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Stuart McIntyre

@stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social
232 followers 179 following 12 posts

Economics Professor @ Strathclyde University. Own opinions etc. Personal website: t.co/vXQXPVXwfW

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Reposted by Stuart McIntyre
Academy of Social Sciences @acadsocsciences.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Are you interested in what a Burnham premiership might mean for Scottish regional development? This blog✍️ in our Devolution Hub written by @davidwglasgow.bsky.social, @graemeroy.bsky.social, Prof James Mitchell & @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social explores this very topic. ➡️ acss.org.uk/what-burnham...
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Reposted by Stuart McIntyre
Academy of Social Sciences @acadsocsciences.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
⭐New blog⭐With Andy Burnham announced as the new Prime Minister today, this blog by @davidwglasgow.bsky.social, @graemeroy.bsky.social, Prof James Mitchell & @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social explores the implications of a Burnham premiership for Scottish regional development. acss.org.uk/what-burnham...
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
One of the strangest charts in the UK tax system More taxpayers are earning just under £100k than around £83k Why? Crossing £100k triggers a series of tax and benefit cliff edges. Many people respond rationally: reduce hours, reject promotions or boost pension contributions
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Stuart McIntyre @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Excited to see this project out there — the product of a huge amount of hard work, fantastic (secure access) administrative data, resulting in a paper with real relevance for some of the biggest challenges facing the criminal justice system today. Please share!
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Panel session II: Frontiers in nowcasting Chaired by @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, with Raffaella Giacomini @ucl.ac.uk, Michele Lenza @ecb.europa.eu & Giulia Mantoan @bankofengland.bsky.social discussing real-time forecasting, machine learning, and the challenges involved.
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Read more about the work in this ESCoE blog: tinyurl.com/5t353dm9 @fraserofallander.org
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Bridging the micro–macro divide: A new paper by Gary Koop, @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, James Mitchell and Ping Wu sets out a method for embedding detailed microdata directly within macroeconomic time-series models: tinyurl.com/5t353dm9 @fraserofallander.org @unistrathclyde.bsky.social
Image shows the cover of the paper:

Incorporating micro data into macro models using pseudo VARs

Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Ping Wu
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Stuart McIntyre @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
New research paper! We often know how macro shocks affect the income distribution. But we usually cannot see who within that distribution gains or loses. In a new @clevelandfed.bsky.social paper with Gary Koop, James Mitchell and Ping Wu, we propose a way to open that black box...
clevelandfed.org
Incorporating Micro Data into Macro Models Using Pseudo VARs
This paper develops a method to incorporate micro data, available as repeated cross-sections, into macro VAR models to understand the distributional effects of macroeconomic shocks at business cycle f...
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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Real-time indicator of #Eurozone economy rose slightly in December 2025; positive indications for the performance of services continued to support #Eurocoin, which also benefited from signs of recovery in the construction sector, @cepr.org @voxeu.org cepr.org/about/news/e...
cepr.org
€-coin rose slightly in December
Positive indications for the performance of services continued to support €-coin, which also benefited from signs of recovery in the construction sector.
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
"I was struck by the openness of the discussions, and the willingness of experts from around the world to share the challenges they face and potential solutions to meet them." ESCoE Engagement Director Darren Morgan reflects on the recent UNSW-ESCoE Conference: tinyurl.com/yc7wbh8b
tinyurl.com
UNSW-ESCoE Conference 2025: Darren Morgan reflects - ESCoE
Following the UNSW-ESCoE Conference on Economic Measurement 2025, ESCoE Engagement Director Darren Morgan reflects on the event.
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Tera Allas CBE @teraallas.bsky.social · 08/12/2025
Fascinating new analysis by the ONS on UK #business #dynamism and #productivity. Firms employing a third of workers in the non-financial business economy contributed negatively, and the next third only marginally, to productivity #growth. Full ONS analysis: bit.ly/48Yhqqn
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Bennett School of Public Policy, University of Cambridge @bennettschool.cam.ac.uk · 08/12/2025
We're recruiting for a Research Assistant We're looking for someone interested in one or more of the following - institutions; governance; devolution; place-based policy; and public administration. 📆 Apply by 5 January 2026 🔗https://www.cam.ac.uk/jobs/research-assistant-fixed-term-jb48083
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UofG Centre for Public Policy @uofgpolicy.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
📘New report from David Waite, Graeme Roy, Stuart McIntyre and Niall G MacKenzie sets out new options for Scotland’s city region policy. Read more: www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/...
A graphic with the University of Glasgow and Centre for Public Policy logos on a white background. The text reads: “New report sets out options for city region policy in Scotland” followed by the names Professor Graeme Roy, Dr David Waite, Professor Stuart McIntyre and Professor Niall G MacKenzie. On the right side of the image there is a photograph of the River Clyde at sunset, showing the Finnieston Crane, modern buildings and the Clyde Arc with their reflections in the water.
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Great to host a workshop for ESCoE PhD students and Early Career Researchers @kingsbschool.bsky.social, @kingscollegelondon.bsky.social earlier this month. Find out more about ESCoE's research programme: escoe.ac.uk/research
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UofG Centre for Public Policy @uofgpolicy.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
NEW Policy Insights: Next steps for city-region policy in Scotland 💡📝 Where does policy need to go next and what opportunities are there to strengthen regional working? @davidwglasgow.bsky.social @graemeroy.bsky.social @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social, Niall MacKenzie 🔗 www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/...
Next steps for city-region policy in Scotland, David Waite, Graeme Roy, Stuart McIntyre, Niall MacKenzie, University of Strathclyde, University of Glasgow, Centre for Public Policy
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
What kinds of careers can you build in and around research, and how do you get started? Career stories from ESCoE researchers and staff members. @joshmartinecon.bsky.social @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social
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Stuart McIntyre @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
ONS has taken a lot of stick recently over problems with core economic statistics, but its response today on the public finance stats - setting out what happened and a path forward - is a frank and useful explainer from the new team that's to be welcomed. blog.ons.gov.uk/2025/10/08/a...
blog.ons.gov.uk
An update and explanation on the public sector finance statistics
Public Sector Finance estimates are fed by data sources outside the ONS and when one is miscalculated, it affects the overall picture. Here, James Benford talks through the correction published today
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
What does this mean for how we understand jobs, unemployment, and the labour market? Read @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social on what’s been going wrong with labour market statistics – and what’s at stake. 👇 🔗 buff.ly/sfvLfFo
buff.ly
Labour market statistics: what’s been going wrong? - Economics Observatory
No one who pays attention to news about the economy will have missed the recent spell of stories about the quality of economic statistics, not just in the UK but also internationally.  From the…
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Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 01/09/2025
The quality & trustworthiness of economic statistics have been in the news on both sides of the Atlantic - what's been going on? @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/labour-marke...
economicsobservatory.com
Labour market statistics: what’s been going wrong? - Economics Observatory
No one who pays attention to news about the economy will have missed the recent spell of stories about the quality of economic statistics, not just in the UK but also internationally.  From the result...
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ESCoE @escoeorg.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
@stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social presents ESCoE work with @fraserofallander.org using innovative time-series methods to assess how UK regions respond to business cycle & monetary policy shocks.
  #EconStats2025
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Josh Martin @joshmartinecon.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Finally @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social presents preliminary work on measuring regional resilience to economic shocks. Finding measures for resistance, recovery, renewal and reorientation.
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David A. Jaeger (econ) @davidajaeger.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Two days to go to apply for a Lectureship (Teaching and Research) at @uniofstandrews.bsky.social economics! www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DMM015/l...
jobs.ac.uk
Lecturer in Economics - AC2407DD at University of St Andrews
Apply for the Lecturer in Economics - AC2407DD role on jobs.ac.uk, the top job board for academic positions in higher education. View details and apply now.
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Diane Coyle @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social · 26/12/2024
The long shortlist for the 2024 Enlightened Economist book of the year www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog/index.p... (NB my entirely arbitrary and personal choice)
enlightenmenteconomics.com
2024 in reading: The Enlightened Economist Prize shortlist | The Enlightened Economist
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Stuart McIntyre @stuartgmcintyre.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Lots of political arguments in the weeks ahead about plans to remove the UC two-child limit in Scotland, but those aside an important process point - this is a £200m+ a year commitment which has not been costed because it was added too late... #scotbudget fiscalcommission.scot/wp-content/u...
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Diane Coyle @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social · 14/10/2024
And now @econ-observatory.bsky.social is here too!
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Gill Wyness @gillwyness.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
🤖New working paper🤖 Those from low SES backgrounds are less likely to enter "elite" occupations than their high SES peers, even when they have the same qualifications. But are low SES individuals less likely to enter high quality jobs in general? repec-cepeo.ucl.ac.uk/cepeow/cepeowp24…
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Lindsey Macmillan @lindseymacmillan.bsky.social · 19/09/2024
New report from @theifs.bsky.social highlighting new disability claimants are: a) younger b) more likely to claim due to mental health problems c) women Really worrying trend here with longer term implications ifs.org.uk/publications...
ifs.org.uk
Health-related benefit claims post-pandemic: UK trends and global context | Institute for Fiscal Studies
How do post-COVID claimants of health-related benefits compare with pre-COVID claimants? Where in the UK are they? How do other countries compare?
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NBER @nber.org · 16/09/2024
A literature review on the impact of minimum wages on low-wage labor markets, from Arindrajit Dube and Attila S. Lindner www.nber.org/papers/w32878
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 16/09/2024
🚨Job alert!🚨 Our group (@buwheelock.bsky.social @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social) is hiring an Assistant Professor of Education Policy. Description below, along with a link to apply. I'm chairing the search, so reach out and spread the word. Come work with us! academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/28451
academicjobsonline.org
Boston University, Wheelock College of Education and Human Development
Full service online faculty recruitment and application management system for academic institutions worldwide. We offer unique solutions tailored for academic communities.
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