iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Is there generality in decomposition across substrates? We tested this in an experiment across elevation, studying carrion, dung, leaves & wood. We found idiosynchratic patterns of decomp, with local conditions being more important than macroclimate @sebseibold.bsky.social doi.org/10.1002/ecm....

11810

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Great day in the field with colleagues from the Institute of Terrestrial Ecology @ethz.ch in beautiful Berchtesgaden National Park yesterday. Lots of exciting discussions and perspectives on a complex mountain ecosystem - thanks for the visit!

031

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

What is the effect of post-disturbance management on tree regeneration? New insights from >800 plots across 11 countries in C Europe, showing that >90% of disturbed sites are managed, with mgmt increasing stem density and tree species richness. Lead: @johannesmohr.bsky.social doi.org/10.1111/1365...

doi.org

Regeneration response to post‐disturbance forest management in Central Europe

As disturbance activity intensifies, forest management must identify strategies to facilitate the rapid recovery of disturbed sites. By studying 868 disturbed sites across Central Europe, we found th....

0166

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

New synthesis paper led by @cecileremy.bsky.social et al., out in @ecography.bsky.social, highlighting how the combination of paleoecological data and approaches with forest landscape modeling can improve our understanding of past and future forest disturbance regimes. doi.org/10.1002/ecog...

0103

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Big congrats Johannes to a wonderful PhD!

020

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 29/06/2026

Out now in @natecoevo.nature.com: Increasing forest disturbance enhances habitat suitability for Europe’s large herbivores. Great work led by Julian Oeser and @tkuemmerle.bsky.social! doi.org/10.1038/s415...

0165

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 25/06/2026

I had the pleasure of teaching field-based classes in the mountains this past weeks. A great way for students to synthesize the knowledge they've gained in the classroom, and for students and teachers alike to learn from practitioners!

0190

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 11/06/2026

Come work with us and do research in Germany’s only national park in the Alps, iconic Berchtesgaden Nationalpark! We are looking to fill a PostDoc position in vegetation ecology (tinyurl.com/PostDocBerch...) and a PhD position in mountain forest dynamics (tinyurl.com/PhDBerchtesg...).

26352

Reposted by Rupert Seidl

The International Tree Mortality Network @treemortality.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

ITMN Seminar #32 with Dr. Paulo Bernardino June 16, 2026 at 15:00 (CEST) 👉Uncovering shifts in dryland vegetation dynamics using satellites Register here: ethz.zoom.us/webinar/regi...

145

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

Will climate change increase global forest deadwood carbon stocks (because of increasing tree productivity and mortality) or decrease it (because of increased deadwood decomposition)? Find out in the new paper by Edelmann et al., out now in @commsearth.nature.com doi.org/10.1038/s432...

02412

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Climate change is shifting the competitive balance between tree species. The result: Up to 25% of Europe’s forests could experience a change in the dominant tree species in the 21st century. New insights from a deep learning-based meta-model trained on 135 million data points doi.org/10.1038/s432...

1133

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

We are hiring! Interested in doing a PhD and excited about forest management, ecosystem services, simulation modeling and beta diversity? Come work with us @edfm-tum.bsky.social at @tum.de, full job ad here: cloud.edfm.ls.tum.de/index.php/s/...

06340

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 16/03/2026

Together with @juditlecinadiaz.bsky.social & @monicagturner.bsky.social, we synthesized studies on post-disturbance forest reorganization. Key insight: Self-replacement is common across biomes, i.e., disturbances act as catalysts of change only under specific conditions doi.org/10.1111/geb....

01712

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

@wernerrammer.bsky.social et al. have developed a cool new tool to visualize forest simulation output. EcoViz offers both photorealistic and symbolic visualizations of future forest trajectories. Looking forward to using this in science communication! @ecography.bsky.social doi.org/10.1002/ecog...

0194

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Personal: This started out as a discussion of an idea with @wernerrammer.bsky.social, sitting in the park block of Portland, Or at an ESA meeting more than 10 years ago. I’m incredibly grateful that we were able to get this far, and excited about the future endeavors that will build on this! (10/10)

070

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Team: This was a truly collaborative effort between 43 scientists from 35 institutions. Led by the great Marc Grünig, and strongly facilitated by @wernerrammer.bsky.social and @corneliussenf.bsky.social at @tum.de, enabled by the FORWARD and RESONATE (led by @marlind.bsky.social) EU projects. (9/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Uncertainties: Future trajectories come with uncertainties. One important aspect are future wind extremes, for which we here made conservative assumptions. Also, note that we here focused on the effects of climate, and assumed a continuation of business-as-usual forest management. (8/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Policy implications: Together with @efieuropeanforest.bsky.social, we’ve also published a summary for policy makers alongside the scientific paper, highlighting important implications for European forest policy wrt forest planning, monitoring and management (7/10) Link: doi.org/10.36333/pb20

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Insights 3: Disturbance change impacts Europe’s forest demography, reducing the share of old forests and increasing the share of young forests on the landscape. This could have profound implications for ecosystem services and biodiversity, and needs to be accounted for in forest policy. (6/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Insight 2: Fire is the main driver of increasing future disturbance, and the Mediterranean is particularly affected. However, future disturbance hotspots emerged across biomes, from Finland to Germany and Spain, in our simulations. Disturbance change is thus a challenge at the European scale. (5/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Insight 1: In the coming decades, disturbances will continue to increase regardless of emissions pathway. If we effectively reduce emissions, we reach peak disturbance by mid century with declines thereafter. If emissions continue unabated, however, disturbances will continue to soar. (4/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Methodology 2: Key advances of our new approach are that amplifying interactions between individual disturbance agents are explicitly accounted for, and that climate - disturbance – vegetation feedbacks are explicitly simulated. (3/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

Methodology 1: We developed a novel simulation approach, assimilating 135 Mill data points from 17 local forest models into an AI-based meta-model, combined with disturbance models based on remote sensing. This enabled hi res (100m) simulations of large scale (187 Mill ha) forest dynamics. (2/10)

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

The future of Europe’s forest disturbance regimes– a thread. Tl, dr: Disturbances from wildfire, bark beetles & wind will continue to increase in the coming decades. Under unabated climate change disturbances could more than double by 2100. New paper out in @science.org doi.org/10.1126/scie...

100

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

000

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

How does post-disturbance forest recovery differ under different management and land tenure? Interesting insights from analyzing photogrammetric canopy height models in Central Europe with a novel method to modeling recovery, by @kirstenkrueger.bsky.social et al. doi.org/10.1016/j.fo...

0101

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 17/02/2026

Really nice that a male red deer from Berchtesgaden National Park made it onto the cover of @wildlifebiology.bsky.social. Great photo by Rudolf Reiner, and great work on how red deer navigate a landscape of contrasting hunting regimes and habitats by Juliana Eggers et al. doi.org/10.1002/wlb3...

080

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

As climate and disturbance regimes change, forest reorganization is key to maintain the forest carbon sink. Great new work led by @christinadollinger.bsky.social w/ @monicagturner.bsky.social, @akkym.bsky.social and many others. dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025...

0135

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

However, the currently present regeneration is not well adapted to expected future climate, with 75% of the currently established trees projected to be outside of their climatic niche by the end of the century. Led by @mariapotterf.bsky.social w/ contributions of 29 great colleagues! #teamwork 2/2

030

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

Central Europe has seen unprecedented forest disturbances recently, but how are forests recovering? We surveyed disturbance hotspots in 10 countries 3-5 years after disturbance, finding ample tree regeneration and no signs of forest loss (median 4750 stems/ha), but... 1/2 doi.org/10.1111/gcb....

12914

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

Spring drought could be more detrimental for tree regeneration than summer drought, particularly as climate warms and tree phenology shifts. Results from an experiment in walk-in climate chambers, investigting four contrasting tree species. Led by @munozmazon.bsky.social doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...

0206

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

Gentle reminder to fill in the survey on forest disturbance change (below). We have *a lot* of great responses already (thank you!) covering all continents and biomes, but the survey will be open for a few more days! Thanks for making the time, your disturbance expertise is highly appreciated!

01010

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 08/01/2026

Patterns and drivers of post-disturbance forest recovery differ considerably across the Alps: Warmer temperatures relax thermal limitations and facilitate recovery in the C and E Alps, but inhibit recovery in the SW Alps. Led by @lisa-mandl.bsky.social et al. doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...

073

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

In C Europe, there is a push to align forest management more closely with natural processes, but is this "closer-to-nature" management able to sustain biodiversity and ecosystem services? Great synthesis led by @anastritih.bsky.social with input from many leading experts! doi.org/10.1007/s407...

14714

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/12/2025

Calling on all forest disturbance experts: Please consider contributing to our study on global forest disturbance change, and help resolve the nuances of changing forest disturbance regimes. More details and survey here: www.lss.ls.tum.de/edfm/disturb...

04552

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

What is the effect of increasing disturbances in C European forests on insect diversity, and how does salvage logging modulate it? We found an overall positive response for both cleared and uncleared sites, with a stronger signal for taxonomic vs phylogenetic diversity doi.org/10.1016/j.bi...

0177

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

Disturbed areas are preferential habitat for red deer throughout the day, because they combine forage with safety. Great insights from combining remotely sensed disturbance data with GPS collar data in Berchtesgaden National Park, led by J. Eggers and R. Reiner, doi.org/10.1016/j.fo...

0113

Reposted by Rupert Seidl

The International Tree Mortality Network @treemortality.bsky.social · 25/11/2025

We’re opening the doors for community meetings. Your chance to influence our next steps & get more involved in the network. Join one of our upcoming sessions: 🗓 Dec 4 — 06:00 UTC t1p.de/m3gty 🗓 Dec 4 — 18:00 UTC t1p.de/xaxsu 🗓 Dec 5 — 13:00 UTC t1p.de/c4icd Help guide where ITMN goes next! 🚀

167

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

I wholeheartedly agree, and feel incredibly blessed and grateful to being able to do research in such a magnificent landscape!

120

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

Global, multi-scale standing deadwood segmentation in centimeter-scale aerial images. Important work by J. Möhring, @cmosig.bsky.social, T. Kattenborn et al. in detecting dead trees across biomes from high resolution aerial images. doi.org/10.1016/j.op...

0213

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 31/10/2025

#2: Landscape context modulates the effect of local canopy cover on forest multidiversity across elevations by T. Richter doi.org/10.1111/1365... Thanks to @sebseibold.bsky.social and many others for their contributions, looking forward to continue our efforts to better understand biodiv change!

0111

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 31/10/2025

Great to see the results of our massive biodiversity assessment at Berchtesgaden Natl. Park pour in! Cool insights on patterns & drivers of multidiversity! #1 Macro- and microclimate interactively shape species diversity of multiple taxa in mountain landscapes by L. Geres. doi.org/10.1002/ecog...

14011

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Biotic disturbances are synchronized across large spatial scales. Also, they are consistently greater under warmer and drier conditions across feeding guilds and host types, suggesting that climate change could substantially amplify biotic forest disturbances.

040

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Mortality from fire & wind is increasing in Europe's forests, but what about biotic disturbances? A new, massive dataset compiled by @thlasny.bsky.social and many local experts shows a mixed picture: While wood borers increase strongly, defoliator activity generally decreases doi.org/10.1111/gcb....

13314

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

Great to be visiting the Basque Centre for Climate Change in beautiful Bilbao this week! Thanks @philmartin.bsky.social for having me, and for showing me around! I particularly enjoyed visiting really exciting experiments, e.g. on European beech recovery at the temperate-mediterranean ecotone!

071

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 22/10/2025

How do changes in disturbance and regeneration interact to affect widely different temperate forest ecosystems? New insights from a simulation experiment on forest change, led by @christinadollinger.bsky.social, out now in Global Ecology and Biogeography doi.org/10.1111/geb.... #ERCresearch

0122

Rupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 20/10/2025

How forest disturbances can lead to tipping points in the wood value chain. Great work coming out of the RESONATE project, led by T. Boiger and T. Stern from @uni-graz.at doi.org/10.1007/s110...

0103