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Reposted by Michal Smetana

EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Soon - 📒Agenda-Setting Panel: Responding to Non-Cooperation in International Relations virtual.oxfordabstracts.com/event/75765/... 17:10-18:50 | Hall 1A (ICC), with @lisadellmuth.bsky.social, @fgenovese.bsky.social , Bernhard Reinsberg, @smetanamichal.bsky.social and @stefwalter.bsky.social

virtual.oxfordabstracts.com

OA Virtual conferences

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 10/04/2026

🎉 Our 1st @erc.europa.eu #MICROCODE article is out! Using a cross-national survey experiment, @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @mvranka.bsky.social & @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social find that formal alliances boost public support for military intervention globally, but the effect is smaller outside NATO.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

If the 553 pages of the project @smetanamichal.bsky.social and I co-led on Russia’s nuclear threats struck you as excessive, unreasonable, or hostile to human happiness, good news: Here’s the graphic version. Many thanks to the many @swp-berlin.org colleagues who made this possible!

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Research & Politics @respol.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

Do alliance treaties sway public support for war everywhere? @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @mvranka.bsky.social @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social find they do—but much less in non-Western, non-NATO countries. Alliance politics travels, but not evenly. Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

journals.sagepub.com

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

SWP International Security @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Die Visualisierung der Publikation „Russia’s Nuclear Signaling in the War Against Ukraine“ von @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social & @smetanamichal.bsky.social ist nun online. Das Dashboard bietet die Möglichkeit, nukleare Eskalationsdynamiken im Krieg Russlands gegen die Ukraine besser nachzuvollziehen.

swp-berlin.org

Russia's Nuclear Signaling in the War Against Ukraine

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Elbridge Colby says that ‘NATO is actually stronger than ever.’ Our forthcoming @erc.europa.eu longitudinal study shows the opposite, with data from six countries pointing toward a continuous decline in NATO’s collective defense credibility. Here is a small teaser with data from Russia:

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 13/02/2026

Registrations are open for the PRCP Annual Conference 2026! This year, we will focus on the unraveling international order, exploring the breakdown of international law, dual-use technological competition and foreign interference. 🗓️ 19/03, Kampus Hybernská 🔗 Register: forms.gle/AWponkp8rrAS...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 05/02/2026

@smetanamichal.bsky.social and @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social introduced our chronology of nuclear signaling between Russia and NATO during the war in Ukraine in a recent episode of Ukraine: The Latest @telegraph.co.uk! 🎧 Listen here: open.spotify.com/episode/2Ycr... @ims.fsv.cuni.cz

open.spotify.com

Putin waits until Kyiv hits -20C before knocking out power with missiles & FIFA president calls for lifting Russia sports ban

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz · 21/01/2026

👏 Michal Smetana from @ims.fsv.cuni.cz has won the Neuron Award 2025 in the field of social sciences. 👌 The committee appreciated his innovative way of connecting international relations, security studies and political psychology. 😍 Congratulations! 👉 science.fsv.cuni.cz/en/assoc-pro...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

České novinky 🇨🇿 @news-flows-cz.bsky.social · 19/01/2026

Nechali jsme si ukrást termín „mír“. Výsměch slovům „já chci mír“ nám také nepomáhá, říká oceněný vědec Michal Smetana „Máme v názvu slovo mír, ale není za tím žádná naivní vize typu ‚pojďme se tady všichni mít rádi a bude dobře‘,“ říká Michal Smetana, ředitel výzkumného centra Peace Research...

denikn.cz

Nechali jsme si ukrást termín „mír“. Výsměch slovům „já chci mír“ nám také nepomáhá, říká oceněný vědec Michal Smetana

„Máme v názvu slovo mír, ale není za tím žádná naivní vize typu ‚pojďme se tady všichni mít rádi a bude dobře‘,“ říká Michal Smetana, ředitel výzkumného centra Peace Research Center Prague. Vědec a be...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 19/01/2026

Our director @smetanamichal.bsky.social won the #NeuronPrize for Promising Scientists in the Social Sciences field. 👏 The jury praised his innovative approach to combining IR, security studies & political psychology with advanced experimental methods. Our warmest congratulations, Michal!

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 12/01/2026

What nuclear signaling did Russia vs. NATO use during the first 3 years of Ukraine war? We systematically tracked these statements in our recent study with @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social. Join us for our event on Jan 27 for a study presentation and a discussion with authors! More info below 👇

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 06/01/2026

Our article "Atomic Responsiveness" by @smetanamichal.bsky.social @laurensukin.bsky.social @herzogsm.bsky.social & @mvranka.bsky.social recently sparked a scholarly discussion with @florianeblenkamp.bsky.social. We've just published a series of Policy Briefs that documents this exchange 👇

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Trump, in a new @theatlantic.com interview: "We do need Greenland, absolutely. We need it for defense." Congratulations to all the Europeans who are applauding the foreign policy of the current U.S. administration—very smart indeed.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

I am thrilled the newest "Russia's Nuclear Signaling" Chronology is published! Really glad @smetanamichal.bsky.social came onboard 15 months ago to continue this important work. A big thank you to all @swp-berlin.org @swp-intsecurity.bsky.social #STAND & @prcp.cuni.cz for making this possible! 1/7

swp-berlin.org

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

🚨Publication alert🚨 15 months, 553 pages, 10 researchers, 2 institutions. Happy to share the results of our @prcp.cuni.cz & @swp-berlin.org joint research project, which investigated nuclear signaling during the Russo-Ukrainian war. (1/2) @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social @swp-europe.bsky.social

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

1/5 In 2019, the former U.S. NSC expert on Russia under Trump 1.0 testified that the Kremlin wanted a "strange swap arrangement between Venezuela and Ukraine" under the logic of a new Monroe Doctrine. Some 6 years later, under Trump 2.0, Putin can be happy to see a [...]

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

1/ Our project "Microfoundations of Collective Defense" [MICROCODE] funded by the @erc.europa.eu now has a website: www.erc-microcode.eu We have spent the year collecting the data and now plan to write up (and publish) our results throughout 2026. @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz @ims.fsv.cuni.cz

erc-microcode.eu

ERC Project Microcode

Microfoundations of Collective Defence (MICROCODE) is a groundbreaking research project funded by the European Research Council. It uncovers how public opinion drives the stability of military allianc...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Security Studies Program MIT @ssp-mit.bsky.social · 20/11/2025

“For international relations and security studies scholars, the continued reluctance by nuclear-armed states to employ their arsenals – even when fighting and losing major wars – remains a significant puzzle,” write @laurensukin.bsky.social, @herzogsm.bsky.social, @smetanamichal.bsky.social, & (1/2)

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 12/11/2025

Does public opinion shape elite preferences for nuclear weapon use? 🚀 Our new article in @ejisbisa.bsky.social provides the first experimental evidence that political elites are at least partially influenced by public sentiment when considering high-level decisions on nuclear weapon use.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Alexander Lanoszka @lanoszka.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Congratulations to @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social. @herzogsm.bsky.social, and @mvranka.bsky.social on their new article! They address address the central question: can public opinion influence decision-makers’ views on nuclear weapon use? www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Project on Managing the Atom @managingtheatom.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

Does public opinion affect policymaker preferences about nuclear weapon use? New article from: @herzogsm.bsky.social, @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @laurensukin.bsky.social & @mvranka.bsky.social. Read in @ejisbisa.bsky.social, @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Stephen Herzog @herzogsm.bsky.social · 12/11/2025

1/4 Policymakers often do listen to publics when formulating preferences on nuclear weapon use. Our #OpenAccess article provides first-of-kind evidence about when publics enable, constrain, or are less influential. @ejisbisa.bsky.social @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org Link: doi.org/10.1017/eis....

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 11/11/2025

1/2 Our new paper has just been published in @ejisbisa.bsky.social 🥰 We designed & fielded an original elite experiment to investigate when & how public opinion on nuclear weapon use shaped elite decision-making.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 18/10/2025

Huge congratulations to our Ph.D. candidate Zakir Rzazade for publishing his first peer-reviewed article! 🎉 He explores the expert-media gap in perceptions on drone usage implications on modern warfare. @ims.fsv.cuni.cz @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz @europeansecurity.bsky.social

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 03/09/2025

🥳 Srdečně vás zveme na další večer plný debat TO JE KRIZE! Tentokrát s @voxpot.bsky.social, @amoklima.bsky.social a @iirprague.bsky.social. Těšit se můžete na debaty o AI a klima dezinformacích, české politice vůči Izraeli, oligarchizaci politiky a morálce v současných konfliktech.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 22/08/2025

🇺🇦 Co by se stalo, kdyby Ukrajina neměla jasně dané bezpečnostní záruky? O tom, ale i o Trumpovi, Putinovi a Aljašce mluvil náš ředitel @smetanamichal.bsky.social s @jbelicek.bsky.social v @denikalarm.bsky.social. ➡️ Celý rozhovor: denikalarm.cz/2025/08/trum... @ims.fsv.cuni.cz

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament @eunpdc.bsky.social · 13/08/2025

🚨 New from our partner @prcp.cuni.cz : "Public support for arms control in the third nuclear age" by @smetanamichal.bsky.social, @mvranka.bsky.social & @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social. How do #NATO publics view arms control amid tech change & arms races? 📄 Read: 👇

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Fakulta sociálních věd UK @fsv.unikarlova.cuni.cz · 07/08/2025

👉 Přečtěte si rozhovor s naším odborníkem @smetanamichal.bsky.social k 80. výročí svržení atomové bomby na Hirošimu.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 20/07/2025

🎉 We are happy to officially welcome Isabelle Haynes as a new member to our @erc.europa.eu #MICROCODE team! She is a new Ph.D. candidate at the @ims.fsv.cuni.cz and in her research, she will investigate cross-national heterogeneity in public support for the collective defence principle.

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 15/07/2025

New article in @ejir.bsky.social! 🚨 @smetanamichal.bsky.social @mvranka.bsky.social and @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social argue that due to the overly complex nature of arms control practices, the public relies on simplified heuristic frames and elite cues to build their opinion. @ims.fsv.cuni.cz

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

1/2 Our new paper (w/ @mvranka.bsky.social & @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social) on public support for nuclear arms control has just been published in @ejir.bsky.social (open access link to the full article is in the next post)

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

The main outcome of our two-year Stanton Foundation project has now been accepted for publication in the European Journal of International Relations 🔥 @prcp.cuni.cz @ims.fsv.cuni.cz @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz

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Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social · 05/06/2025

I'm just glad one of these men has the nuclear codes and the other has all our personal data.

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Jakub Eberle @jeberle.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

INTERFER - our shiny new project on foreign interference, coordinated by @smetanamichal.bsky.social at @ims.fsv.cuni.cz now has a website! www.interfer-project.eu

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Reposted by Michal Smetana

Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 27/05/2025

🥳 Our #INTERFER project website has launched! You can find all information about the project, its work packages as well as the entire research team at interfer-project.eu.

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 05/05/2025

1/2 🚨 New preprint alert 🚨 Together w/ @laurensukin.bsky.social @herzogsm.bsky.social @mvranka.bsky.social, we provide first experimental evidence on how public views on nuclear weapon use shape elite decision-making. Must read for scholars conducting nuclear nonuse experiments!

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Journal of Global Security Studies @journalofgss.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

Has the “nuclear taboo” weakened in Russia since the invasion of Ukraine? A new study by @smetanamichal.bsky.social and @profonderco.bsky.social finds that “atomic aversion” among the Russian public has remained virtually unchanged. Why is this the case? 🤔 Read more here: doi.org/10.1093/jogs...

“The Journal of Global Security Studies” cover image appears on the left. The journal's homepage URL (https://academic.oup.com/jogss) and Bluesky handle (@journalofgss.bsky.social) are provided in white text on a navy blue background at the bottom of the image. The background for the rest of the image features an atomic bomb explosion. This is overlaid with the article title and author name(s): “Hope the Russians Love Their Children Too”: Russian Public Support for the Use of Nuclear Weapons after the Invasion of Ukraine by Michal Smetana &Michal Onderco.

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

Our new @erc.europa.eu MICROCODE report explores public support for defending Taiwan across Western countries 👇

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 20/04/2025

This is a good summary of what Putin’s proposal means

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 18/04/2025

Almost as if making major a priori concessions to the stronger party and bullying the weaker one is not the best mediation strategy you could go for 🤷‍♂️

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Marek Vranka @mvranka.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

next batch of our MICROCODE data on public support for defending allies, this time from Czech Republic (thanks @ipsosgroup.bsky.social CZ!) see www.erc-microcode.eu/research-rep... for previous reports from USA, Russia & more NATO countries. @fsv.charlesuni.cuni.cz

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Michal Smetana @smetanamichal.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Pokud by Rusko napadlo Lotyšsko, jen přibližně polovina Čechů by souhlasila s tím bránit našeho spojence (naše čerstvá @erc.europa.eu MICROCODE data ve spolupráci s IPSOS) @prcp.cuni.cz

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Peace Research Center Prague @prcp.cuni.cz · 17/04/2025

❗️ New publication alert! A new article from @smetanamichal.bsky.social and @profonderco.bsky.social found that despite Kremlin’s belligerent rhetoric and calls for nuclear strikes, public support for using nuclear weapons against NATO has remained unchanged post-invasion. @journalofgss.bsky.social

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