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Miguel Faria e Castro

@mfariacastro.bsky.social
5.5K followers 375 following 323 posts

Economist. Açoriano 🇵🇹🇺🇸. Views are my own. www.fariaecastro.net

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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
🍉paraver🟩🟡🟥 @paraver.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Opinião com base no estudo do @mfariacastro.bsky.social. As "contas certas" são uma falácia castradora da evolução do país e da criação de riqueza. É conversa mole de quem não tem uma visão estratégica, alimentado pelo lastro de meio século de ditadura.
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Lucile Danilov @locdandloaded.net · 06/08/2026
You may not like it, but this is what peak localization looks like (Asterix: Mega Madness (PS1, 2001))
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Borja @borja.eurosky.social · 07/08/2026
Siempre viene bien echar un ojo a Portugal: Inversión pública y stock de capital público
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
1/7 Motivado por algumas discussoes e emails, decidi escrever uma nota tecnica sobre o declinio do investimento publico em Portugal e consequente erosao do stock de capital publico. Explico a metodologia e analiso algumas implicacoes macroeconomicas
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
The St. Louis Fed is looking to recruit research economists with experience in monetary and fiscal policy modeling. Please apply if you work on these topics, or share with your network if you know of someone who does. Must be authorized to work in the US. rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/FRS/job/St-L...
rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com
Economist - Senior Economic Policy Advisor
Company Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis The Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis is seeking research economists. The Division enjoys a strong international reputation (Economic...
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
1/ new paper w/ Pascal Paul and Juan Sanchez: Stabilization vs. Growth When firms in distress are saved, the economy may become more stable in the short run, at the cost of long-run growth. We study this trade-off in a model w/ fluctuations, endogenous growth, and heterog. firms
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
1/ New with Serdar Ozkan: using the St. Louis Fed DSGE model, we ask whether expectations of future AI-driven productivity gains can raise inflation today. We argue that they can, and that the Fed's response matters a lot. www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
stlouisfed.org
Can AI Optimism Raise Inflation? What a Standard Macro Model Says
This analysis finds optimism about future AI‑driven productivity can quickly lift output and inflation, and the outcome depends on the monetary policy response.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Aumento de 400% no numero de cidadaos americanos a residir em Portugal desde 2020, no @wsj.com
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
St. Louis public libraries ahead of the curve, teaching children how to use Bloomberg terminals
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Inflation regimes systematically affect the sign and size of public debt forecast errors - our latest On the Economy blog post www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
stlouisfed.org
Inflation and the Accuracy of Public Debt Forecasts
An analysis of public debt projections by the CBO examines how forecasting divergences can differ in a high-inflation versus a low-inflation environment.
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Hugo Figueiredo @hcfigueiredo.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Friends, I'll make @mdenardi.bsky.social 's words my own: Let's make the 19th PEJ Annual Meeting in Aveiro a great one. 3-5 July 2026. Submit your papers and please extend the invitation to all your relevant contacts. All relevant details and further updates here: www.ua.pt/en/pej2026
ua.pt
19th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal - pej2026 - Universidade de Aveiro
July 3-5, 2026
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Taking a break from Claude Code
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Small thing and took some time to get going, but seeing this made my day: one of my requests is now a Bill Proposal at the St. Louis City Board of Aldermen www.stlouis-mo.gov/government/c...
stlouis-mo.gov
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
Another day in the collapse of the post-Cold War global order. I'll pour some bourbon and watch Ben-Hur.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
NATO, 4 April 1979 - 17 January 2026
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 08/01/2026
This is a US government official calling for any US citizens who dissent from his immigration policy preferences, and "get in the way" of federal officers, to be executed by being shot in the face. By "get in the way" he means: being present, unarmed, dissenting, & driving away, without attacking.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 25/12/2025
Feliz Natal!
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Pedro Guerreiro @pedroguerreiro.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Lamento muito que a família do @mfariacastro.bsky.social também esteja a passar por isto. É vergonhoso que Portugal demore mais de 1 ano a reconhecer a cidadania de filhos bebés de portugueses nascidos no estrangeiro expresso.pt/sociedade/20...
expresso.pt
Atrasos do IRN deixam bebés de emigrantes sem pátria
Emigrantes aguardam mais de um ano para registar os filhos como portugueses. Durante a espera, não têm país nem documentos
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
US retirement normalization following the COVID-19 pandemic via St. Louis Fed www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...
stlouisfed.org
U.S. Retirement Normalization following the COVID-19 Pandemic
After surging when the COVID-19 pandemic began in the U.S., retirements have returned to their prepandemic trend. New research examines what caused this surge.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
New WP: "The Cost of Capital and Misallocation in the United States", with Julian Kozlowski and Jeremy Majerovitz 1/n
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Ontem, na Antena 1, sobre o impacto das tarifas: www.rtp.pt/play/p1467/e...
rtp.pt
Programa da Tarde
Bolsas: terceiro dia consecutivo em queda - 'Não se estava a contar que a política norte-americana fosse tão agressiva e generalizada a todos os pa
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Jonathan A. Parker @profjaparker.bsky.social · 07/04/2025
When a stock's prices moves a lot, the NYSE halts trading in that stock for 30 minutes. On Monday March 17 (just tried an arbitrary Monday), there were 30 such circuit breakers triggered. Today, so far, 229! Feel liberated! www.nyse.com/trade-halt
nyse.com
Trading Halt DataNYSE LogoNYSE LogoNYSE Logo
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Acho que ainda vou a tempo de me retratar de muito do que disse aqui ha quase exactamente 2 meses. Na altura supus que a aplicacao das tarifas seria muito mais "cirurgica": contida e racional. Penso que muitos outros supuseram o mesmo, a julgar pelas reaccao dos mercados.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
Markets stopped falling today 🙏
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 04/04/2025
Ao falar com malta portuguesa sobre política americana, choca-me que ainda haja quem veja os republicanos como uma coisa ali entre o PSD e o CDS quando faz já *uma década* (desde 2016) que são um Chega com laivos de PNR
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
This is the dumbest thing I read this week and trust me I read a lot of dumb things this week nationalpost.com/news/mark-ca...
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Tina Smith @smith.senate.gov · 24/03/2025
Circling back on this…
Post from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard that reads: Any unauthorized release of classified information is a violation of the law and will be treated as such.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
What is the best outlet for a short paper that used to be a section of a longer paper (=same model and data), that makes a very clear point, but that got removed because it was not central to the original paper? Economics Letters? #econtwitter
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 19/03/2025
JFK conspiracy theorist dies, goes to heaven. God receives him: "You may ask me one question." -"Who shot Kennedy?" God replies, "Lee Harvey Oswald shot him from 6th floor of the Texas School Book Depository. He acted alone". Theorist thinks: "This goes higher up than I thought!"
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 16/03/2025
Sostiene Pereira
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Beautiful edition of the spiritual sequel, got it second-hand from The Strand in NYC
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 09/03/2025
Good thing I didn't read this during my Ph.D.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
The US consulate in Ponta Delgada (my hometown), which is slated to be closed, is the oldest continuously operating US consulate, having been opened in 1795.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
"Governor Trudeau, of Canada"
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
The US Government is one of the world's largest owners of BTC, owning around 207,000 bitcoins worth almost $20 billion. These were mostly acquired through law enforcement seizures
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 03/03/2025
Strategic bitcoin reserve and removing G from Y. Tough weekend to be a macroeconomist.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
There are absolutely basic things that the EU could do to support Ukraine (since 2022!) without investing a single cent in the military or sending a single soldier to the frontlines. Lots of "we stand with you" tweets, lots of summits, but not a lot of willingness to actually do anything.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
Beef Wellington!
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 28/02/2025
Bom dia para repostar isto. Que enorme vergonha, o que se passou hoje.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Thdpssssps
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 20/02/2025
Against American Putinism
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
Ramen Tonkotsu, bem picante, com vinhão da Adega Cooperativa de Ponte de Lima 🤌
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 14/02/2025
Alguem conseguiu alguma vez marcar uma renovacao de passaporte no consulado em Nova Iorque? A "ferramenta de agendamento" nao tem agendamentos disponiveis para o resto do ano (e eu ando a consultar a disponibilidade quase diariamente ha um mes). Mesma coisa com Newark.
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
After 14 years, 4 visas, 2 green cards, and 2 babies, I finally abjured allegiance to foreign princes and rejected any foreign titles of nobility 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Na Radio Observador a explicar as novas tarifas observador.pt/programas/a-...
observador.pt
Como a guerra das tarifas nos poderá afetar?
Donald Trump promete e já está a usar tarifas para travar importações. A política protecionista vai ter consequências? Miguel Faria e Castro é professor e economista na FED no Banco de Saint Louis.
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Reposted by Miguel Faria e Castro
Hadas Weiss @hadas.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
thank you for giving us a chance to consider your manuscript
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
Baby throws a carrot on the floor and I joke about the "hungry children in Africa" spiel that was common when I was a kid, to which mother-in-law replies that back in her time it was the "hungry children of Europe" ☠️
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Miguel Faria e Castro @mfariacastro.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
Performance das economias espanhola e portuguesa face a Alemanha. Penso que isto tem pouco a ver com politicas especificas e tem principalmente a ver com factores estruturais de longo prazo: declinio da manufactura, adiado desde fim do sec XX, e supremacia do turismo como base da economia europeia
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