Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 15/02/2026Google does say NZ is a central bank bellwether tho.... 020
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 15/02/2026This story, picked up in another joint, is crazy x.com/JonathonPSin... 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 07/01/2026GoT was a much better ending than people give it credit for. That seems to have been more an issue of sky high expectations and nothing could live up to that. Sopranos takes the lead. The Wire was fine too. 030
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 13/04/2025* Lutnick Says Tariff Pause on Phones, Computers Is Temporary @bloomberg.com $AAPL $DELL 129460133
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 13/04/2025Gotta watch the Argentine market tomorrow. FX (ARS/USD) to be let to roam free in the 1,000 to 1,400 range. Test of tests. 000
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaPaul Donovan @pdonovan-econ.bsky.social · 11/04/2025Not entirely usual 30-year US bond yields rose the most since 1982. Equities fell. The dollar fell. Gold hit a record high. This is not, perhaps, entirely usual. www.ubs.com/global/en/we... #EconSkyubs.comNot entirely usualUS President Trump’s administration clarified the 125% tax on imports from China was 145%. This increase will not shift demand patterns (it will cost US consumers more money). For investors, this rais... 12411
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaGenevaGirl @michellev.bsky.social · 10/04/2025From a client presentation hosted by JPM analyst Michael Cemblast and quoted by BBG “ People are being held accountable for their views and the things they say in ways that they probably shouldn’t be. So I’ve said most of what I wanted to say on this call-but not all of it.” 0262
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaPaul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social · 10/04/2025A quick note on Trump's new tariff plan. It's 10 percent across the board, 125 percent (!) on China. What's the effective tariff rate? Well, China was 13 percent of imports in 2024, so you might say .13*125+.87*10 = 24.95. But imports from China will fall, so how do we adjust it? 1/ 20833169
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJoseph Cotterill @jsphctrl.ft.com · 10/04/2025Two ironies from yesterday for a country like Vietnam, which has a 90-day reprieve from a 46% rate, down to 10%. It has been under US pressure over diversion of Chinese goods via Vietnam. But (mutatis mutandis) 125% on China, 10% on Vietnam might raise the incentive even more. 173
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 09/04/20255. Recession risks are still with us. According to prediction markets the chances of a 2025 recession fell from 68% this morning to 53% this afternoon. That's a big risk. 341472210
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 09/04/20254. During this pause, the United States will still have the highest tariffs in the industrialized world, perhaps 10-20 times that of most of our trading partners, and roughly ten times higher than it was before. These are still at or above the Depression era Smoot-Hawley tariffs 121870464
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 09/04/20253. The rationale for this policy keeps changing. Remember when it was all about bringing manufacturing home? (That was yesterday.) Now it's negotiating deals. Those are fundamentally in tension. (I'm only going to build a factory in the US if tariffs are likely to persist.) 221454205
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 09/04/2025Biggest mistakes I'm seeing in early reporting (thread): 1. Tariffmageddon isn't over: Lotsa tariffs to account for, but the average tariff rate is only down around one quarter. So most of the pain of Liberation Day is still with us. 16078741870
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaVince D. Monroy @vincedmonroy.bsky.social · 09/04/2025Reporter: “How much of this decision was driven by the bond market cratering overnight?” Bessent: “This was driven by the president’s strategy.” 14278
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJon Ostrower @jonostrower.com · 09/04/2025One week at America's largest exporter. 1012411
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJoe Weisenthal @weisenthal.bsky.social · 07/04/202511th worst three-day performance of all time. 20399127
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 07/04/2025This entire thread makes for a fascinating read on the market going green at the open 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 03/04/2025“The narrative is moving from US exceptionalism to US alienation,” said Kok Hoong Wong, head of institutional equities sales trading at Maybank Securities in Singapore. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comUS Emerges as Biggest Loser in Markets From Trump’s TariffsDonald Trump’s shake-up of the global trading system is hurting US assets more than those in many of the big economies he has just slapped with additional tariffs. 021
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaRobin Wigglesworth @robinwigglesworth.ft.com · 31/03/2025Congratulations to @mpaulmcnamara.bsky.social, the Methuselah of markets. Frankly it was borderline cruelty to keep him working so long beyond the natural lifespan of most humans. I’m glad he’ll now have time to enjoy his beloved Tottenham Hotspurs more often. www.gam.com/en/news-arti...gam.comGAM and Gramercy enter into Strategic Partnership for Emerging Market Debt StrategiesWe are one of the world’s leading independent, pure-play asset managers. 3172
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaBrokenBanker @brokenbanker.bsky.social · 03/03/2025European defense sector, by % return today. Column 4 is a 9 day RSI showing how overbought most names are. Column 6 is % return ytd, we've come a long way in larger caps. the key takeaway here is that UK Small/Mid Caps are where the catch up trade is: ( #SRP.L,#CHG.L,#MSI.L,#AVON.L,#CHRT.L,#QQ.L) 0182
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 30/01/2025That's brutal for, say, flights. If you have a ticket for "25 past midnight" how do you know which day? You can't memorise it, you need to look up the date. 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 30/01/2025Leave markets, look at macro, France bsky.app/profile/zsch... 110
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaBrokenBanker @brokenbanker.bsky.social · 30/01/2025European reporting: ABB: new buyback, strong order book ROCHE: in-line, mid single digit growth outlook SANOFI: in-line, launches €5bn buyback NOKIA: beat on sales & operating profit ST MICRO: in-line sales, margin misses, demand sluggish for industrial & automotive semis BBVA: beat & €1bn buyback 292
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 02/12/2024Con esto de hoy: “The National Rally will activate the censure vote unless of course there is a last minute miracle,” Bardella told RTL radio. “If Barnier changes his text between now and 3 p.m., but I’ve got little hope he’ll see the light given we’ve been ignored and scorned for several months.” 010
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 28/11/2024Fascinating thread. Then go to the Wikipedia page. Then down the rabbit hole. The stuff we don't know, or understand, and learn about the things we use. 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 25/11/2024So: while a pleasant peasant eats a pheasant, what shall Bessant do? 100
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 25/11/2024Real Madrid. Floorentino Pérez says it's worth 10b euros and he wants to hand over ownership over to club members (aka season ticket holding fans). Wonder what that switch from being a season ticket holder to being a shareholder will look like for people's income tax come year's end. 000
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaPaul J Davies @pauljdavies.bsky.social · 18/11/2024Late to the starter pack game, but here's a handy list of all the writers and wranglers of Bloomberg Opinion who are up on BlueSky @opinion.bsky.social go.bsky.app/87cfrJ3 63415
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaGeorge Pearkes @peark.es · 18/11/2024*DOJ WILL PUSH FOR GOOGLE SELLING CHROME TO BREAK MONOPOLY 12446
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaElena Cabrera @elenacabrera.bsky.social · 17/11/2024Igual os interesa un starter pack de periodistas de elDiario.es que ya están por aquí. go.bsky.app/9mKpczs 1012450
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 18/11/2024Santander wants to play big in US investment banking. Some numbers : 1) No. of material risk takers earnings >€1m more than 2x in three years 2) 110 leveraged loan deals in the US in 2024 vs 21 in 2023 3) IB staff in the US was 900 in 2023, 1,300 this year. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comBotin’s Costly Credit Suisse Hiring Spree Is Reshaping SantanderBanco Santander's biggest push yet to expand on Wall Street is starting to lift revenue and transform the retail lender 020
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 14/11/2024funny thing, can't see returns for worldwide index, only for Europe or for US. 100
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 14/11/2024Milei "is gushing at having bagged an invitation to speak at a donor event for the Conservative Political Action Committee, known as CPAC, in Palm Springs this week. He’ll also get face time with Trump, making him the first leader of a Group of 20 nation to do" www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.com‘Call Anytime You Want’: Trump Roils G-20 With Disdain for RulesWorld leaders who didn’t experience Donald Trump’s first administration are quickly learning how he likes to operate: If he wants to talk to you, there’s a good chance he wants you directly on the pho... 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 14/11/2024The Milei-Trump relationship may be one to watch. Milei has built a bro-ship of sorts with Elon, and he is now also naming a successful tech entrepreneur as ambassador to DC. And this: 100
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaJohn Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 13/11/2024I don’t think most people (present company excluded) fully appreciate how much X had changed journalistic output, and in turn wider public discourse. And I don’t so much only mean the last two years as the whole decade-plus it has existed. 620545
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaDuncan Robinson @duncanrobinson.bsky.social · 14/11/2024If you asked 20 years ago who winners of digital shift would be, I think most people would have opted for tabloids. Instead you have FT, WSJ, NYT with highest ever circulations and tabloids basically dying 6579
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 11/11/2024Thanks. I have nothing against anglo-centric, not in principle at least. Except on the football pitch maybe, that's is. 000
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 11/11/2024@mpaulmcnamara.bsky.social @peark.es Hello. Opened this ages ago when it was mostly tumbleweeds, keep hearing more people say "over there" so now wonder if you lads have any good recommendations on accounts to follow..... 200
Reposted by Rodrigo OrihuelaKate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 11/11/2024Just saw a "views are not my employer's" in a bio here and now it feels like this site has really arrived. 0314
Rodrigo Orihuela @rorihuela.bsky.social · 11/11/2024The political story around the Spanish stuffs just keeps growing. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...bloomberg.comSpain Boosts Financial Flood Aid Packages to €14.4 BillionSpanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez announced a new economic relief package for victims of the storms that killed more than 220 people in the country’s worst natural disaster in more than six decades... 030
