iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 27m

Yet only 47% of U.S. adults believe that they have personally experienced the effects of global warming. Find state and district level graphics 🔽 www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt... And remember, just because it isn't being talked about, doesn't mean climate change ain't happening. It is.

Two panel map of the US showing the amount of warming due to climate change on the left and the percent of people who say they've experience climate change on right. US is broken down into congressional district level data.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 27m

🚨Latest Climate Matters: Every single congressional district in the country has warmed since 1970. And human-caused climate change was responsible for 91% of the warming in each district, on-average.

Map of US with every congressional district displayed. Colors in yellow to red indicate the warming trend in each district. Darkest reds are in the Southwest and Alaska.

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Shel Winkley @shelwinkleywx.bsky.social · 17h

🍎"They know things are different than what they were a generation ago, but even ten to fifteen years ago...so we're seeing growers put in both drain lines to deal with too much water at the same time they're investing in more irrigation systems than ever before."

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

I know folks realllllllllllllllllly want to say this El Nino is the worst in 1000 years. But this is important context 🔽

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Follow @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social for West Coast weather/climate news! Coastal erosion and flooding is going to be big news up and down the coast all winter. El Nino on top of sea level rise = not good. Take a look at the climate change impact from us 🔽 www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt...

bar graph with solid color and hatched indicating days with coastal flooding and days with coastal flooding added by climate change. For San Francisco.

bar graph with solid color and hatched indicating days with coastal flooding and days with coastal flooding added by climate change. For San Diego

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Carbon Brief @carbonbrief.org · 11/10/2026

Recommended listen: The Heated podcast covered how the rightwing media ecosystem spread a “twisted” narrative about the RCP8.5 scenario.

buff.ly

Who’s telling you climate change is no big deal?

A new report traces the financial connections behind conservative media’s latest attack on climate science.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Just wanted to say how much I appreciate @drjeffmasters.bsky.social and @bhensonweather.bsky.social coverage on all the craziness going on across the tropics and the impacts.

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Anthony Edwards @edwardsanthonyb.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

S.F. just set a new October high tide record — by a wide margin www.sfchronicle.com/weather/arti...

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Dr Joanne Williams @jowilliams.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

A fair approach. Obviously the techniques used now are more elaborate than simple linear regression (a sort of multi-dimensional best fit) but we're still talking about computer programmes.

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Andrew Freedman @afreedma.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

To forecast Hurricane Isaias, the Nat'l Hurricane Center has bet big on a promising AI forecasting model from Google DeepMind. So far, that bet has been paying off. In this story, the NHC Director discusses the thinking behind the forecast: www.cnn.com/2026/10/08/w...

cnn.com

The National Hurricane Center’s big bet on AI | CNN

In forecasting Hurricane Isaias, meteorologists at the National Hurricane Center in Miami have shaped their predictions to closely match an AI hurricane model from Google DeepMind.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

It's gonna be a GREAT one this month. Plus we'll dive into climate change impacts on agriculture too with our guest expert.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Something seems a little off with the climate brink RONI numbers. Not sure how they are calculating it. I've been using this one from Kim Wood, which is impressive but points this year clearly within the realm of 97. (Splitting hairs a bit) kouya.has.arizona.edu/tropics/ENSO...

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Great example of why El Nino doesn't guarantee outcomes, especially outside the tropics. (Also why seasonal forecasting is so tough!)

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Sammy Roth @sammyroth.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Pretty damning report on all the things LA city and county officials did wrong during the early hours of the Palisades and Eaton fires — confirming a lot of @latimes.com reporting. Speaks to need for huge investment in disaster response as climate change intensifies. www.latimes.com/environment/...

latimes.com

Botched Altadena evacuations, dysfunction in Pacific Palisades: Long-awaited fire investigation identifies missteps

The report provides the most frank and in-depth review of the Eaton and Palisades fires, and points out multiple shortcomings in governmental planning and response.

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Climate.us @climate.us · 01/10/2026

October outlook: No part of the U.S. is favored to have a cooler-than-average month. Meanwhile, nearly 80% of the contiguous U.S. entered October abnormally dry or in drought. See NOAA’s temperature, precipitation & drought outlooks: buff.ly/i7Blwc7 #ClimateChange

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

This isn't a knock on how you use it though! Because I know you provide that broader context.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

To me it's more like, why do we need another metric? Like you said, it's EN + CC. That's all you need. IMO, ONI is at the bottom. Not only bad at representing El Nino but creates misunderstanding of EN. It's not treated as connected to climate change. And it's overall confusing for people.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Again 100% on the same page here, and it's one thing I've been noting in any interviews I give. I'd just rather explicitly say El Nino (RONI) + climate change than bringing ONI into it to avoid confusion. This has the benefit, to me, of framing impacts during non-El Nino years too.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Totally agree. But ONI doesn't communicate that climate change signal well. Heck, most of the time I've seen ONI being used, it's "WOW this El Nino is OFF THE CHARTS" with no mention of broader warming.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Well, to me, it depends on if you're talking about measuring the strength of El Nino vs. the impact of El Nino + climate change. Unless ONI captures some bit of global ocean warmth/moisture unrelated to RONI or climate change that significantly impacts the hydrological cycle.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Spent some time with BBC's The Global Story podcast talking about El Nino. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ou5w...

youtube.com

Why El Niño 2026 has scientists worried | The Global Story

YouTube video by BBC News

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO BELIEVE ANYMORE

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

How can we expect anyone to properly prepare for current or future climate extremes if we don't even mention climate change. This El Nino isn't happening in a vacuum!

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

We need to be improving resilience/early warning systems for climate disasters every year, not just El Nino years. This El Nino will end. But similar levels of extremes will occur somewhere EVERY YEAR. And climate change is right there making those disasters worse. El Nino or no El Nino.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Another Op-ed/story on El Nino that doesn't bring up climate change. And another op-ed using this "we need to be prepared!" framing that doesn't give examples of anyone under-preparing. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/27/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | The Super El Niño Comes Bearing One Gift: Time to Prepare

There’s still time to prepare.

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Becca Dzombak @rdzombak.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

In 2024, dam demolition on the Klamath was completed, letting long-controlled stretches of the river flow free. Now, the first stats for how many salmon are returning are in. It's good news: Thousands migrated upriver in '24 and '25. But recovery is not guaranteed. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/24/c...

nytimes.com

Salmon Are Thriving After Klamath Dam Removals, Study Finds (Gift Article)

The first fall runs of chinook salmon since the project in California and Oregon was completed have surpassed researchers’ expectations.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

And I know that makes the article longer. So in cases where El Nino is clearly atmospherically and ocean-wise in that area., like now. I think the way you wrote it makes sense. My big annoyance is with the day-to-day horse race of taking daily values and declaring it the strongest ever.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

I think this is totally fine. If I was being pedantic, I'd say you should note how long it's been above that threshold, and/or how it's unlikely that it's going to drop below. But I also don't think you should have to wait until the month (or 3 months) are over to say it's very strong.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

The strength of El Nino is not measured on a daily time scale. The strength of El Nino is not measured on a daily time scale. The strength of El Nino is not measured on a daily time scale. The strength of El Nino is not measured on a daily time scale.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Also again the reason why we'll be breaking temperature records is mostly because of climate change. El Nino is not leading to an increase in temperature everywhere! The big signal from El Nino is over the Pacific. The rest of the global red...climate change (overly simplified but you get it)

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

No this is not the preferred method for measuring the strength of El Nino. And any scientist saying otherwise hasn't been paying attention. This event is huge enough as is! www.theguardian.com/environment/...

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Rick Thoman @alaskawx.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Arctic-wide sea ice extent has (very likely) reached the minimum for 2026 In NSIDC analysis. At 4.60 million square kilometers (about 2.5 times the size of Alaska), this ties with last year for the 11th lowest since 1979. But that's still lower than every year's min prior to 2007. #Arctic #SeaIce

Time series plot of the color-coded Arctic-wide annual minimum sea ice extent 1979 to 2026 based on analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Also shown is an estimate of the time varying average.

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Climate Central @climatecentral.org · 17/09/2026

🌍 More than 1.5 billion people experienced at least 30 days of risky heat added by climate change this summer. Wondering where climate change was felt the most strongly this summer? Explore the analysis from #ClimateCentral: www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt…

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Emily Atkin @emorwee.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

A few weekends ago I went to Miami and attended 9 open houses in extremely high-risk flood areas to see what agents are telling prospective buyers about them. Here is my journey

heated.world

The open houses at the edge of disaster

What are buyers being told about climate risk in Miami? I posed as one to find out.

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Chris Legro @oceanstwx.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Vive la Résistance 🫡

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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Going forward, the US National Science Foundation research budget for all atmospheric, ocean, and Earth sciences is $110 million per year. Trump's illegal war with Iran cost the Department of Defense (i.e., the American taxpayers) $38 billion in the first 5 months, or $220 million per day.

cbo.gov

Estimating the Cost of Combat Operations Against Iran

CBO assesses the Department of Defense's costs for the current armed conflict against Iran, as well as the conflict's economic and budgetary effects.

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Christopher Callahan @ccallahan45.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

The White House plans to amend the National Climate Assessment to question RCP8.5. Last week, I, @jsmankin.bsky.social, and @vsrikrish.bsky.social commented that this proposal is "scientifically unsupported and procedurally deficient". You can see our comment here: essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10....

essopenarchive.org

Comment on Proposed Amendment to the Fifth National Climate Assessment | ESS Open Archive

This document is a public comment regarding the proposed amendment to the fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5). The amendment directs any NCA5 results that are “dependent on RCP8.5, SSP5-8.5, or e...

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

It's a story like this that makes Korey Stringer Institute's Doug Casa's prediction that in 30 years high school football will be a spring sport not seem so wild. (Said on a recent episode of Curiously Climate @climatecentral.org) www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-ul...

open.spotify.com

Curiously Climate: Student Athletes in a Hotter World w/Doug Casa and Rebecca Stearns

Curiously Climate · Episode

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

This is exactly what AI would say!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (did I do flame war posting right?)

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Bob Henson @bhensonweather.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Along with the Australia threat highlighted by @climateguyw.bsky.social below, I'm also worried about the health and other impacts from the El Niño-driven, drought-spawned fires and smoke that are already plaguing Southeast Asia: www.abc.net.au/news/2026-09...

abc.net.au

Devastating season in Indonesia sees 'water sources dry up'

For three exhausting months, Andri Susanto and his crew have been fighting raging fires on the island of Borneo — and blazes are taking a toll across the region.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 06/09/2026

We have a similar anti-bike lane near me, pro-car 4eva group in Takoma Park, MD that is mostly made up of the older, "environmental" folks who get esp. riled up if anything affects their ability to get overpriced groceries at their beloved, but sorta meh Coop. They are also hugely anti-development.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

To whom it may concern, if 2026 or 2027 end up as the hottest year on record, the main reason is climate change. Not El Nino. Mentioning only El Nino would be like covering a gold medal 4x100 relay team and only mentioning the sprinter who went last.

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Tom Di Liberto @tdiliberto.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

Emily is the best El Nino communicator out there.

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