Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group @edfm-tum.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Yesterday, our lab headed to Landeck-Zams for our annual retreat. Today, we had the chance to explore the beautiful, gentle mountains of Radurschl, near Pfunds in Tirol. We were deeply impressed by the elegant Swiss stone pines growing in all their glory, defining the Alpine timberline. 061
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 29/07/2026New synthesis paper led by @cecileremy.bsky.social et al., out in @ecography.bsky.social, highlighting how the combination of paleoecological data and approaches with forest landscape modeling can improve our understanding of past and future forest disturbance regimes. doi.org/10.1002/ecog... 0103
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 29/06/2026Out now in @natecoevo.nature.com: Increasing forest disturbance enhances habitat suitability for Europe’s large herbivores. Great work led by Julian Oeser and @tkuemmerle.bsky.social! doi.org/10.1038/s415... 0165
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 28/05/2026Will climate change increase global forest deadwood carbon stocks (because of increasing tree productivity and mortality) or decrease it (because of increased deadwood decomposition)? Find out in the new paper by Edelmann et al., out now in @commsearth.nature.com doi.org/10.1038/s432... 02412
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 12/05/2026Climate change is shifting the competitive balance between tree species. The result: Up to 25% of Europe’s forests could experience a change in the dominant tree species in the 21st century. New insights from a deep learning-based meta-model trained on 135 million data points doi.org/10.1038/s432... 1133
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 07/04/2026We are hiring! Interested in doing a PhD and excited about forest management, ecosystem services, simulation modeling and beta diversity? Come work with us @edfm-tum.bsky.social at @tum.de, full job ad here: cloud.edfm.ls.tum.de/index.php/s/... 06340
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 16/03/2026Together with @juditlecinadiaz.bsky.social & @monicagturner.bsky.social, we synthesized studies on post-disturbance forest reorganization. Key insight: Self-replacement is common across biomes, i.e., disturbances act as catalysts of change only under specific conditions doi.org/10.1111/geb.... 01712
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 12/03/2026@wernerrammer.bsky.social et al. have developed a cool new tool to visualize forest simulation output. EcoViz offers both photorealistic and symbolic visualizations of future forest trajectories. Looking forward to using this in science communication! @ecography.bsky.social doi.org/10.1002/ecog... 0194
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 05/03/2026The future of Europe’s forest disturbance regimes– a thread. Tl, dr: Disturbances from wildfire, bark beetles & wind will continue to increase in the coming decades. Under unabated climate change disturbances could more than double by 2100. New paper out in @science.org doi.org/10.1126/scie... 07947
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupChristina Dollinger @christinadollinger.bsky.social · 12/02/2026Forests are reorganizing in their composition and structure in response to climate change - will they be able to maintain their carbon? Turns out: yes - they even sequestered more carbon than resilient forests! New paper out in Global Biogeochemical Cycles 🔄💎 @agu.org dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025... 1133
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/02/2026Central Europe has seen unprecedented forest disturbances recently, but how are forests recovering? We surveyed disturbance hotspots in 10 countries 3-5 years after disturbance, finding ample tree regeneration and no signs of forest loss (median 4750 stems/ha), but... 1/2 doi.org/10.1111/gcb.... 12914
Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group @edfm-tum.bsky.social · 30/01/2026Yesterday, our PhDs visited the Šumava National Park, the Czech neighbor to our Bayerischer Wald NP 🇨🇿🇩🇪 Together they cover an impressive area of >900 km² fittingly dubbed "borderless wilderness" - a great reminder of the privilege of getting to do "borderless science" in a "borderless team"! 🏞️ 071
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 21/01/2026Spring drought could be more detrimental for tree regeneration than summer drought, particularly as climate warms and tree phenology shifts. Results from an experiment in walk-in climate chambers, investigting four contrasting tree species. Led by @munozmazon.bsky.social doi.org/10.1016/j.ag... 0206
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 13/01/2026Gentle reminder to fill in the survey on forest disturbance change (below). We have *a lot* of great responses already (thank you!) covering all continents and biomes, but the survey will be open for a few more days! Thanks for making the time, your disturbance expertise is highly appreciated! 01010
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 08/01/2026Patterns and drivers of post-disturbance forest recovery differ considerably across the Alps: Warmer temperatures relax thermal limitations and facilitate recovery in the C and E Alps, but inhibit recovery in the SW Alps. Led by @lisa-mandl.bsky.social et al. doi.org/10.1016/j.ag... 073
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 07/01/2026In C Europe, there is a push to align forest management more closely with natural processes, but is this "closer-to-nature" management able to sustain biodiversity and ecosystem services? Great synthesis led by @anastritih.bsky.social with input from many leading experts! doi.org/10.1007/s407... 14714
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/12/2025Calling on all forest disturbance experts: Please consider contributing to our study on global forest disturbance change, and help resolve the nuances of changing forest disturbance regimes. More details and survey here: www.lss.ls.tum.de/edfm/disturb... 04552
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 04/12/2025What is the effect of increasing disturbances in C European forests on insect diversity, and how does salvage logging modulate it? We found an overall positive response for both cleared and uncleared sites, with a stronger signal for taxonomic vs phylogenetic diversity doi.org/10.1016/j.bi... 0177
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 01/12/2025Disturbed areas are preferential habitat for red deer throughout the day, because they combine forage with safety. Great insights from combining remotely sensed disturbance data with GPS collar data in Berchtesgaden National Park, led by J. Eggers and R. Reiner, doi.org/10.1016/j.fo... 0113
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 03/11/2025Global, multi-scale standing deadwood segmentation in centimeter-scale aerial images. Important work by J. Möhring, @cmosig.bsky.social, T. Kattenborn et al. in detecting dead trees across biomes from high resolution aerial images. doi.org/10.1016/j.op... 0213
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 31/10/2025#2: Landscape context modulates the effect of local canopy cover on forest multidiversity across elevations by T. Richter doi.org/10.1111/1365... Thanks to @sebseibold.bsky.social and many others for their contributions, looking forward to continue our efforts to better understand biodiv change! 0111
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 31/10/2025Great to see the results of our massive biodiversity assessment at Berchtesgaden Natl. Park pour in! Cool insights on patterns & drivers of multidiversity! #1 Macro- and microclimate interactively shape species diversity of multiple taxa in mountain landscapes by L. Geres. doi.org/10.1002/ecog... 14011
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupMonica G. Turner @monicagturner.bsky.social · 28/10/2025Great new paper led by @knowlton.bsky.social with @ttkeller.bsky.social and @rupertseidl.bsky.social (and me!) Still so much to learn from #Yellowstone about #fire, #forests & #climatechange. #NSFfunded #JFSPfunded 0247
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 30/10/2025Mortality from fire & wind is increasing in Europe's forests, but what about biotic disturbances? A new, massive dataset compiled by @thlasny.bsky.social and many local experts shows a mixed picture: While wood borers increase strongly, defoliator activity generally decreases doi.org/10.1111/gcb.... 13314
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupChristina Dollinger @christinadollinger.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Yippie, my paper is now out in Global Ecology and Biogeography! Basically, we tried to destroy (simulated!) forest landscapes And despite increasing disturbances 100-fold and decreasing regeneration by 99% - we didn't manage to! (in most cases anyways) Find out more at doi.org/10.1111/geb.... 2224
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 20/10/2025How forest disturbances can lead to tipping points in the wood value chain. Great work coming out of the RESONATE project, led by T. Boiger and T. Stern from @uni-graz.at doi.org/10.1007/s110... 0103
Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group @edfm-tum.bsky.social · 17/10/2025We're once again hosting the "Smart Forest" conference in Freising from March 12th-13th 2026! 🌳🎯💻 If you're excited about digitalization of forestry and bringing together theory and practice, apply now at smartforest.ai/en/home-engl... @wernerrammer.bsky.social @johannesmohr.bsky.socialsmartforest.aiHome - English - SmartForestSmartForest creates a space to find solutions that will make forestry more digital, innovative, sustainable, and climate adjusted. 044
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupTimon Keller @ttkeller.bsky.social · 16/10/2025New paper in Ecological Applications! Management that mimics historical mosaics of fire severity could promote postfire tree regeneration under future climate change. Thanks to co-authors @monicagturner.bsky.social @rupertseidl.bsky.social @christinadollinger.bsky.social @knowlton.bsky.socialdx.doi.orgCan fire exclusion zones enhance postfire tree regeneration? A simulation study in subalpine conifer forestsClimate change and novel fire regimes increasingly challenge stewardship of forests adapted to infrequent, stand-replacing fire. Novel fire regimes may disrupt mechanisms that sustained postfire rege... 2135
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupKirsten Krüger @kirstenkrueger.bsky.social · 02/10/2025Had an amazing time at FoWiTa in Freiburg 🌲🌳 ✅ new connections ✅ reconnecting to (science) friends ✅ hosted my first session ✅presenting my two core PhD chapters ✅ insightful excursion ✅ new fodder for thoughts Great @edfm-tum.bsky.social representation with @johannesmohr.bsky.social 🚀 092
Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group @edfm-tum.bsky.social · 01/10/2025Our research in the National Park Berchtesgaden - both in the field and in silico - was reported on by NANO. The segment is in German and starts at minute 7:37 www.zdf.de/play/magazin... @rupertseidl.bsky.social @wernerrammer.bsky.social @christinadollinger.bsky.socialzdf.deOvertourism und Klimakrise: Alpen unter DruckNANO vom 25.09.: Skipisten oberhalb der Waldgrenzen können Lawinen auslösen. Die Bergidylle gerät aus dem Gleichgewicht. Können die Alpen dem Klimawandel trotzen? 094
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupJohannes S. Mohr @johannesmohr.bsky.social · 30/09/2025How expensive are natural disturbances for Europes forestry? I'm super excited, that @natclimate.nature.com decided to publish a Research Briefing by @rupertseidl.bsky.social and me related to our recent paper on the cost of disturbances. Check it out here: www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comClimate change raises costs for European forestry - Nature Climate ChangeNatural disturbances, such as windthrows, pest outbreaks and wildfires, pose a major economic threat for the forestry sector. By coupling spatially explicit ecological and economic forest models, this study assesses the costs of natural disturbances under current and future climate conditions for all of Europe. 0103
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupJudit Lecina-Diaz @juditlecinadiaz.bsky.social · 25/09/2025What makes German forests vulnerable to wind & bark beetles? 🌲💨🪳 👉 Elevation, Norway spruce %, precip. & slope. Will it get worse? 👉 Models predict a slight decrease by 2070 (RCP4.5 & 8.5). Great MSc by Rémie Matta, a wonderful co-supervision with @anastritih.bsky.social 📄 doi.org/10.1016/j.ec... 1183
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupJohannes S. Mohr @johannesmohr.bsky.social · 18/09/2025How expensive are 🪲💨🔥?! I can‘t believe it, but my 2nd PhD paper is finally published @natclimate.nature.com! Disturbances lower the economic value of Europes 🌲 by 29%... Climate change will increase it to up to 42%! (Now imagine a company looses 42% of its value…) doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02408-9 1205
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 08/09/2025Climate change increasingly alters the interactions between forest disturbances. Here we present a framework for quantifying dist. interactions and compile evidence for their impacts. Led by @dudney-joan.bsky.social with @brian-j-harvey.bsky.social & @julieedtree.bsky.social doi.org/10.1146/annu... 03220
Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group @edfm-tum.bsky.social · 08/09/2025A bunch of us went to the 2025 GfÖ conference (@gfoesoc.bsky.social) last week - always great to be able to share our research and connect with old and new collaborators! 081
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 27/08/2025Just a few days left to apply! 066
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 25/08/2025Protected areas safeguard old-growth forests against human land use, but not against the impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Here we show that a climate-mediated increase in disturbances could cause a decline in old-growth forests in a national park in C Europe. doi.org/10.1088/1748... 2299
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 21/08/2025Can we map species richness across taxonomic groups from space? Promising results for fungi, plants, insects and birds in a mountain forest landscape, obtained by @corneliussenf.bsky.social et al. by combining different sensors (EnMAP, Sentinel-1/2). doi.org/10.1016/j.ja... 0336
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 19/08/2025Hunting strongly affects the habitat selection of red deer, particularly during daylight hours. This suggests that hunting can efficiently control habitat use, and underscores the value of protected areas w/o hunting to conserve the behavior of ungulates. Led by J. Eggers doi.org/10.1002/wlb3... 093
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 18/08/2025Several small reserves hold more beetle, spider and bird species than a single large reserve of the same size in Central Europe, with habitat heterogeneity being an important driver. First PhD paper by Anne Huber (not on Bsky), w/ @sebseibold.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1016/j.bi... 04317
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 24/07/2025Come work with us! We are looking to fill a PhD (mountain forest management) and PostDoc position (forest adaptive capacity, w/ @juditlecinadiaz.bsky.social). We'd be happy to have you as part of our dynamic team! PhD: www.lss.ls.tum.de/fileadmin/w0... PostDoc: www.lss.ls.tum.de/fileadmin/w0... 03535
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 09/07/2025Small protected areas are often more easy to install than large ones, but they have a high proportion of their area close to the boundary. Are there boundary effects for important indicators of biodiversity? Find out more here: doi.org/10.1016/j.bi.... First PhD paper of Aikio Erhardt (not on Bsky). 0272
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 06/07/2025As the mean rate of forest disturbance is increasing, so does its temporal variance. Proof that Taylor's law also applies to disturbance ecology, and a warning of more severe future extremes. Paper led by @corneliussenf.bsky.social w/ @tommaso-jucker.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comTaylor’s law predicts unprecedented pulses of forest disturbance under global change - Nature CommunicationsLarge pulses of disturbance have been observed globally in response to climate change. Using Taylor’s Law, the authors show that those pulses were not unpredictable but expected given a strong scaling... 05820
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 23/06/2025Canopy disturbances affect insect diversity via increased light availability and deadwood, but the effects of these two drivers on taxonomic and phylogenetic diversity differ. New insights from a replicated experiment, led by @juliarothacher.bsky.social @betafor.bsky.social doi.org/10.1111/1365... 0269
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupSafeNet Project @safenet-eu.bsky.social · 17/06/2025#WernerRammer visited @luke.fi last month to help advance the #iLand model for #SafeNet🌲 Inspired by a seaside sauna & concert, Werner implemented updates on the deadwood submodel: key biodiversity indicator. Joint publication in making 👀 @edfm-tum.bsky.social #ForestResearch #Biodiversity 172
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 23/05/2025As climate change modulates the processes in ecosystems, we need to confront process-based models with these new realities, and adapt them if necessary. We've done this in a new study focusing on bark beetle outbreaks, led by Agnish Das and @thlasny.bsky.social: link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comThe increasing role of drought as an inciting factor of bark beetle outbreaks can cause large-scale transformation of Central European forests - Landscape EcologyContext Historically, large-scale outbreaks of the European spruce bark beetle were initiated mainly by windthrows. However, after 2018, a severe drought triggered the hitherto largest bark beetle out... 1134
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupJudit Lecina-Diaz @juditlecinadiaz.bsky.social · 26/04/2025Two inspiring days of discussions to better understand forests' adaptive capacity to disturbances! 🌳🔥🪲💨 Grateful for the inspiring group, the motivation, and the ideas we exchanged! Thanks to @dfg.de for funding and to @edfm-tum.bsky.social for being part of the journey. Excited for what's ahead! 🚀 0126
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupAlpine Environment - Eurac Research @euracalpenv.bsky.social · 27/03/2025📢New study on forest-grassland ecotone expansion in the Eastern #Alps! 🌲 Using the iLand model💻, we explore how land-use abandonment & #climatechange impact #forests, disturbances & species shifts. 🔗 @marco-mina.bsky.social @edfm-tum.bsky.social @wernerrammer.bsky.social @unibz.bsky.sociallink.springer.comFuture expansion of upper forest-grassland ecotone under land-use and climate change in the Eastern Alps - Landscape EcologyContext Across Alpine landscapes, a combination of land-use abandonment and climate change is driving forest expansion and promoting the upward migration of trees on grasslands. Yet, it remains unclea... 021
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupKirsten Krüger @kirstenkrueger.bsky.social · 26/03/2025Setting forests aside doesn’t stir up more trouble—in fact, it calms the chaos 🌳 Happy to see my first PhD chapter out! 📝 Setting aside forests for biodiversity conservation does NOT amplify disturbances in temperate forests of Central Europe. besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.comSetting aside areas for conservation does not increase disturbances in temperate forestsWe found no evidence that setting aside forests for biodiversity conservation amplifies disturbances in temperate forests of Central Europe. Conversely, we found that strict forest reserves had lower... 210432
Reposted by Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management GroupRupert Seidl @rupertseidl.bsky.social · 14/03/2025Hotter drought synchronizes bark beetle outbreaks across large spatial scales. New insights from a massive pheromone trap network in C Europe (more than 60 Mill. beetles caught!), led by Maria Potterf. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... 03114