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Reposted by Dante Grasso

Alex Boreham @cyclonicwx.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

Recon is heading into #Erin as we speak. Will be good to know its exact position, how strong it is, and how much tilt there is. This data will be a big help for the forecasts

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Alex Boreham @cyclonicwx.bsky.social · 14/08/2025

The newest bursts of convection with #Erin have been powerful. When seen on a loop, you can see their impact quite well, looking almost like shockwaves emanating from where they began. Looks pretty cool!

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

A pair of microwave passes suggest that Hurricane #Henriette completed an eyewall replacement cycle yesterday. A window of further intensification exists today at an unusually high latitude for a Pacific hurricane.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

Latest ASCAT now confirms gale force winds and a closed center well embedded in the deep convection. #Erin is likely coming at 15z.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

Upper environment for Invest #97L is quite favorable for the next 4 to 5 days, with dual outflow channels and a potent upper level anticyclone. Given how convectively active it looks, odds are increasing for a significant hurricane before encountering increased shear from an upper trough.

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Senator Bernie Sanders @sanders.senate.gov · 01/08/2025

Today's jobs report shows what many Americans already knew: despite record highs in the stock market, the “economy” is not working for ordinary people. Rather than accept reality & try to address it, Trump chooses to fire the bearers of bad news. This is what authoritarians do.

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Michael Lowry @michaelrlowry.bsky.social · 29/07/2025

🚨🚨 I've independently confirmed with @NOAA that they received a late-breaking notice from @DeptofDefense that SSMIS data will continue to flow for the remainder of the lifespan of the satellites. I will be updating my reporting shortly. Here is the official NOAA statement 👇

NOAA statement issued July 29, 2025: NOAA will continue to have access to data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program for the duration of the Program’s life span. The DMSP is a single dataset in a robust suite of hurricane forecasting and modeling tools in the NWS portfolio. Current forecast models continue to include data from:
• GOES and other geostationary Earth-observing satellites
• Polar-orbiting satellites, including Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) and EUMETSAT MetOp
• Hurricane Hunter aircraft reconnaissance missions and other aircraft-based observations
• Observations on the ground and from buoys
• Radiosondes and supplemental upper air soundings
• Ground-based weather radar sites in the U.S. and neighboring countries
In particular, the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS), currently flying on NOAA’s JPSS, provides the richest, most accurate satellite weather observations available. NOAA’s data sources are fully capable of providing a complete suite of cutting-edge data and models that ensure the gold-standard weather forecasting the American people deserve.

For more information regarding DSMP, please reach out to the Department of Defense.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 29/07/2025

Hurricane #Iona has continued its rapid intensification episode overnight. Although the eye has not fully cleared, the CDO has become quite circular and upper level outflow remains well established. Satellite classifications from SAB and JTWC support T6.0/115 kts.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 28/07/2025

A passing Kelvin Wave has resulted in monsoon trough penetration past 140W and the development of an upper anticyclone until around 150W. This is in contrast to the La Niña and -PDO/PMM dominant conditions that have shut down this region of the world since 2019.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 28/07/2025

First visible and IR imagery shows hot towers lingering in the southwest quadrant of Hurricane #Iona, which has rapidly intensified since yesterday. This episode is likely to continue until westerly shear picks up overnight. To the left, Tropical Depression #02C has also formed.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 27/07/2025

Hurricane and global models agree that #Krosa will suffer from a significant dry air intrusion in about 18-24 hours, likely as a result of persistent northerly flow. Whether the peak tomorrow will be the final peak is still to be determined.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 27/07/2025

After eroding an upper level low, Typhoon #Krosa has managed to find a favorable environment that has yielded intensification. Microwave imagery suggests an inner core is forming and deep convection has recently wrapped into the northwest quadrant.

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Philippe Papin @pppapin.bsky.social · 26/07/2025

Not hard to see what is causing the abrupt uptick in convective activity in the Central & East Pacific. A potent Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave, #CCKW, has been marching eastward, activating the #ITCZ. This convection may aid #ITCZ breakdown, with 3️⃣ areas being monitored for #TC formation.

Plot of the western hemisphere showing the filtered Kelvin Wave band (blue solid lines indicate upward vertical motion). Note the wave propagating eastward across from 22 Jul to 29 Jul (following the blue arrow).

GOES-18 Full Disk View Infrared Satellite Image valid 2205 UTC 26 July. Annotated is the bubble is convection being enhanced by the CCKW.

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook for 11am PDT highlighting three areas for development.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 24/07/2025

With deep convection wrapping around, a ragged warm spot has become apparent. However, time is running out as #Co-May is likely only a couple hours from making landfall in Luzon.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 24/07/2025

Significant outflow layer shear from the anticyclone of #Framsico has made it difficult for Tropical Storm #Krosa to sustained organized deep convection. However, it has not stopped a a well-defined curved band signature and a low-level primitive core from forming.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 23/07/2025

After forming yesterday, Tropical Storm #Co-may has been quickly intensifying, with an expansive CDO, well established anticyclonic outflow, and a small but not yet fully closed core. With moderate easterly shear, additional intensification is likely in the short term.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 22/07/2025

With low frequency forcing still centered near the Philippines and the passage of multiple Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves across the Pacific, upper level conditions will be quite favorable for tropical cyclone activity across both the eastern and western Pacific over the next few weeks.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 20/07/2025

Although IR remains lackluster, #Wipha has become much better organized on radar, likely in response to friction with the coastline, with a well defined eye now apparent.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 19/07/2025

A Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave is passing through the tropical Pacific, increasing convection near 125W. As it progresses through, low level westerlies and anticyclonic flow aloft may aid in the development of an unusually far west northeastern Pacific tropical cyclone for late July.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 19/07/2025

The passage of the Madden Julian Oscillation has increased convection over the western Pacific, but upper toughing initially prevented any consolidated tropical cyclones from forming. As upper troughing has lifted out, European ensemble members have begun to show an increase in TC activity.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 19/07/2025

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 19/07/2025

Tropical Storm #Wipha is intensifying this evening, with IR showing a shrimp look as convection attempts to wrap around. Radar shows a partial eyewall. Easterly shear will likely prevent significant intensification prior to reaching southern China in a little over 24 hours, however.

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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 18/07/2025

Not really an overstatement to say that the test of a free society is whether or not comedians can make fun of the country's leader on TV without repurcussions.

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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 18/07/2025

CBS canceled Colbert’s show just THREE DAYS after Colbert called out CBS parent company Paramount for its $16M settlement with Trump – a deal that looks like bribery. America deserves to know if his show was canceled for political reasons. Watch and share his message.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

Latest ASCAT from Tropical Storm #01S shows gale force winds. With undersampling, that supports around 45 kts. Strong wind shear is displacing the convection from the center, although this shear could relax tomorrow as it aligns more favorably with an approaching trough.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 17/07/2025

Trump’s approval rating just hit a new low — he’s now at 42.5% approve and -11 net among adults www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data

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Michael Lowry @michaelrlowry.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

Some encouraging news over the past week and especially today as bipartisan Congressional committees widely reject proposed cuts to NOAA that would decimate hurricane forecasting. The very latest from me ⬇️

michaelrlowry.substack.com

Congressional Committees Reject Deep NOAA Cuts Proposed by Trump Administration

Bipartisan appropriations committees in the House and Senate widely reject severe cuts affecting the future of hurricane forecasting

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Ryan Goodman @rgoodlaw.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

2/2 Coach Wilder asks to speak about Tom Homan's statement about going after people based on appearance. Moving personal account, also discusses chilling effect, absence of people in the park today, kids not showing up to baseball practice Monday after ICE intimidation.

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John Gasaway @johngasaway.bsky.social · 14/07/2025

I hosted a roundtable discussion with everyone who agrees with me that we should expand the tournament. Perhaps you'll be persuaded by what @kenpom.com‬ and I say. If so you'll boost our club's membership by 50 percent. johngasaway.substack.com/p/ken-pomero...

johngasaway.substack.com

Ken Pomeroy and I still believe

No, really, expand the field

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

Tropical Storm #Nari has roared convection into the upshear semicircle this morning, aiding in the erosion of a nearby upper level low. Upper level outflow is well defined and typical of a north moving system. Latest ASCAT supports an intensity of around 60 knots.

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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 12/07/2025

The new Grok is a racist disaster apparently. When asked to rank "deserving immigrants", gave extra points for Europeans. When asked about the neo-Nazi party in Germany: “If you’re German, consider voting AfD for change.”

theatlantic.com

Elon Musk Updated Grok. Guess What It Said?

After praising Hitler earlier this week, the chatbot is now listing the “good races.”

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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 10/07/2025

The American public elected a president and administration who whether they knew it or not was intent on dismantling the very things that made America the economic and cultural envy of the world. That is the story of Trump 2.0.

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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 09/07/2025

The actual cycle of Twitter is that it was exploited by liars and Nazis in 2016 and so the company tightened its moderation rules and then a bunch of people on the right caught up in those rules decided it was biased and that included Musk who bought it and has now automated the Nazi lies.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 06/07/2025

Although starting to interact with Taiwan now, Typhoon. #Danas likely briefly reached major equivalent intensity overnight as its eye briefly cleared significantly.

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Matt Lanza @mattlanza.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Everyone making comments about DOGE and FEMA as it relates to the Texas flooding is insulting to the NWS employees working this event that were well aware of how bad this was becoming. Plenty of opportunities to use those arguments elsewhere.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Vortical hot towers of soon to be Typhoon #Danas are quickly wrapping around, outlining an eyewall. A rapid intensification episode is likely underway.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Vortical hot towers of soon to be Typhoon #Danas are quickly wrapping around, outlining an eyewall. A rapid intensification episode is likely underway.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

After days of beating back an upper-level outflow and several dry air intrusions, #Mun has become better organized today, with a distinct eye appear on visible along with a warm spot on IR. Its structure resembles several compact Atlantic hurricanes in the subtropics in recent years.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Tropical Storm #Danas has wrapped convection alongside the western semicircle. Curved banding features and equatorial outflow are well established. Northwesterly shear is expected to reduce and an intensifying ULAC is forecast to amplify poleward outflow tomorrow, which will aid strengthening.

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Senator Bernie Sanders @sanders.senate.gov · 04/07/2025

On July 4, 1776, Americans declared to the world their belief in freedom, not despotism. 249 years later Americans all across the country remain true to those beliefs. YES to freedom. NO to despotism.

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · 04/07/2025

I cannot emphasize enough how true & real this is. In almost anywhere on the political spectrum you ID with or major issue, there’s probably a bot/troll operation to encourage your rage and vitriol. And how/where that rage gets directed, esp understandable rage, is what they are out to influence.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 02/07/2025

After an earlier dry air intrusion, Hurricane #Flossie has recovered, with the eye rapidly warming over the last hour, although some convection remains stuck on the eastern semicircle. About 15 hours left for Flossie before thermodynamic support collapses.

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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

For perspective: a recent study suggested that economic savings from just a *single* well-predicted hurricane, thanks to NOAA research advancements, are on order of *$5 billion.* That exceeds NOAA's *entire proposed annual operating budget.* So much for government efficiency.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

Hurricane #Flossie is rapidly intensifying. IR imagery and first visible image show a ragged eye that is mostly closed off on microwave. Convective symmetry has also steadily improved with multiple hot towers wrapping. Good chance at a major hurricane later today.

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Dante Grasso @yellowevan.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

After some hiccups earlier today, convection has wrapped along the western semicircle of #Flossie. Last visible pictures of the day strongly resembles a hurricane, although satellite classifications do not yet fully support.

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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 30/06/2025

Trump will stop at nothing to protect billionaires and price gouging corporations, even racist bullshit like this. Zohran won because he ran a campaign laser focused on putting power back in the hands of working people. And that's a threat to the Mar a Lago crowd.

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 30/06/2025

What a tragedy this is even being proposed on paper... 💔 NOAA FY2026 Congressional Justification: www.noaa.gov/sites/defaul...

Termination of OAR’s Climate Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes (-$102,292, -204 FTE/ -216 Positions) –NOAA will continue to support high priority ocean and weather research programs in NOS and NWS.

In coordination with the requested terminations for Weather Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes (see OAR-10) and Ocean Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes (see OAR-19), NOAA will close the Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) in Miami, FL; the Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) in College Park, MD, Idaho Falls, ID, and Oak Ridge, TN, as well as a nation-wide network of soil moisture sensors; the Chemical Sciences Laboratory (CSL) in Boulder, CO; the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) in Princeton, NJ; the Global Monitoring Laboratory (GML) in Boulder, CO, Utqiaġvik, AK, Mauna Loa, HI, Hilo, HI, Big Island, HI, American Samoa, and the South Pole; the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) in Seattle, WA; and the Physical Sciences Laboratory (PSL) in Boulder, CO.

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