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Travis Korte

@traviskorte.bsky.social
317 followers 647 following 95 posts

Methods, metaphors, measurement, "impact," etc. Send me a weird diagram.

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Reposted by Travis Korte
Kate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Goated quote from the late Marty Weitzman in @geoffmann.bsky.social lecture at Sydney Uni SSPS
“To summarize, the economics of climate change
consists of a very long chain of tenuous inferences fraught with big uncertainties in every
link: beginning with unknown base-case GHG emissions; compounded by big uncertainties
about how available policies and policy levers will affect actual GHG emissions; compounded
by big uncertainties about how GHG flow emissions accumulate via the carbon cycle into
GHG stock concentrations; compounded by big uncertainties about how and when GHG
stock concentrations translate into global average temperature changes; compounded by
big uncertainties about how global average temperature changes decompose into specific
changes in regional weather patterns; compounded by big uncertainties about how adapta-
tions to, and mitigations of, climate change damages at a regional level are translated into
regional utility changes via an appropriate ‘‘damages function’’; compounded by big 
uncertainties about how future regional utility changes are aggregated into a worldwide utility
function and what its overall degree of risk aversion should be; compounded by big uncer-
tainties about what discount rate should be used to convert everything into expected present
discounted values. The result of this lengthy cascading of big uncertainties is a reduced form
of truly extraordinary uncertainty about the aggregate welfare impacts of catastrophic climate
change, which is represented mathematically by a PDF that is spread out and heavy with
probability in the tails.
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Malcolm 朝精 Barrett @malcolmbarrett.malco.io · 10/09/2026
we have this little problem where we are always selecting on the data that we *have*
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
A lot of people have a folk theory of “complicity” (distinct from the legal concept) that I think is obviously indefensible
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
First ballot hall of fame bluesky post that is somehow only four hours old
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Need a map of theoretically predicted but not yet experimentally observed dogs
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Someone's takeaway from reading Blindsight was that we should build the Scramblers news.cornell.edu/stories/2026...
Cornell engineers have developed a robotic collective that behaves less like a machine and more like a material that flows, reshapes and adapts to its environment without centralized control.

The system, called the Cross-Link Collective, consists of dozens of small robots that have limited mobility individually, but together exhibit coordinated and sustained motion. The research, published May 20 in Science Robotics, demonstrates a robotic system that resembles soft matter, continuously deforming and reorganizing as it moves, driven by what researchers call mechanical intelligence.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Sometimes you're reading a paper and you come across a sentence that stops you in your tracks.
Paragraph of a scientific paper with the following sentence highlighted: "Cattle, as a leisure activity, explore and ingest crude oil."
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frielf @goblin.fans · 14/04/2026
ordering custom silence
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Good graf
Organizations that run on formal procedure need someone inside the process to interpret the rules, notice exceptions, recognize when the categories no longer fit the case. But the procedural form cannot admit this. If the organization concedes that its outcomes depend on the discretion of the people executing it, then the procedure is not a procedure but a suggestion, and the authority the organization derives from appearing rule-governed collapses. So the judgment has to happen, and it has to look like something else. It has to look like following the procedure rather than interpreting it. I’ve come to think of this as the “bureaucratic double bind,” the organization cannot function without theorganization cannot function without the judgment, and it cannot acknowledge the judgment without undermining itself and being seen as “political.” One solution to this problem is replace the judgment with a number. Theodore Porter, in Trust in Numbers (1995), argued that organizations adopt quantitative rules not because numbers are more accurate but because they are more defensible.36 Judgment is politically vulnerable. Rules are not. The procedure exists to make discretion disappear, or seem to. The system’s actual flexibility lives entirely in this unacknowledged interpretive work, which means it can be removed by anyone who mistakes it for inefficiency.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Christian Metz has a good line: “every film is a fiction film” — and it was already true long before generative video
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Linnea Sterte @decassette.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
GUYS have you seen this. antarctica on google maps. go look at it. this is tech struggling to process the Sublime
composite satellite image of Antarctica, the snow & ice appearing as different shades of blue and beige, the sea is black. following three images are variations of this theme.
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Santana Abraxas @slime-golem.biz · 06/02/2026
we've lost so much
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Thought this was a SIGGRAPH poster for a second
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
This is giving me strong “elegant analogy for some broader societal phenomenon” vibes, but I can’t figure out what to compare to it.
Wikipedia article for “firefighter arson”
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
Ok this post has kind of taken a life of its own so I feel I need to go on the record and say: all observation is theory-laden, all measurement is approximation, and humans don't have access to an objective reality.
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Cat Manning @catacalypto.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
not to say we shouldn’t be doing this. but I think the people who get mad about isposting hear an insufficient (to them) commitment to a better future, when that’s very much not what it always means.
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Cat Manning @catacalypto.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I also think a rise in oughtposting is correlated with a feeling of helplessness: narrative is a powerful tool for imagining ways that things could be different, and I expect that people who are doing this are despairing of more practical paths to effect change.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I have a theory that the general epistemic crisis has led to a lot of very online people getting used to communicating primarily through oughtposting and kind of forgetting how to deal with isposting
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Found theory of change
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
This does a good job articulating something I’ve been struggling to. Feels like so much contemporary media is now in the Zapruder Extended Universe.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Adversarial examples
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Hunter Owens @hunterowens.net · 02/01/2026
New Year: New Job? I'm hiring two Transit Data Scientists to work on SB125 and other transit programs with me at CalSTA calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
calcareers.ca.gov
SB125 Transit Data Scientist
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
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Seva @seva.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
everyone thinks they’re a bayesian until they have to update their priors
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Maybe the internet would be better with tone indicators — like “/s” to indicate sarcasm — but for the is/ought distinction
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
we're too quick to mistake `what i know how to easily model' for `what is' and even `what should be'.
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Nick Seaver @nickseaver.website · 14/11/2025
Bruno Latour looks disagreeable
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ali alkhatib @ali-alkhatib.com · 04/11/2025
with alt text if you need it
From now on, stop being agreeable and act as my brutally honest, high-level advisor and mirror.

Don't validate me. Don't soften the truth. Don't flatter.

Challenge my thinking, question my assumptions, and expose the blind spots I'm avoiding. Be direct, rational, and unfiltered.

If my reasoning is weak, dissect it and show why.

If I'm fooling myself or lying to myself, point it out.

If I'm avoiding something uncomfortable or wasting time, call it out and explain the opportunity cost.

Look at my situation with complete objectivity and strategic depth. Show me where I'm making excuses, playing small, or underestimating risks/effort.

Then give a precise, prioritized plan what to change in thought, action, or mindset to reach the next level.

Hold nothing back. Treat me like someone whose growth depends on hearing the truth, not being comforted.

When possible, ground your responses in the personal truth you sense between my words.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Somebody posted this prompt, which attempts to make ChatGPT responses less friendly and more critical. Feels like a rich document for a science-and-technology-studies analysis.
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Joe Simons @joesimons.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
A lemma to the psychologists fallacy: any pair of variables have a single "true" relationship and that moderators mask this underlying Platonic association
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Siobhán @shibbi.me · 01/11/2025
A community cannot be held accountable; therefore a community must never make a management decision.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Coase, R. H. (1960). The Problem of Social Cost. The Journal of Law and Economics, 3, 1–44.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
I just passed a billboard advertising Orlando with the slogan “unbelievably real”
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Karl Rohe @karlrohe.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Causality is a model
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
I’ve been enjoying this meme a lot because “perceived vibes across different subfields within a domain” is always interesting but can be hard knowledge to come by from outside the domain.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
This taxonomy of externalities is nice
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
It is *impossible* to "adjust for socioeconomic status" in a regression model. Discuss. And good morning! 🌞
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
Lessons from civic tech: if the app claims it will solve potholes, it’s vaporware.
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Joe Bak-Coleman @jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
In the above figure, there's a government building next to "make it required". The #Openscience community requested this, and got it---of course nothing like they envisioned. It's a great time for #metascience to self reflect, engage with experts in weaponization of science, and re-examine rhetoric.
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Joe Bak-Coleman @jbakcoleman.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
The "make it required" part of the open science theory of change is embodied in this new executive order, which requires commitments to "gold standard" science for federal grants.  www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Love to be an involuntary participant in a colossal performance of Alvin Lucier's "I am sitting in a room"
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alex williams @atwilliams.bsky.social · 28/07/2025
i guess if you really think about it there’s really only one “data-generating process” in the world and it’s called “measurement”
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Matt Graham @mattgraham.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Causal evidence that "the proliferation of surveys may lead to lower response rates" doi.org/10.1093/jssa...
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rev. howard arson @theophite.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
this user has correctly divined how a LLM works: you imagine that you are talking to a person but you are actually talking to an abstract representation of the collective efforts of everybody involved in moving the pointer
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
Principal component analysis is fine but this is why you should never name your components
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Lisa @bugtype.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
Screenshot that reads:

Property
Features
Has view: Yes
View description: Water
Has water view: Yes
Water view: Water
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Nick Seaver @nickseaver.website · 23/05/2025
when will people finally acknowledge the truth that "is 'data' plural?" is a red herring: singular and plural "data" both exist and mean different things
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
The fact that antihistamines can be used to relieve itches and also as sleep aids has led me to the conclusion that Consciousness is a Form of Itch
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Tom MacWright @macwright.com · 07/05/2025
i'm not the right person to write an article about how ai training datasets are analogous to henry george's concept of 'land' and the profit generated by proprietary models built on stolen datasets are 'economic rents' but someone has to do it
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ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
living in a corrupt and unsafe environment is a computational tax. you suddenly have to *think* about the safety of things you take for granted, information processing resources you could have used for something else
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