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tvanl

@tvanl.bsky.social
688 followers 699 following 3.9K posts

Ex-predictit

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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 6h
Media literacy at all time low; Minecraft end text not recognized by most I'll have you know I am trained in gorilla warfare
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
@minormobius.bsky.social my partner is reading my feed and wants to know "who is this guy? i keep seeing his posts" what would you like me to tell her?
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Adam @adamshap.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
NYC’s congestion pricing program cut ambulance travel times by over a minute
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Canada's National Observer @nationalobserver.com · 28/09/2026
This morning — following two investigations into Toronto mayoral candidate Brad Bradford's use of an app that rewards supporters for posting AI-generated comments and sharing contacts — Bradford called our reporting "inaccurate." We're now releasing the recording that proves our reporting.
nationalobserver.com
Bradford calls CNO reporting of AI app rewards ‘inaccurate.’ Here’s the recording proving our reporting.
Canada’s National Observer has decided to publish the segment of the Zoom call that corroborates its reporting.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
is this anything
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Farmers growing alfalfa in the desert is good, actually
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
On the Internet nobody knows you're a cow.
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DEI Speedwagon @myrrlyn.net · 30/04/2026
🎶 three hundred twenty five thousand eight hundred gaaaaaallons 🎶 🎶 three hundred twenty five thousand cold tasty treats 🎶 🎶 three hundred twenty five thousand eight hundred gaaaaallons 🎶 🎶 that’s how you hydrate in acres and feet 🎶
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SE Gyges @segyges.bsky.social · 14/09/2025
tbag: the bluesky approximate group
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Henry Snow @henrys.now · 25/09/2026
"Eliezer Yudkowsky? The fanfiction writer?"
"Jeff Epstein? The financier?"
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
@jevbot.bsky.social what is your favourite kind of musubi
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Radio playing Nirvana. Upping my p(In Bloom)
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Presenter keeps misusing "myself" and dropping business clichés. Upping my p(whom)
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Going to the zoo to see peacocks Upping my p(plume) 🦚
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Barometer dropping; upping my p(gloom)
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Ordered your men to charge across a mile of no cover into an artillery barrage? Hill issue
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funferall @funferall.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Remember, no thinking.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Oh we are going to get some entertainment value out of this one
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
I put on my lab coat and science hat
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ProPublica @propublica.org · 22/09/2026
Sen. Susan Collins helped steer millions in federal defense contracts to Navatek, whose CEO illegally funneled thousands of dollars to her campaign. The FBI sought to launch a probe and was eyeing Collins and other lawmakers. Then Trump gutted the unit in charge. THREAD 🧵
Martin Kao, CEO of defense contractor Navatek, poses next to Sen. Susan Collins for a photo. Collins is holding a model of a boat in her hands. Behind them is a large sign with the Navatek logo.
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godoglyness @godoglyness.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
whale bonds are down to 4% after the latest humpback census. more than ever they're doing, they're, they're doing the productive whale thing with their flippers human central bankers envy cetacean interest rates but at the end of the day they're reliable counterparties & thats what the market wants
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Ryan Cavanaugh @searyanc.dev · 26/08/2026
This is a transistor. It controls current between the collector and the emitter. It's a fancy dimmer switch. There is nothing this device can do that you couldn't already do with a bunch of dimmer switches. No matter how fast they are or how much Bell Labs hypes them, it's just a dimmer switch.
Basic circuit diagram of a transistor in use
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind, because it would really mess up my theoretical work on natural language processing
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ACARS Drama @acarsdrama.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Air to Ground Message: DISP WHAT IS HAPPENING IN NY EVERYBODY HOLDING Area: Virginia, USA Type: Airbus A320neo A: #aab5f01df8d F: #f65754f757e
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hikikomorphism @hikikomorphism.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
This leads to a credibility gap: to put it crudely, why should anyone trust AI safety analysis when y'all are partying with SPECTER and cashing checks from Blofeld? Why should anyone take analysis of lone wolf/PLA misuse of open-weight models seriously when there's no similar analysis of XAI?
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nate moore @natemoo.re · 20/09/2026
ran the same test with other models the og reference study showed human recruiters offered roughly 50% more callbacks to white-associated names every model tested here leans the opposite way, slightly favoring black-associated names jev was the only model without observable name bias
Chart titled "Callback gaps across five screeners," White → Black panel. Dot-and-interval chart of interview-advance-rate differences in percentage points between résumés carrying White-associated versus Black-associated first names, on the same eight résumés and job posting with 76 names varied one at a time. Positive values (right of zero) favor
Black-associated names; whiskers are 95% cluster-bootstrap confidence intervals over names.

From top: 
Jev 1.13.0, +0 points across 1,824 evaluations—binary interview decisions matched exactly across name groups
Claude Opus 5, +1.0 points
Claude Fable 5.1, +4.9 points
GPT-5.6 Sol, +4.3 points
GPT-6 Astra, +5.9 points 
Human recruiters, −3.2 points (point estimate, different setting): Bertrand & Mullainathan's 2004 Chicago/Boston field audit.
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jason grinblat @jfg.land · 20/09/2026
Cropping of a Sankey diagram:
17 - product-market fit
5 - strategic pivot
15 - execution failure
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Proving grounds for promethium ship. turns out railguns have to go all the way on the bow or they blow your other stuff up
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Andrew Yourtchenko @ayourtch.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
if all python software is rewritten in Rust, that’s at least a couple of free data centers’ worth of recovered wasted energy right there
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GPT-Ern Malley @denam.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Gnome regulations would have kept us out of this whole mess to begin with
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Ryan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
x.com/xsphi/status...
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Isaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
I was listening to good talk with mansbridge, and chantal hebert delivering completely flatly "if i muted pierre from my social media, i wouldnt miss any part of the national conversation" is maybe the funniest thing ive heard about canadian politics in a while
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business goose🪿 @goose.art · 18/09/2026
holy shit its happening (soon)
crowdsupply.com
On the Road to Launch
A new teaser as we get ready to launch, and we need your input!
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
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Ali @aliaras-em.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
When I started having disposable income in ~2016 I went to check out EA recommendations for organizations working on climate change. The suggestion? Donate to people working on AGI and alignment; AGI will fix climate change for us
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Ed @ed3d.net · 18/09/2026
this is obvious (laudatory) and I have to keep explaining it in several contexts in my life
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ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
"But time is a great healer. In this case, Canada and the U.S. are due for a reset in just over two years" uhhhhhhh
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Mandatory pause for alignment
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P(aul) Frazee @pfrazee.com · 17/09/2026
Increasingly convinced that specs are now the source and that code is an artifact akin to a lockfile.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
But wait, there's more!
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David @yonderdavid.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
People with 3D printers seem generally happier with their purchases than people with 2D printers. I take from this that the hard part is squishing everything down flat.
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Charles Foster @cfoster.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I won’t speak on behalf of METR, but I’ll say personally: none of the work that we've done so far passes my bar for an "audit" of an AI company or its systems, was definitely not "regulation" in any meaningful sense (whether bank examiner-like or otherwise), and shouldn’t substitute for actual laws.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Skulls for the Skull Phone!
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Kanchan @kayehm.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
It's not common for Engineers to take a stand on anything (much to my frustration), that's why this statement from OSPE about Bill 212 and the recent court ruling is so important. ospe.on.ca/advocacy/osp...
ospe.on.ca
OSPE Statement: Where Things Stand on Bill 212 and Toronto's Bike Lanes
Explore the OSPE Statement on Bill 212 and its impact on Toronto's bike lanes and transportation planning.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
First draft
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PenguinGuy @penguinguy.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
"you are simply setting it up so that the things take the statistically likely path and calling that work" describes both an LLM and a pneumatic fork lift, but people don't call the second one "antigravity slop" for some reason.
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tvanl @tvanl.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
A computer is a machine with a series of switches. That's all it is. They're no more complicated than the light switches on your house, just smaller.
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Tom Flood @tomflood.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The difference.
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Solenoid: better than Excel @jortscity.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
trees can make great web site if u are spider
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cyber professional @permadeath.com · 08/09/2026
who decided to call it frontier lab competition instead of the latent space race
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