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Fraser of Allander Institute

@fraserofallander.org
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The Fraser of Allander Institute at the University of Strathclyde is an independent economic research unit providing expert analysis and insight on the Scottish economy. fraserofallander.org

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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 13h
📊 Our latest Economic Commentary is out. Scotland's economy has held up well, but there are signs of a labour market under strain. We also assess the Programme for Government ahead of the Scottish Budget on 3 December. Read the full commentary 👇 buff.ly/RwthxfX
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https://fraserofallander.org/?post_type=publications&p=51610&preview=true
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 29/09/2026
🎧️ New podcast episode out today 🎧️ This episode introduces our new Fraser Focus series on low-income households across Scotland and the UK. Stay tuned for our first episode next week on the cost of living! buff.ly/XbxbYPv
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https://fraserofallander.org/podcast-fraser-focus-lih-intro/
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 22/09/2026
🎙️ Introducing Fraser Focus - a new podcast series from the Fraser of Allander Institute exploring economic issues affecting Scotland and the UK. Our first series focuses on low-income households and poverty. 🎧 Intro episode launches next week, first of ten main episodes on 6 October.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 21/09/2026
Distributional analysis is a powerful tool, but remains underutilised. New FAI research, published today for the Poverty and Inequality Commission, estimates how the impacts of the Cost of Living Guarantee vary across the population. Read the report: buff.ly/tvBfU4z Our summary: buff.ly/bIQ71rG
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Who benefits from the Cost of Living Guarantee? | FAI
At a time when both households and the government are facing acute financial pressures, knowing who benefits from public spending is key to ensuring that the impacts of policies are consistent with…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 26/08/2026
What do Scotland's latest annual health check statistics for people with learning disabilities really tell us? More checks and increased referrals, but many eligible adults are still missing out, while important questions remain. Read more: buff.ly/kwkUScU
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Annual Health Checks for People with Learning Disabilities | FAI
Annual Health Checks for People with Learning Disabilities: What Do the Latest Statistics Really Tell Us?
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 25/08/2026
Our latest blog post reviews today’s fiscal update from the SFC, including some of the fiscal pressures in the run-up to this year’s budget. Read more: fraserofallander.org/2026-08-fisc...
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Fiscal update: Where does Scotland stand ahead of the budget? | FAI
In our response to the 2026-27 budget, we highlighted that the Scottish Government was again forecast to run a significant underlying deficit of around £659 million, which was higher than we had…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 21/08/2026
How feasible is a wealth tax for Scotland? We look into how wealth is currently taxed in Scotland, what can we learn from other countries, and what practical challenges a Scottish wealth tax would need to overcome. Read more below: fraserofallander.org/a-wealth-tax...
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A wealth tax for Scotland: how feasible is it? | FAI
A wealth tax is a tax on the ownership of net wealth – the total value of someone’s assets minus their debts. Wealth taxes can be applied as a one-off tax, based on wealth held at a single point in…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 19/08/2026
🌍 New research: Economics Futures student Katie Trotter and Dr David Comerford explore trends in offshoring from 2000 to 2020 for 35 major economies. 📊 Read the full report here: fraserofallander.org/offshore-glo...
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https://fraserofallander.org/testing-the-offshoring-narrative-a-decomposition-of-global-emissions/
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 18/08/2026
Key Sectors in the Scottish Economy: An Analysis through Input-Output Tables Read more: fraserofallander.org/key-sectors-...
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Key Sectors in the Scottish Economy: An Analysis through Input-Output Tables | FAI
This analysis and article was produced by Economic Futures Summer Placement Student Charlotte Wren. While there is an important focus on its overall performance, many policy actions focus on…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 14/08/2026
🚨 New Research - An overview of the provision of affordable housing in Scotland, research for @sfha.bsky.social and ALACHO. Read more: buff.ly/n6fLoPb
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https://fraserofallander.org/publications/an-overview-of-the-provision-of-affordable-housing-in-scotland/
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 12/08/2026
🚨 GERS 2025-26 is out 🚨 What do - and don't - the latest figures tell us about Scotland’s public finances? Read our reaction to today’s release, breaking down the key numbers and what’s driving them 👇 fraserofallander.org/gers-2025-26...
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GERS 2025-26 reaction: Scotland’s net fiscal balance narrows despite drop in North Sea revenues | FAI
The latest Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland (GERS) statistics have been published this morning, providing an updated picture of Scotland’s public finances in 2025-26. The figures show that…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 11/08/2026
🚨GERS 2025-26 is out tomorrow!🚨 What should we be looking out for in the latest figures on Scotland's public finances? Read our preview ahead of tomorrow's release 👇️ fraserofallander.org/gers-2025-20...
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GERS 2025-2026 is out tomorrow! | FAI
A look ahead to the release of the Scottish Government’s GERS 2025-26 report.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 05/08/2026
New report on the importance of services trade to Scotland - including barriers that exist for businesses and how they can be addressed - research in partnership with Prosper and the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy. buff.ly/IrLBlhP
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Scotland’s services exporters have strong growth potential—but regulatory barriers remain a major constraint | FAI
A new report highlights the central role of services trade in Scotland’s economy and identifies practical opportunities to strengthen the country’s international competitiveness. The report…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 31/07/2026
As the Burnham premiership draws its second week to a close, what do we make of the announcements so far? What's the strategy behind the devolution agenda, and what are the risks? And what might be the effects for Scotland? Read more below: fraserofallander.org/fiscal-and-e...
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Fiscal and economic policy in the Burnham era | FAI
If there is a word that has come to signify Andy Burnham’s policy agenda, it’s devolution. The new Prime Minister has made it a central plank…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 27/07/2026
Following the publication of the interim report from Sir Stephen Timms' review of PIP, we've published a blog that draws on evidence we shared with the review, including updated analysis of the disability employment gap. Read more:
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Keeping Up With The Timms Review
Following interest in our most recent programme of learning disabilities research, we had the opportunity to meet with Sir Stephen Timms in May...
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 22/07/2026
📢 New Scottish Business Monitor Q2 2026 📢 Almost two-thirds of firms now use AI, with adoption above 50% in construction, manufacturing and services for the first time. 🔗 Read the report here: buff.ly/9i0bNhk
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 16/07/2026
New report out today looking at the economic contribution of British Allied Trades Federation industries. The report provides important new insights into the economic contribution of these diverse industries. Read the full report here: fraserofallander.org/publications...
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The Economic Contribution of BATF Industries | FAI
This report assesses the economic contribution of the industries represented by the British Allied Trades Federation (BATF). It was commissioned by BATF, representing the National Association of…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 30/06/2026
How did the Scottish election shake out, and what are the initial signs saying regarding Parliamentary scrutiny? Read our final blog of the 2026 Election Analysis series below: buff.ly/XgN7hVx
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 29/06/2026
How much of the Scottish budget goes towards preventing or reducing problems before they occur? 15% of budgeted spend for 2025/26 was preventative, according to a new Scottish Government pilot study. Read our latest blog responding to the pilot results at the link:
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Preventative spending in Scotland | FAI
Prevention has become a watchword for Scottish Government publications, taking a central role in strategies like the Population Health Framework and the Public Service Reform Strategy.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 26/06/2026
🚨 New Quarterly Economic Commentary 🚨 Our latest Commentary reflects on better-than-expected economic performance amidst global uncertainty, as well as the implications of the May elections. 🔗 Read the full Commentary: buff.ly/QT2qO9t
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 04/06/2026
In April, Strathclyde's Learning Disabilities Research Network held a workshop bringing together network members and external organisations who support people with learning disabilities. Read our latest blog for a summary. fraserofallander.org/belonging-th...
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Belonging Through Good Work: Workshop findings | FAI
A blog summarising the findings of Strathclyde’s Learning Disabilities Research Network’s latest collaborative workshop on employment.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 02/06/2026
In our latest podcast episode, Jack Evans of @jrf-uk.bsky.social joins the FAI to discuss new research on local labour markets across Scotland and how employability challenges look different across areas. Listen here 🎧️ buff.ly/wEycWaC
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 01/06/2026
The tackling child poverty agenda in Scotland is entering a pivotal phase, with a new government at the helm and statutory targets coming due in 2030. In this blog, we set out our key priorities for child poverty research over the next five years. buff.ly/eTADkWT
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Tackling child poverty in Scotland: new horizons for economic analysis
Since 2017, Scotland has been the only nation in the UK with statutory targets for reducing child poverty, placing the issue firmly at the centre of policymaking. The Fraser of Allander Institute…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 29/05/2026
📊NEW: Supervising ex-prisoners cuts reoffending substantially and pays for itself - every £1 spent on supervision avoids more than £2 in crime-related costs. Read our blog and explore our dashboard to learn more about this work. buff.ly/8fRJXLe
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Study shows post-release supervision reduces reoffending | FAI
Researchers at the University of Strathclyde find that post-release supervision can play a meaningful role in reducing reoffending, particularly when it is well-designed, targeted, and applied at the…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 28/05/2026
Our Learning Disability Research team was grateful to spend time this morning with Sir Stephen Timms (Minister for Social Security and Disability), discussing our work and evidence submitted to the Timms Review. Read our work on learning disabilities: buff.ly/R7aSKRO
FAI Learning Disability Research Programme team meeting with Sir Stephen Timms, Minister of State for Social Security and Disability.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 27/05/2026
Post-release supervision cuts reoffending by 15% in the first month — and effects persist years later. 🎙️ Our latest podcast digs into new research by Markus Gehrsitz, Sam Grant and Stuart McIntyre. buff.ly/yK9zJZ7
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Podcast: Study shows post-release supervision reduces reoffending in short and long run | FAI
Ben Cooper is joined by Dr Markus Gehrsitz and Sam Grant to talk about their latest research on post-release supervision of offenders and its impact on reoffending. The backdrop to this study is that…
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Reposted by Fraser of Allander Institute
João Sousa @joaosousa.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
This seems like a bad idea, just like we said about the Scottish proposal. Will likely solve nothing, cause shortages if cap very low or lead to artificially supplied (and wasteful) low quality products no one wants. National loaf anyone?
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 15/05/2026
Essential weekend reading - does the SG have a fiscal black hole? is the UK in hock to the bond markets? And more on child poverty statistics
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Weekly update – fiscal holes, bond markets and child poverty analysis | FAI
Essential weekend reading - does the SG have a fiscal black hole? is the UK in hock to the bond markets? And more on child poverty statistics
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 15/05/2026
In the final podcast episode of our election analysis series, we look at what the results mean for governing arrangements - and what we can expect next. Listen below: fraserofallander.org/2026-scotlan...
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Ep 17: The aftermath of the elections | FAI
In the final episode of our election analysis series, we discuss what the results of the elections in Wales and Scotland mean…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 14/05/2026
Scottish Business Monitor results show a fragile economic picture: • Activity still weak across headline indicators • Energy, import, & distribution costs rising • But business confidence has edged positive for the first time since late 2024
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Scottish Business Monitor Q1 2026
Scottish business confidence shows modest improvement in early 2026, despite all six key activity indicators staying negative for a sixth consecutive quarter.
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 05/05/2026
How do the manifestos for the Senedd stack up? And what are they avoiding? Listen to our latest podcast in collaboration with @WalesGovernance.bsky.social to find out: buff.ly/7Cjo5C0
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Ep 15: The Welsh manifestos | FAI
FAI Deputy Director João Sousa is joined by Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre to discuss the main talking points on tax and spending…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 01/05/2026
What have been the main themes of the Welsh and Scottish campaigns this week? And what can we expect 6 days out from the elections? Listen below to our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast: buff.ly/Q1v9tAi
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Ep 14: Round-up of the week | FAI
FAI Deputy Director Joao Sousa is joined by Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre and FAI Director Mairi Spowage to talk about…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 30/04/2026
How has health spending in Wales evolved? How does NHS performance stack up? And what are parties promising in this space? Listen to the latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast below: buff.ly/rnVf18Z
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Ep 13: Health spending in Wales | FAI
FAI Deputy Director João Sousa is joined by Ed Poole and Guto Ifan to talk about the health service and health spending in Wales…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 27/04/2026
What do the Scottish manifestos discuss and what are parties avoiding? Listen below to our latest podcast to find out: fraserofallander.org/2026-scotlan...
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Ep 12: The Scottish manifestos | FAI
FAI economists Mairi Spowage, João Sousa and Ciara Crummey discuss the Scottish Parliamentary election manifestos…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 24/04/2026
As we round up the week, a chance to reflect on our events in Bangor and Edinburgh, and the main questions around fiscal frameworks, income tax and council tax. Listen below to our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast: buff.ly/FECwpMe
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 24/04/2026
With two weeks to go until polling day, yesterday we hosted an event asking: 2026 Scottish election: do the promises and plans add up? Thank you to everyone who joined for a thoughtful and engaged discussion! ➡️ You can view the slides here: buff.ly/iMpiMAB
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 24/04/2026
Projecting future demand for adult social care in Scotland: what’s possible – and what isn’t (yet). Read our latest discussion paper: buff.ly/8ThBoLM
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Projecting future demand for adult social care in Scotland: what’s possible – and what isn’t (yet) | FAI
Understanding how demand for adult social care will change over time is essential for effective policy reform. Decisions about funding, workforce planning and service design all depend on having a…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 23/04/2026
What's the funding landscape in Scotland's higher and further education systems? And what are the main issues facing the sectors after the election? Listen below to our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast episode: buff.ly/nu0chgd
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Ep 10: Higher and further education in Scotland | FAI
Wales Governance Centre’s Ed Poole is joined by FAI Director Mairi Spowage and Deputy Director João Sousa to talk about the funding landscape of the Scottish higher and further education sectors…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 22/04/2026
Economic resilience continues, but outlook tempered by conflict in the Middle East. Our latest Economic Commentary published today, read here: buff.ly/QjMGhFw
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Economic resilience continues, but outlook tempered by conflict in the Middle East | FAI
Recent data has remained positive for the Scottish economy, but the outlook for future growth is being dampened by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, according to the Fraser of Allander…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 21/04/2026
In our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast: what's happened in health and social care in Scotland over the past 5 years, and what are parties proposing? Listen below: buff.ly/rihPpO9
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Ep 9: Health and social care in Scotland | FAI
Wales Governance Centre’s Ed Poole is joined by FAI Director Mairi Spowage and Deputy Director João Sousa to discuss the findings from our report…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 20/04/2026
Our final Scottish manifesto analysis: the Liberal Democrats. Lots of policy aspirations, but how firm are the commitments? Read it below: buff.ly/9T6VHy7
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2026 Scottish manifesto analysis: Scottish Liberal Democrats | FAI
Alex Cole-Hamilton’s Scottish Liberal Democrats announced their manifesto for the Scottish Parliament election at the end of last week. We’ll go through the main announcements on tax…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 18/04/2026
In our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast: the main news of the week, including the SNP food price cap, manifestos galore and what parties aren't talking about. Listen below: buff.ly/l5W0K5I
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 17/04/2026
Our next Scottish manifesto analysis: the SNP. Would the food price cap work? And does the manifesto face up to the fiscal reality? Read it below: fraserofallander.org/2026-scottis...
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2026 Scottish manifesto analysis: Scottish National Party | FAI
John Swinney’s Scottish National Party (SNP) announced their manifesto for the Scottish Parliament election yesterday. We’ll go through the main announcements on tax, spending and public sector…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 17/04/2026
How has the devolved social security system changed in the last 5 years? How close is Scotland to hitting its statutory child poverty targets? Listen below to our latest @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social podcast to find out: buff.ly/LkpWYMe
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Ep 7: Devolved Social Security in Scotland | FAI
Wales Governance Centre’s Ed Poole is joined by Spencer Thompson of the Fraser of Allander Institute to talk about how devolved social security powers…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 16/04/2026
Our next Scottish manifesto analysis: the Scottish Greens. Lots of policies, but taken as a whole how serious are they? Read it below:
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2026 Scottish manifesto analysis: Scottish Greens | FAI
Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer’s Scottish Greens announced their manifesto for the Scottish Parliament election this week. We’ll go through the main announcements on tax, spending and public sector…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 15/04/2026
Looking to understand more about the claims in the parties manifestos this campaign? Do their claims add up? And what is the fiscal situation shaping the elections and the next Senedd and Scottish Parliament terms? Join us at our events in Bangor, Edinburgh, London and Cardiff: buff.ly/TZyZyIE
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 14/04/2026
Our latest Scottish manifesto analysis on Scottish Labour is now out. Lots of policies but what are the priorities? And does it all add up, or is detail missing? Read it below: fraserofallander.org/2026-scottis...
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2026 Scottish manifesto analysis: Scottish Labour | FAI
Anas Sarwar’s Scottish Labour announced their manifesto for the Scottish Parliament election yesterday. We’ll go through the main announcements on tax, spending and public sector reform…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 13/04/2026
Why is there a funding crisis in higher education in Wales? And what are parties saying - and crucially, not saying - about it? Listen below to our @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social discussion: buff.ly/r5jKVRH
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Ep 6: Higher Education in Wales | FAI
FAI Deputy Director João Sousa is joined by Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre to talk about higher education funding in Wales…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 11/04/2026
On the @fraserofallander.org and @WalesGovernance.bsky.social round-up of the week: manifestos galore in Wales and Scotland, and what topics have parties picked as their main campaign themes? Listen below: buff.ly/Bx6RC0m
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Ep 5: Round-up of the week | FAI
João Sousa and Ciara Crummey of the FAI and Ed Poole and Guto Ifan of the Wales Governance Centre talk through the main points of the week…
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Fraser of Allander Institute @fraserofallander.org · 10/04/2026
Our next Scottish manifesto analysis: the Scottish Conservatives. Big tax cuts proposed but how will these be funded? And does it all add up, or is detail missing? Read it below: fraserofallander.org/2026-scottis...
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2026 Scottish manifesto analysis: Scottish Conservatives | FAI
Russell Findlay’s Scottish Conservatives launched their manifesto for the Holyrood election earlier this week. We’ll go through the main announcements on tax, spending and public sector reform, and…
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