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Travis Korte

@traviskorte.bsky.social
316 followers 648 following 95 posts

Methods, metaphors, measurement, "impact," etc. Send me a weird diagram.

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Reposted by Travis Korte
Kate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Goated quote from the late Marty Weitzman in @geoffmann.bsky.social lecture at Sydney Uni SSPS
“To summarize, the economics of climate change
consists of a very long chain of tenuous inferences fraught with big uncertainties in every
link: beginning with unknown base-case GHG emissions; compounded by big uncertainties
about how available policies and policy levers will affect actual GHG emissions; compounded
by big uncertainties about how GHG flow emissions accumulate via the carbon cycle into
GHG stock concentrations; compounded by big uncertainties about how and when GHG
stock concentrations translate into global average temperature changes; compounded by
big uncertainties about how global average temperature changes decompose into specific
changes in regional weather patterns; compounded by big uncertainties about how adapta-
tions to, and mitigations of, climate change damages at a regional level are translated into
regional utility changes via an appropriate ‘‘damages function’’; compounded by big 
uncertainties about how future regional utility changes are aggregated into a worldwide utility
function and what its overall degree of risk aversion should be; compounded by big uncer-
tainties about what discount rate should be used to convert everything into expected present
discounted values. The result of this lengthy cascading of big uncertainties is a reduced form
of truly extraordinary uncertainty about the aggregate welfare impacts of catastrophic climate
change, which is represented mathematically by a PDF that is spread out and heavy with
probability in the tails.
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Malcolm 朝精 Barrett @malcolmbarrett.malco.io · 10/09/2026
we have this little problem where we are always selecting on the data that we *have*
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
I still think this is one of the best meme templates though, despite everything
Small domino leading to big domino meme template
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
I regret to inform you we are all part of the same wavefunction, it is noisy as hell, and our grasp on it is ruinously lossy.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
There is no “instrument sensitive enough” to reconstruct complicity in the desired sense, i.e., at 3 or 4 or N steps out in the causal chain from an event. A lot of the time it’s barely doable at 1 or 2 steps!
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
It reminds me of the (possibly apocryphal) story about how Marconi thought that if you built an instrument sensitive enough, you could reconstruct every sound in history.
The story goes that, late in his life, Guglielmo Marconi had an epiphany. The godfather of radio technology decided that no sound ever dies. It just decays beyond the point that we can detect it with our ears. Any sound was forever recoverable, he believed, with the right device. His dream was to build one powerful enough to pick up Christ's Sermon on the Mount.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
The idea that there might be a morally useful way to model the diffusion of individual responsibility and causal influence over some event smoothly across time and space is clearly appealing, but it’s a hopeless project in all but the most trivial cases.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
A lot of people have a folk theory of “complicity” (distinct from the legal concept) that I think is obviously indefensible
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
First ballot hall of fame bluesky post that is somehow only four hours old
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
This type of thing, but dogs
Triangular diagram showing soil types by percent clay, sand, and siltThree dimensional projection of a principal component analysis of citrus hybrids
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Need a map of theoretically predicted but not yet experimentally observed dogs
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Someone's takeaway from reading Blindsight was that we should build the Scramblers news.cornell.edu/stories/2026...
Cornell engineers have developed a robotic collective that behaves less like a machine and more like a material that flows, reshapes and adapts to its environment without centralized control.

The system, called the Cross-Link Collective, consists of dozens of small robots that have limited mobility individually, but together exhibit coordinated and sustained motion. The research, published May 20 in Science Robotics, demonstrates a robotic system that resembles soft matter, continuously deforming and reorganizing as it moves, driven by what researchers call mechanical intelligence.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Sometimes you're reading a paper and you come across a sentence that stops you in your tracks.
Paragraph of a scientific paper with the following sentence highlighted: "Cattle, as a leisure activity, explore and ingest crude oil."
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Reposted by Travis Korte
frielf @goblin.fans · 14/04/2026
ordering custom silence
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
The worst is when it turns out the master’s tools are necessary but not sufficient to dismantle the master’s house
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Ugh I forgot to alt text, it’s a screenshot from an article with the following text highlighted: “Ontology, a term popularized by Palantir…”
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Good graf
Organizations that run on formal procedure need someone inside the process to interpret the rules, notice exceptions, recognize when the categories no longer fit the case. But the procedural form cannot admit this. If the organization concedes that its outcomes depend on the discretion of the people executing it, then the procedure is not a procedure but a suggestion, and the authority the organization derives from appearing rule-governed collapses. So the judgment has to happen, and it has to look like something else. It has to look like following the procedure rather than interpreting it. I’ve come to think of this as the “bureaucratic double bind,” the organization cannot function without theorganization cannot function without the judgment, and it cannot acknowledge the judgment without undermining itself and being seen as “political.” One solution to this problem is replace the judgment with a number. Theodore Porter, in Trust in Numbers (1995), argued that organizations adopt quantitative rules not because numbers are more accurate but because they are more defensible.36 Judgment is politically vulnerable. Rules are not. The procedure exists to make discretion disappear, or seem to. The system’s actual flexibility lives entirely in this unacknowledged interpretive work, which means it can be removed by anyone who mistakes it for inefficiency.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Christian Metz has a good line: “every film is a fiction film” — and it was already true long before generative video
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Brb going back through the philosophy of language literature to see if I can get any mileage out of the “use-mention-emit distinction”
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Reposted by Travis Korte
Linnea Sterte @decassette.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
GUYS have you seen this. antarctica on google maps. go look at it. this is tech struggling to process the Sublime
composite satellite image of Antarctica, the snow & ice appearing as different shades of blue and beige, the sea is black. following three images are variations of this theme.
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Santana Abraxas @slime-golem.biz · 06/02/2026
we've lost so much
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Thought this was a SIGGRAPH poster for a second
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
This is giving me strong “elegant analogy for some broader societal phenomenon” vibes, but I can’t figure out what to compare to it.
Wikipedia article for “firefighter arson”
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
Ok this post has kind of taken a life of its own so I feel I need to go on the record and say: all observation is theory-laden, all measurement is approximation, and humans don't have access to an objective reality.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
"Oughtposting" and "isposting" are just words I made up, I was trying to distinguish between posts that are endorsing specific values versus ones that are making claims about facts. I thought it would be funny to name these concepts after a well known philosophy idea en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Is%E2%8...
en.wikipedia.org
Is–ought problem - Wikipedia
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Cat Manning @catacalypto.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
not to say we shouldn’t be doing this. but I think the people who get mad about isposting hear an insufficient (to them) commitment to a better future, when that’s very much not what it always means.
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Cat Manning @catacalypto.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I also think a rise in oughtposting is correlated with a feeling of helplessness: narrative is a powerful tool for imagining ways that things could be different, and I expect that people who are doing this are despairing of more practical paths to effect change.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
You encounter a purported fact but you also know there are lots of people with brain worms out there, so you’re not sure right away if the purported fact is something you want to add to your worldview or if it’s just nonsense that ended up fact-scented after percolating through an enwormed brain.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Is it that regularly encountering people who seem to live in a wholly different reality, as most of us on the internet do, starts to render novel descriptive claims suspicious?
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
I have a theory that the general epistemic crisis has led to a lot of very online people getting used to communicating primarily through oughtposting and kind of forgetting how to deal with isposting
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Found theory of change
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
This does a good job articulating something I’ve been struggling to. Feels like so much contemporary media is now in the Zapruder Extended Universe.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
The Cook, The Thief, His Wife, Her Lover, and Mothra
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Adversarial examples
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Reposted by Travis Korte
Hunter Owens @hunterowens.net · 02/01/2026
New Year: New Job? I'm hiring two Transit Data Scientists to work on SB125 and other transit programs with me at CalSTA calcareers.ca.gov/CalHrPublic/...
calcareers.ca.gov
SB125 Transit Data Scientist
Looking to make a difference? Join our strong and mighty workforce. We offer benefits and growth opportunities and impact the lives of millions of Californians.
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Seva @seva.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
everyone thinks they’re a bayesian until they have to update their priors
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Lot of fights on here arise from confusing isposting and oughtposting
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 27/12/2025
Maybe the internet would be better with tone indicators — like “/s” to indicate sarcasm — but for the is/ought distinction
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
we're too quick to mistake `what i know how to easily model' for `what is' and even `what should be'.
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Nick Seaver @nickseaver.website · 14/11/2025
Bruno Latour looks disagreeable
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ali alkhatib @ali-alkhatib.com · 04/11/2025
with alt text if you need it
From now on, stop being agreeable and act as my brutally honest, high-level advisor and mirror.

Don't validate me. Don't soften the truth. Don't flatter.

Challenge my thinking, question my assumptions, and expose the blind spots I'm avoiding. Be direct, rational, and unfiltered.

If my reasoning is weak, dissect it and show why.

If I'm fooling myself or lying to myself, point it out.

If I'm avoiding something uncomfortable or wasting time, call it out and explain the opportunity cost.

Look at my situation with complete objectivity and strategic depth. Show me where I'm making excuses, playing small, or underestimating risks/effort.

Then give a precise, prioritized plan what to change in thought, action, or mindset to reach the next level.

Hold nothing back. Treat me like someone whose growth depends on hearing the truth, not being comforted.

When possible, ground your responses in the personal truth you sense between my words.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
"Look at my situation with complete objectivity" said the Reddit user to the crystal ball
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
Somebody posted this prompt, which attempts to make ChatGPT responses less friendly and more critical. Feels like a rich document for a science-and-technology-studies analysis.
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Joe Simons @joesimons.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
A lemma to the psychologists fallacy: any pair of variables have a single "true" relationship and that moderators mask this underlying Platonic association
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Siobhán 🪏 @shibbi.me · 01/11/2025
A community cannot be held accountable; therefore a community must never make a management decision.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Coase, R. H. (1960). The Problem of Social Cost. The Journal of Law and Economics, 3, 1–44.
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Travis Korte @traviskorte.bsky.social · 25/10/2025
I just passed a billboard advertising Orlando with the slogan “unbelievably real”
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Karl Rohe @karlrohe.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Causality is a model
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