Sign in

Romesh Vaitilingam

@econromesh.bsky.social
2.2K followers 264 following 268 posts

Economics writer on new findings, policy analysis & commentary from a wide range of researchers & institutions Editor-in-chief of the Economics Observatory; Clark Center for Global Markets, Chicago Booth; VoxEU; NIESR

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Centre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 20h
🎧 Happy International Podcast Day! We're launching the first episode of Inspiring Economics, where @econromesh.bsky.social speaks with Swati Dhingra about the research papers that shaped her career in academia and policy. open.spotify.com/show/6eD3MYl... podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/i...
012
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Centre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Every economist has a paper they always remember. In our new podcast series, Inspiring Economics, writer @econromesh.bsky.social explores the research that has shaped leading economists' thinking. Our first guest is Swati Dhingra (CEP, LSE). Tune in tomorrow for the first episode! 🎙️📚
043
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
#ManchesterCity verdict - analysis @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/manchester-c...
economicsobservatory.com
Manchester City and the 114 verdict: what are the implications? - Economics Observatory
Friday brought the news that English football – and indeed global football – has been anticipating for a long time. We wrote here in early 2023 about the 115 charges that the Premier League had brough...
031
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Full house and great first session at the inaugural #LondonMacroPolicyForum A fireside chat between Sir Charlie Bean and New York Fed's President John Williams #MonetaryPolicy #LMPF2026
022
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
#LondonMacroPolicyForum #LMPF2026 Great lineup at this inaugural @niesrorg.bsky.social event tmrw, 24 Sept 2026 @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social - including David Aikman, Charlie Bean, Sarah Breeden, Diane Coyle, Swati Dhingra, Jonathan Haskel, David Miles, Helen Miller & John Williams
110
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
What to do over the weekend? Apply to become the new Director of Communications and External Affairs Full details here ⬇️ niesr.ac.uk/vacancy/dire...
niesr.ac.uk
Director of Communications and External Affairs - NIESR
NIESR is one of the UK's most respected independent economic research institutes — trusted by policymakers, journalists and business leaders for rigorous, evidence-led analysis. We're looking for a…
023
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
How households & firms react to macroeconomic shocks will vary depending on their own circumstances @ucleconomics.bsky.social research shows the value of understanding who responds most, illustrating with variations in firms’ financial health & investment decisions after an unexpected rate cut
111
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
We are hiring for a Director of Communications and External Affairs. The successful candidate will be key to ensuring our research has impact. They will work closely with the Director and others to extend our reach with policymakers and the media. Apply by 27/09/26 niesr.ac.uk/vacancy/dire...
niesr.ac.uk
Director of Communications and External Affairs - NIESR
NIESR is one of the UK's most respected independent economic research institutes — trusted by policymakers, journalists and business leaders for rigorous, evidence-led analysis. We're looking for a Di...
012
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
National Institute of Economic and Social Research @niesrorg.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Yesterday's Bank of England decision on Quantitative Tightening (QT) started generating a big debate, but looking at the economics of it, what has actually changed? Director David Aikman gives his verdict unpacking the decision in his latest #blog ⬇️ niesr.ac.uk/blog/unpicki...
niesr.ac.uk
Unpicking The Economics Of The Bank’s QT Decision - NIESR
The Monetary Policy Committee voted 6–3 to hold Bank Rate at 3.75 per cent on Thursday. Alongside this, it announced that the Bank will reduce its stock of gilts held for monetary policy purposes to z...
033
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
A rare hybrid role: part strategist, part editor, part newsroom contact, part digital creator; you’ll sit close to our researchers & director, spotting the story inside complex economics before anyone else does, then shaping it, pitching it, writing it & publishing it yourself, @niesrorg.bsky.social
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
There are several historical precedents for large-scale & sustained unemployment following technological change; Understanding these past experiences will help researchers & policy-makers to have a clear view of the potential effects of artificial intelligence on the labour market
110
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Women running new businesses likelier to have loan applications rejected than comparable men; this not only holds back individual firms: when productive ones can’t obtain enough finance to invest & grow, capital ends up in wrong places & the whole economy produces less @ucleconomics.bsky.social
110
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Champions League scorecasting @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/scorecasting...
economicsobservatory.com
Scorecasting European club football: who will win the biggest prize? - Economics Observatory
Our summer scorecasting on the Economics Observatory covered the FIFA World Cup – the pinnacle of international football where national teams from around the world compete together. Since then, we hav...
001
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Firms & the banks that lend to them have unique relationships; policymakers relying on models that ignore these specific links can underestimate the headwinds faced by certain businesses or fail to spot how financial risks are concentrating in specific parts of the market, @ucleconomics.bsky.social
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
A full round of EFL fixtures tonight & tomorrow: 36 matches across the Championship, League One & League Two @econ-observatory.bsky.social scorecasts just posted - see link In 23 of them, we don't make anyone better than a 50% chance of winning www.economicsobservatory.com
economicsobservatory.com
Economics Observatory | Insights on the UK and global economy
Questions and answers about coronavirus and the UK economy
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
As August draws to a close, there’s a full round of matches across the top six tiers of English football Scorecasting all the results @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/scorecasting...
economicsobservatory.com
Scorecasting the new domestic football season: where have we got to? - Economics Observatory
As August draws to a close, there’s a full round of matches across the top six tiers of English football. At the Economics Observatory, we’ll be scorecasting each game, looking at how results so far c...
000
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Should the UK government allow more North Sea drilling for oil and gas? @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/should-the-u...
economicsobservatory.com
Should the UK government allow more North Sea drilling for oil and gas? - Economics Observatory
In considering a return to North Sea exploration, five arguments relate to climate and clean energy: one’s bad; two provide a genuine case for limited additional production; and two strengthen the cas...
020
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
How teachers interact with their pupils can have a clear effect on educational outcomes, as well as the development of executive skills; research evidence from #Ecuador highlights the value of a good teacher in raising the performance of children who have struggled in the past
111
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory –– What is state capacity and why does it matter? by Adnan Khan buff.ly/X2OpKI0
buff.ly
What is state capacity and why does it matter? - Economics Observatory
How effectively the machinery of governance enforces laws, regulates economic activity and provides public services is a key issue around the world. The Covid-19 pandemic and other policy challenges…
001
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Emma Jacobs @emmavj.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Publishing is having a moment
242
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
LSE Impact @lseimpactblog.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
💥New | Universities rarely use research evidence in their decision-making, so why do they expect anyone else to? ✍️ @gemmaderrick.bsky.social Amy Devenney and Lizzie Ville #AcademicSky #HigherEducation #EvidenceBasedPolicy
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Universities rarely use research evidence in their decision-making, so why do they expect anyone else to? - LSE Impact
Despite universities’ important role as evidence-producing organisations, they rarely draw upon research evidence for internal decision making, why?
0218
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Royal Economic Society @resmedia.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
How can the UK get back to stronger #productivity growth? In his #RES2026 keynote, Prof. @johnvanreenen.bsky.social explored how innovation policy can support growth, from industrial strategy and defence R&D to inequality and AI. Read more: bit.ly/4xNVeZH #EconSky
bit.ly
Productivity, innovation and the future of growth: Professor John Van Reenen OBE - Royal Economic Society
Professor John Van Reenen OBE closed RES2026 with a keynote on the UK’s productivity challenge and the role innovation policy can play in supporting stronger growth.
075
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The unbalanced competitive nature of @premierleagueuk.bsky.social football means that the last 3 champions are by far the most likely winners this season: @mancity.com have a 60% chance of winning the title, @arsenalfc.bsky.social 22% & @lfcr.bsky.social 15%; no other club’s probability is above 1%
110
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Scorecasts for the Football League season 2026/27: West Ham look likely to dominate the Championship, Wolves & Burnley next; Leicester City will be almost as strong in League One, Stockport County & Luton Town follow; in League Two, the top picks are Barnet, Swindon Town & Rotherham United, #EFL
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Policy-makers at central banks often use financial markets to make predictions about inflation; but research suggests that market movements are often disconnected from real-world beliefs about future price changes, on occasion leading to misguided policy decisions, @ucleconomics.bsky.social
120
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 10/08/2026
Scorecasting the fifth & sixth tiers of English football: what are the most likely outcomes for the 2026/27 season in the #NationalLeague, NLNorth & NLSouth? English Football League & Premiership scorecasts coming soon ahead of their opening weekends www.economicsobservatory.com/national-lea...
economicsobservatory.com
National League football: can we scorecast the 2026/27 season? - Economics Observatory
Over the summer, we scorecast the FIFA World Cup – the world’s best players in the biggest ever edition of the pinnacle tournament of the global sport of football (or soccer, as one of the host nation...
000
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
JUST PUBLISHED - The development challenge in El Salvador: is lower crime enough? By Frank Muci
buff.ly
The development challenge in El Salvador: is lower crime enough? - Economics Observatory
El Salvador’s government overhauled the country’s security policy and ended gang violence, lifting what was thought to be the main constraint on the economy. There have been measurable improvements…
001
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
NEW on the Economics Observatory – What can Colombia expect after the 2026 presidential election? By Andrea Correa 🇨🇴👇 buff.ly/9iJvonv
economicsobservatory.com
001
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Economics Observatory @econ-observatory.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
Andy Burnham has promised a cut in business rates for the country’s pubs as well as other social venues. Whether this helps pubs’ prospects of survival depends on how much of the pressures on these local institutions are really about costs, rather than changing consumer tastes. buff.ly/C9296XC
economicsobservatory.com
The great British pub: do we really need to worry? - Economics Observatory
The new prime minister has promised a cut in business rates for the country’s public houses as well as other social venues. Whether this helps pubs’ prospects of survival depends on how much of the…
021
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
As #LatinAmerica swings to the political right, sustained development will depend not only on restoring macroeconomic stability & improving national security, but also on strengthening institutions, raising productivity, fostering innovation & creating more diversified & resilient economies
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
New evidence of the growing psychological intensity of many jobs indicates the need to prepare workers for the high-stress, self-directed environments of the modern economy; we need to ensure that people can manage greater professional independence without suffering from extreme mental strain
100
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Gavin Kelly @gavin-kelly.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
The Treasury needs to adapt reflect a devolved age & fragmented governance. Important new @nuffieldfoundation.org funded report by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social Dave Richards & Martin Smith www.nuffieldfoundation.org/news/opinion...
nuffieldfoundation.org
The myth of Treasury control: What’s wrong with the UK’s public spending system and how to fix it - Nuffield Foundation
The long-standing model of centralised Treasury control over public spending has inadequately adapted to the realities of public service delivery.
0135
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
A programme in #Chile that expanded access to higher education for disadvantaged youngsters has been delivering on its objective; but it has also had unintended consequences for students' efforts, reducing their study hours, grades & other measures of endeavour in the final year of high school
110
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
#India's rapid development in the C20th is a remarkable story; new pressures include converting growth into health, education & human capability; reducing dollar dependency; & navigating the transition to green energy @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/indias-econo...
economicsobservatory.com
India’s economic rise: a long and winding road - Economics Observatory
The rapid development of India in the 20th century is a remarkable story, albeit one with uneven outcomes. Today, the country faces new pressures: from converting growth into health, education and hum...
000
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Whenever a score is used to allocate something valuable that can't be priced, people have an incentive to manipulate it; the policy question is whether allocation rules can be designed that deter gaming while still targeting those who genuinely merit what is being allocated @ucleconomics.bsky.social
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Presence of disruptive children in a classroom can harm attainment of the wider peer group: evidence from #Ecuador shows that poor behaviour can reduce scores in both maths & languages, as well as eroding classmates’ sense of belief in their abilities or value of hard work, @ucleconomics.bsky.social
100
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
LSE Impact @lseimpactblog.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
👀ICYMI | "One of the most striking features of the referendum campaign was how often economic arguments were met not with counter-evidence but with attacks on the people presenting them" #Experts #EconSky @econromesh.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact
The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave, thi...
074
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
With #WorldCup2026 down to its final four, scorecasting suggests that the #Argentina  likelihood of retaining the trophy is up to 42%; #Spain are on 22% to win, #France  20% & #England outsiders at 15% @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social www.economicsobservatory.com/world-cup-20...
economicsobservatory.com
World Cup 2026 semifinals: is football coming home? - Economics Observatory
With this World Cup’s quarterfinal ties completed over the weekend, the tournament reached a total of one hundred matches played and just four remaining: the semifinals over the next couple of evening...
020
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Helen Ward @helen-ward1.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Such a great piece by my colleage @econromesh.bsky.social - "There is one final irony. The referendum is often presented as evidence that expertise no longer matters. I draw the opposite conclusion. Expertise matters enormously. That is precisely why it became a target."
021
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Clark Center for Global Markets @kentclarkcenter.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
In this week's "On Global Markets," @duncanweldon.bsky.social examines 10 years of Brexit and how the economic impacts look to the experts in 2026: kentclarkcenter.org/brexit-ten-y...
kentclarkcenter.org
Brexit: Ten Years On - Clark Center Forum
To mark the tenth anniversary of the United Kingdom voting to leave the European Union, the Clark Center’s US and European Economic Experts Panels recently looked – once again – at the vexed issue of ...
002
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
LSE Business Review @lsebr.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
The conflict in Iran has been reignited by disagreements about control of a critical shipping lane. But the Strait of Hormuz is not the only chokepoint making global trade vulnerable. blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessrevi...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
World trade remains dangerously dependent on a handful of shipping lanes - LSE Business Review
Despite the digitisation of the global economy, world trade is still only as resilient as the physical routes it depends on.
001
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Ed Ng @edng.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Excellent piece by @econromesh.bsky.social, explaining with illuminating clarity that "In an age when authority itself is contested, economists need to devote as much care to how evidence is communicated – and why it should be trusted – as they do to producing it in the first place"
023
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
#WorldCup2026: the 4 quarterfinal favourites turned out winners, some with more difficulty than others Look out for semifinal scorecasts & latest probabilities on the 4 remaining teams to lift the trophy @econ-observatory.bsky.social @jjreade.bsky.social #Argentina vs #England #France vs #Spain
040
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
John Springford @johnspringford.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
Interesting piece by @econromesh.bsky.social. I always thought the right frame was the trade-off between (formal) sovereignty and living standards, and we emphasised that from the start. But the Leave campaign was effective with 'wrong then, wrong now' and so forth 1/ blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...
Economic hubris, political nemesis
There was another mismatch too. Economists believed they were answering the central question facing the country: would Brexit make the country more or less prosperous?

Many voters were asking a different question altogether. Who should make UK laws? How should immigration be controlled? What kind of country do we want to be?

These are not questions that economics can settle, nor should it pretend to. Looking back, one of our mistakes was to assume that because the economic consequences were important, they would also be decisive.
62412
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
#WorldCup2026 - #Spain's 2-1 defeat of #Belgium was the joint most likely result of that match at 9% Tonight's most likely result, at 10%, is also 2-1, a victory for #England over #Norway #ItsComingHome ?? @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social
030
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Centre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative consequences of Brexit, voters were not swayed. In a new LSE Impact blog, @econromesh.bsky.social (Economics Observatory, CEP) argues economists must communicate findings as carefully as they produce them. blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsoci...
blogs.lse.ac.uk
Did Brexit make us better at communicating economics? - LSE Impact
The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU was a watershed moment for research communication. Despite a near total academic consensus on the negative economic consequences of a vote to Leave, thi...
4114
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
#WorldCup2026 Yesterday, #France were at 70% to beat #Morocco In today's quarterfinal, #Spain have a 66% likelihood of winning; #Belgium are at 34% The joint likeliest scorelines, both at 9%, are a 2-1 Spain win or a 1-1 draw Spain are at 18% to lift the trophy; Belgium 5% Latest #scorecasts
100
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
#France vs #Morocco tonight - likely outcomes: Mbappé & co are at 70% probability of winning; their opponents, Africa's last representative in the tournament, are at 30% Likeliest result at 16%: 1-0 to the French 49% chance that each team scores at most one goal #WorldCup2026
100
Reposted by Romesh Vaitilingam
Sarah O'Connor @sarahoconnorft.ft.com · 09/07/2026
I had a lot of fun recording this podcast about my book We Are Not Machines with @timharford.ft.com live at the Bristol economics festival - watching Tim with an audience in the palm of his hand was truly watching a master at work. timharford.com/2026/07/caut...
timharford.com
Cautionary Tales Live – We Are Not Machines, with Sarah O’Connor
When the Luddites smashed factory frames in a bid to defend their craft and livelihoods, the machines came out on top. Today, AI and automation threaten to wipe out skilled jobs and flood us w…
2136
Romesh Vaitilingam @econromesh.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
With just eight teams remaining in #WorldCup2026, #Argentina have a 36% chance of lifting the trophy, #Spain are at 18%, #France at 17% & #England at 15% Latest scorecasts @jjreade.bsky.social @econ-observatory.bsky.social #ItsComingHome ?? www.economicsobservatory.com/world-cup-20...
economicsobservatory.com
World Cup 2026 quarterfinals: is football coming home? - Economics Observatory
With just eight teams remaining in the tournament, Argentina have a 36% chance of lifting the trophy, Spain are at 18%, France at 17% and England at 15%. Scorecasting analysis suggests that the most l...
010