Sign in

Order from Ashes

@orderfromashes.bsky.social
494 followers 176 following 195 posts

International policy that's independent, critical, and progressive.

PostsRepliesMedia
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Lebanon's grassroots solar boom has mostly benefited those who own their homes and can afford the investment—installations have plateaued at <25% of households. A new report by @erverd.eurosky.social offers a case study of one way the boom could become more equitable: tcf.org/content/repo...
000
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Since Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz on March 2, Western hawks have revived colonial-era schemes to build pipelines from the Gulf to Israel. These fantastical proposals won’t work, and cannot solve the growing energy crisis. New report from CI fellow Zack Cuyler.
123
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Syrian truckers successfully fought to shield their industry from the economic liberalization agenda of Ahmed al-Sharaa's government. Now, the Syrian business community is crying foul. The story underlines the tense challenges facing Syria’s new leaders. New report from @abujamajem.com
154
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
America’s war economy helps no one. Short term: ends lives, undermines democracy, makes daily life unaffordable. Long term, even worse: pitches world into recession and dystopia. New Order from Ashes episode from @eamonka.bsky.social and @tcambanis.bsky.social youtube.com/playlist?lis...
Title image for Order from Ashes podcast episode "A War Economy That Only Destroys"
111
Reposted by Order from Ashes
Sam Heller | سام هيلر @abujamajem.com · 02/04/2026
@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @eamonka.bsky.social lays out how Trump's war on Iran – in addition to being monstrous and wrong – will also incur all kinds of second-order economic costs, making Americans' lives materially worse: tcf.org/content/comm...
tcf.org
The Iran War’s Forever Costs Will Far Exceed the Immediate Pain for Consumers
The most headline-grabbing economic effects of the Iran war are immediate, directly felt in consumers’ daily life: Pump prices are up 35 percent, and the
032
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
The pain that consumers are feeling from the Iran war is real, and likely to get worse. But those short-term costs are only the tip of the economic iceberg, writes CI editor-in-chief @eamonka.bsky.social in a new commentary.
111
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Rural Lebanon’s near-total transition to solar is inspiring for emerging economies, writes CI contributor Camillo Stubenberg in a new report. But it also carries warnings: left unmanaged, Lebanon’s unlikely solar revolution could harden into another tale of haves and have-nots.
111
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Lebanon’s energy crisis spurred a stunning revolution in rural solar energy. But cities are still chugging diesel. Broadening the benefits of solar requires good state policy, argues CI contributor Camillo Stubenberg.
100
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
With Iranian drones hitting Iraqi targets and local militias choosing sides, CI fellow @sajadjiyad.bsky.social 's warnings from our recent roundtable on the Iran war are looking grimly prescient.
100
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
So far, a combination of diplomacy and Houthi interest calculations have kept the Yemeni militants out of the Iran war, writes @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social. But if they enter the fray, it could have serious implications for global shipping.
110
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
America won’t be able to control when the Iran war ends, writes @tcambanis.bsky.social. But leaders should use all means to block funding for America’s continuing participation. Meanwhile, the most vulnerable—in the US and worldwide—will suffer from eroded security and spiking energy prices.
100
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
The "forever war" paradigm doesn't really describe the Iran war, writes @abujamajem.com. This U.S.–Israeli attack is something more acute, and immediate—this is a war of aggression, chaotic and wild.
1124
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Israel has shifted from managed containment to comprehensive destruction writes @yaelmiz.bsky.social. Long-term consequences will be devastating.
131
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Hezbollah escalated a war with Israel that had never ended, despite a nominal ceasefire. Renewed fighting will punish Lebanese civilians, but will probably also further weaken Hezbollah. @abujamajem.com in new roundtable tcf.org/content/comm...
063
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
The predictable regional fallout has begun from America's reckless war of choice against Iran. New roundtable from @tcambanis.bsky.social @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @sajadjiyad.bsky.social @yaelmiz.bsky.social @abujamajem.com tcf.org/content/comm...
074
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Lebanon’s grinding energy crisis has benefited generator owners, smugglers, and large fuel importers. But in a new report based on three years of fieldwork, @charlielawrie.bsky.social identifies a more basic, root cause of the crisis: the country’s structural dependency on fossil fuel.
130
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Only int'l cooperation can stop the Houthi arms program. But US disengagement & regional tensions make a coalition unlikely. Now, there’s growing danger the Houthis are exporting their deadly capabilities to war zones in Africa. - @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
111
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
In a decade, Yemen’s Houthis have transformed from low-tech insurgent group to regional power that can fire missiles up to 2,600km. Our new report shines a light on the inner workings of the Houthis’ startling expansion. By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social + Henry Thompson
111
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
No one has been able to constrain the Houthis. Why? Using OSINT research, our report reveals how the Houthis built an astonishing arsenal in secret using a complex web of global supply chains. By @peterjsalisbury.bsky.social @veenaa.bsky.social and Henry Thompson & w support from @XCEPT_Research
122
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
The settlement enterprise is not separate from the Israeli state—it is the Israeli state. So argues @yaelmiz.bsky.social in a new commentary. (1/5)
tcf.org
Sanctions Can’t Solve the Israeli Settlement Problem
Burned houses and mosques, kidnappings, pogroms, masked thugs attacking unarmed olive harvesters: in the last few years such Israeli settler violence has
112
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
In the first year of Trump 2.0, the United States went from being a passing if imperfect democracy to sliding into authoritarianism: new Century Foundation findings from @nateschenkkan.bsky.social @tcambanis.bsky.social tcf.org/content/repo... (1/5)
tcf.org
Century’s New Democracy Meter Shows America Took an Authoritarian Turn in 2025
At a time when experts are warning of unprecedented democratic backsliding in the United States under the second Trump administration, how should people
252
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Syria’s new president, former rebel leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, is big on inclusive rhetoric. But when it comes to his reconstruction agenda, the reality is falling far short of the marketing—new commentary from @freddydeknatel.bsky.social tcf.org/content/comm... (1/3)
tcf.org
Syria’s Reconstruction Risks Cutting Out the Syrian People
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
153
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
The Trump administration announced staggering cuts to global U.S. development assistance earlier this year, but the specifics of those cuts by program area and region have been hard to assess, since the administration has also shut down data reporting websites. (1/4)
tcf.org
The Foreign Aid Wipeout: A Shadow Revolution in America’s Middle East Policy
Since January, Donald Trump has fundamentally reshaped U.S. foreign assistance, ostensibly to align with his “America First” foreign policy. The
121
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Political prisoner or terrorist? The question lies at the heart of the latest diplomatic challenge between Lebanon and Syria, as the latter tries to repatriate thousands of its nationals held in Lebanese prisons. (1/3)
tcf.org
Lebanon and Syria’s Detainee Dilemma
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
131
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Ironically, cooperation between Saudi Arabia and the Emirates could be essential to ending the wars in the Horn of Africa and the Sahel that the two Gulf powers have helped fuel—new report from Anna Jacobs (1/5)
tcf.org
The Horn of Africa Needs an End to the Gulf’s Proxy Wars. Cooperation Is Key.
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
120
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
American interest in Iraq’s November 11 parliamentary elections is mostly focused on whether Iraqis will choose pro-Iran representatives. That’s a mistake, @sajadjiyad.bsky.social argues in a new commentary. (1/3)
tcf.org
Apathy and Skepticism Cloud Iraq’s Upcoming Election
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
142
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
There was a brief moment after Bashar al-Assad’s regime collapsed last December when the impossible felt possible in Syria. That moment, @anasjoudeh.bsky.social argues in a new commentary, has, sadly, evaporated. (1/5)
tcf.org
A Catch-22 of Suspicion Imperils Syria’s Transition to Democracy
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
235
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 21/10/2025
A popular story holds that colonial borders are the source of problems in the Middle East. The narrative is promoted by everyone from the Islamic State to American politicians—neoconservative and liberal and otherwise. (1/5)
tcf.org
Beyond Bad Borders: How Nationalism, Imperialism, and Power Politics Shaped the Modern Middle East
In 2014, the Islamic State swept across large swaths of Iraq and Syria, soon emerging as the obligatory lede for every article about the Middle East and
153
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
22 years after Saddam’s fall, Iraq is being pulled toward two starkly different possible futures: a central government that serves its populace—or state capture by armed groups and special interests. (1/5)
tcf.org
Integrate, Normalize, or Fight: Choices Facing the Shia Armed Factions in Iraq
Iraq’s two-decade-long state-building project is facing a precarious moment. On the one hand, the country is closer than ever to having a functioning
111
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
In foreign policy as in domestic, Trump’s opponents have so far failed to do much more than chase at his heels with reactive objections as he plows ahead with reckless gambits. (1/5)
tcf.org
Progressives Can Lead With a Just Foreign Policy. First, They Must Confront Their Mistakes.
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
122
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 16/09/2025
After Lebanon’s energy system collapsed in 2019–21, the country’s solar production increased 10x in a few short years—one of the world’s more unlikely renewable energy revolutions. (1/3)
tcf.org
The Future of Lebanon’s Unlikely Solar Revolution
The Century Foundation takes your data security and privacy seriously. That's why we want you to know that, when you visit our website, we use technologies like cookies to collect anonymized data so…
120
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
Lebanon finally has a viable plan for Syrian refugees to safely return to their country. But can the plan survive Lebanon’s anti-Syrian politics and the realities of ongoing violence and economic crisis in Syria? 1/3
tcf.org
Home to Syria: Lebanon’s New Refugee Returns Plan
Lebanon has grappled for years with how to manage its Syrian refugee population. This year, though, Lebanon finally adopted an official plan for refugee
153
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
For now, attention has shifted away from America’s decision in late June to join an elective war against Iran. The disaster is still unfolding—though it’s not too late to correct course. 1/3
tcf.org
America Can Still Escape Disaster in Iran
It was just a month ago that Donald Trump bombed Iran against the advice of his own intelligence services and claimed that the country’s nuclear
122
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
Sources to follow on Syria: in a new commentary, @aronlund.bsky.social has compiled a must-follow list of media for policymakers and analysts with a fresh interest in Syrian affairs tcf.org/content/comm...
tcf.org
Syria for Beginners: Five Sources to Follow
Israel’s bombing of Syria last week, in an apparent attempt to intervene in brewing communal bloodshed in the country’s south, drove home a point that
010
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Trump’s reckless USAID cuts probably slowed Lebanon's solar transition, but they also revealed structural flaws in the aid regime. Lebanese entrepreneurs could pick up some slack—but their impact will be uneven. New Q&A w/ Zack Cuyler & Camillo Stubenberg tcf.org/content/comm...
000
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
New CI report by @delaneysimon.bsky.social‬ provides a case study of Joe Biden’s unprecedented efforts last year to sanction Israeli settlers, with crucial lessons for future sanctions efforts against Israeli settlers. (1/6) tcf.org/content/comm...
121
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
Israel and the United States aren’t after regime change in Iran. Their goal is to break the Iranian state, writes CI fellow @veenaa.bsky.social in a new commentary. That’s a huge problem—for the region, for the Iranian people, for U.S. interests, and even for Israel (1/3) tcf.org/content/comm...
tcf.org
Israel and the United States Are Planting a Harvest of Chaos in Iran
The first phase of Israel’s war in Iran has been astonishingly effective. Israel is now in total control of Iranian airspace. A who’s-who of Iranian
1226
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Syria’s rivers are polluted and overdrawn, its forests depleted, and its wildlife decimated. In a new commentary, @zfshuker.bsky.social writes that Syria’s environmental catastrophe is much more than an aesthetic crisis. In fact, it poses direct threats to its economy and stability.
tcf.org
Syria’s Environmental Crisis Is Its Achilles Heel
It may be hard to imagine now, but Syrians once thought of their environmental treasures as being close to the soul of their country. As recently as a
021
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
The Israeli–Palestinian conflict is, at least as much as anything else, a clash between the haves and the have-nots. A new CI report from @dahliasc.bsky.social‬ explains how. (1/6)
tcf.org
The Economic Foundation for Peace in Israel and Palestine
The Israeli–Palestinian conflict is, at least as much as anything else, a clash between the haves and the have-nots. Long before Hamas massacred civilians
152
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Hezbollah may be broken as a fighting force, but its base is still wedded to “resistance,” writes @simagh.bsky.social in a new report from Lebanon. The unique situation offers an object lesson on the limits of military power to change political realities. tcf.org/content/repo...
tcf.org
Doubting the Party, Revering Its Ideology: Hezbollah’s Battered Constituencies Reckon with a Year of Loss
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
000
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
“Why can’t we be sad?” said a 36-year-old butcher in Beirut. “There were civilians. Should I congratulate people for their deaths? Should we all be congratulating one another?” @simagh.bsky.social captures the disillusionment of Hezbollah’s base in Lebanon in a new report tcf.org/content/repo...
tcf.org
Doubting the Party, Revering Its Ideology: Hezbollah’s Battered Constituencies Reckon with a Year of Loss
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
000
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
“Claiming victory in death”—@simagh.bsky.social ’s riveting new dispatch from Hezbollah strongholds in Lebanon shows that its constituents are doubting the organization, but doubling down on its ideology. New report tcf.org/content/repo...
tcf.org
Doubting the Party, Revering Its Ideology: Hezbollah’s Battered Constituencies Reckon with a Year of Loss
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
000
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
“An entirely screwed up way to arrive at the ideal policy outcome”— @abujamajem.com on Trump’s welcome lifting of Syria sanctions. New CI roundtable discusses potus MENA trip: tcf.org/content/comm...
041
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
In search of a Trump Doctrine: CI fellows analyze the president’s MENA trip & conclude that transactionalism is the only unifying credo—even when some outcomes are good. Read more from @aronlund.bsky.social @abujamajem.com @tcambanis.bsky.social @dahliasc.bsky.social‬ @rohanadvani.bsky.social
tcf.org
Roundtable: Trump’s Middle East Transactions
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
062
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs mean that the 1990s dream of peace and democracy in the Middle East through economic liberalization is dead, writes @rohanadvani.bsky.social in a new commentary. (1/6)
101
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Faced with the most serious threat in its history, the Iran-aligned “Axis of Resistance” is turning back to basics: local power. (1/6)
144
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 01/04/2025
The fall of Assad hasn’t ended the Syrian refugee crisis in Lebanon, as many Lebanese hoped. In fact, even as some displaced go home, new waves of Syrians are going the other way. 1/4
131
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Persian Gulf countries can’t avoid dealing with the Trump administration, but American “gifts” could lock them into risky long-term arrangements—whether in finance, security, or politics. New commentary from @rohanadvani.bsky.social‬
tcf.org
Will Gulf Countries Think Trump's Glitter Is Gold?
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
011
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
US policymakers need to face facts: it’s too soon to write the epitaph for the Axis of Resistance. Axis groups like Hezbollah and the Houthis have been diminished, but retain significant local power as a decentralized network, argue @veenaa.bsky.social and @tcambanis.bsky.social in a new report. 1/3
131
Order from Ashes @orderfromashes.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
Sunni ex-militiamen protect a Shia shrine from jihadists and regime remnants: one scene in a dispatch from Damascus shows the tenuous mix of hope and fear, opportunity and danger in Syria’s new order. By @tcambanis.bsky.social
tcf.org
Damascus Dispatch: Fear and Hope in a Divided Syria
The Century Foundation The Century Foundation The Century Foundation
010