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timothyogden.bsky.social

@timothyogden.bsky.social
102 followers 126 following 82 posts

Managing Director, Financial Access Initiative (at NYU Wagner); Executive Partner, Sona Partners; President, Bardet Biedl Syndrome Foundation; Board chair, GiveWell

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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 5h
If you're really, really lucky, something you did 10 years ago might be relevant today: indevelopmentmag.com/michael-krem... *if that thing involves a superstar
indevelopmentmag.com
Michael Kremer’s Approach To Economics – In Development
evidence and argument for a developing world
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The massive DDoS version of AI doom, plus ridiculous WSJ stories, 3rd waves and even cell biology! www.financialaccess.org/blog/2026/7/...
financialaccess.org
The Massive DDoS Edition — Financial Access Initiative
Editor's Note:  If you were hoping that the faiV would be a pleasant distraction from the overwhelming flow of AI-related content, sorry. For the record, the faiV had “ai” built in before Anth...
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
The process of connecting to American Airlines free Wi-Fi is so awful it makes me wish for no connection
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
When did the requirement to be even pretending to play the ball go away?
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Is there an equivalent fandom to English football where despite never being actually very good the whole fan base expects that the team will win the championship?
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
TIL that Zoom won't let you share Zoom Desktop in a Zoom call
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
FAFSA reports record completion rates. Bloomberg reports growing AI-enabled FAFSA fraud: www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
bloomberg.com
AI Is Making Digital Fraud Easier, Faster and Harder to Stop
Today’s digital ecosystem creates the perfect storm for identity theft. AI makes every step — from stealing personal information held by companies to finding the right Social Security Number to steal ...
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
@rivertam.bsky.social hoping you have the Kevin Kline "It was a tie!" gif prepped and ready
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Rep. Mike Levin @levin.house.gov · 01/05/2026
Not enough people are talking about this.     The Trump Administration is moving to cut benefits for up to 400,000 disabled Americans — people with Down syndrome, severe autism, dementia — for no other reason than that they live at home with their families instead of in an institution.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
We're hosting an "emergency" faiVLive on emerging cyberthreats to the global financial inclusion system next Tuesday. I'll be joined by Beni Chugh from Dvara, Buhle Goslar, Andree Simon from Finca and Patrick McKenzie. Join us: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
us02web.zoom.us
Welcome! You are invited to join a webinar: faiVLive: Emerging Cyberthreats to Global Financial Inclusion. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email about joining the webinar.
An "emergency" faiVLive, co-hosted with FinDev Gateway. Increasingly powerful AI tools are enabling malicious actors to target financial services systems and institutions the world over. Recently th...
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Dan Immergluck @danimmergluck.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
Brutal.
A WHOLE CIVILIZATION
WILL DIE TONIGHT
My son needs lunch, and I have to put his backpack together, but a whole civilization will die tonight, so I'm wondering if they've closed their schools.
Like, a snow day, maybe, except instead of snow it's
"keep your children home so if you die, you die together" — instead of "well open back up once the plows have cleared" it's
"we don't know if we'll be here tomorrow, hold your babies tight."
It's just "talk" I'm told, which I've been told before.
"It's how the president makes his deals." But I've never heard anyone talk about other human beings this way, and I'm not certain I can look my son in the eyes if we all agree to stomach it one more time.
A civilization will die tonight, but as I zip up his backpack and kiss him off to school I think: if this is what we call leadership then I'm not entirely sure ours isn't already dead.
@michaelfdubois
Mukad A QuBoy
@michacifdubois
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
I'd be fascinated to see the models that explain this. There is a fixed amount that was going to be spent on football? The coach earning model has changed from securing sinecure to moving up the ladder? The coach premium was about skill obscuring payments to players?
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
A new edition of the faiV, focused on the post-equilibria era. In the 24 hours before hitting send there were 3 new pieces published that I felt I needed to include, and in the 24 hours since, there are 3 new ones that I would have included... www.financialaccess.org/faiv/2026/2/...
financialaccess.org
The Post-Equilibria Edition — Financial Access Initiative
Editors’ Note:  This was an unusually difficult to organize and write faiV for two reasons--it feels like everything is some combination of AI and politics, and the new things just kept coming so...
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
The commentary I'm seeing on the "Trump" universal kids savings accounts are pretty scarily partisan. Apparently people are turning down money because they think it's a scam?
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
2010s: DAFs will make large scale philanthropy available to the affluent, not just the mega-wealthy 2020s: DAFs make it possible for the mega-wealthy to credibly deflect questions about not giving any money away
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
I don't think the word "extraordinary" means what you think it means. Alternatively: the Old Testament, the Protestant Reformation, the Enlightenment, the Wesley Brothers, and various social & religious campaigners of the 20th century would like a word.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
You guys, the moltys have escaped containment
A quotation from a supposed viewer of the Melania propaganda film that is so anodyne it is hard to believe it is not an LLM response
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AblativMeatshld @ablativmeatshld.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Reading this and continually unnerved at the plausibility that it is an AI-generated response to "Write an essay in the voice of George Orwell that criticizes the intellectual underpinnings of Trumpism" www.orwellfoundation.com/the-orwell-f...
orwellfoundation.com
Second Thoughts on James Burnham | The Orwell Foundation
"It is curious that in all his talk about the struggle for power, Burnham never stops to ask why people want power."
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
This is the way the faiV returns, not with a bang but a parlay: www.financialaccess.org/faiv/2026/1/...
financialaccess.org
The Not with a Bang but a Parlay Edition — Financial Access Initiative
Editor's Note: It’s a new year and a new faiV. I’ll try not to dwell on what precedes that famous line, nor will I spend a lot of time on explanations or apologies. I will note that the gap between th...
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
@niedermeyer.online Relevant to you. www.nber.org/papers/w34413 Let me know if you need help getting full text
nber.org
The Musk Partisan Effect on Tesla Sales
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Ryan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Perhaps instead of Columbus Day we can celebrate Columbian Exchange Day where we celebrate the food pairings that had never been possible before, peppers and onions, chocolate and coffee, basil and tomatoes.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 13/10/2025
Cynicism is the mind killer
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karl rove knausgård @uhactually.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
We’ve been rewatching 30 Rock
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Berk Özler @berkozler12.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
Working papers get a lot of attention and journalists don't scrutinize the evidence. I do that here for the most recent cash transfers and infant mortality paper... Is the effect that big? How can spillovers be so important (and work so fast)? Do forking paths affect the findings? And more...
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𝔅𝔲𝔱𝔱𝔬𝔫𝔰 𝔒'𝔊𝔥𝔬𝔲𝔩𝔦𝔥𝔞𝔫 @johnxuandou.bsky.social · 13/08/2025
This is one of the most beautiful things I have witnessed, the craft here is impeccable.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
When I'm struggling with all that is happening and wondering what difference I can make, I remember that I've been able to be a very small part of this. You can too. www.givewell.org
More than 135,000 donors have trusted GiveWell to direct their donations. Together they have given over $2.4B to the organizations we recommend. These donations will save over 270,000 lives.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Palate cleanser or political metaphor?
Clusters of colorful mushrooms on an old log at t edge of a trail through the forest
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Goprodious @goprodious.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Wait, I thought it wasn't corruption when it was done in the open, officially.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
I don't think it's true that no one is thinking about the agentic arms race, but I also don't think it gets enough attention. Who is winning and losing in short term? How durable are those gaps? What is the cost of arms race before a new paradigm sets in?
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Alex Hern @hern.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
“A good science fiction story should be able to predict not the automobile but the traffic jam.” – Frederik Pohl
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Ivan the K ™ @ivanthek.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Impeach Alito and Thomas
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Michael P. Breen @mpbreen21.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Hell, they won’t even allow us to get criminals out of the Oval Office
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
I have to admit, when Trump dubbed Rubio "Little Marco" he picked the right adjective. No Secretary of State has ever come up littler
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
unsubscribed from (and began a boycott of) all @semafor emails after their use of Noem's crimes against humanity photo op without calling it out. And that after normalizing the Signal breach as a D vs. R issue.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
I learned from Roodman that Benjamin Franklin set up the first US MFIs. TIL he also set up the first American CDFI: "Franklin...championed the hospital...as an instrument of economic development...and local employment..becom[ing] 1 of the city's most important sources of credit...loaning 35000lbs"
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Trying to log into an on-line event and it's apparently harder to do so than joining a group chat with top secret military plans
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Lots of coverage about Tesla shares tanking because customers don’t want to be associated with a fascist etc. But what if the problem is that it’s a poorly run company whose CEO is absentee, whose most iconic product is falling apart, & that now seems to have misplaced $1.4B bsky.app/profile/bloo...
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
My timeline cleanse: I'm in Chicago doing prep meetings for #SmallFirmDiaries USA and meeting a Latina business who has found success as the first Halal Mexican restaurant and catering firm on the South Side. This is America.
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Leah Greenberg ❌👑 @leahgreenberg.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
the richest man in the world has decided that your kids don't deserve special education programs
A screenshot of an email notifying Spotsylvania parents that funding for a program for youth with disabilities has been canceled
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Orwell: ‘Between democracy and totalitarianism,’ says Mussolini, ‘there can be no compromise.’ The two creeds cannot even, for any length of time, live side by side. So long as democracy exists, even in its very imperfect form, totalitarianism is in deadly danger. orwell.substack.com/p/so-long-as...
orwell.substack.com
"So long as democracy exists... totalitarianism is in deadly danger."
First published 19 February 1941
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 19/02/2025
Where can I get a Sic Semper Tyrannis flag with King Clown on it?
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Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
A good use of large donors’ money right now would be to make zero-interest loans to orgs so they can continue programs. Once USG makes its back payments, loans can be repaid. cc: @albrgr.bsky.social
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 05/02/2025
You know what would be extremely funny? If port workers accidentally started dumping containers of Tesla vehicles and parts in the ocean. We could call it a T party
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 04/02/2025
www.youtube.com/watch?v=8K6-...
youtube.com
Post-WW2 Anti-Fascist Educational Film | Don't Be a Sucker | 1947
YouTube video by The Best Film Archives
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
What stage of grief are you at?
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Alex Cole @acnewsitics.com · 04/02/2025
This is so good.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 02/02/2025
This is the way the Republic ends, this the way the Republic ends, this is the way the Republic ends, not with a bang but a whimper.
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timothyogden.bsky.social @timothyogden.bsky.social · 29/01/2025
A thing that influences my thinking about AI developments a lot: how badly all of the "we'll automatically apply discount codes and get you the best price" plug-ins work. Should our prior not be that there is an infinite arms race of AI agent vs. AI agent yielding the same equilibrium?
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