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Roberta Maggi

@robertamaggi.bsky.social
65 followers 84 following 13 posts

Development practitioner focusing 🔎 on security sector reform & governance, mostly #Libya #MENA | Associate Fellow, CARPO | @warstudieskcl.bsky.social & @gvagrad.bsky.social alumna | Own 💭 & usual caveats apply

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Reposted by Roberta Maggi
Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
Today, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had ordered the Israeli military to "further expand" the "existing security strip" in Lebanon. That's dressed up language for a violation of Lebanese sovereignty and what can become illegal annexation of Lebanese land.
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Hanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
NEW: UN Security Council resolution on new framework to deal with impasse around Morocco’s claims to Western Sahara does not ensure that the right to self-determination for the territory’s peoples is upheld and is consistent with international law @hrw.org www.hrw.org/news/2026/03...
hrw.org
UN: Western Sahara Peoples’ Self-Determination at Risk
A United Nations Security Council resolution on the dispute around Morocco’s claims to Western Sahara does not ensure that a new framework to end the long-standing impasse on the issue upholds the rig...
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Pleased to have worked on this timely research for @chathamhouse.org. This is a critical moment for #Haiti - one that comes with several challenges as well as immense opportunity. Our three-year process roadmap outlines possible pathways to peace and meaningful reform, led by and for Haitians. Read⬇️
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Chatham House Middle East and North Africa @chmenap.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
🚨 NEW @chathamhouse.org paper: Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵 www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...
chathamhouse.org
Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya
Why an enhanced ‘economic track’ must be integrated into political negotiations
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
Interested in international security and development programming? @robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on 🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES eugovlab.com/courses/secu...
eugovlab.com
Security in Fragmented States: Understanding and Responding to Hybrid Security Challenges – European Governance Lab
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 22/06/2025
Grateful to @eddiemonkman.bsky.social for including my thoughts in his latest article on escalation and territorial control in #Sudan and at its border with #Libya. I focus on providing geopolitical nuance & historical contextualisation of current events & their impact on both countries' stability.
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
أود أن أعبر عن خالص امتناني و جزيل الشكر والتقدير لصحيفة الوسط على مشاركتها لمقالي الذي كتبته مع الدكتور كريم مزران لصالح مركز @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...
alwasat.ly
من يملك إرادة التغيير في ليبيا؟ المجلس الأطلسي يطرح مسارين للوصول إلى الانتخابات
المجلس الأطلسي يقترح نهجا موقتا لدعم العملية السياسية التي ترعاها الأمم المتحدة في ليبيا.
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
#Russia is upgrading its military footprint in #Libya - “The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...
al-monitor.com
Mi-26s and T-62s: What Russia's military backing of Haftar means for Libya
A sweeping display of arms and alliances in Benghazi reflects Khalifa Haftar’s effort to project statehood, Moscow’s deeper investment in Libya, and a shifting power balance that could reshape peace p...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate. newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
newlinesmag.com
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQe
atlanticcouncil.org
Beyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in Libya
With all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability.
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
The assassination of Abdul Ghani al-Kikli and clashes in Tripoli that followed shattered illusions of stability in #Libya. Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
atlanticcouncil.org
Beyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in Libya
With all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake. International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
mecouncil.org
In Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of Militias
A recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset.
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 20/05/2025
HASSAN: What is habeas corpus? NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country HASSAN: That's incorrect
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Dr. Matt Herbert @drherbert.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Reports that the #US is seeking to send migrants to #Libya have raised big concerns on the risks of #HR violations and abuse. In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability. globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...
globalinitiative.net
How potential US migrant expulsions to Libya could feed into the country's criminal economy and instability
On 7 May 2025, reports emerged that the US was preparing to deport irregular migrants to Libya. While no deportations had occurred as of mid-May, and the US government has neither confirmed nor denied...
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Tarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
Today's perfect example of this: Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process. This will not end well
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics. It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires. emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
emadbadi.com
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
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NBC News @nbcnews.com · 16/05/2025
BREAKING: The Trump administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to Libya, five people with knowledge of the effort told NBC News.
nbcnews.to
Trump administration working on plan to move 1 million Palestinians to Libya
Details are murky and no final agreement has been reached, but the plan is under serious enough consideration that the administration has discussed it with Libyan leadership.
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
Big demonstrations in Tripoli tonight for the government to fall, several ministers have resigned, protesters now reaching the prime minister's office...unfortunately there's no way around the other site to follow these events...
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Tarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 16/05/2025
There is a power struggle ongoing right now in Libya amongst a despised, illegitimate, disconnected elite trying to play off mass frustration and desperation for change The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare. The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
As reshuffling decrees are announced by the GNU/PM, it's important to remember that reform is more than mere de jure changes in chains of command. A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya
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Tarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Things in Libya are heating up as Ghneiwa, probably the most successful milita leader of Tripoli's cartel, was assassinated at a meeting advertised as calming recent tensions. Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home Big night ahead
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
As POTUS heads to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar next week for the first major foreign trip of his second term, lifting Syria sanctions should be at the top of his agenda -- doing so is the only way to position the Syrian people to be able to hold their govt accountable to deliver a Syria for all.
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Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Informative on the Gaza foundation scheme, in equal parts illegal and incompetent. • UAE nixed funding plea • Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that • USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts @jacobmagid.bsky.social www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...
timesofisrael.com
UAE rejects Israeli request to fund Gaza aid plan, says it fails to address crisis
Emirati official says country could change stance if initiative amended to meet dire needs, but initial refusal marks major blow to plan not yet fully off the ground
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
This obviously requires verification, but here's a possible explanation for why greedy actors in Tripoli might be tempted to agree to taking the Trump admin's deportees even at the risk of being swept from power by the backlash this could cause. www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...
middleeasteye.net
Libya and Trump administration discussed sharing billions of dollars in frozen funds, sources say
Envoy Massad Boulos purportedly held talks with Tripoli-based government about sharing billions of dollars in frozen Libyan state assets
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
The Trump administration is reportedly planning to deport Laotian, Vietnamese, and Philippino individuals to Libya. Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses.
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Tarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 05/05/2025
My long read for @ecfr.eu and probably the publication im most proud of in all my years doing this. A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it ecfr.eu/publication/...
ecfr.eu
The bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile states
Russia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back…
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
This feels like the latest in a string of Trump decisions meant to destabilise the #Mediterranean. Undeniably repugnant from a human rights standpoint, this decision may also shift the balance of power in #Libya (since we're back to this lens of analysis only, it seems) depending on concessions made
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Sally Hayden @sallyhayd.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Please read 'My Fourth Time, We Drowned', which documents the horrific abuses taking place in Libya & how the EU is already implicated in crimes against humanity for sending refugees/migrants there: www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/696846... @melvillehouse.bsky.social
penguinrandomhouse.com
My Fourth Time, We Drowned by Sally Hayden: 9781685890575 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books
"A magnificent, engagé investigative report… [an] act of witness...It is clear from [Hayden’s book] that the current politics of immigration have turned & twisted human nature...
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The Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy @timep.bsky.social · 15/04/2025
NEW: The war in Sudan isn't only a power struggle between military factions, but also an attempt at silencing those who dare envision a future for Sudan rooted in democracy and justice, argues former Nonresident Fellow Hamid Khalafallah in this new analysis. timep.org/2025/04/15/s...
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.
atlanticcouncil.org
Solving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensus
If the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt.
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Astra Taylor @astra.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
This piece is a bit bleak, but it's a banger. If we are to meet our critical moment in history, we need to reckon with the reality that we are not up against adversaries we have seen before. We are up against end times fascism. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-i...
theguardian.com
The rise of end times fascism | Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor
The governing ideology of the far right has become a monstrous, supremacist survivalism. Our task is to build a movement strong enough to stop them
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
The Trump administration is seeking to deport Mahmoud Khalil, not because he committed a crime, but on the basis of his "ideas." That is wrong, in and of itself. But it's important to remember that they are also lying about his ideas. Don't let them redefine who Mahmoud is.
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Nathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Meta has complied with 94% of Israel’s requests to take down posts, including from accounts outside the country. New Meta AI content moderators are being trained on these decisions. In other words: Insta and FB have actively been running cover for genocide. www.dropsitenews.com/p/leaked-dat...
A sweeping crackdown on posts on Instagram and Facebook that are critical of Israel—or even vaguely supportive of Palestinians—was directly orchestrated by the government of Israel, according to internal Meta data obtained by Drop Site News. The data show that Meta has complied with 94% of takedown requests issued by Israel since October 7, 2023. Israel is the biggest originator of takedown requests globally by far, and Meta has followed suit—widening the net of posts it automatically removes, and creating what can be called the largest mass censorship operation in modern history.

Government requests for takedowns generally focus on posts made by citizens inside that government’s borders, Meta insiders said. What makes Israel’s campaign unique is its success in censoring speech in many countries outside of Israel. What’s more, Israel's censorship project will echo well into the future, insiders said, as the AI program Meta is currently training how to moderate content will base future decisions on the successful takedown of content critical of Israel’s genocide.
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 05/04/2025
At today's March on Washington for Gaza, little kids' shoes and sandals ran down Pennsylvania Ave to represent the 17,400 Palestinian children that "the US has paid for Israel to murder." 📸s from the demonstration (1)
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
In one world, Libya's Central Bank begs for help - calling out graft, diverted oil revenues, and wild spending that's sinking Libya; all while passing policy that makes ordinary people foot the bill. In another world, Libya is “stable” and “open for business.” Only one of these worlds is real.
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Asma Khalifa @asmakhalifa.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
In my latest paper for @arabreforminit.bsky.social I discuss moral policing, social control and other strategies in the face of governance failure by the government of GNU in Libya. www.arab-reform.net/publication/...
arab-reform.net
Libya’s Morality Police: Political Theater in the Face of Crises
Summary The Libyan government established a “morality police” force in July 2024, likely as a distraction from economic and political crises. This move is part of a broader pattern of u…
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ECFR @ecfr.eu · 28/03/2025
Russia has entrenched itself in Libya over the past decade, transforming the country into a hub for its African operations. Russia’s approach to embedding itself in fragile states written by @tmegrisi.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.social
buff.ly
The bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile states
Russia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back…
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Tarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
2011's R2P intervention in Libya represented a peak of the international order. Today Italy violates the Rome statute to protect a torturer while AFRICOM mollycoddles a cocaine baron This is the story of Libya's reverse phoenix experience w/ @dawnmenaorg.bsky.social dawnmena.org/libya-is-the...
dawnmena.org
Libya Is the Forgotten Wasteland of the International Order
Each year, the state that Libyans dreamed of gets farther away, and the Pandora’s box that Libya has become gets harder to keep shut.
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Dr Christine Cheng @christinecheng.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
I have worked on civil wars and state capture for 25 years. So let me be REALLY clear about this for Americans: Your courts are only as useful as the willingness of politicians to comply with those judgments. And the willingness of police to enforce. And Musk, Trump & Co do NOT care about the law
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Prof Christina Pagel @chrischirp.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
🧵Censor, purge, defund - how Trump is following the authoritarian playbook on science & universities. This isn't chaos - it's deliberate & well-established methods. I've mapped 40 actions into 3 categories covering attacks on science, attacks on universities and international collaboration. 1/16
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Gregg Carlstrom @glcarlstrom.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
The way to avoid a repeat of this weekend's atrocities in Syria is to have a state capable of securing the country and demobilizing its myriad militias. But the state can't do that if it is starved for resources (and if Turkey continues to sponsor the SNA) www.ft.com/content/fbb2...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Libya and Iraq share some striking parallels, yet they have rarely been considered alongside each other. We are embarking on a comparative analysis of state formation under conditions of fragmented central authority. This collection is the first step in this process. library.fes.de/pdf-files/bu...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
The proliferation of relatively cheap military-grade combat drones has allowed many African states to acquire a capability for precise air strikes they previously lacked. Is this changing the balance of power between states & insurgents in African conflicts? www.megatrends-afrika.de/publikation/...
megatrends-afrika.de
The Myth of the Gamechanger: Drones and Military Power in Africa
Advanced combat drones are increasingly used in conflicts in Africa. This analysis of the conflicts in Mali, Chad and Sudan shows, their...
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Jerome Drevon @jeromed.bsky.social · 01/03/2025
Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.org
crisisgroup.org
Rethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis Group
Key members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec...
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Important new study on #Russia ‘s search for new strongholds in the #Mediterranean following Assad’s fall in #Syria By @robertamaggi.bsky.social Federica Saini Fasanotti and Francesco Salesio Schiavi 👇
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
Russia is searching for new strongholds in the #Mediterranean following Assad's fall in #Syria, Francesco Salesio Schiavi, Federica Saini Fasanotti & I write in our latest CARPO Policy Brief. We look at efforts to preserve the presence it has while expanding operations, including in #Libya.
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Jerome Drevon @jeromed.bsky.social · 13/09/2024
My book on the Syrian conflict, From Jihad to Politics, is out online and in paperback. You can download the pdf: academic.oup.com/book/57951/b... I answer two key questions: Why have Jihadis took over the Syrian armed opposition? Why have Syrian Jihadis became more pragmatic over the years?
academic.oup.com
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Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Some professional news - I’m honored to have been offered an Associate Fellow position at CARPO. My research will focus on SSR and DDR, change mgmt in security institutions, and security arrangements in contested territories in #NorthAfrica and the #Sahel. Stay tuned ✨ carpo-bonn.org/en/about-us/...
carpo-bonn.org
Roberta Maggi
Roberta Maggi is a development practitioner experienced in operationalizing international …
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