaM 2025 at Vilnius University. Submit your papers! sam2025.econ.lt/home
sam2025.econ.lt
SaM 2025 conference
Welcome to Vilnius! The Search and Matching Network (SaM) is a European network of academic economists working on search and matching models, including models of labour market search, consumer search,...
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Luca Riva @rivluc.bsky.social · 20/10/2023
Delighted to announce that we've added fantastic discussants from leading institutions and academia. Updated programme here: www.centralbank.ie/events/event... Please mark your calendars and register for participation by writing to MFDadmin@centralbank.ie (streaming available)
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Luca Riva @rivluc.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Very interesting how last week’s election seems to have been the “Minsky moment” that propelled the econ community towards moving to this platform
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Christian Pugnaghi Zimpelmann @cpz-econ.bsky.social · 21/11/2023
JMP alert 🎉 What drives maternal labor supply - a key factor for labor market inequalities? Gender role attitudes! We use reduced form and structural methods to show that they are of first-order importance, both directly and through the mediation of policies (w/ Tim Mensinger) 🧵👇
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Great paper 👇
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Alessandro Di Nola @aledinola.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Do not miss! 👇
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