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Thanassis Cambanis

@tcambanis.bsky.social
1.5K followers 209 following 129 posts

VP for Research @CIPolicy. Former @CenturyIntl. Books: Iraq war (forthcoming), Once Upon a Revolution, Shia Power, Hezbollah, Hybrid Actors, Citizenship & Discontents.

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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The US government repeats some mistakes over and over, hostage to a sefl-imposed knowledge gap. How can researchers tip the balance? Order from Ashes is back from its summer hiatus with @mattduss.bsky.social @nancyokail.bsky.social and yours truly.
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OR Books @orbooks.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
A group of leading experts offers a progressive blueprint for a foreign policy that answers to voters instead of defense contractors and Super PACs Co-publishing with @thenation.com and edited by @mattduss.bsky.social A World For All is available for pre-order now: orbooks.com/catalog/a-wo...
orbooks.com
A World For All
A progressive blueprint for a foreign policy that answers to voters instead of donors, defense contractors, and Super PACs.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Today Century International joins @cipolicy.bsky.social to launch a new global research department. We'll provide fresh analysis and alternative policies to address the global crisis in security and democracy, with the team that's become the address for progressive foreign policy.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Incredible research from @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social and team shows how Iran diffuses to its network the knowledge to manufacture and adapt. It's not just about drones; it's about navigating a networked world. "Beyond the Axis" changed how I understand the Iran war and read the future.
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Peter Salisbury @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
How were Iran and its Axis of Resistance able to weather the conflicts of recent years, and even score a strategic victory? With support from @XCEPT_Research we've been studying exactly this question @TCFdotorg You can read our findings here: t.co/e4jgMwMeS2
t.co
https://tcf.org/content/report/beyond-the-axis/
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
EVENT TODAY On Monday, June 22 at 11:00 AM ET, Century International presents findings from Beyond the Axis, a major investigation of how and why Iran and its allies were able to reconstitute so quickly in the wars that began in October 2023. tcf.org/content/even...
tcf.org
Worldwide Webs of Weapons: Beyond the Axis Report Launch
Why have Iran and its “Axis of Resistance” proven so durable in the face of waves of military and economic warfare, and what does this mean for the future
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Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 18/06/2026
Glad to join @tcambanis.bsky.social and colleagues to discuss this U.S.-Iran MoU, which, if it actually obliges Israel to withdraw from Lebanon, could mark a real inflection point in the region’s post-October 7 trajectory: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Trump's shaky Iran deal isn't a peace treaty. It won't bring lasting peace or a new order. Six Century International fellows tell @orderfromashes.bsky.social what new problems and pathologies to expect from the MoU.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Trump's shaky Iran deal isn't a peace treaty. It won't bring lasting peace or a new order. Six Century International fellows tell @orderfromashes.bsky.social what new problems and pathologies to expect from the MoU.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
My mayor’s khalifa My beans are garbanza Our madness is reefa The Knicks win in khamsa
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Rubble is Israel’s doctrine, not an improvisation. Nathan J Brown pierces through the BS on @orderfromashes.bsky.social to identify a clear, intentional strategy — which won’t produce security for anyone.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Rubble is Israel’s doctrine, not an improvisation. Nathan J Brown pierces through the BS on @orderfromashes.bsky.social to identify a clear, intentional strategy — which won’t produce security for anyone.
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Markus Alexander @markus1001.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
If he wanted to "restrain Netanyahu," he would cut off the money and weapons.
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Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Ceasefires no longer seem to involve ceasing fire, and major and minor powers alike sidestep the UN. On @orderfromashes.bsky.social, @crisisgroup.org’s @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org talks to @tcambanis.bsky.social about how peacemaking isn’t what it used to be: thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Diplomacy ain’t what it used it to be. @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org on how peace negotiations have changed — and why wars might not cleanly end — on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
The ink isn't dry on Trump's defeat with Iran, and he's musing about invading Cuba. Trump is surpassing the worst overreach of the Cold War. The only state he's likely to vanquish is his own.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Every time the US and Iran appear on the verge of agreement, Israel intensifies bombing of Lebanon. Israel has killed at least 3,200, but hasn't neutralized Hezbollah. Find out more about Hezbollah's comeback 👇
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Hezbollah supposedly was finished. @simaghaddar.bsky.social explains what we know about its comeback on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social Listen here www.youtube.com/playlist?lis... open.spotify.com/show/7rJWTOp... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/o... thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
He's forming a new government, war rages around him, America wants him to disarm renegade militias — and those militias put him in power. A glimpse at the unknown banker just put in charge of Iraq.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Iraq’s weak new prime minister faces a terrifying welcome: ongoing war, renegade militias, allies that undermine, and a fiscal cliff. @sajadjiyad.bsky.social charts Ali Zaidi’s perilous agenda on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Iraq’s weak new prime minister faces a terrifying welcome: ongoing war, renegade militias, allies that undermine, and a fiscal cliff. @sajadjiyad.bsky.social charts Ali Zaidi’s perilous agenda on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
America started a war it couldn’t win. How does the world look without a dominant superpower? @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social previews our new era of asymmetric finance, trade, and warfare on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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DAWN @dawnmenaorg.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
"We're seeing Israel repeating this playbook in the war on Lebanon...Now the wholesale razing of border towns and villages in southern Lebanon, including my own hometown, Bint Jbail," @mbazzi.bsky.social tells @tcambanis.bsky.social. Listen for more: thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com/e/erasing-bi...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
America started a war it couldn’t win. How does the world look without a dominant superpower? @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social previews our new era of asymmetric finance, trade, and warfare on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Israel is trying to erase Bint Jbail. World powers could put a stop to the ethnic cleansing. What war looks like now with @mbazzi.bsky.social on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
How will the Arab monarchies in the Gulf deploy their wealth and power now they’ve learned the limits of America’s security umbrella? @rohadvani.bsky.social on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
Fitful resumption of shipping in Hormuz shouldn't distract from long-term harm and shocks to global economy. We'll be tallying the costs of the elective Iran war for a generation.
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Background Briefing with Ian Masters @ianmastersmedia.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Trump forces Netanyahu’s hand by saying Israel is “prohibited from bombing Lebanon,” despite mounting domestic pressure in Israel for the IDF to continue fighting Hezbollah. Featuring @tcambanis.bsky.social. soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
soundcloud.com
Though Trump Prohibited Israel From Bombing Lebanon, Israeli Public Wants to Finish Off Hezbollah
Background Briefing goes far beyond the headlines and deep under the radar to bring forward truths unheard elsewhere in American media. Background Briefing features international and national news, ex
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
America’s war economy helps no one. Short term: ends lives, undermines democracy, makes daily life unaffordable. Long term, even worse: pitches world into recession and dystopia. @eamonka.bsky.social on Order from Ashes @centuryintl.bsky.social www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Trump announced a truce—then Israel accelerated attacks on Lebanon. Trump negotiated—then blockaded Hormuz. Trump declared victory—but it looks like America lost. Reality check from @chehayebk.bsky.social @mwhanna.crisisgroup.org @centuryintl.bsky.social Listen: www.youtube.com/watch?v=pZAD...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Under extreme pressures — state collapse and war — Lebanon made an unplanned transition to solar energy. What can the rest of the world learn? @jnucho.bsky.social for @centuryintl.bsky.social tcf.org/content/comm...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Runaway war spending disfigures every aspect of the economy. Americans will be paying the costs of Trump’s reckless war on Iran for generations. @eamonka.bsky.social for @centuryintl.bsky.social tcf.org/content/comm...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Trump’s Middle East war has engulfed Iraq, which tried hard to stand aside. @centuryintl.bsky.social fellow @sajadjiyad.bsky.social on Iraq’s dangerous balancing act between Iran, the United States, and Iraqi militias. thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com/e/trump-open...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Israel and Hezbollah are crushing Lebanon. Israel is threatening genocidal, Gaza-model forever war and occupation. Hezbollah promises resistance that doesn't deter. What Lebanese need is a strong state. foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/16/l...
foreignpolicy.com
The U.S. War on Iran Has Put the Lebanese Government in a Bind
It can neither protect Lebanon from Israel nor disarm Hezbollah.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
New Order from Ashes pod @centuryintl.bsky.social @abujamajem.com in Beirut and @dahliasc.bsky.social in Tel Aviv on the strains of another round of total Israeli war on Lebanon; Israel's aims; and why this cycle of violence is likely to continue. thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com/e/forever-wa...
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
The Iran war not only destroys lives — it burns money. On Order from Ashes, the author of The Trillion-Dollar War Machine begins the sad job of tallying the staggering costs of the war of choice on Iran. thecenturyfoundation.podbean.com/e/an-expensi...
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Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The predictable regional fallout has begun from America's reckless war of choice against Iran. New roundtable from @tcambanis.bsky.social @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @sajadjiyad.bsky.social @yaelmiz.bsky.social @abujamajem.com tcf.org/content/comm...
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Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Hezbollah escalated a war with Israel that had never ended, despite a nominal ceasefire. Renewed fighting will punish Lebanese civilians, but will probably also further weaken Hezbollah. @abujamajem.com in new roundtable tcf.org/content/comm...
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Pete Coe @petecoevo.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Hey @tcambanis.bsky.social thanks for being on the pod w/ @petedominick.bsky.social. More newsy & clippy bits for your ears, plus this amazing expert guest for Wednesday world lunacy! Press play! standupwithpete.com/1547-prof-th...
standupwithpete.com
1547 Prof Thanassis Cambanis + News & Clips | Stand Up! with Pete Dominick
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Already just a few days into the conflict, the law of unintended consequences has kicked in. New @centuryintl.bsky.social roundtable features frontline analysis to spotlight the most clear and present dangers. tcf.org/content/comm...
tcf.org
Roundtable: War on Iran Was Easy to Start. It Won’t Be Easy to End.
President Donald Trump decided to join Israel and attack Iran early on Saturday, February 28—a reckless move that positions the United States as a rogue
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Background Briefing with Ian Masters @ianmastersmedia.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
We were joined by @tcambanis.bsky.social discussing his article at @centuryintl.bsky.social, “Attacking Iran Is a Guaranteed Disaster” as well as how the war has expanded into Lebanon. soundcloud.com/user-8304426...
soundcloud.com
The US/Israeli War on Iran Expands Across Middle East
Background Briefing goes far beyond the headlines and deep under the radar to bring forward truths unheard elsewhere in American media. Background Briefing features international and national news, ex
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
New podcast just dropped with @abujamajem.com on harms, dangers and folly of the US-Israel war on Iran, as seen from Beirut
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
An American war of choice in Iran will unleash countless new threats and dangers, and leave the entire world worse off. U.S. decision-makers need to snap out of their trance before unleashing another generation of forever wars.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
War with Iran would be extremely dangerous. Naysan Rafati from @crisisgroup.org outlines the risks, and the view from Iran, on the Order from Ashes podcast
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Ended up with a free morning in the Netherlands and visited the ICC. Idealism, universalism and persistence of staff and prosecutors inspired me. They’re working under threat of US sanctions to hold war criminals accountable. I left determined to strive, with them, for a more just world.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Trump’s foreign policy has been a disaster. In tonight’s #SOTU he’ll spin a fantasy about American power. In reality, Trump’s policies have made the world a much more dangerous and unstable place for all. 🧵
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
If @aoc.bsky.social's comments on the hypocrisy and then dismantling of the international liberal order at Munich piqued your curiosity, listen to @nicholasdanfort.bsky.social. He gives the historical sweep of that order, why it hit a wall, and what a better replacement might look like.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
How do the Houthis get their weapons? Join us Tuesday 10 February at 10 am to hear what what @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social & team learned about the astonishing sprint from dhows to drones in Yemen — and beyond.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
Fresh from a trip to the Gulf, @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social reports on the risks of two emboldened regional powers: Saudi Arabia, flush with oil money, and Yemen's Houthis, flush with drone tech.
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Thanassis Cambanis @tcambanis.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Bring back Congressional war powers! Illegal, secret, or undeclared wars have become the norm in the US. But Congress can — and should — reassert its power to decide when America goes to war. Order from Ashes episode 100 with Brian Finucane. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/o...
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