iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

한글로 다시 한 번 올립니다. 서울대 정치외교학부에서 비교정치 전임교원 1분을 모십니다. 접수기간은 10/7 16:00시까지입니다. 한국은 언제나 접수 기간이 몹시 짧은 점, 시차 및 중간에 낀 추석 연휴에 유의하시기 바랍니다. 자세한 사항은 아래 링크를 참고 부탁드립니다.

000

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

2026 May SWERP event: Yong Kyun Kim (Seoul National University) will present on territorial rewards and state restructuring in Vietnam’s 2025 provincial mergers. May 8, 10am KST (May 7, 9pm ET). Hope to see you there!

010

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

p.s. not in paper, but a DOGE member (Schutt) worked on WinRed's launch before going to CISA. Trump directly targeted ActBlue in a presidential memorandum. Top-down coordination still ongoing! www.whitehouse.gov/presidential... www.wired.com/story/doge-c... projects.propublica.org/elon-musk-do...

whitehouse.gov

Investigation into Unlawful "Straw Donor" and Foreign Contributions in American Elections

April 24, 2025 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE ATTORNEY GENERAL THE COUNSEL TO THE PRESIDENT SUBJECT:

020

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Personally think this is my best work yet. Mixed-methods, months of reading, writing, thinking, wracking my head. Years gathering evidence, lying awake thinking about what it all means. Hopefully an important contribution to theory. Couldn't have done it without @zhaoliresearch.bsky.social

110

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

So back to the theory of parties... is it party elites or extended party network? ✨Path dependence matters!✨ In some situations, the network suffices. In others, the institutions have to step in.

130

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Did it work? Coordinated? Yes. When FEC individual contribution limits increased, incumbent pages on WinRed adopted almost immediately; ActBlue, not. Good for the party? Also yes. Candidates saw about a 40% increase in quarterly fundraising after joining WinRed (2019-2020).

130

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Enter President Trump/Rep party leaders. The party played a key role in coordinating candidate adoption of WinRed relative to rival platforms. Access to WinRed may have served as leverage---Liz Cheney disappeared from the platform after supporting impeachment in mid-2021.

131

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Republicans couldn't work it out *without* top-down party intervention, for a few reasons: 1. a technological gap 2. a different donor base 3. path dependence (intra-competition to build an ActBlue-equivalent) 4. mistrust of party elites' motives

131

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

What happened? Why asymmetric results to a symmetric problem? Well, scope conditions matter! By showing how the two parties dealt with campaign infrastructure, we show how the conflicting theories of parties can be reconciled/synthesized.

140

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

ActBlue for Dems fits the “extended party network” story. Unaffiliated with party/leadership + grew organically from activist groups. However, WinRed for Reps fits Aldrich's "parties as endogenous institutions" story: office seekers/holders solve collective action problems.

150

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Take the emergence/coordination of online campaign fundraising platforms in the U.S. As fundraising moved online, both parties needed to quickly coordinate and take advantage of the economies of scale/efficiency gains. They needed a unified platform.

131

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Super happy to see this paper finally formatted. While this paper might seem about political fundraising, it's really about the theory of *parties*: is it a broader network (UCLA school, i.e., Bawn et al. 2012) or elite/institutions-driven (re: Aldrich)? doi.org/10.1086/735435

doi.org

Keep Winning with WinRed? Online Fundraising Platform as the Party’s Public Good | The Journal of Politics: Vol 88, No 2

What determines the relative importance of extended party networks versus party leaders in parties’ campaign strategies? We synthesize theories of party organizations by highlighting the interplay bet...

13211

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 23/03/2026

서울대학교 행정대학원 BK 프로그램에서 포닥 1명을 새로 모집합니다. 최근 박사학위를 취득하신 분들께 좋은 기회가 되길 바랍니다. 지원 마감은 다음 주 월요일입니다. gspa.snu.ac.kr/kr/Board/Det...

gspa.snu.ac.kr

서울대학교 행정대학원

000

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

New SWERP event alert! Three SNU master’s students will present their research in a lightning-round format. Join us Apr 3 10 AM KST (= April 2, 9 PM EST) to see Seoul National’s crème de la crème in action. Personally looking forward to this one.

010

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

John V. Kane @uptonorwell.bsky.social · 11/03/2026

Happening tomorrow evening for US folks--𝐓𝐡𝐮𝐫𝐬𝐝𝐚𝐲 𝟑/𝟏𝟐 𝐚𝐭 𝟗𝐩𝐦 𝐄𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧. I genuinely love this topic and hope you can join! 😁 @sysilviakim.bsky.social

011

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Jae-Hee Jung @jaeheejung.bsky.social · 02/01/2026

New year, new forthcoming book announcement! Very excited to post more about it soon! Link: www.cambridge.org/us/universit...

0166

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

1. Downgraded from Claude Max to Pro. My mental health has significantly improved. Less feeling like I'm being chased all the time (was whipping myself for higher productivity) 2. Claude>>Codex for me so far 3. Still haven't figured out how best to raise the next academic generation in this era

010

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

John V. Kane @uptonorwell.bsky.social · 26/02/2026

🚨 Interested in survey experiments? I'll be giving a virtual talk on (false) null results in experiments--and how to protect against them--at SWERP on 3/13 (3/12 8pm EST). Hope to see you there, and thanks to @sysilviakim.bsky.social for inviting me! Link to join: swerp.netlify.app

032

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

I’m having a mini panic attack every day

030

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

29643220

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Jeong Hyun Kim @jeonghyunkim.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

So happy that my Cambridge Element with @yesolakweon.bsky.social has been published! Free access for the next two weeks!

0147

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Hakeem Jefferson @hakeemjefferson.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

It’s now official. I’ll be publishing my first book, Respectability Politics, w/ @uchicagopress.bsky.social! Proud to join a press w/ a strong lineage in Black studies & Black politics, including Cohen’s Boundaries of Blackness, which has deeply inspired my work. Now to get these revisions done.

2366566

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

p.s. This took ~9 hours of back-and-forth with Claude Code. What an era.

010

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

For student or faculty struggling to juggle projects: I've definitely benefited from this approach. I'm not saying this is a magic productivity bullet, but if you need some motivation, create your own for 2026. PRs/feedback welcome (it's still probably buggy in places)

100

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

It supports standard flowcharts (great for academic diagrams) and Gantt-style timelines. I heavily rely on timeline viz to see where my projects are and where I am. Used this format for 6+ years with my writing group. See attachment for my 2026 timeline and goals.

100

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

Just built ✨FlowCraft✨, a free, open-source diagramming app (thanks Claude Code!) Browser-based, no server, no signup, no tracking, no subscription, no dependencies, and no Internet required. Just open a single HTML file and start diagramming. AGPL. github.com/sysilviakim/...

190

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 26/01/2026

Look at the intensity gap in this NYT graph of how voters describe their current feelings toward Trump www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

2336087

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Rachel Porter @rachelporter.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

Just published at PNAS (@pnas.org): “Electing amateur politicians reduces cross-party collaboration” We show that districts electing first-time members of the U.S. House experience substantial declines in bipartisan representation in the subsequent Congress. 🧵1/4

417252

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

CNN @cnn.com · 07/10/2025

"President Donald Trump and his top aides are using the word 'insurrection' more frequently to describe anti-ICE protests in places like Portland," writes Zachary B. Wolf. cnn.it/4pWYmzr

114522669

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

Public/private info on whether you will be doing admissions as usual will also be hugely appreciated!! Thank you

020

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

U.S. political scientists, are any of your depts *not* admitting new PhD students this year (esp. for international applicants)? I'm gathering info to help students know where to reconsider applying. Applications are not cheap and they're despairing. Appreciate any details.

1187

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/09/2025

SWERP is back for fall 2025! Under what international contexts are citizens more likely to support peace with a foreign adversary? Jungmin Han will present about how third-party interactions shape public opinion on rapprochement. Sep 26, 2025, 10am KST (= Sep 25 9pm ET)

010

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 09/09/2025

I'm not at APSA, but my master's student/coauthor, Sangmyung, is presenting! Come see how ideological "incongruence" in the U.S. has changed in the last decade. Sat, Sep 13, 2-3:30pm local time.

040

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 12/08/2025

This was a really fun paper to write (but a pain to collect data!) It took me embarrasingly long to wrap up and submit, so I'm thrilled it's now in the books.

020

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Hans Hassell @hjghassell.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

Ideologically extreme candidates don't solicit more small dollar donations. New at @respol.bsky.social from @sysilviakim.bsky.social journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

185

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Political Analysis @polanalysis.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

Currently in FirstView: In “Addressing Measurement Errors in Ranking Questions for the Social Sciences,” Yuki Atsusaka and @sysilviakim.bsky.social examine the statistical consequences of measurement error and introduce a framework for improving ranking data analysis.

1104

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Rachel Porter @rachelporter.bsky.social · 10/07/2025

📢 Thrilled to share our new article introducing CampaignView—a comprehensive open-source dataset of congressional candidate campaign bios and policy platforms (2018–2022). Paper + data here: campaignview.org & doi.org/10.7910/DVN/... 🧵1/4

712947

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

SWERP returns with 2025's third presentation. Dr. Kyosuke Kikuta asks: what is the effect of solar eclipses on violence? Find out how armed groups rationally can use darkness for their tactical purposes. 5/2 10am KST = 5/1 Thu 9pm EST. See you soon! swerp.weebly.com

000

Seo-young Silvia Kim @sysilviakim.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Wasn't there a paper recently about how partisans are willing to tolerate cost to themselves and copartisans as long as outpartisans were going to suffer more? Anybody remember which paper this was?

0144

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Philip Bump @pbump.com · 20/03/2025

Targeting people for their political views is not going to stop with immigrants. Gift link: wapo.st/43Ssl2Q

wapo.st

Opinion | They’re coming for immigrants first

And the Trump administration is signaling that no one else might be safe, either.

10357104

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

🚨 New paper (with Kasey Rhee & Nico Studen). We use a new within-precinct design to isolate how ideology affects vote choice holding turnout fixed, analyzing 3.4M precinct observations across state & fed elections (2016-2022). tldr: Ideological moderation affects vote shares, but not by much. 🧵⬇️

papers.ssrn.com

The Electoral Consequences of Ideological Persuasion: Evidence from a Within-Precinct Analysis of U.S. Elections

Most research on the electoral penalty of candidate ideology relies on betweendistrict or longitudinal comparisons, which are confounded by turnout and ballot c

1431368

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

When Donald Trump threatens student protests, consider why: throughout modern history, student movements have repeatedly been the catalyst that toppled dictatorships. Authoritarian leaders fear campus activism precisely because it works. Below is a list of 36 student-led pro-democracy movements.🧵

A screenshot of a social media post from Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) dated March 4, 2025, at 4:30 AM. The post states:

“All Federal Funding will STOP for any College, School, or University that allows illegal protests. Agitators will be imprisoned/or permanently sent back to the country from which they came. American students will be permanently expelled or, depending on on the crime, arrested. NO MASKS! Thank you for your attention to this matter.”

251383568

Reposted by Seo-young Silvia Kim

Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 10/03/2025

Citizens can write persuasive messages to those on the other side, especially if they can bridge identity divides through perspective-taking & personal narratives. But unsuccessful senders perceive themselves to be as persuasive as successful ones www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

journals.uchicago.edu

University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent

0144