vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Minor point here re, this tragedy. Yes, evil and hard-heartedness explains part of what is happening to the trans community. But it is also caused by how stupid we are about statistics. And by we I mean people with PhDs who should know better. This is Fisher. Killing people from his grave. 010
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyMark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 03/10/2026~Approximately no one in the general public knows because the leaders of the R1 research universities - whose budgets, programs, & personnel are entirely or significantly dependent on federal funding - have been totally absent from the public square in explaining & collectively protesting this. 27787307
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 03/10/2026Reposting this for the title alone, although I’m sure the rest of the paper is also good! 3724
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 03/10/2026This is hard and delicious to watch. This gives us a view of what might have been. And a moment’s glimpse of us not being the stupidest, most selfish, and greediest people. 120
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 03/10/2026Science. 000
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyQasim Rashid, Esq. @qasimrashid.com · 26/09/2026These 7 men at Cornell drugged & raped a woman for hours, then called their friends to come rape her. 2 men got expelled. 5 had to write letter of apology. 0 faced any consequences. Men throughout the societal ladder are complicit. Women are not safe around men. 91752421
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyVicki Jared @vjared.bsky.social · 28/09/2026 0108
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyPedro Madeira Antunes @1pantunes.bsky.social · 30/07/2025Very happy to announce the very first M.Sc. in Biology thesis defence @algomau.bsky.social . This moment marks a transformative milestone in scientific research, placing our school on the map as a rising hub for advanced knowledge and discovery. 002
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Moral disengagement. 010
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I just wrote a book arguing that a personality trait is a possible cause of COVID attitudes, confounding the effect of party ID. I cited a 2021 marketing article arguing that travel agencies should target people with this personality trait because they would risk crowds during COVID. 000
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 23/09/2026I am also wondering whether some people have a personality trait that makes them fear being duped. Strong arguments and evidence may overcome motivated reasoning because people may perceive an AI as having nothing to gain. Any person on the other side of the conversation may be less believable. 010
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I’m trying to take in at the moment all the failed experiments at trying to persuade people of things and watching them not work  and all we had to do was say there’s an artificial intelligence. Maybe this works because it’s not a human on the other side that they believe is tricking them  110
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 21/09/2026damn. 000
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyHenry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This is a great friendly department for junior faculty 0116
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyJulia Azari @juliaazari.bsky.social · 16/09/2026somehow opening up an opportunity for SCOTUS to rule that it is mandatory for women to die from pregnancy complications 33611
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyLily Mason @lilymasonphd.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Very excited that Uncivil Agreement won the @apsa.bsky.social @epovb.bsky.social Philip Converse Award! 1515510
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyÁlvaro Corral @alvarojcorral.bsky.social · 05/09/2026Congratulations to Angie Ocampo-Roland for earning the 2026 Emerging Scholar Award from the APSA Latina/o Caucus! Felicidades!!! 04515
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyEfrén Pérez @efrenpolipsy.bsky.social · 10/09/2026For those folks still scratching their heads about the immigration politics of some PoC, stop doing that and read this important paper instead… 👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽💯💯💯 1199
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyHakeem Jefferson @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social · 10/09/2026One of my big academic rules: only write papers you really care about on topics you really care about. I try to follow this rule 99% of the time. This paper is one of the best examples of that, and I’m stoked it’s one step closer to being in the world. We’ve corrected proofs & you’ll have it soon! 1145288
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintySamuel Perry @profsamperry.bsky.social · 12/09/2026New from me. Using the GSS wordsum vocabulary test (common proxy for cognitive ability), I find lower scores are associated with greater adherence to Christian nationalist views. This is consistent with studies finding lower scores among fundamentalists & authoritarians. 1/4 doi.org/10.1111/jssr... 47519
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyTiffany Barnes @tiffanydbarnes.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Excited to publish this @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org Element on gender & political ambition at the local level by @cwolbrecht.bsky.social, @mirya.bsky.social, Lakshmi Iyer, Samantha Chapa, Fiona Rodger and Emma Schroeder. Edited w. @dzobrien.bsky.social www.cambridge.org/core/element...cambridge.orgGender and Local Political AmbitionCambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Gender and Local Political Ambition 13310
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This is an interesting answer to a very important question. Congratulations! 000
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyAlex Kirshner @alexkirshner.com · 17/09/2026 612817
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I would love to find out I’m missing a kind of argument that does not fit into one of these categories! 000
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I can’t find a class in higher education that gives an overview of the kinds of arguments that we make, and how to use evidence to support each kind of argument. And I can’t seem to convince people that this is a skill that does not come naturally to students.  100
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I’m writing a book called Using Evidence Well: What your professors expect you to know but won’t teach you. If you give students example statements, they do not have the skill of being able to identify which is which. Or distinguishing facts from each. More difficult than it seems. 100
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026Single event causality: What caused WWII or my stomachache. Gen predictive causality: What causes war or stomachaches. Text interpretation Meaning making or labeling events, variables, eras: Is Trump “populist”? Ethical reasoning 100
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026What a great article! 083
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 16/09/2026I just shared this with my Stats class, where I teach that we make five kinds of arguments in academia, and one is how we make sense of our world. This article falls into the category I call "Labeling events and data" and asks whether the word "fall" accurately describes what happened in Rome. 253
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyEmily Guskin @emgusk.bsky.social · 14/09/2026Excited to report our journal article has finally published! academic.oup.com/jssam/advanc...academic.oup.comWho are We Missing? Using Administrative and Contextual Data to Measure and Correct Partisan Nonresponse in Opinion SurveysAbstract. The 2020 US pre-election polling had the highest error in national polls in 40 years and significantly underestimated Donald Trump’s support. An 1146
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintySeth Rockman @sethrockman.bsky.social · 14/09/2026This is a big one: Brown University is searching for the next director of the Simmons Center for the Study of Slavery and Justice. Please help us identify excellent candidates to lead this signature program into the future. Please write me with ideas; please share in your networks; please apply.networks.h-net.orgBrown University - Professor and Director of the Simmons Center for the Study of Slavery and Justice | H-Net1. Academic Accomplishment. We seek a scholar with a strong scholarly record, including excellence in both research and teaching, appropriate for appointment at the level of full professor in a social science, humanities, or arts department at Brown. 2275235
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 13/09/2026Providing information is not teaching. 021
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 11/09/2026None of them has any expertise. Some of them, like HHS horror show author Kristopher Kaliebe, lie on their CV that they have peer-reviewed research on transgender medicine when they are really letters to the editor. I have a hard time figuring out whether they're dumb, evil, or both. 010
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyVerasight @verasight.io · 10/09/2026Congratulations to Erin Fitz and @kylesaunders.bsky.social on a new article in the Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, published with Verasight survey data. 143
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Just like all the transgender medicine studies, the inferences are based on "low-quality" evidence. 000
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Very fancy modeling techniques to study the impact of rain on the amount of time children play outside. Conclusion: Though this is correlated, we have no idea whether rain causes kids to play outside less. 071
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 11/09/2026The bestest boy. Now, I love a duck I don't know. I hope he gets well soon. 021
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Also relevant: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...press.princeton.eduDeep RootsThe lasting effects of slavery on contemporary political attitudes in the American South 000
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Who did I vote for? I earned 8,147 points over 10 voters on medium mode (avg 815). Model 853, base rate 744. profmusgrave.github.io/votergame2024/profmusgrave.github.ioWho did I vote for? 011
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyKevin Morris @kevintmorris.bsky.social · 01/09/2026Brooklyn: Mark your calendars for Oct 5 and come hang out at Greenlight Bookstore for the launch event of An American Problem! www.eventbrite.com/e/kevin-t-mo...eventbrite.comKevin T. Morris (at LAPC)Greenlight neighbor Kevin T. Morris launches a sweeping history of the Voting Rights Act and the attacks it has suffered. 43912
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 05/09/2026It NEVER understands me either! I figured I would be more southern but apparently not! 010
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyDaniel Drezner @dandrezner.bsky.social · 04/09/2026If you’re at #APSA2026 and want to hear @smotus.bsky.social, @juliaazari.bsky.social, and a cavalcade of others talk about Seth’s new book THE ELEPHANTS IN THE ROOM, about Trump’s takeover of the GOP, come to Hynes 200 right the f**k now!static.klipy.comIts HappeningALT: Its Happening 1152
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Influences: New Mexico, then Houston, and now Colorado. 200
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 04/09/2026Or daughters’ friends. 11590
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyPuff the Magic Hater @mskellymhayes.bsky.social · 02/09/2026For years, people have asked @tanuja.bsky.social and me how we built and sustained Understory, our spiritual and emotional support group for activists. So we made a toolkit to help others build spaces of their own.organizingmythoughts.orgThe Understory ToolkitCreating spaces of reflection, belonging, and collective care 513168
Reposted by vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertaintyRachel Blaifeder @rblaifeder.bsky.social · 02/09/2026All set up for #APSA2026! Come by and check out one of our 19 (and counting) prize winners, forthcoming titles, new books across American, comparative, IR, and theory, and highlights (looking at you, @smotus.bsky.social & @mirandayaver.bsky.social). 75% off HBs, 60% off PBs. See you at 9am! 4154
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Unsurprisingly, this was picked up by right-wing media, which uses causal language explicitly. www.washingtontimes.com/news/2026/se...washingtontimes.comDoes supporting ‘gender ideology’ make you more likely to justify violence?A federal study finds that people who most strongly support “gender ideology” are more likely to justify political violence, based on reactions to events including Charlie Kirk’s killing. Researchers ... 010
vanessabaird.bsky.social Stop agents of scientific uncertainty @vanessabaird.bsky.social · 02/09/2026Also, the report conveniently omits the descriptive stats for support for political violence, which is extraordinarily low. So, this study is STOOPID in a bunch of ways. 110