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Stephen Kissler

@skissler.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1K following 97 posts

Infectious disease epidemiologist / computer science professor @ CU Boulder. Trying to figure out how to keep us all healthy and fed.

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Reposted by Stephen Kissler
Louise H. Moncla @lhmoncla.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Due to some really great work from the @nextstrain.org team, it is now easier to put together new builds! We've recently released H7Nx and H10Nx builds onto the main avian-flu page along with all the standard features. Check them out! nextstrain.org/avian-flu/h1...
nextstrain.org
auspice
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Sam Abbott @seabbs.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
A few years ago we (Kelly Charniga @sangwoopark.bsky.social et al.) did some thinking on how we should estimate and report epidemiological delay distributions (i.e incubation periods etc. etc.). journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol...
journals.plos.org
Best practices for estimating and reporting epidemiological delay distributions of infectious diseases
Epidemiological delays are key quantities that inform public health policy and clinical practice. They are used as inputs for mathematical and statistical models, which in turn can guide control strat...
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
The Global Society for Infectious Disease Dynamics (GSIDD) is hosting a seminar tomorrow (Fri Sep 11) at 1pm Eastern (US) time — these monthly meetings aim to share what's happening in IDD research around the globe and to build connections among researchers and practitioners. More info at the link!
gsidd.org
Events | GSIDD
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Reposted by Stephen Kissler
id-journal.bsky.social @id-journal.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Dengue-mAb 🦠✅ cut viral load by up to 2.35 log at 24h vs placebo 1.29 (P≤.003). Fever cleared in 2-3.5h vs 26.8h placebo. No serious adverse effects in 250 pts.
jamanetwork.com
Safety and Preliminary Efficacy of Dengue Monoclonal Antibody in Adult Patients: A Randomized Clinical Trial
Importance  Dengue outbreaks are increasing in frequency and intensity. In the absence of any specific treatment, a pan-serotype recombinant monoclonal antibody (Dengue-mAb) was tested in adult patients with dengue as a therapeutic option.Objective  To assess the safety and effect of a single dose of Dengue-mAb on dengue viremia at different dose levels among patients with dengue.Design, Setting, and Participants  A phase 2, single-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial was conducted from September 19, 2021, to May 13, 2023, at 12 hospitals in India. Study participants were aged 18 to 60 years with dengue and a history of fever onset within 48 hours. Key exclusion criteria were severe dengue, hemoglobin less than 10 g/dL, absolute neutrophil count less than 500/mm3, total leukocyte count less than 1500/mm3, platelet count less than 50 000/mm3, and any other clinically significant disorders. Data were analyzed from January 11, 2024, to March 26, 2024.Interventions  Participants were randomly allocated 1:1:1:1:1 using an interactive web response system to receive 1 of 4 dose levels of Dengue-mAb (3, 5, 7, or 9 mg/kg) or placebo by slow intravenous infusion.Main Outcomes and Measures  Primary outcomes were reduction in viremia at 24 hours and causally related serious adverse events (SAEs). Secondary outcomes were RNAemia, fever, and hematologic and pharmacokinetic parameters.Findings  A total of 250 participants were randomized, with 50 participants in each group. The overall median age was 30 years (IQR, 24-37 years), and 180 participants (72.3%) were male. There were no causally related SAEs. The adjusted mean (SE) viral log reduction at 24 hours was significantly higher with Dengue-mAb—from 1.93 (0.23) with 3 mg/kg (P = .04) to 2.35 (0.27) with 9 mg/kg (P = .003)—compared with placebo (1.29 [0.22]), using a mixed model for repeated measures. Participants with detectable viremia (n = 32) at baseline were negative for dengue virus by 8 hours when treated with a 5- to 9-mg/kg dose of Dengue-mAb compared with 72 hours with placebo. Median time to fever clearance was 3.5 (95% CI, 1.0-24.0) hours (hazard ratio [HR], 2.6 [95% CI, 1.0-6.4]) with Dengue-mAb 5 mg/kg (n = 14) and 2.0 (95% CI, 0.5-6.0) hours (HR, 2.8 [95% CI, 1.2-6.8]) with Dengue-mAb 7 mg/kg (n = 14), compared with 26.8 (95% CI, 1.0-50.5) hours with placebo (n = 12). At 24 hours, between 13 of 14 participants (92.9%; 95% CI, 66.1%-99.8%) with Dengue-mAb (3 mg/kg), 14 of 14 participants (100.0%; 95% CI, 76.8%-100.0%) with Dengue-mAb (5 mg/kg and 7 mg/kg), and 16 of 17 participants (94.1%; 95% CI 71.3%-99.9%) with Dengue-mAb (9 mg/kg); and 7 of 12 participants (58.3%; 95% CI, 27.7%-84.8%) with placebo had fever clearance.Conclusions and Relevance  In this randomized clinical trial, Dengue-mAb was safe and well tolerated. Dengue-mAb rapidly reduced dengue viremia and fever at doses of 5 mg/kg and 7 mg/kg, making this the first therapeutic against wild-type dengue virus to show preliminary efficacy in humans.Trial Registration  Clinical Trial Registry-India Identifier: CTRI/2021/07/035290
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Dr Emma Hodcroft @firefoxx66.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
I'm so incredibly proud of what we've built in these past two years! But I also can't wait to see what comes next - we've still got so much more do to! Happy Birthday Pathoplexus! 🎂
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Nature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 24/08/2026
County vaccination figures looked reassuring until the largest US measles outbreak in 30 years began. Ana Bento tells the story of building a 50,000-school dataset, published in Nature Medicine, to find out why the averages were lying, and what surveillance looks like once you finally zoom in. 🧪
go.nature.com
The hidden map of measles risk: why zooming in changed everything
County vaccination figures looked reassuring right up until the largest US measles outbreak in 30 years began. This is the story of building a 50,000-school dataset to find out why the averages were lying, and what surveillance looks like once you finally zoom in.
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Gabriel Bosslet @gbosslet.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
We opened an ICU that had been shuttered for well over a decade so that a hospital that has 18 MICU beds could fit 46 patients on ventilators
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
I'm excited to share a preprint that's been years in the making: the idea took shape during the COVID pandemic. Anecdotally, people would sometimes spread COVID at work but not at home, and vice versa. Why? One explanation would be if infectiousness is fleeting...
medrxiv.org
How bursty infectiousness shapes epidemic dynamics
An epidemic’s expected course is determined by the magnitude and timing of a typical person’s infectiousness — captured, in turn, by the basic reproduction number and the generation-time distribution....
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The Ferrari Lab @theferrarilab.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
In 2017, while working at Epicentre/Medecins Sans Frontieres I helped to develop the Urgepi program in southeast DRC. What started as measles surveillance program has matured into a prioritization scheme for outbreak prevention and response that serves 15m people (land area ~Spain).
medrxiv.org
Risk-targeted interventions for measles control- Lessons from an emergency response project in the Katanga Region, Democratic Republic of the Congo (2021-2023)
The Urgepi project is a measles emergency initiative implemented by Medecins Sans Frontieres Operational Centre Paris (MSF-OCP) in the Katanga region of the Democratic Republic of Congo, a setting cha...
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Another preprint led by @hadley-liza.bsky.social (who is on a roll!) now out on medRxiv: how can we infer measles vaccination rates given incomplete data? This one's the result of an incredible collaboration with @papsti.bsky.social & others at the Public Health Agency of Canada.
medrxiv.org
Making inferences with incomplete epidemiological data: a proof-of-concept estimating measles vaccine coverage across Canada
Background & aims of study Current measles outbreaks around the world have highlighted the evolving immunity landscape of some vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs). In Canada, there have been approxima...
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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 23/07/2026
1. The new Trump / Kratsios plan for US science appears explicitly designed to destroy US universities. Diverting money to tech donors is probably just a bonus. Gift link.
nytimes.com
Trump’s Plan for Science: More Money for A.I., Less for Universities (Gift Article)
Michael Kratsios, President Trump’s science adviser, proposed overhauling how the government funds research. Democrats said Mr. Trump’s actions had weakened science.
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 23/07/2026
Was an honor to get to play a small role in this — congrats @hadley-liza.bsky.social on a really nice article on strengthening communication between scientists and policymakers! www.nature.com/articles/s44...
nature.com
How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research - Communications Health
Communications Health - How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research
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Reposted by Stephen Kissler
Erin Biba @erinbiba.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
This is a *fantastic* video that explains exactly WTF is going on with Taylor Farms and how tracing works TLDR: - they are responsible - the false positive was only on one of several samples - it’s difficult to test parasites - there may still be other sources - Taylor Farms is being shady AF
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Bill Hanage @billhanage.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
👇🏼💯
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STAT @statnews.com · 15/07/2026
An analysis of public comments on a White House proposal to change the way federal contracts and grants are doled out shows widespread opposition. www.statnews.com/2026/07/15/t...
statnews.com
Flood of comments on White House grantmaking overhaul is largely negative, analysis shows
An analysis of public comments on a White House proposal to change the way federal contracts and grants are doled out shows widespread opposition
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APHA @apha.org · 13/07/2026
Today is the last day to tell OMB not to put politics over science and public health.
A title slide shows a photo of an entrance to the National Institutes of Health by hoto by G. Edward Johnson with a black gradient over it along with the words, "Why is scientific research under threat?" At the bottom is the APHA logoWhite text in a navy blue box says, "In early 2025, the Trump administration abruptly canceled NIH grants for research that did not align with its policies. Studies on vaccine hesitancy, LGBTQIA+ health, Black maternal mortality and more were defunded, leaving many researchers unemployed." Beneath the box is a photo by Geoff Livingston of a protest around the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool where people are holding signs. The sign in front says, "Explain how gutting the NIH makes America great."White text on a blue background says, "APHA and other organizations fought back, suing the NIH. Now, the administration is looking to circumvent the courts by fundamentally changing the grant process through the Office of Management and Budget." Beneath that is black text over an image of a ripped piece of paper that says, “In spring 2025, the American Civil Liberties Union joined the American Public Health Association and a union representing many postdocs in suing the NIH, arguing the terminations were arbitrary and capricious — issued, as Sosa put it, without legal basis. Courts agreed in early rounds, and grants began to be restored.” Medscape, June 29, 2026. That is a quote from this article: https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/science-interrupted-lasting-impact-terminated-grants-2026a1000m1l?form=fpfWhite and yellow text on a black background says, "OMB’s proposal would: Authorize political appointees to award federal grants based on political ideology instead of scientists and policy experts awarding grants based on evidence-based research; Allow those appointees to cancel, suspend or modify grants at any time and for any reason; Block federal funding for implementing programs that include DEIA, “gender ideology,” and international collaboration; Restrict the use of grant funds for professional development like attending conferences"
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
Done.
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Reposted by Stephen Kissler
Casey Middleton, PhD @caseymiddleton.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Throughout your scientific career, you will read hundreds of dense manuscripts. 📚 As the literature stack piles up, remembering exactly where you saw a specific methodology or finding can be tough. Here is how I use a relational database to keep track of it all (and et al.). 👇
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Max Kozlov @maxkozlov.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
NIH grants have been under political scrutiny since early 2025. But what does the screening process actually look like? What is being flagged? I spent a month digging into leaked docs and emails. We've published the 235-word list that are being flagged by an internal AI tool. And so much more. 🧵
nature.com
Inside the new political screening that’s stalling NIH grants
Mandatory reviews by top health officials and checks for 235 disfavoured terms have left hundreds of vetted grant applications in administrative limbo.
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Climate.us @climate.us · 26/06/2026
We got a big bump in traffic yesterday when people learned about us on NPR. Thank you to @npr.org for covering our launch and bringing our story to people's attention! And thank you to all our new followers. We can do this together! 🌍️🧪💪 #ClimateAction #ClimateForUs #ProtectScience
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Pamela Martinez @pamelapm.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
I'm very excited to share this preprint led by @sorenlouislarsen.bsky.social and Chloe Yand, and made possible by the collaboration with my friend and colleague @ayesha-mahmud.bsky.social. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
medrxiv.org
Same household, different choices: variation in health behaviors related to respiratory viruses in Illinois
While SARS-CoV-2 and influenza continue to place a significant burden on population health, within-household differences in decisions towards vaccination and seeking care across these two pathogens, a...
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Madhu Pai, MD, PhD @madhupai.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
A year before he passed away, I interviewed Dr Paul Farmer @pih.org about his book on Ebola So relevant right now, especially the dangers of “control-over-care approach” - i.e. isolation & quarantine, but fails to ensure adequate clinical care to the sick www.forbes.com/sites/madhuk...
forbes.com
Ebola, Covid-19 And The Elusive Quest For Global Health Equity
Published during this pandemic, Paul Farmer’s new book, “Fevers, Feuds, And Diamonds,” is important, as it presents a critical dissection of the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, and the lessons we can l...
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
Thank goodness, now there's somewhere to submit that project I've been stalled out on for three years...
Screenshot of an email inbox with a message from the journal PLOS titled "submit your aging research."
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Casey Middleton, PhD @caseymiddleton.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🚨 Disease modelers: Do you use empirical VE estimates interchangeably to inform vaccine effect parameters? Me too, and it’s distorting our predictions. VE estimates often do not align with model parameters. We discuss these pitfalls & solutions in our new preprint: arxiv.org/abs/2605.18571 🧵👇
arxiv.org
Incorporating vaccine effects into epidemiological models: common pitfalls and solutions
Incorporating vaccination into mathematical models appears deceptively simple: models integrate vaccine-derived protections, such as reduced susceptibility to infection, using parameters informed by e...
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Michael Plank @michaelplanknz.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
The true size of the DRC Ebola outbreak is uncertain. Imperial modelling team estimates that as of 17 May 400-800 cases had occurred, but can't rule out more than 1000. Great work by Anne Cori and team www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-i...
imperial.ac.uk
Report - Estimation of the size of the outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Report - Estimation of the size of the outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
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Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 @helenbranswell.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
1. #WHO has declared the #Ebola #Bundibugyo outbreak in NE DRC a public health emergency of international concern, aka a PHEIC. Yet another sign this is likely to be a very challenging outbreak. So far there've been 8 confirmed cases, 246 suspected cases & 80 suspected deaths.
who.int
Epidemic of Ebola Disease caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda determined a public health emergency of international concern
Pursuant to paragraph 2 of Article 12 - Determination of a public health emergency of international concern, including a pandemic emergency of the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR), the Di...
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
New manuscript, led by @hadley-liza.bsky.social! Model visualization is key for supporting communication between epidemiologists and policymakers. But misunderstandings still abound: so, how can we do better? www.frontiersin.org/journals/pub...
frontiersin.org
Frontiers | Visualizing epidemiological models for policy: design principles for effective communication
Communicating scientific ideas to policy actors is a longstanding challenge, especially in epidemiological modeling where evidence is inherently uncertain. C...
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Jennifer Nuzzo, DrPH, SM @jennifernuzzo.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
I may have lots of complaints about the US government’s response to hantavirus, but our colleagues at @unmc.bsky.social are the best of us. I’m moved by their humanity 🥹
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Jeremy Berg @jeremymberg.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Sooooo... Several people shared this slide with me. NIH is apparently working on a new parent mechanism called an RP1. I have many questions (and only a few answers). (EPMC is the NIH-wide Extramural Program Management Committee co-chaired by Jon Lorsch). 1/4
A slide from the NIH Extramural Program Management Committee about a new "RP1 Mechanism" labelled as a "Science-Driven Research Project"
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John M. Drake @jdrakephd.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
COVID infected 17% of the Diamond Princess in a month. Hantavirus: 5% of the Hondius in five weeks. The biology explains why this outbreak won't scale. www.forbes.com/sites/johndr...
forbes.com
Why Hantavirus Will Not Be The Next Pandemic
An ecologist explains why the hantavirus cruise ship outbreak, while serious, will not become the next pandemic. The biology of Andes virus limits large-scale spread.
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Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 @helenbranswell.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
The #hantavirus outbreak on the cruise ship off the coast of Africa is a serious public health event that needs to be handled properly. But if you are having #Covid flashbacks, put those worries to rest. The risk here is to people on the ship & their close contacts. www.statnews.com/2026/05/07/h...
statnews.com
Cruise ship hantavirus outbreak worries experts, though they discount pandemic fears
Scientists are worried that hantaviruses haven’t been as well studied as they ought to be, but not that the MV Hondius cruise ship is ground zero for the next pandemic.
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Maria Antoniak @mariaa.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
I'm starting a newsletter! I'll be sharing "dispatches" or "field notes" about AI, language, and culture, drawn from my research, reading, and traveling. Short, frequent, informal!
field-notes.leaflet.pub
Welcome to Field Notes
A little bit about me and why I'm writing here
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Kristian G. Andersen @kgandersen.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
A few additional key details 👇, building on what I mentioned yesterday - human-to-human transmission on-board is the most likely explanation, but, importantly, does not mean this is likely to cause a larger outbreak. The ship’s doctor among suspected cases + reportedly, no rodents on board.
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James Hay @jameshay.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
It was absolutely wonderful to write something again with @skissler.bsky.social, @danlarremore.bsky.social and Aishani Aatresh. Here's our new review/perspective on the value of measuring and modelling viral kinetics as part of routine surveillance: royalsocietypublishing.org/rstb/article...
royalsocietypublishing.org
Integrating viral kinetics into routine outbreak surveillance: challenges, opportunities and lessons from COVID-19
Abstract. Viral kinetics provide crucial insights into the biology and epidemiology of infections, with direct implications for basic science, therapeutics
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Sadie J. Ryan (she/her) @sjryan3.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Hot off the press: Management implications of shifting Culex quinquefasciatus West Nile virus transmission suitability in Florida, new paper with @lippikiyay.bsky.social doi.org/10.1177/1530...
doi.org
Management implications of shifting Culex quinquefasciatus West Nile virus transmission suitability in Florida - Sadie J. Ryan, Catherine A. Lippi, 2026
Background: West Nile virus (WNV), a mosquito-borne flavivirus, has circulated in the United States since 1999. In 2025, Florida was home to 24 million people, ...
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Maria Antoniak @mariaa.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
My #atscience talk about Lea is now online! If you've only ever heard me talk about NLP, here's a chance to hear me rant about #atproto (the protocol you're reading this on!), social media for researchers, and the free internet. And if you're interested in helping us build Lea, please reach out!
youtube.com
Lea: A Social App for Researchers - ATmosphereConf 2026
YouTube video by AT Protocol Development, Tech Talks, and Events
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Parenting insight, day 168: sucking the snot out of someone else’s nose is actually oddly satisfying?
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Angie Rasmussen @angierasmussen.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
I haven’t been quiet in my life, so I’m not about to start now. Thank you, @microbetv.bsky.social, for giving me a microphone 🗣️
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Leah @leah.myatproto.social · 08/04/2026
#ScienceSky #NutritionSky #AgSky listen to Gastropod!
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
On this strange, strange night, this helped:
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
On this public health week, I can’t think about anything but this. These threats, if realized, would be a public health crisis, a humanitarian crisis, a moral and civilizational crisis, on the grandest possible scale. I’m calling my representatives; we need to take a different course.
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American Society for Virology @amersocvirology.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
ATTENTION ASV TRAINEES! The NOMIS & Science Young Explorer Award is a great opportunity to showcase your research and practice your science communication. Details below www.science.org/content/priz...
science.org
NOMIS & Science Young Explorer Award
The newly launched NOMIS & Science Young Explorer Award recognizes bold, early-career researchers with an M.D., Ph.D. or M.D./Ph.D. who ask fundamental questions at the intersection of the social and ...
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Partners In Health @pih.org · 06/04/2026
Public health is more than just systems. It’s the foundation for healthier communities everywhere. This National Public Health Week, help us celebrate and expand access to equitable health care around the globe. Learn more about how you can get involved: www.pih.org/advocate
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Duncan MacCannell @drm.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes...
cdc.gov
Vaccination Coverage by Age 24 Months Among Children Born ...
This report describes vaccination coverage by age 2 among ...
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Lucia Ruggiero @lruggiero.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
hsph.harvard.edu/news/remembr...
hsph.harvard.edu
Remembrance: Former colleagues praise Barry Bloom’s scientific achievements, global health contributions, and good humor | Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Barry Bloom, the former dean of Harvard Chan School who died on March 18, was an inspiration to many, according to longtime colleagues Marc Lipsitch and Yonatan Grad.
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
New manuscript! Agricultural workers in the U.S. face huge health disparities, and living conditions in particular make agricultural workers more vulnerable to respiratory infections. But just how much more vulnerable - and how might outbreaks impact food production? tinyurl.com/ms7tv2pf
tinyurl.com
Modeling the impact of respiratory disease outbreaks on the United States agricultural workforce
Emerging respiratory disease outbreaks pose a major threat to food production systems. Agricultural workers live in larger, more crowded households than the general population, amplifying their potent...
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Stephen Kissler @skissler.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
How can diagnostic tests for infection support public health – and what challenges do we need to overcome to maximize their potential? Kristin Nelson, Tyler Brown, and I have a new article out digging into this exciting, complex issue: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Diagnostic testing as a public health intervention: challenges and opportunities
Published in Future Virology (Vol. 20, No. 12, 2025)
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Timothy McBride @mcbridetd.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
CMS Says States Won't Have to Report Childhood Vaccination Levels www.medpagetoday.com/pediatrics/v...
medpagetoday.com
CMS Says States Won't Have to Report Childhood Vaccination Levels
Immunization quality measures shouldn't be used in payment arrangements, agency notes
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Aris Katzourakis @ariskatzourakis.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Why are virologists thinking and talking about this year's strain of influenza? We are dealing with a version of H3N2 that is unusual compared to what we might expect year on year. At the same time, it is not as unusual as, say, a novel pandemic strain, far from it.
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Kristian G. Andersen @kgandersen.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
And now NextStrain as well. Next up, will GISAID start charging open-source community tools to have access? That would completely shaft users who contributed to GISAID, where we never agreed to that and assumed GISAID would be good custodians of the data we contributed. They're not.
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