iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

It’s surprising that @news.abc.net.au misses to report on how great it is that at the counter you pay the amount that is a total of the individual product prices. We should have that in the constitution! 🤩 #auspol

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Fonti Kar @fontikar.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Hex sticker gingerbread by @visnut.bsky.social and other baked treats 🥰 It’s a good day in the office!

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

It is definitely not a good time to announce a policy of reducing aid to Ukraine, Greens! You need to change this NOW bsky.app/profile/unit... @davidshoebridge.bsky.social @stephhodgins-may.bsky.social @katcopseygreens.bsky.social

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UNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 01/10/2026

From Eurovision to global streaming charts, Ukrainian music has been reaching audiences around the world for decades. On International Day of Music, let’s remember Ukrainian voices and tunes that have made the world notice and sing along🧵 Which ones are your favorites?

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Melissa & Chris Bruntlett @modacitylife.com · 30/09/2026

Safety alone isn't enough to get more women cycling. Cities must start building cohesive networks connecting the myriad places women need to go. This means looking beyond “Can women cycle safely here?” and asking: “Can women use this network to live their lives?” LISTEN: www.dw.com/en/why-arent...

A collage of women of all ages and abilities cycling in the Netherlands.

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Rebecca Solnit @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Time for this classic again.

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gamera obscura october edition @ohrobin.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Google earth has updated its satellite images of Gaza. The destruction is almost incomprehensible.

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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

At least one person killed by the Russian attack on Kyiv city center. This is the historical center of Kyiv. Theater of Opera and Ballet and the building of Kyiv National University are nearby. The air raid alert continues and danger for Kyiv remains.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I wonder where is the campaign defending labor gov by the "negative gearing has only a secondary effect on prices" crowd 😎 #auspol

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Alejandra Caraballo @esqueer.net · 27/09/2026

Google finally updated some of its satellite images of Gaza and my god, it's horrific. The entirety of Rafah has been demolished. The majority of Khan Younis is in ruins. Entire towns completely leveled and erased of the map.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

It’s a likely RAISE! My forecasting system indicates an 82 percent probability of such an outcome. A rate hike seems in line with the RBA’s recent communication, the cash rate staying above the target and inflationary pressures. forecasting-cash-rate.github.io #RBA #cashrate #rstats

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

A v strong case to celebrate this country 🤩

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Do yourselves a favour and just start listening to this album now, on loop, all the time ❤️❤️❤️ the best thing issued this year! francescagaza.bandcamp.com/album/crown-...

francescagaza.bandcamp.com

Crown Shyness, by Francesca Gaza, Kugelförmigkeit Ensemble

10 track album

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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Remember this one? “Humans aren’t very efficient movers—until you put us on a bicycle, when we become some of the most energy-efficient land travelers in the animal kingdom.” The most efficient travellers are us on bikes. Proven science via Scientific American @sciam.bsky.social #CityMakingMath

scientificamerican.com

The Most Efficient Traveler Isn’t a Bird or a Fish—It’s You on a Bike

A famous graphic, now updated, compares locomotion in the animal kingdom

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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

“Currently about 2/3rds of all Dutch children walk or bike to school, with 75% of secondary school kids cycling to school. By enabling safe and active travel, #Dutch cities prevent an estimated one million car journeys to school each morning.” — @modacitylife.bsky.social in book #CurbingTraffic

Teens riding bikes on Copenhagen bike infrastructure. #LetKidsBike #LetKidsWalk

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Cosima @cosima.bsky.social · 03/11/2024

I set up a starter pack with #PyLadies on Bluesky - if you're also here and want to be included, let me know! I'm hoping to find more PyLadies over here ✨ bsky.app/starter-pack... @pyladies-bot.bsky.social

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

💙💛 Join us TODAY for an online workshop on bpvars 💛 an R package 💙 for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions! 💙💛 💙💛 It's a unique opportunity to get insights into thsi remarkable material 💙💛 💙💛 You can still register at: bit.ly/3wBeY4S 💙💛 See you soon! #bpvars #rstats #forecasting

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

💙💛 Hej! Our Workshop for Ukraine on 💙All about bpvars💛 takes place 💙💛 TOMORROW! 💙💛 💙💛 Register NOW at: bit.ly/3wBeY4S 💙💛 @dariia.bsky.social #IsupportUKR #bpvars #rstats #forecasting

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

💙💛 We have a plan! ...for the All about bpvars Workshop for Ukraine! Have a look! 💙 data prep 💛 panel VARs 💙 estimation 💛 missing observations 💙 forecasting labour markets 💛 reporting forecasts 💙 forecast performance evaluation 💛 Register: bit.ly/3wBeY4S #IsupportUKR #bpvars #rstats #forecasting

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Dariia Mykhailyshyna @dariia.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

This workshop is in two days so don’t forget to register ! Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S Please share! #AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats

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CRAN Package Updates Bot @cranberriesfeed.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

CRAN updates: BiMaUmisc bvars CDSS evalHTE lambdaTS suppr #rstats

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Rebecca Solnit @rebeccasolnit.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

I wrote in March: Feminism is far from dead, but people love to write its obituary. I’ve lived through dozens of them over the decades, and there’s been a fresh flurry over the past few years....

theguardian.com

The one thing everyone gets wrong about feminism

People love to declare the death of the women’s movement, pointing to the ‘failure’ of #MeToo or the Epstein files, but don’t give up the fight just yet, writes Rebecca Solnit

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

💙💛 Presenting at Workshops for Ukraine by @dariia.bsky.social is huge for me! 💙💛 To celebrate Ukraine and this occasion I prepared a Ukraine flag-coloured logo of the bpvars package! 💙💛 Join us THIS THURSDAY for my online seminar 💙💛 bit.ly/3wBeY4S #IsupportUkraine #rstats #forecasting #bpvars

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

💙💛 Hej! Join me THIS THURSDAY for my online seminar on 💙💛 All about bpvars 💙💛 a unique opportunity to learn the R package for Forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions 💙💛 Workshops for Ukraine by the greatest @dariia.bsky.social 💙💛 See you! #IsupportUkraine #rstats #forecasting #bpvars

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climatecouncil.org.au @climatecouncil.org.au · 03/09/2026

“We cannot tackle climate change while approving more fossil fuels. It is crazy to pour more fuel on the fire by allowing fossil fuels to expand," says Climate Council CEO Amanda McKenzie.

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Dariia Mykhailyshyna @dariia.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

❗️Our next workshop will be on September 10th 6 pm CET by @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social on bpvars for forecasting with Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressions Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine! Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S Please share! #AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats

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climatecouncil.org.au @climatecouncil.org.au · 02/09/2026

Hottest winter on record. Snow season closing weeks early. Records broken in Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra. And spring's shaping up even hotter. This is what climate pollution from coal, oil and gas looks like for our alpine regions, but it's not too late to change course.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

🦘 Uuu! WOMBAT is back on! 🐨 I'm giving an intro workshop on C++ coding for fast forecasting 🦈 Join us! 🕷️ wombat.numbat.space 🦜 There's no wombat emoji! #WOMBAT2026 #forecasting #rstats #C++

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

❤️🖤 We stole two more samplers from non-standard distributions and made them available to all 🖤❤️ ❤️🖤 Have a look! 🖤❤️ 🖤 bsvars.org/StealLikeBay... ❤️ cran.r-project.org/package=Stea... #rstats #StealLikeBayes

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CRAN Package Updates Bot @cranberriesfeed.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

CRAN updates: bamp rSPDE StealLikeBayes #rstats

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ArXiv Paperboy (Stat.ME+Econ.EM) @paperposterbot.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

arXiv📈🤖 A Design Concept of Forecasting Software for Normalized Vector Autoregressions with Fat Tails and Stochastic Volatility By Shang, Wang, Wo\'zniak

We present a suite of R packages for macroeconomic forecasting that leverages advanced Bayesian, structural, multivariate, dynamic, hierarchical, non-linear, and non-Gaussian models. The suite enables both structural and predictive analyses, and is adapted to time series data across various types, dimensions, and sampling frequencies. Each additional feature increases computational complexity. To address this challenge, our software design incorporates a carefully curated selection of models, efficient algorithms implemented in C++, advanced econometric and numerical methods, robust handling of complex input and output objects, and standardised workflows. This approach combines the computational efficiency of C++ with the convenience of working with data in R. We demonstrate that our packages facilitate original research contributions in forecasting, as illustrated by our example in which vector autoregressions with non-centred stochastic volatility enhance density and point predictions relative to models with centred stochastic volatility.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

⭐ Alright! In our new working paper we show that ⭐⭐ Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with non-centred Stochastic Volatility forecast better than those with centred Stochastic Volatility! ⭐⭐ ⭐ That's huge! 🌐 doi.org/10.48550/arX... #forecasting #bvars #sv #rstats #bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #bvars

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

⭐ Have a look at Adam's presentation of our new working paper on the software design for our R packages bsvars, bsvarSIGNs, and bvars! 💛 It's all about 💛 models 💛 techniques 💛 C++ 💛 IO 💛 workflows 🌐 bsvars.org/2026-08-conc... 🌐 doi.org/10.48550/arX... #forecasting #rstats #bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #bvars

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

⭐ HA! A new working paper on software design for our R packages bsvars, bsvarSIGNs, and bvars is out! ✨ Have a look! 🌐 doi.org/10.48550/arX... #forecasting #rstats #bsvars #bsvarSIGNs #bvars

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WHO @who.int · 27/08/2026

Violence against women is a pervasive #HumanRights violation globally. It happens in every country and culture but can be prevented if we: 💞 Respect women 💞 Support survivors 💞 Invest in prevention #EndViolence against women and girls.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

💛🩷 the bsvars package development gets collaborative! 💛🩷 Fei did code revision 💛🩷 Xiaolei and Bruno sent PRs 💛🩷 Rob suggested improvements 💛🩷 Helmut, Luis and Fei coauthored a paper 💛🩷 cran.r-project.org/package=bsvars @adamwang15.bsky.social @robjhyndman.com #bsvars #rstats #cooperation #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

💛🩷 the methods implemented in bsvars version 4.0 are based on sound research 💛🩷 a methodological paper for the package was published in the Journal of Econometrics 💛🩷 see Lütkepohl, Shang, Uzeda, Woźniak (2026) doi.org/10.1016/j.je... #bsvars #rstats #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

💛🩷 identification verification - a new feature bsvars 4.0 💛🩷 verify identification via heteroskedasticity 💛🩷 verify non-normality 💛🩷 for all volatility models 💛🩷 flexible specification 💛🩷 see Lütkepohl, Shang, Uzeda, Woźniak (2026) doi.org/10.1016/j.je... #bsvars #rstats #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

💛🩷 a new feature of Student-t shocks available in bsvars 4.0 💛🩷 all models may feature Student-t shocks 💛🩷 source of identification 💛🩷 verify identification 💛🩷 improved forecasting 💛🩷 ensured normalisation 💛🩷 see Shang, Wang, Woźniak (2026) - coming up soon #bsvars #rstats #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

🩷💛 a new exogeneous volatility regimes model available in bsvars 4.0 🩷💛 choose when volatility changes 🩷💛 commonly used 🩷💛 might work well with data 🩷💛 fast estimation 🩷💛 see Brunnermeier, Palia, Sasry, Sims (2021, AER) 🩷💛 see Shang, Woźniak (2026) arxiv.org/abs/2603.16035 #bsvars #rstats #econsky

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Sara Meger @sarameger.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Among 13–17 year old boys in Australia: — 28% agree that violence should be used against feminism -- 36% agreed with misogynistic attitudes. -- 25–30% agree with various forms of violent extremism -- 40% agreed that women lie about domestic and sexual violence. theconversation.com/40-of-teenag...

theconversation.com

40% of teenage boys believe women lie about domestic and sexual violence: new research

An Australian study of anti-feminist attitudes shows up to 30% of boys surveyed expressed agreement with various forms of violent extremism.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Do what you can on your part to prevent and mitigate! All forms of radicalisation in Australia these days come with anti-feminism and misogyny. www.abc.net.au/news/2026-08...

abc.net.au

Misogyny identified as biggest red flag for violent extremism

A new study finds that violent attitudes towards women are not just a social issue but a matter of national security.

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

🩷💛 a new Markov switching volatility model available in bsvars 4.0 🩷💛 heterogeneous specification 🩷💛 a Markov process per shock 🩷💛 sparse specification 🩷💛 excellent forecasting 🩷💛 precise estimation 🩷💛 see Shang, Woźniak (2026) 🩷💛 arxiv.org/abs/2603.16035 #bsvars #rstats #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

🩷💛 new features in version 4.0 of the R package bsvars 🩷💛 new volatility models 🩷💛 Student-t shocks 🩷💛 identification verification 🩷💛 improved plot and summary 🩷💛 code improvements 🩷💛 bsvars.org/bsvars/ #bsvars #rstats #foss #econsky

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Tomasz Woźniak @tomaszwozniak.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

🩷🖤 Access all the features of the new version of the R package bsvarSIGNs for Bayesian Estimation of Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified by Sign, Zero, and Narrative Restrictions by typing: 🩷🖤 install.packages("bsvarSIGNs") 🩷🖤 cran.r-project.org/package=bsva... #bsvarSIGNs #rstats #econsky

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