Reposted by Roberta MaggiMai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Today, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said he had ordered the Israeli military to "further expand" the "existing security strip" in Lebanon. That's dressed up language for a violation of Lebanese sovereignty and what can become illegal annexation of Lebanese land. 32323133
Reposted by Roberta MaggiHanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · 25/03/2026NEW: UN Security Council resolution on new framework to deal with impasse around Morocco’s claims to Western Sahara does not ensure that the right to self-determination for the territory’s peoples is upheld and is consistent with international law @hrw.org www.hrw.org/news/2026/03...hrw.orgUN: Western Sahara Peoples’ Self-Determination at RiskA United Nations Security Council resolution on the dispute around Morocco’s claims to Western Sahara does not ensure that a new framework to end the long-standing impasse on the issue upholds the rig... 21911
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 22/01/2026Pleased to have worked on this timely research for @chathamhouse.org. This is a critical moment for #Haiti - one that comes with several challenges as well as immense opportunity. Our three-year process roadmap outlines possible pathways to peace and meaningful reform, led by and for Haitians. Read⬇️ 000
Reposted by Roberta MaggiChatham House Middle East and North Africa @chmenap.bsky.social · 17/12/2025🚨 NEW @chathamhouse.org paper: Escaping the cycle of conflict in Libya Tim Eaton argues that efforts to restore stability in Libya have too often focused on power- and wealth-sharing among rival factions. 🧵 www.chathamhouse.org/2025/12/esca...chathamhouse.orgEscaping the cycle of conflict in LibyaWhy an enhanced ‘economic track’ must be integrated into political negotiations 123
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAndrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 30/07/2025Interested in international security and development programming? @robertamaggi.bsky.social and I we have prepared an online course for the European Governance Lab on 🌍 SECURITY IN FRAGMENTED STATES: UNDERSTANDING AND RESPONDING TO HYBRID SECURITY CHALLENGES eugovlab.com/courses/secu...eugovlab.comSecurity in Fragmented States: Understanding and Responding to Hybrid Security Challenges – European Governance Lab 122
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 22/06/2025Grateful to @eddiemonkman.bsky.social for including my thoughts in his latest article on escalation and territorial control in #Sudan and at its border with #Libya. I focus on providing geopolitical nuance & historical contextualisation of current events & their impact on both countries' stability. 022
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 10/06/2025أود أن أعبر عن خالص امتناني و جزيل الشكر والتقدير لصحيفة الوسط على مشاركتها لمقالي الذي كتبته مع الدكتور كريم مزران لصالح مركز @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social ولمن فاته الاطلاع على النسخة العربية، يمكنكم قراءتها عبر هذا الرابط 👈🏽 alwasat.ly/news/libya/4...alwasat.lyمن يملك إرادة التغيير في ليبيا؟ المجلس الأطلسي يطرح مسارين للوصول إلى الانتخاباتالمجلس الأطلسي يقترح نهجا موقتا لدعم العملية السياسية التي ترعاها الأمم المتحدة في ليبيا. 021
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAndrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 04/06/2025#Russia is upgrading its military footprint in #Libya - “The entity shift from Wagner to Africa Corps arguably makes this an opportunistic power grab, more so than projection” according to @robertamaggi.bsky.social interviewed by F. S. Schiavi www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...al-monitor.comMi-26s and T-62s: What Russia's military backing of Haftar means for LibyaA sweeping display of arms and alliances in Benghazi reflects Khalifa Haftar’s effort to project statehood, Moscow’s deeper investment in Libya, and a shifting power balance that could reshape peace p... 022
Reposted by Roberta MaggiWolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 28/05/2025New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate. newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...newlinesmag.comA Power Grab Backfires in TripoliPrime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong 0147
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 28/05/2025Delighted to share the page with the phenomenal Karim Mezran for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social on current events in #Libya. We 🔎 on what clashes in Tripoli mean for peace prospects & the safety of 🇱🇾 citizens, & what the intl diplomatic community can do to prevent further violence. 👉 shorturl.at/wMRQeatlanticcouncil.orgBeyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in LibyaWith all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability. 034
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAndrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 27/05/2025The assassination of Abdul Ghani al-Kikli and clashes in Tripoli that followed shattered illusions of stability in #Libya. Karim Mezran & @robertamaggi.bsky.social outline what peace enforcement might look like in Libya’s current politico-security landscape. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...atlanticcouncil.orgBeyond ceasefires: Reimagining stability and engagement in LibyaWith all major political institutions mired in crisis, a renewed approach to peace enforcement is pivotal to building stability. 111
Reposted by Roberta MaggiEmadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 21/05/2025My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake. International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.mecouncil.orgIn Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of MilitiasA recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset. 085
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 20/05/2025HASSAN: What is habeas corpus? NOEM: Habeas corpus is a constitutional right that the president has to be able to remove people from this country HASSAN: That's incorrect 48544401312792
Reposted by Roberta MaggiDr. Matt Herbert @drherbert.bsky.social · 20/05/2025Reports that the #US is seeking to send migrants to #Libya have raised big concerns on the risks of #HR violations and abuse. In my new #GITOC brief, I detail those, & how #deportations could fuel Libya’s criminal economies and worsen political instability. globalinitiative.net/analysis/how...globalinitiative.netHow potential US migrant expulsions to Libya could feed into the country's criminal economy and instabilityOn 7 May 2025, reports emerged that the US was preparing to deport irregular migrants to Libya. While no deportations had occurred as of mid-May, and the US government has neither confirmed nor denied... 172
Reposted by Roberta MaggiTarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 19/05/2025Today's perfect example of this: Libya's parliament unironically meets to decide a new government claiming they're: Supporting protestors, and holding PM Dbeiba accountable for not handling militias with due process. This will not end well 134
Reposted by Roberta MaggiEmadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics. It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires. emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...emadbadi.comThe Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin BadiOver the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD... 063
Reposted by Roberta MaggiNBC News @nbcnews.com · 16/05/2025BREAKING: The Trump administration is working on a plan to permanently relocate up to 1 million Palestinians from the Gaza Strip to Libya, five people with knowledge of the effort told NBC News.nbcnews.toTrump administration working on plan to move 1 million Palestinians to LibyaDetails are murky and no final agreement has been reached, but the plan is under serious enough consideration that the administration has discussed it with Libyan leadership. 4271002641
Reposted by Roberta MaggiWolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 16/05/2025Big demonstrations in Tripoli tonight for the government to fall, several ministers have resigned, protesters now reaching the prime minister's office...unfortunately there's no way around the other site to follow these events... 614832
Reposted by Roberta MaggiTarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 16/05/2025There is a power struggle ongoing right now in Libya amongst a despised, illegitimate, disconnected elite trying to play off mass frustration and desperation for change The longer it goes without the UN taking control of the mediation space, the worse it'll get 033
Reposted by Roberta MaggiEmadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare. The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians. 146
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 13/05/2025As reshuffling decrees are announced by the GNU/PM, it's important to remember that reform is more than mere de jure changes in chains of command. A couple trends to watch in the coming days: dynamics around personnel (re)assignment within MoI and MoD, & the politics of power in institutions #Libya 033
Reposted by Roberta MaggiTarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 12/05/2025Things in Libya are heating up as Ghneiwa, probably the most successful milita leader of Tripoli's cartel, was assassinated at a meeting advertised as calming recent tensions. Now Dbeiba aligned forces will try and claim his territory as the MoI warns residents to stay home Big night ahead 144
Reposted by Roberta MaggiMai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 09/05/2025As POTUS heads to Saudi, the UAE, and Qatar next week for the first major foreign trip of his second term, lifting Syria sanctions should be at the top of his agenda -- doing so is the only way to position the Syrian people to be able to hold their govt accountable to deliver a Syria for all. 032
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 09/05/2025Informative on the Gaza foundation scheme, in equal parts illegal and incompetent. • UAE nixed funding plea • Plan would only feed 60% of Gaza, but Israel thinks emigration can solve that • USA pressures UN to join, threatens fund cuts @jacobmagid.bsky.social www.timesofisrael.com/uae-rejects-...timesofisrael.comUAE rejects Israeli request to fund Gaza aid plan, says it fails to address crisisEmirati official says country could change stance if initiative amended to meet dire needs, but initial refusal marks major blow to plan not yet fully off the ground 057
Reposted by Roberta MaggiWolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 08/05/2025This obviously requires verification, but here's a possible explanation for why greedy actors in Tripoli might be tempted to agree to taking the Trump admin's deportees even at the risk of being swept from power by the backlash this could cause. www.middleeasteye.net/news/libya-a...middleeasteye.netLibya and Trump administration discussed sharing billions of dollars in frozen funds, sources sayEnvoy Massad Boulos purportedly held talks with Tripoli-based government about sharing billions of dollars in frozen Libyan state assets 021
Reposted by Roberta MaggiMai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 07/05/2025The Trump administration is reportedly planning to deport Laotian, Vietnamese, and Philippino individuals to Libya. Not only are these individuals being denied due process, but they have zero ties to Libya and Libyan migration detention is infamous for extensive abuses. 01710
Reposted by Roberta MaggiTarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 05/05/2025My long read for @ecfr.eu and probably the publication im most proud of in all my years doing this. A deep dive into how Russia retrenched in Libya, uses it to project power from Ukraine to the Sahel, and the many lessons Europe or other frontline states can learn from it ecfr.eu/publication/...ecfr.euThe bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile statesRussia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back… 32719
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 07/05/2025This feels like the latest in a string of Trump decisions meant to destabilise the #Mediterranean. Undeniably repugnant from a human rights standpoint, this decision may also shift the balance of power in #Libya (since we're back to this lens of analysis only, it seems) depending on concessions made 111
Reposted by Roberta MaggiSally Hayden @sallyhayd.bsky.social · 07/05/2025Please read 'My Fourth Time, We Drowned', which documents the horrific abuses taking place in Libya & how the EU is already implicated in crimes against humanity for sending refugees/migrants there: www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/696846... @melvillehouse.bsky.socialpenguinrandomhouse.comMy Fourth Time, We Drowned by Sally Hayden: 9781685890575 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books"A magnificent, engagé investigative report… [an] act of witness...It is clear from [Hayden’s book] that the current politics of immigration have turned & twisted human nature... 01415
Reposted by Roberta MaggiThe Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy @timep.bsky.social · 15/04/2025NEW: The war in Sudan isn't only a power struggle between military factions, but also an attempt at silencing those who dare envision a future for Sudan rooted in democracy and justice, argues former Nonresident Fellow Hamid Khalafallah in this new analysis. timep.org/2025/04/15/s... 031
Reposted by Roberta MaggiEmadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 16/04/2025My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.atlanticcouncil.orgSolving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensusIf the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt. 0106
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAstra Taylor @astra.bsky.social · 14/04/2025This piece is a bit bleak, but it's a banger. If we are to meet our critical moment in history, we need to reckon with the reality that we are not up against adversaries we have seen before. We are up against end times fascism. 🧵 www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-i...theguardian.comThe rise of end times fascism | Naomi Klein and Astra TaylorThe governing ideology of the far right has become a monstrous, supremacist survivalism. Our task is to build a movement strong enough to stop them 17345132
Reposted by Roberta MaggiMai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 12/04/2025The Trump administration is seeking to deport Mahmoud Khalil, not because he committed a crime, but on the basis of his "ideas." That is wrong, in and of itself. But it's important to remember that they are also lying about his ideas. Don't let them redefine who Mahmoud is. 0105
Reposted by Roberta MaggiNathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 12/04/2025Meta has complied with 94% of Israel’s requests to take down posts, including from accounts outside the country. New Meta AI content moderators are being trained on these decisions. In other words: Insta and FB have actively been running cover for genocide. www.dropsitenews.com/p/leaked-dat... 14503293
Reposted by Roberta MaggiMai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 05/04/2025At today's March on Washington for Gaza, little kids' shoes and sandals ran down Pennsylvania Ave to represent the 17,400 Palestinian children that "the US has paid for Israel to murder." 📸s from the demonstration (1) 11996442
Reposted by Roberta MaggiEmadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 06/04/2025In one world, Libya's Central Bank begs for help - calling out graft, diverted oil revenues, and wild spending that's sinking Libya; all while passing policy that makes ordinary people foot the bill. In another world, Libya is “stable” and “open for business.” Only one of these worlds is real. 083
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAsma Khalifa @asmakhalifa.bsky.social · 31/03/2025In my latest paper for @arabreforminit.bsky.social I discuss moral policing, social control and other strategies in the face of governance failure by the government of GNU in Libya. www.arab-reform.net/publication/...arab-reform.netLibya’s Morality Police: Political Theater in the Face of CrisesSummary The Libyan government established a “morality police” force in July 2024, likely as a distraction from economic and political crises. This move is part of a broader pattern of u… 0107
Reposted by Roberta MaggiECFR @ecfr.eu · 28/03/2025Russia has entrenched itself in Libya over the past decade, transforming the country into a hub for its African operations. Russia’s approach to embedding itself in fragile states written by @tmegrisi.bsky.social @ecfrafrica.bsky.social @ecfrmena.bsky.socialbuff.lyThe bear who came to tea: Russia, Libya and the Kremlin’s playbook for fragile statesRussia’s re-entrenchment in Libya, Europe’s soft underbelly, offers profound lessons on how it exploits geopolitical instability—and how Europeans can push back… 0714
Reposted by Roberta MaggiTarek Megrisi @tmegrisi.bsky.social · 08/03/20252011's R2P intervention in Libya represented a peak of the international order. Today Italy violates the Rome statute to protect a torturer while AFRICOM mollycoddles a cocaine baron This is the story of Libya's reverse phoenix experience w/ @dawnmenaorg.bsky.social dawnmena.org/libya-is-the...dawnmena.orgLibya Is the Forgotten Wasteland of the International OrderEach year, the state that Libyans dreamed of gets farther away, and the Pandora’s box that Libya has become gets harder to keep shut. 0116
Reposted by Roberta MaggiDr Christine Cheng @christinecheng.bsky.social · 09/02/2025I have worked on civil wars and state capture for 25 years. So let me be REALLY clear about this for Americans: Your courts are only as useful as the willingness of politicians to comply with those judgments. And the willingness of police to enforce. And Musk, Trump & Co do NOT care about the law 351662482
Reposted by Roberta MaggiProf Christina Pagel @chrischirp.bsky.social · 12/03/2025🧵Censor, purge, defund - how Trump is following the authoritarian playbook on science & universities. This isn't chaos - it's deliberate & well-established methods. I've mapped 40 actions into 3 categories covering attacks on science, attacks on universities and international collaboration. 1/16 29934508
Reposted by Roberta MaggiGregg Carlstrom @glcarlstrom.bsky.social · 10/03/2025The way to avoid a repeat of this weekend's atrocities in Syria is to have a state capable of securing the country and demobilizing its myriad militias. But the state can't do that if it is starved for resources (and if Turkey continues to sponsor the SNA) www.ft.com/content/fbb2... 02711
Reposted by Roberta MaggiWolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 10/03/2025Libya and Iraq share some striking parallels, yet they have rarely been considered alongside each other. We are embarking on a comparative analysis of state formation under conditions of fragmented central authority. This collection is the first step in this process. library.fes.de/pdf-files/bu... 2125
Reposted by Roberta MaggiWolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 06/03/2025The proliferation of relatively cheap military-grade combat drones has allowed many African states to acquire a capability for precise air strikes they previously lacked. Is this changing the balance of power between states & insurgents in African conflicts? www.megatrends-afrika.de/publikation/...megatrends-afrika.deThe Myth of the Gamechanger: Drones and Military Power in AfricaAdvanced combat drones are increasingly used in conflicts in Africa. This analysis of the conflicts in Mali, Chad and Sudan shows, their... 11410
Reposted by Roberta MaggiJerome Drevon @jeromed.bsky.social · 01/03/2025Can and should HTS be delisted by the UNSC? The continued listing of HTS poses real challenges to Syria's reconstruction, but there are ways to delist the group within a political process focused on security. see www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-... @crisisgroup.orgcrisisgroup.orgRethinking UN Sanctions on Syria’s Interim Leaders | Crisis GroupKey members of Syria’s interim government remain under UN sanctions, prolonging the country’s humanitarian crisis and hampering reconstruction. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts explain why the UN Sec... 0117
Reposted by Roberta MaggiAndrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 18/02/2025Important new study on #Russia ‘s search for new strongholds in the #Mediterranean following Assad’s fall in #Syria By @robertamaggi.bsky.social Federica Saini Fasanotti and Francesco Salesio Schiavi 👇 021
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 18/02/2025Russia is searching for new strongholds in the #Mediterranean following Assad's fall in #Syria, Francesco Salesio Schiavi, Federica Saini Fasanotti & I write in our latest CARPO Policy Brief. We look at efforts to preserve the presence it has while expanding operations, including in #Libya. 131
Reposted by Roberta MaggiJerome Drevon @jeromed.bsky.social · 13/09/2024My book on the Syrian conflict, From Jihad to Politics, is out online and in paperback. You can download the pdf: academic.oup.com/book/57951/b... I answer two key questions: Why have Jihadis took over the Syrian armed opposition? Why have Syrian Jihadis became more pragmatic over the years?academic.oup.com 21313
Roberta Maggi @robertamaggi.bsky.social · 04/02/2025Some professional news - I’m honored to have been offered an Associate Fellow position at CARPO. My research will focus on SSR and DDR, change mgmt in security institutions, and security arrangements in contested territories in #NorthAfrica and the #Sahel. Stay tuned ✨ carpo-bonn.org/en/about-us/...carpo-bonn.orgRoberta MaggiRoberta Maggi is a development practitioner experienced in operationalizing international … 040