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Tamkinat Rauf

@tsrauf.bsky.social
390 followers 316 following 108 posts

Sociologist @UW-Madison interested in happiness, depression, inequality, social psych, genomics, quant methods, open science www.tamkinatrauf.com

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Reposted by Tamkinat Rauf
Nicola Rennie @nrennie.bsky.social · 8h
If you missed today's @rinpharma.bsky.social workshop, here are a few of my favourite "quick fixes" for some common #ggplot2 issues 📊 1. Use {ggview} to preview plots at the same size and resolution as you want to save them with ggsave() to avoid the annoying resizing #RStats #DataViz
library(ggview)
ggplot(mtcars, aes(wt, mpg)) +
  geom_point() +
  canvas(
    width = 6, height = 4,
    units = "in",
    dpi = 300
  )
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Reposted by Tamkinat Rauf
jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 29/09/2026
"Replication crisis" reforms like preregistration & pre-analysis plans were developed to control false positives in experimental research. Does that work in observational studies? Our new paper in Sociological Methods & Research argues for a different approach. 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
A Replication Framework for Observational Research: From Specification Restriction to Specification Expansion
Jonathan Ben-Menachem https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8092-0848 jbenmenachem@gmail.com, Ari Galper https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7909-8837, and Nic Fishman
Abstract
Sociology has remained relatively insulated from debates about the “replication crisis.” Heeding calls to consider replication more deeply, we introduce a distinction between two types of research reforms that have emerged in the wake of the crisis: specification-restricting and specification-expanding reforms. Specification restriction is often promoted as a way to increase the repeatability of research findings by controlling false positives. We argue that this statistical justification is less compelling in observational contexts—where the assumptions licensing false-positive control are harder to sustain and rigid ex ante analytical commitments can instead enshrine fragile specifications—than in experimental contexts. We further argue that apparently low replication rates do not necessarily imply a high prevalence of false positive findings. Instead, we propose a replication framework centered on specification-expanding reforms, stronger incentives for confirmatory research, and meta-analysis. This approach equips sociologists to assess the repeatability of findings and build a more cumulative discipline.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
If you weren’t already convinced that we should not be using chatbots to write our manuscripts and think through our findings, this should give you pause: www.nytimes.com/2026/09/27/s...
nytimes.com
Did Anthropic’s A.I. Really Make a Scientific Discovery on Its Own?
An expert at the University of Copenhagen said his team had been sharing its research with the company’s A.I. model, Claude, and that its new finding matched their work.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Excited to see this. Enjoyed being a part of this project and also learned a lot in the process. Thanks to Abel, Ghina, and Luna for leading this!
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
IRBs should clearly be doing a better job!
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
I saw the best minds of my generation destroyed by Claude, endlessly churning their sentences dragging themselves through work that used to be fun, looking for perfection
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Excited to share new work with @jeremyfreese.bsky.social. We investigate whether the genetic risk of depression predicts how people are evaluated in social interactions. People with higher depression PGI were perceived as less competent (cognitively, physically and socially). doi.org/10.1016/j.so...
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
If you’re looking to teach survey methods, measurement error and endogeneity all in one fell swoop, look no further
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
This is such a cool analysis of Durkheim's Suicide. (Also maybe a low-key nudge to sociologists to pay more attention to emotions.)
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
In the early 2000s, modest weekday social interaction built toward big peaks on Friday & Saturday nights. Friday night now looks like a typical weeknight & Saturday is less elevated than before. Overall, time with friends has fallen by more than half. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
journals.sagepub.com
The End of Friday Nights with Friends - Neal Caren, 2026
This study examines how Americans’ time with friends has changed over the week, focusing not on how much social interaction has declined but on when it has. Usi...
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Fabian Kalleitner @kalf.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The Austrian socio economic panel takes shape! now with two waves available as easy to access scientific use files.
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Anna Alexandrova @annaalexandrova.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Two junior research fellowships @kingscollege.bsky.social opening soon due on Oct 1st. The theme is REPLICATION conceived broadly to encompass different research projects in humanities and social sciences. As a philosopher of science I am esp hoping for applications in #philsci #metascience #hps
kings.cam.ac.uk
Current research opportunities
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Marco Waehner @marco-waehner.eurosky.social · 17/08/2026
How to choose a data repository? @lakens.bsky.social wrote a great blogpost see daniellakens.blogspot.com/2026/08/whic...
daniellakens.blogspot.com
Which Data Repository Should You Use?
The Center for Open Science has announced that from November 16, 2026, no new projects can be created on the Open Science Framework. After F...
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Center for Open Science @cos.io · 14/08/2026
As part of our guidance for the upcoming changes to OSF Projects, we developed a help guide on choosing a repository and a list of repository options to help researchers identify potential places to store their research outputs. ℹ️ Guidance on choosing a repository:
help.osf.io
Where should I share my Data, Materials, Code now? - OSF Support
This Article Is Licensed Under CCO For Maximum Reuse. The following is a Table of Contents that links directly to specific sections within the guide: Table of R
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Amy L. Johnson, PhD @aljohnson.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
ever wondered why mental health is discussed everywhere now? or whether mental illness has really been destigmatized? my first book (out spring 2027) answers those questions!
press.princeton.edu
Our Mental Health, Their Mental Illness
How mental health and illness have transformed from medical concepts into widely shared cultural ideas
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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
New WP!📄📣 For anyone working with quasi-experiments (especially UESD) and survey data, this is for you. Treatment events may affect not only opinions, but also survey participation and thereby bias causal estimates. I develop a framework to assess and tackle this bias. osf.io/preprints/so...
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Fabien Accominotti @faccominotti.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
UW-Madison Sociology is hiring! We're inviting applications for an assistant professor position in the fields of demography, soc of population, and health, to begin August 2027. Come join @uwsoc.bsky.social and the great @cdeuw.bsky.social! Apply here: jobs.wisc.edu/jobs/assista...
jobs.wisc.edu
Assistant Professor of Sociology - Madison, Wisconsin, United States
Current Employees: If you are currently employed at any of the Universities of Wisconsin, log in to Workday to apply through the internal application process.Job Category:FacultyEmployment Type:Regula...
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
This is an awesome resource!
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Tom VanHeuvelen @tvanheuvelen.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
A new Annual Review article by @arnoutvanderijt.bsky.social and colleagues worth a read. Don't let the formal modeling of luck fool you. This is one of the more interesting, and all around crazier, articles I've read recently. Super cool. www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
annualreviews.org
Luck and Predictability in the Life Course
There is an emerging recognition among sociological theorists that luck may play a substantial role in life course achievement. There is also a nascent empirical literature that finds life outcomes to...
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Excellent news! Nature is expanding Registered Reports to all the fields in which they publish! A great result by all those proposing this strong solution to publication bias and selective reporting (and getting expert feedback before data collection)! www.nature.com/articles/d41...
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
“StoryTime” is a hilarious but accurate description of (most) soc talks. So true: “There are lots of pictures in StoryTime—very few of them have a direct connection to the scientific arguments.”
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
Enjoyed reading about the emotional wrestling with the messiness of wrestling. :) So many messy-lovely things out there in the world that evoke similar sentiments.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Interesting comment on using p-values in analyses of non-random samples/pop census data. We typically operate with a “superpopulation” assumption in such cases. But is that assumption relevant when investigating a historical question: i.e. did x lead to y in place z? (Not: does x lead to y?)
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Political inequality isn't responsible for economic inequality www.niskanencenter.org/political-in... New #ScienceOfPolitics podcast/transcript with Andrew Taylor on holes in the theory that unequal responsiveness to low-income opinion prevents redistributive policy
niskanencenter.org
Political inequality isn’t responsible for economic inequality - Niskanen Center
Jennifer Gaudette finds that election officials can increase trust in elections by informing citizens of basic facts, such as that election machines are not connected to the Internet.
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Reposted by Tamkinat Rauf
Ramina Sotoudeh @ramina-sotoudeh.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
🚨New in PNAS: www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1... Genetic principal components (PCs) are commonly used to adjust for population stratification in genetic studies. In this paper, we quantify how much direct genetic signal is lost when using these “catch-all” adjustments. 🧵
pnas.org
Quantifying direct genetic signal captured by principal component adjustment | PNAS
Contemporary genomic studies of complex traits, such as genome-wide association studies and polygenic index (PGI) analyses, frequently include the ...
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
One of the loveliest books I’ve read this year. By @maggiesmithpoet.bsky.social. Highly recommend to anyone who loves the craft of writing but also feels terribly insecure. The writing-specific advice is unexpectedly relevant for researchers. The big pictures perspectives are priceless.
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Seth Abrutyn @sethabrutyn.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
agreed! best time to care about emotions and affect and neuroscience as a sociologist!
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Exciting times for affective sociology!
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
2 years after schools ban smartphones, subjective wellbeing is higher by .5 SD and attention is *lower* by the same magnitude. Puzzling.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Very excited to read this!
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
These sessions look really cool. Regretting missing PAA this year.
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Ariane Ophir @arianeophir.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Family demographers, need recommendations for #PAA2026 sessions? 1/3 📅 Thursday, May 7 | 9:30–10:45 AM Experimental Methods in Studying Union Formation and Dissolution (@yiangli.bsky.social & I curated four excellent papers using #experimental methods to address key questions in #family #demography)
media.tenor.com
ALT:
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 04/05/2026
A big study that was cited as evidence that text generators are good for students has been retracted: www.linkedin.com/posts/ben-wi... www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Retraction Note: The effect of ChatGPT on students’ learning performance, learning perception, and higher-order thinking: insights from a meta-analysis
Jin Wang & Wenxiang Fan 
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications volume 13, Article number: 528 (2026) Cite this article

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The Original Article was published on 06 May 2025

Retraction Note to: Humanities and Social Sciences Communications https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-025-04787-y, published online 06 May 2025

The Editor has decided to retract this paper owing to concerns regarding discrepancies in the meta-analysis. These issues ultimately undermine the confidence the Editor can place in the validity of the analysis and resulting conclusions. The authors have not responded to correspondence regarding this retraction.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Apologies for any misinterpretation on my part. I was just responding to this earlier post by you where I thought you meant that “the whole project of [behavioral genetics] was intellectually flawed”. Sorry if I misunderstood you.
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
I’m very surprised by these comments. I genuinely enjoyed this book. Even if one was skeptical about the proportion of variance explained by genes (no one’s reasonably going to argue that it’s zero), I thought she poses interesting questions that we all should be thinking about.
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Petter Törnberg @pettertornberg.com · 22/04/2026
Is social media dying? How much did Twitter change as it became X? Which party now dominates the conversation? Using nationally representative ANES data from 2020 & 2024, I map how the U.S. social media landscape has changed Here are the key take-aways 🧵 Full paper out now in in JQD:DM!
journalqd.org
Shifts in U.S. Social Media Use, 2020–2024: Decline, Fragmentation, and Enduring Polarization | Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media
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GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · 22/04/2026
#GenderRoles Cumulated #ISSP #Data on “#Family and Changing Gender Roles” out now! ISSP 1988/1994/2002/2012/2022 – “Family and Changing Gender Roles I-V – Cumulation” doi.org/10.4232/1.14750 For the first time, there is now a cumulated dataset on this topic that combines data from all five waves!
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Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Americans are more polarized in their trust in scientists than in virtually any other societal institution. — James N. Druckman. (@umisrcps.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260420-top...
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
This looks like something we should worry about a lot.
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Jeremy Freese @jeremyfreese.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
I am one of the co-organizers of this event, and there has been some upset about it elsewhere on Bluesky. I cannot speak from anybody's perspective other than my own about this, but will express my own position briefly here. 1/X
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Survey research is often interpreted as showing that belief in conspiracy theories can be surprisingly widespread, including belief in conspiracy theories that would be astonishing if true. For example, in The Atlantic we learn that “12 million Americans believe lizard people run our country”
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Manuel Schechtl @schechtlm.eurosky.social · 13/04/2026
New paper documenting a negative association between childhood exposure to local wealth inequality and inter-class social ties in adulthood. If children have fewer chances to meet peers from different class backgrounds, those divides may persist far beyond childhood.
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Center for Open Science @cos.io · 07/04/2026
What can large-scale studies tell us about reproducibility? In our webinar on April 16, researchers from COS, I4R, and META-REP will discuss findings from three papers—one from the recently published SCORE effort—and insights on reproducibility, transparency, and credibility cos-io.zoom.us/webin...
Virtual Event
April 16 // 1 pm ET
NEW EVIDENCE ON REPRODUCIBILITY ACROSS SOCIAL AND BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH
Moderator: Tim Errington
Speakers: Katrin Auspurg, Abel Brodeur, and Andrew Tyner
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Hu Chuan-Peng is on paternity leave @hcp4715.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Finally this long-last meta-research is done! We examine the demographics of subject from 1000 Chinese psych journal articles & 27 big-teams science. Findings: these participant are not representative of the 🇨🇳population, in terms of sex, age, & edu. @btscon.bsky.social @sakshighai.bsky.social
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Brian Nosek @briannosek.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Three recent papers examined reproducibility of a large sample of findings. Join this webinar to discuss them and explore where the findings converge and differ. 1. SCORE: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 2. I4R: www.nature.com/articles/s41... 3. Meta-Rep: royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article...
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Mike Frank @mcxfrank.bsky.social · 06/04/2026
Come join us! We have two research coordinator positions open with the Stanford IRISS predoctoral program, a program designed to mentor students for graduate study: LEVANTE: careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/iriss-p... BabyView: careersearch.stanford.edu/jobs/iriss-p... (deadline 5/1)
careersearch.stanford.edu
IRiSS Predoctoral Researcher in School of Humanities and Sciences, Stanford, California, United States
The Stanford Institute for Research in the Social Sciences (IRiSS) is seeking Predoctoral Researchers to participate in our 2026-2027 cohort. The...
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Brian Nosek @briannosek.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
How do we know if research is credible? In Abatayo et al., 86 of us combined evidence across the SCORE program including replicability, reproducibility, robustness, human and machine assessments to understand relationships among many potential credibility measures. 1/ Paper: osf.io/preprints/me...
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Tamkinat Rauf @tsrauf.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Very curious about the results
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Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Ideologically rating social science academic article abstracts (using a fixed contemporary ideological scale) finds that 90% lean left & all disciplines showed leftward movement from 1990-2024, especially on cultural issues. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
The ideological orientation of academic social science research 1960–2024 - Theory and Society
This study analyzes approximately 600,000 English-language social science abstracts published between 1960 and 2024 to estimate the long-run ideological orientation of disciplinary research output. La...
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