iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

This is extraordinarily blatant

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samuel mehr @mehr.nz · 21/07/2026

the most realistic scene in Jurassic Park is when two scientists make a questionable decision — traveling to an undisclosed location with a strange man — on the promise of three years of modest funding

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

I mean, they’ve could’ve just kept the plane on the ground…

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Klopp and Liverpool “flew around in circles” over Nice with Mbappe” in a private jet with “five rooms or something” trying to reach an agreement, because they didn’t want to be seen. Wonder why we’re not making progress on climate change? www.bbc.com/sport/footba...

bbc.com

Kylian Mbappe: Jurgen Klopp reveals how Liverpool tried to sign France striker

Jurgen Klopp says he "flew around in a circle" in a private plane with Kylian Mbappe and his family when he tried to sign him for Liverpool a decade ago.

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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

A corrupt sports organisation running a tournament in a corrupt nation.

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Daniel Sugarman @danielsugarman.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

So Trump leant on Infantino and hey presto, suddenly Balogun is free to play again

Super Hans: The secret ingredient is crime

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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 02/07/2026

Do group-based inequalities feel more unjust? In POQ, Leipziger et al. find limited evidence that intergroup inequality is perceived as more unfair and evokes stronger feelings of injustice than interpersonal inequality. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

From March 2026 - How Violations of Electoral Integrity Undermine Partisan Attachments - cup.org/4rkKiPC - @aarslew.bsky.social #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract about electoral integrity in the United States discusses voters' responses to anti-democratic behavior, partisan attachments, and the implications for democracy and party dynamics.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Kort sagt: Forskningen tyder på, at gaver næppe flytter stemmer, men risikerer at sende et uheldigt signal om kandidaten. Det er værd at tænke over, når næste svinemørbrad ryger i ovnen.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Reaktionerne på gaver og stemmekøb hænger sammen med noget bredere: vælgere går meget op i, at valg foregår fair. Forskning og "virkeligheden" viser, at mange rundt om i vestlige demokratier er villige til at gå på kompromis med demokratiske normer. Men forskning tyder på, at valg er noget særligt.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Og det adskiller sig fra valgkampene i det globale syd, hvor alle kandidater giver den samme type af gaver: små pengesumme, tøj, ris og andre madvarer. Hvordan kombinationen af gaver og policysignaler spiller sammen ved vi ikke så meget om.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Jeg tror ikke, at uddelingen af fx en svinemørbrad eller dunk benzin ligefrem skræmmer vælgere væk. Her kommer en lille krølle og noget vi ikke ved så meget om. Ikke tilfældigt, at Danmarksdemokraterne giver en svinemørbrad mens Moderaterne giver strøm til elbilen ud. Der er klare policy-signaler.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Og her viser resultaterne det samme billede: vælgere synes generelt rigtig dårligt om det. Opfattet valgintegritet falder, og opbakningen til det ansvarlige parti styrtdykker. Danske vælgere er faktisk mere sensitive over for den slags end vælgere i fx Mexico, fordi de forventer rent trav.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Kan vi overføre til vores egen lille andedam? Måske, måske ikke. Men jeg har tidligere undersøgt, hvordan bl.a. danske vælgere reagerer på stemmekøb. Gaveuddeling er ikke decideret stemmekøb, men noget tyder på, at det er det, nogle vælgere tænker: www.tv2ostjylland.dk/vaelgere-er-...

tv2ostjylland.dk

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Gaver signalerer ikke generøsitet, men signalerer at kandidaten vil “købe stemmer”. Andre studier finder ligefrem, at vælgere foretrækker kandidater der vil forbyde den slags gaver fremfor dem der giver dem.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Sidespring til Malawi. @mbechseeberg.bsky.social og jeg har undersøgt, hvad vælgere lærer om kandidater, der deler gaver ud. Resultat: Vælgerne infererer, at kandidaten primært er interesseret i at mele sin egen kage; de vil bare gerne vælges og så ser man dem aldrig igen.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Men når vi dykker længere ned, bliver det klart, at gaver kan være en decideret dårlig idé. Hvorfor? Fordi vælgerne drager nogle ret negative konklusioner om, hvilken slags kandidat de har med at gøre.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Det oplagte spørgsmål først. Flytter det stemmer? Kort svar: næppe. Der er efterhånden ret bred enighed i forskningen om, at små gaver (“handouts”) ikke ændrer folks stemmeadfærd. Faktisk vil de fleste vælgere i nyere demokratier kende til sloganet: "Tag deres penge og stem med din samvittighed."

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Hvad ved vi egentlig fra forskning om, hvorvidt den slags virker? Selvom den her gaveregn måske virker ny i dansk politik, er det en velkendt kampagnetaktik i nyere demokratier i det globale syd.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

Gratis svinemørbrad, benzin, eller strøm til din elbil? Danske politikere har fået smag for at dele gaver ud til vælgerne (nyheder.tv2.dk/live/politik...) Men er det en god idé? Kort svar fra forskningen: næppe. Faktisk kan det give bagslag. En tråd.

nyheder.tv2.dk

Danmarksdemokraterne deler gratis svinemørbrad ud

Danmarksdemokraterne og Inger Støjberg vil dele gratis svinemørbrad ud på Nytorv i Aalborg lørdag fra klokken 10-11.30 – muligvis inspireret af Dansk Folkepart...

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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

What a paragraph. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 13/03/2026

Vilde takes! Sjældent forskere tør være så bramfri

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Very happy to see this out in @bjpols.bsky.social The last paper from my dissertation has found a home

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

The bottom line is that partisans aren't so blinded by in-party loyalty that they willingly do away with democracy. Costs accrue as alienation rather than ballot-box punishment (at least in one-shot experiments). doi.org/10.1017/S000...

doi.org

How Violations of Electoral Integrity Undermine Partisan Attachments | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core

How Violations of Electoral Integrity Undermine Partisan Attachments - Volume 56

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Source matters: learning about gerrymandering from a co-partisan outlet erodes attachments, but identical info from an out-party media is discounted. Media polarization and distrust may shield elites.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Even legally murky, non-explicitly illegitimate subversion (gerrymandering) reduces in-party attachments. Partisans disapprove of redrawing electoral maps to get an edge in elections, though less sharply than for blatant cheating.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

The "good" news is that cheating strongly alienates the party base. In-party attachments plummet and out-party hostility decreases. Partisans become more ambivalent: less strongly attached to their side AND less hostile to opponents.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

The "bad" news is that, consistent with prior work, vote-switching remains rare. Even clear electoral subversion only shifts 6pp. toward voting for the other party.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Three pre-registered survey experiments in the US (N = 8,800) provide information about electoral subversion to partisan voters. Violations (based on real-world incidents) range from blatant fraud and misinformation to gerrymandering. Study 3 adds partisan media source cues.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

In this paper, I complement vote-choice measures with a more pliable support measure: partisan affective attachments. Using more sensitive indicators of voter alienation will help us understand voters' tolerance and support for electoral violations.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Prior work suggests that parties can undermine democracy with impunity due to low defection rates. But crossing party lines to punish anti-democratic behavior is an almost insurmountable obstacle for many voters. Non-punishment ≠ tolerance or support.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

Much research concludes that partisans tolerate anti-democratic behavior, such as electoral subversion, because they rarely punish it at the ballot box. But refusing to vote against your party and actively supporting democratic subversion are not the same thing. My new paper in @bjpols.bsky.social:

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Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social · 20/08/2025

Are regimes with higher nr's of core supporters more durable? Are regimes with more diverse coalitions of supporters more durable? In this (published today) @cpsjournal.bsky.social article, @sirianned.bsky.social , @magnusrasmussen.bsky.social , and @torewig.bsky.social I answer "Yes" to both Qs.

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Anja Neundorf @anjaneundorf.bsky.social · 01/09/2025

🚨 New publication alert! 🚨 Why do some people keep voting throughout their lives while others drop out? And how do authoritarian elections - even uncompetitive ones- shape citizens’ habits? Ksenia Northmore-Ball and I tackle these questions in my new paper, now out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social.

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

Re. Trump’s comments on Kimmel, do you know who else have “bad ratings”?

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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)? ➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 18/09/2025

Det er altså ikke bare anklager for upassende bemærkninger om Kirks død, men også massivt pres fra den amerikanske regering. Altså repression og censur: www.nytimes.com/2025/09/17/b...

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 13/09/2025

Check out this paper with @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social in @psrm.bsky.social. We examine whether social desirability bias contaminates survey measures of democratic support. tl/dr: we find no evidence to suggest that SDB inflates support for democracy in commonly used survey measures

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Pedro Magalhães @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)

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Kristian Frederiksen @kristianvsf.bsky.social · 10/09/2025

Arrived and all set for #APSA2025 with two papers: Public Opinion and the Restoration of Democracy with @robbwiller.bsky.social and @m-b-petersen.bsky.social (Thur at 12) What Elites Believe About Opposing Trump with @aarslew.bsky.social and Martin Bisgaard (Sun at 8) See you at the conference!

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Svend-Erik Skaaning @skaaning.bsky.social · 08/04/2025

Who supports free speech, and how consistent is the support? Together with @suthank.bsky.social, I’ve conducted a survey of citizens in 33 countries for The Future of Free Speech. A lot of interesting findings (see 🧵 + link): futurefreespeech.org/wp-content/u...

futurefreespeech.org

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 04/03/2025

Steve Levitsky gives the canonical answer about whether defending democracy is the right answer electorally for Democrats - that can't be the question. *Society* has to defend democracy and the Constitution, or they could cease to exist. nymag.com/intelligence...

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Laurits Aarslew @aarslew.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

Spot the difference! Hint: one of them is a dictator, who ruled Turkmenistan for more than 20 years... #Trump #Gaza #Trumpgaza

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Jonathan S Doucette @jdoucette.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

cambridge.org

What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core

What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data?

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Anne Rasmussen @annerasmussen.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

Delighted that @gregoryeady.bsky.social and my paper "Gendered Perceptions and the Costs of Political Toxicity: Experimental Evidence from Politicians and Citizens in Four Democracies" is now online @apsrjournal.bsky.social (Open access) More in this [1/14]

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Mathias Kruse @matkruse.bsky.social · 28/11/2024

Does childhood exposure to coethnics impede or promote the acquisition of citizenship? In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

pnas.org

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Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

Polisky Dictatorsky Our starter pack keeps on growing! Check it out!

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Michael Bang Petersen @m-b-petersen.bsky.social · 23/11/2024

The victory march of democracy has ended What can we as researchers do? In the Scandinavian countries, a particular tool is available: Democracy & Power Studies. The Danish government appointed me as director of such a study. We started our work this year. A 🧵 on what we do & how we do it 1/8

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