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Victoria Guida

@vtg2.bsky.social
5.8K followers 315 following 189 posts

Economics correspondent and columnist at Politico. Signal: vguida.28

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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The age of the AI personal assistant is here, courtesy of Meta, and it could bring about a reckoning for the global financial system. It’s the latest wake-up call for banks and their regulators about the dangers posed by a swiftly emerging wave of technology www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
politico.com
AI agents threaten banks’ cash cows
Financial firms, regulators and lawmakers are grappling with how the technology might affect depositor behavior.
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Nancy @plaintanjane.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social for @politico.com
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Fed's Warsh faces new pressure to hike rates after inflation heats up www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
politico.com
Fed's Warsh faces new pressure to hike rates after inflation heats up
A decision to raise rates next week would come at a politically fraught time — less than two months before a midterm election that will determine control of Congress.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
President Trump’s war in the Middle East for months has thwarted GOP plans to run on pocketbook issues this fall Now, with the midterm elections a mere weeks away, it’s likely too late to stem the political fallout via Ben Lefebvre and me: www.politico.com/news/2026/09...
politico.com
‘No good options’: GOP’s midterm hopes suffer under energy inflation
Relentlessly rising fuel costs are feeding inflation and threatening Republican reelection chances.
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Politico @politico.com · 27/08/2026
COLUMN: Will Kevin Warsh squander a huge opportunity? The new Fed chair will have the spotlight at the central bank’s high-profile conference in Jackson Hole. He should use it, writes our @vtg2.bsky.social.
politico.com
Will Kevin Warsh Squander a Huge Opportunity?
The new Fed chair will have the spotlight at the central bank’s high-profile conference in Jackson Hole. He should use it.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
When Kevin Warsh takes the stage in Jackson Hole in his inaugural remarks for the Fed’s annual conference — & his first official speech in his new role— his most important audience is probably the one in the room: his fellow policymakers My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
Will Kevin Warsh Squander a Huge Opportunity?
The new Fed chair will have the spotlight at the central bank’s high-profile conference in Jackson Hole. He should use it.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Congress’s new, bipartisan housing law is expected to lower the price of manufactured homes. But the law doesn’t fully address interest rates for the loans on those homes, which often reach near double digits. www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
politico.com
Congress made it cheaper to build manufactured homes. They’re still expensive to buy.
Policymakers from both sides of the aisle are hoping to fix manufactured housing’s finance problem.
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GOLIKEHELLMACHINE @golikehellmachine.com · 21/08/2026
this feels like one of those stories that will be extremely relevant six months from now
politico.com
The Iran war is testing a depleted Treasury
An exodus of top Treasury officials comes as Secretary Scott Bessent is poised to play an even larger role in the Iran war.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Bessent promised to unleash economic fury on Iran that has “never been seen” in U.S. history, the latest project in his ever-growing list of responsibilities At the same time, the team around him keeps shrinking By me, @meganmesserly.bsky.social & Michael Stratford www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
politico.com
Bessent’s portfolio keeps growing. His team is getting smaller.
An exodus of top Treasury officials comes as Secretary Scott Bessent is poised to play an even larger role in the Iran war.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
Scooplet: Christina Skinner, the Treasury official who oversees FSOC, is leaving to return to academia. Her last day is Friday. “This felt like the right moment to return to Wharton to bring the perspective I gained in government to bear,” she told me subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2026...
subscriber.politicopro.com
POLITICO Pro: FSOC official set to depart Treasury
Christina Skinner, the Treasury official in charge of overseeing the Financial Stability Oversight Council, will return to academia.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
The Trump admin has granted preliminary approval for a crypto venture backed by Trump’s family to run a federally chartered trust bank Trump disclosed nearly $600M in income from World Liberty token & equity sales in 2025 www.politico.com/news/2026/08...
politico.com
Trump-appointed regulator OKs banking license for Trump-linked crypto firm
The decision would give new powers and federal credibility to a venture in which the president and his family retain a substantial financial interest.
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Mike Madowitz @mikemadowitz.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Always read @vtg2.bsky.social !
politico.com
Why the Fed’s ambiguity is a Treasury problem
The U.S. Treasury might have to borrow $1.45 trillion more than it has already baked into its schedule over the next two fiscal years.
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Colby Smith @colbylsmith.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
SCOOP: Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings the Fed holds each year. He raised the idea at this week's meeting, according to four people with knowledge of the situation
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Politico @politico.com · 29/07/2026
Fed divided over decision to keep rates on hold
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Fed divided over decision to keep rates on hold
The 9-3 vote to keep borrowing costs unchanged is a reprieve for President Donald Trump from the prospect of higher rates, though it's not clear how long it will last.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
Some lawmakers worry the Department of Housing and Urban Development is too understaffed to quickly issue new rules and implement the new housing bill, aimed at making building and buying homes cheaper and easier. www.politico.com/news/2026/07...
politico.com
Congress wants to get more homes built quickly. That might be harder after DOGE.
Washington wants to address the urgent housing supply crisis. A diminished federal workforce could stand in the way.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
A team of economists with Dem ties has crafted a health care proposal designed to reduce medical bills. The central idea: capping the amount of money people pay out of pocket in any month. w/ @davidlim.bsky.social www.politico.com/newsletters/...
politico.com
An out-of-pocket prescription
A team of economists with ties to the Democratic Party has crafted a health care proposal designed to reduce Americans’ medical bills.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
Some Democratic lawmakers are warning that the Fed's policy of saying less could give Wall Street insiders an unfair edge. www.politico.com/news/2026/07...
politico.com
Democrats warn Warsh that 'quieter Fed' could benefit Wall Street
It's the first public test of the Fed chief's ability to manage an institution whose sprawling mandate includes both setting interest rate policy and overseeing banks.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
“The advancement and diffusion of knowledge is the only guardian of true liberty.” — James Madison Happy 250th birthday, USA 🇺🇸
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
“.. Trump lacks focus,” a former Trump official told me, with palpable frustration. “Trump had the opportunity to be transformational. Instead, he’s going to be transitional at best.” @politico.com www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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Politico @politico.com · 03/07/2026
COLUMN: Trump’s economic policy legacy is shrinking. It didn’t have to be this way. The president doesn’t like win-win deals. But he missed a chance to build cross-party support for more populist ideas, writes our @vtg2.bsky.social.
politico.com
Trump’s Economic Policy Legacy is Shrinking. It Didn’t Have to Be This Way.
The president doesn’t like win-win deals. But he missed a chance to build cross-party support for more populist ideas.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
It’s not hard to imagine an alternative world where Trump actively tried to capitalize on his successful scrambling of GOP orthodoxy by securing legislative outcomes no other president could pull off. That’s not the route he’s taken. My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
Trump’s Economic Policy Legacy is Shrinking. It Didn’t Have to Be This Way.
The president doesn’t like win-win deals. But he missed a chance to build cross-party support for more populist ideas.
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Matt Peterson @mattpeterson.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Sheila Bair: "'Crypto assets, they aren’t backed with anything but algorithms or a wing and a prayer or a presidential name, or whatever. I’m not a fan of those, and I think there is a lot of risk in that segment of the 'crypto market.'" Good interview
politico.com
‘Hugely Troubling’: A Former Wall Street Regulator Is Getting Nervous
Are regulators sowing the seeds of another bank bailout?
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
.@sheilabair.bsky.social warned about the risky mortgage lending practices that precipitated the 2008 financial crisis Now, the former head of the FDIC is warning that today’s regulators are forgetting the lessons of that painful saga My latest: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
‘Hugely Troubling’: A Former Wall Street Regulator Is Getting Nervous
Are regulators sowing the seeds of another bank bailout?
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
Bill Pulte, a regulator charged with overseeing the mortgage market, is taking on a second job acting as the country’s top intelligence official — after rebranding his little-known agency into a major political tool for President Trump. Deep dive by Cassandra Dumay: www.politico.com/news/2026/06...
politico.com
How Trump’s new acting intel chief Bill Pulte won him over
In naming Pulte acting director of national intelligence, Trump is rewarding an operative who has used his perch to try to secure political wins.
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Michael Kruse @michaelkruse.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
“Gambling feels good right away because it’s the dopamine rush, but it doesn’t build anything.”
politico.com
‘Everything in Life Should Not Be a Gambling Experience’
There’s supposed to be a line between investing and gambling. Congress might have to define the difference.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
What’s the line between gambling and investing? My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
‘This Could Get Out of Hand’: Prediction Markets Force the Question on Gambling
There’s supposed to be a line between investing and gambling. Congress might have to define the difference.
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David Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Victoria Guida of @politico.com : An underrated aspect of Powell’s legacy is how he pivoted in key moments when there was evidence that the Fed needed to change course. www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
An Overlooked Lesson From Jay Powell’s Fed
Often the best hope for central bankers is to minimize mistakes and stay humble.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Next month, I will have been covering the Federal Reserve for 10 years. In my latest column, I reflect a bit on an underrated lesson from Jay Powell’s tenure www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
An Overlooked Lesson From Jay Powell’s Fed
Often the best hope for central bankers is to minimize mistakes and stay humble.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Donald Trump is finally getting his new Federal Reserve chief, after more than a year of frustration with Chair Jerome Powell. But the president still probably won’t secure the one thing he wants most www.politico.com/news/2026/05...
politico.com
Why Kevin Warsh is likely to run afoul of Trump at the Fed
Price spikes because of the war in Iran and internal divisions on the central bank will make it difficult for the incoming Fed chair to cut interest rates quickly.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
“Kevin Warsh is the dog who caught the car. I say that with great affection and sympathy.” My column dispatch from Warsh’s intellectual home: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
‘Affection And Sympathy’: Kevin Warsh’s Friends See Threats All Around Him
In Warsh’s intellectual stomping ground, anxiety runs high about the challenges facing the Federal Reserve.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
Chair Powell says Fed independence is "at risk." "We're having to resort to the courts to enforce our legal — it's not so much independence. It's really the ability to make monetary policy without political considerations ... We've been successful so far, but that's not over."
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Politico @politico.com · 16/04/2026
COLUMN: The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way, but he’s making that outcome less and less likely by the day, writes our economics correspondent Victoria Guida. “Trump seems to be trying to find a way to turn an easy win on the Fed into a long slog of a loss.”
politico.com
How Trump Is Sabotaging Himself on the Federal Reserve
The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way. He’s making that outcome less and less likely by the day.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
President Trump seems to be trying to find a way to turn an easy win on the Fed into a long slog of a loss. My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
How Trump Is Sabotaging Himself on the Federal Reserve
The president wants Jerome Powell out of the way. He’s making that outcome less and less likely by the day.
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The Athletic @theathletic.com · 13/04/2026
RORY MCILROY WINS THE 2026 MASTERS.
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Guy Berger @econberger.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
The "incredible zig-zagging employment situation" - my comments to @vtg2.bsky.social at @politico.com on Friday. www.politico.com/news/2026/04...
politico.com
Job growth shatters expectations in March, in boost to Trump
That report gives the president some useful talking points as polling shows deep dissatisfaction with the state of the economy.
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Politico @politico.com · 29/03/2026
After an extensive search, POLITICO announced today that Jonathan Greenberger will be the organization’s next Global Editor-in-Chief, effective May 1. bit.ly/4tdYtaz
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Politico @politico.com · 26/03/2026
COLUMN: U.S. trading partners are weighing boxing out Trump on trade, writes our @vtg2.bsky.social. Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
politico.com
Carney's Grand Ambition On Trade Does Not Include Trump
Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
“I’ve seen the United States as a natural leader of the free world,“ former NATO head Anders Fogh Rasmussen told me. “But if the United States wants to retire from that role, then others will have to take over.” My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
‘If The United States Wants To Retire ... Others Will Have To Take Over’
Trade ministers from Europe and Asia-Pacific countries will meet on the sidelines of a WTO gathering this week to hammer out priorities for building an alliance that excludes the U.S.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Register for next week’s first-ever Politico econ summit! I’ll be interviewing White House trade adviser Peter Navarro politicos2026economysummit.splashthat.com
politicos2026economysummit.splashthat.com
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Politico @politico.com · 18/03/2026
Fog of war clouds global rate cut outlook
dlvr.it
Fog of war clouds global rate cut outlook
The specter of a prolonged energy crunch could dash the hopes of consumers, businesses and investors worldwide for rate cuts this year.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
"To the press alone, chequered as it is with abuses, the world is indebted for all the triumphs which have been gained by reason and humanity over error and oppression." Happy 275th birthday, James Madison!
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
I wonder what Moo Deng is up to these days
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Politico @politico.com · 10/03/2026
Tillis ‘optimistic’ roadblock to Fed chair confirmation will be resolved
dlvr.it
Tillis ‘optimistic’ roadblock to Fed chair confirmation will be resolved
The North Carolina Republican was scheduled to meet with Kevin Warsh on Tuesday, one of a series of sessions the Fed nominee is holding with senators.
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Gbenga Ajilore @gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
I think we are finally seeing the limits of this gambling as described in this @vtg2.bsky.social piece from earlier. www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy — And Getting Away With It
President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
President Trump’s disruptive policies have left some dents, including serious damage to his approval rating, but by the biggest readings of its health, the U.S. economy largely keeps absorbing what he throws at it. My latest column: www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
Trump Keeps Gambling With the Economy — And Getting Away With It
President Donald Trump has taken one risk after another that could have destabilized the American economy. Iran is the latest crisis to test U.S. economic resilience.
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The process and legal fights over paying back import taxes will help shove tariffs back into voters’ minds, as well as provide them an excruciatingly detailed civics lesson in who literally pays the levies. (Hint: it’s not foreign governments.) www.politico.com/newsletters/...
politico.com
Who pays the tariffs? Voters will soon find out
The tariffs have proved unpopular in polling, so more attention on them might mean more electoral losses for Republicans in November.
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Politico @politico.com · 18/02/2026
Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs
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Hassett says Fed staff should be 'disciplined' for reporting the US pays tariff costs
The Trump economic adviser called it “the worst paper I’ve ever seen in the history of the Federal Reserve System.”
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Victoria Guida @vtg2.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
This is an extremely honest answer, and nothing but respect to this person for telling it like it is. But…. 🙃
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Simon Lester @simonlester.com · 17/02/2026
Is it way too early to speculate about AOC's foreign/trade policy as president? Yes! Is it fun to do it anyway? Absolutely! Based on her remarks in Europe, I took a shot at it. And even if you don't care what I had to say, you may still like the partial transcript I provided at the end.
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AOC on Foreign Policy and Trade Policy
AOC spoke on a couple panels last week at the Munich Security Conference and also spoke at the Technische Universität Berlin, and this European trip was widely seen as a move to establish some foreign...
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Politico @politico.com · 16/02/2026
Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.
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Trump wants the Fed to cut rates. Kevin Warsh has bigger plans.
Any turbulence that pushes up longer-term rates would clash with the president’s goal of cutting borrowing costs for the government and lowering mortgage rates.
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