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Economics Observatory

@econ-observatory.bsky.social
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Daily answers to economic questions. Policy briefings, writing & data masterclasses & a new data hub.

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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 9h
NEW on the Economics Observatory – What can we learn from a century of economic history? by @patrickwallis.bsky.social buff.ly/ptwONKQ
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What can we learn from a century of economic history? - Economics Observatory
Good economic history offers insights to policy-makers, showing them how crises have been navigated in the past, and the intended and unintended consequences of the actions of earlier governments.
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
JUST PUBLISHED – What can we learn from a century of economic history? by @patrickwallis.bsky.social buff.ly/ptwONKQ
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What can we learn from a century of economic history? - Economics Observatory
Good economic history offers insights to policy-makers, showing them how crises have been navigated in the past, and the intended and unintended consequences of the actions of earlier governments.
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Good jobs exist everywhere in the UK – but the highest-paying roles remain concentrated in London and the South East. Structural change has reinforced these patterns, raising difficult questions about how policy can help to spread opportunity more widely. buff.ly/gBLgnMP
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Why are good jobs concentrated in certain places? - Economics Observatory
Good jobs exist everywhere in the UK – but the highest-paying roles remain heavily concentrated in London and the South East, and a small number of cities. Structural change has reinforced these…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Prime Minister Andy Burnham has promised 'growth in every postcode', but is the UK on track? In his new article, Will Shepherd finds that while every larger region grew in 2024, nearly a third of local authorities saw output shrink. #ChartoftheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Is the UK on track for growth in every postcode? by @willshep.bsky.official buff.ly/vJZGqOh
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Is the UK on track for growth in every postcode? - Economics Observatory
Every UK region grew in 2024, but nearly a third of local authorities experienced a fall in total output that year. Analysing the latest official data helps to explain this striking variation – and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Every UK region grew in 2024, but nearly a third of local authorities saw output fall. The latest official data reveal striking variation in local growth — and offer an early test of the PM’s promise of ‘growth in every postcode’. #LabourConference buff.ly/vJZGqOh
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Is the UK on track for growth in every postcode? - Economics Observatory
Every UK region grew in 2024, but nearly a third of local authorities experienced a fall in total output that year. Analysing the latest official data helps to explain this striking variation – and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED – Is the UK on track for growth in every postcode? by @willshep.bsky.official buff.ly/vJZGqOh
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Is the UK on track for growth in every postcode? - Economics Observatory
Every UK region grew in 2024, but nearly a third of local authorities experienced a fall in total output that year. Analysing the latest official data helps to explain this striking variation – and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory — Manchester City and the 114 verdict: what are the implications? by J. James Reade (@jjreade.bsky.social) buff.ly/uWsede6
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Manchester City and the 114 verdict: what are the implications? - Economics Observatory
Friday brought the news that English football – and indeed global football – has been anticipating for a long time. We wrote here in early 2023 about the 115 charges that the Premier League had…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The most productive, fastest-growing & heavily invested part of the UK economy is invisible in the data that policy-makers use for decisions. A new classification of frontier firms reveals the scale of the gap & the consequences for interest rates, industrial strategy & growth. buff.ly/vXY9tn0
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UK productivity: why is the frontier economy invisible to policy-makers? - Economics Observatory
The most productive, fastest-growing and most heavily invested part of the UK economy is invisible in the data that policy-makers use for decisions. A new classification of frontier firms reveals the…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory– UK productivity: why is the frontier economy invisible to policy-makers? by @paulswinney.bsky.social buff.ly/vXY9tn0
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UK productivity: why is the frontier economy invisible to policy-makers? - Economics Observatory
The most productive, fastest-growing and most heavily invested part of the UK economy is invisible in the data that policy-makers use for decisions. A new classification of frontier firms reveals the…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED – UK productivity: why is the frontier economy invisible to policy-makers? by @paulswinney.bsky.social buff.ly/vXY9tn0
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UK productivity: why is the frontier economy invisible to policy-makers? - Economics Observatory
The most productive, fastest-growing and most heavily invested part of the UK economy is invisible in the data that policy-makers use for decisions. A new classification of frontier firms reveals the…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - How has the UK’s financial system changed over the past 100 years? by Christopher Coyle buff.ly/in7gzfM
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How has the UK’s financial system changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
The UK’s financial system has been forged by economic shocks, political priorities and market changes. Over the past century, banks have come to play a bigger role, not least for firms looking to…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Despite lessons from macroeconomics and economic history, recessions still strike with similar frequency and force to their predecessors. This article is part of a series to mark the centenary of the Economic History Society @echistsoc.bsky.social #EHS100 By Jason Lennard 👇 buff.ly/cVpb6zN
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How has the UK business cycle changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
Despite lessons from macroeconomics and economic history, recessions still strike with similar frequency and force to their predecessors. Business cycles remain unpredictable in their timing and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - How has the UK’s trade changed over the past 100 years? by Brian Varian buff.ly/H3mf1Jc
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How has the UK’s trade changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
Debates about globalisation and trade policy have deep historical roots. Patterns in the goods and services bought and sold by the UK have shifted over the past century, alongside the framework that…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – How have UK businesses changed over the past 100 years? By Niall MacKenzie ✍️ This article is part of a series to mark the centenary of the Economic History Society @echistsoc.bsky.social #EHS100 buff.ly/CClr0wW
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How have UK businesses changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
At first glance, UK businesses have changed a lot since 1926. But to understand the nature and extent of that change requires us to think about issues such as business size, sector, focus and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – How have UK industrial relations changed over the past 100 years? By Niall Cullinane ✍️ This article is part of a series to mark the centenary of the Economic History Society @echistsoc.bsky.social #EHS100 buff.ly/d1LEvmL
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How have UK industrial relations changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
As the centenary of the General Strike, 1926 is an apt starting point for considering how the governance of UK labour markets has evolved. But 1979 was the moment when the industrial relations system…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Unemployment has fallen over the last century, although it is rising once again. These figures are driven by both economic performance and the match between workers’ skills and the vacancies that are available. Policy-makers need to understand the interactions between the two. buff.ly/wvinlDh
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How has unemployment in the UK changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
Unemployment has fallen over the last century, although it is currently rising once again. These figures are driven by both the performance of the economy and the match between workers’ skills and…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
TODAY on the Economics Observatory - Have economic inequalities in the UK narrowed over the past 100 years? By Neil Cummins 👇️ buff.ly/T9lVPIn
economicsobservatory.com
Have economic inequalities in the UK narrowed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
Globally, there were dramatic and apparently permanent declines in almost all measures of economic inequality within countries across the 20th century. The UK too experienced these global trends, as…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED - Have economic inequalities in the UK narrowed over the past 100 years? By Neil Cummins 👇️ buff.ly/T9lVPIn
economicsobservatory.com
Have economic inequalities in the UK narrowed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
Globally, there were dramatic and apparently permanent declines in almost all measures of economic inequality within countries across the 20th century. The UK too experienced these global trends, as…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - How has children’s health in the UK changed over the past 100 years? By Bernard Harris buff.ly/hdVekT2
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED - How has children’s health in the UK changed over the past 100 years? By Bernard Harris buff.ly/hdVekT2
economicsobservatory.com
How has children’s health in the UK changed over the past 100 years? - Economics Observatory
The physical health of British children has improved substantially over the last century. While there had already been many improvements in children’s health before 1926, both infant and child…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - Has technology caused unemployment? By @benmschneider.bsky.social buff.ly/BUyvW8S
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Has technology caused unemployment? - Economics Observatory
There are several historical precedents for large-scale and sustained unemployment following technological change. Understanding these past experiences will help researchers and policy-makers to have…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
PISA 2025 reported the lowest average scores the OECD has ever recorded in reading, mathematics, and science. Although the UK has shown a considerable deterioration in Reading and Mathematics, students' performance in Science has soared. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED - Has technology caused unemployment? By @benmschneider.bsky.social buff.ly/BUyvW8S
economicsobservatory.com
Has technology caused unemployment? - Economics Observatory
There are several historical precedents for large-scale and sustained unemployment following technological change. Understanding these past experiences will help researchers and policy-makers to have…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
UK GDP grew 0.4% in the three months to July, and services alone added to growth. ONS puts professional services and information and communication among the biggest contributors, and says many of the largest-turnover IT firms work in AI and cloud computing. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - Live football on TV: should the Saturday 3pm blackout be lifted? By Matthew Olczak, James Reade and @singletonecon.bsky.social buff.ly/YM7Iand
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Live football on TV: should the Saturday 3pm blackout be lifted? - Economics Observatory
The absence of live TV matches on Saturday afternoons may inconvenience fans of England’s 20 best sides. But the many smaller clubs in the league pyramid below the top compete with the big teams for…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED - Live football on TV: should the Saturday 3pm blackout be lifted? By Matthew Olczak, James Reade and @singletonecon.bsky.social buff.ly/YM7Iand
economicsobservatory.com
Live football on TV: should the Saturday 3pm blackout be lifted? - Economics Observatory
The absence of live TV matches on Saturday afternoons may inconvenience fans of England’s 20 best sides. But the many smaller clubs in the league pyramid below the top compete with the big teams for…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
UK 15-year-olds clear the OECD average in both maths and reading. Of the 90 countries and economies in PISA 2025, the UK sits 463 points above the OECD average in maths and 461 points above in reading, near Canada, Japan, Korea, and Estonia. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory - Why are official replica football shirts so expensive? by Aidan Rooney buff.ly/mmpFGvk
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Why are official replica football shirts so expensive? - Economics Observatory
Football shirts have become much more expensive over the past decade. Supporters’ unwavering loyalty means that clubs possess unusual pricing power, but there are still alternatives. Economics helps…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
In London, 68.5% of babies born in 2025 had at least one parent born outside the UK, compared with 40.2% across England and Wales. This is because London has the largest foreign-born population of any region, and migrants arrive at childbearing age. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – The British disease: what explains the relative decline of the UK economy? by Eoin McLaughlin and Graham Brownlow (@grahambrownlow.bsky.social) buff.ly/t88duAj
economicsobservatory.com
The British disease: what explains the relative decline of the UK economy? - Economics Observatory
Britain established global leadership in manufacturing, innovation and exports in the Industrial Revolution. Relative economic decline from around 1870 was an outcome of comparator countries catching…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
UK employers have significantly reduced job advertisements. The number of vacancies declined to 707,000 between May and July 2026. According to reports to the ONS, higher labour costs and increased operating expenses are constraining hiring activity. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
From January, Germany's retirement subsidy shifts from guaranteed insurance products to capital-market accounts. The state currently provides 66% of the income of Germans over 65, while workplace pensions provide just 4%. In contrast, in the UK, workplace pensions provide 30%. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Is public procurement the missing lever for UK industrial strategy? by Elvira Uyarra @elvirauyarra.bsky.social buff.ly/b8kwaDh
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The UK government spends around £400 billion a year buying goods and services, a far bigger slice of public spending than goes to research and development. To support the new industrial strategy,…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
A full round of EFL fixtures tonight and tomorrow: 36 matches across the Championship, League One and League Two. In 23 of them, we don't make anyone better than a 50% chance of winning. Our forecast for every game 🧵⚽️
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Iceland declined the proposal to resume European Union accession negotiations. The opposing faction secured 52.8% of the vote, with an 82.5% turnout. Reykjavík diverged from the rest of the country, with a majority supporting reopening talks. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
JUST PUBLISHED – Is public procurement the missing lever for UK industrial strategy? by Elvira Uyarra @elvirauyarra.bsky.social buff.ly/b8kwaDh
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
One of the first significant choices facing the UK’s new prime minister, Andy Burnham, concerns the future of North Sea oil and gas. NEW on the Economics Observatory – Should the UK government allow more North Sea drilling for oil and gas? By David Comerford 👇 buff.ly/EjRfBcj
economicsobservatory.com
Should the UK government allow more North Sea drilling for oil and gas? - Economics Observatory
In considering a return to North Sea exploration, five arguments relate to climate and clean energy: one’s bad; two provide a genuine case for limited additional production; and two strengthen the…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
How effectively the machinery of governance enforces laws, regulates economic activity and provides public services is a key issue around the world. The Covid-19 pandemic and other policy challenges highlight wide variations in state capacity among countries – and the growing strain on public trust.
economicsobservatory.com
What is state capacity and why does it matter? - Economics Observatory
How effectively the machinery of governance enforces laws, regulates economic activity and provides public services is a key issue around the world. The Covid-19 pandemic and other policy challenges…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory –– What is state capacity and why does it matter? by Adnan Khan buff.ly/X2OpKI0
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What is state capacity and why does it matter? - Economics Observatory
How effectively the machinery of governance enforces laws, regulates economic activity and provides public services is a key issue around the world. The Covid-19 pandemic and other policy challenges…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Denmark counts what every resident pays in and takes out. People of UK origin come second among its 20 highest-ranked origin groups, just above 100,000 kroner per capita. Between 2017 and 2019, all but one of those groups moved up, and five crossed from negative to positive. #ChartOfTheDay
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
JUST PUBLISHED –– What is state capacity and why does it matter? by Adnan Khan buff.ly/X2OpKI0
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What is state capacity and why does it matter? - Economics Observatory
How effectively the machinery of governance enforces laws, regulates economic activity and provides public services is a key issue around the world. The Covid-19 pandemic and other policy challenges…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The number of UK hot days (28°C+) 🌡️ have doubled in a decade, and cities are feeling it most. The ‘urban heat island’ effect is a growing risk to both health and productivity. #ChartoftheDay #UK #HeatWave
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Urban heat regulating: what’s the value of nature-based cooling in cities? by Oliver Mann, Ann Johnson, and Maggie Maclellan buff.ly/dSk5NHt
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Urban heat regulating: what’s the value of nature-based cooling in cities?   - Economics Observatory
Cities often experience higher temperatures than rural areas. This ‘urban heat island’ effect is an increasing risk, with the average number of hot days (28°C or above) in the UK in a ten-year…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
JUST PUBLISHED – Urban heat regulating: what’s the value of nature-based cooling in cities? by Oliver Mann, Ann Johnson, and Maggie Maclellan buff.ly/b0LRuaA
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Urban heat regulating: what’s the value of nature-based cooling in cities?   - Economics Observatory
Cities often experience higher temperatures than rural areas. This ‘urban heat island’ effect is an increasing risk, with the average number of hot days (28°C or above) in the UK in a ten-year…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Will the state of the high street have political consequences for the UK? By Stephane Wolton #HighStreets #LocalEconomy #UKPolitics buff.ly/TX6cFeu
economicsobservatory.com
Will the state of the high street have political consequences for the UK? - Economics Observatory
In August 2024, the normally quiet neighbourhood of Walthamstow in London was in uproar. More than 1,500 residents had signed a petition to ‘safeguard the soul of our beloved neighbourhood’. The…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Local government reform: what role for universal basic infrastructure? By Owen Garling (@ojgarling.bsky.social), Bennett School of Public Policy (@bennettschool.cam.ac.uk) buff.ly/Yw77zyW
economicsobservatory.com
Local government reform: what role for universal basic infrastructure? - Economics Observatory
Alongside the recent announcements on further devolution made by the Burnham government, England is navigating a quiet but profound shift in its domestic geography. The English Devolution White…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – Can friendships help to explain inequality of opportunity across the UK? By Martin Wessel buff.ly/R596RIh
economicsobservatory.com
Can friendships help to explain inequality of opportunity across the UK? - Economics Observatory
In the UK, the family you are born into still goes a long way in determining what you earn as an adult. Children born in the late 1980s inherit roughly one-fifth of their parents’ income advantage in…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Andy Burnham has promised a cut in business rates for the country’s pubs as well as other social venues. Whether this helps pubs’ prospects of survival depends on how much of the pressures on these local institutions are really about costs, rather than changing consumer tastes. buff.ly/C9296XC
economicsobservatory.com
The great British pub: do we really need to worry? - Economics Observatory
The new prime minister has promised a cut in business rates for the country’s public houses as well as other social venues. Whether this helps pubs’ prospects of survival depends on how much of the…
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Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
As the region swings to the right, development will depend not only on restoring macro stability and improving national security, but also on strengthening institutions, raising productivity, fostering innovation and creating more resilient economies. By Camila Arroyo From buff.ly/iMHbPAz
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