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Emadeddin Badi

@emadbadi.bsky.social
441 followers 84 following 24 posts

Eyes on #Libya, MENA geopolitics & security.

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Reposted by Emadeddin Badi
Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Depuis le Sud-libyen, les Haftar se rêvent en patrons du Sahara - by @celianmace.bsky.social, with comments from @emadbadi.bsky.social, @andrewlebovich.bsky.social and me.
liberation.fr
Depuis le Sud-libyen, les Haftar se rêvent en patrons du Sahara
Contrôle sécuritaire, libérations d’otages, soutien aux groupes armés... Saddam Haftar, le fils cadet du maréchal libyen, étend son influence sur le désert, jusque dans les pays frontaliers.
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Yvan Guichaoua @yguichaoua.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Read this. This is from a serious Dakar-based journo who prefers to stay anonymous atm and this includes great reflections from @emadbadi.bsky.social
i-sahel.net
Saddam Haftar, l’intermédiaire qui monte au Sahel
En quelques jours, Saddam Haftar apparaît dans deux opérations de libération liées au Sahel. Entre Washington, Moscou et Benghazi, le général libyen renforce son rôle d’intermédiaire régional.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
My latest for ISPI explores how LAAF-RSF cooperation is transforming logistics & border corridors' governance into geopolitical currency in the competition between Saudi Arabia & the UAE - playing out across the Horn, Sudan, Libya & Chad.
ispionline.it
Corridor Governance: How LAAF-RSF Cooperation Sharpens Gulf Competition in Libya and Sudan | ISPI
Cross-border supply corridors linking Libya and Sudan have become the backbone of the RSF’s war endurance.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Rare for me to publish reflection pieces like this - but this one may resonate with those who’ve followed the arc of Seif al-Islam Gaddafi’s journey, and are grappling with the tangle of his legacy in Libya’s politics - & the tragedy of his killing. emadbadi.com/seif-al-isla...
emadbadi.com
Seif al-Islam Gaddafi - Between Martyrdom and Myth - Emadeddin Badi
Seif al-Islam Gaddafi’s killing has already been packaged as a national turning point: the removal of a “third option” for Libya, and to some, the end of a supposed last bridge out of Libya’s stagnati...
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
A thread unpacking recent #RSF weapons-supply dynamics in Sudan, & how a set of external shocks is now reshaping how the #UAE moves materiel to Hemedti's forces - from the Turko-Egyptian rapprochement and the Red Sea fallout to the evolving Saudi-Emirati rivalry. threadreaderapp.com/thread/20108...
threadreaderapp.com
Thread by @emad_badi on Thread Reader App
@emad_badi: A brief tactical-geopolitical update on the evolving regional dynamics affecting RSF supply lines since this paper came out. Whereas RSF supply lines were primarily shaped by endogenous de...
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Michele Gonnelli @michelegonnelli.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
#Libya #Chad #Sudan @emadbadi.bsky.social 'In weakly governed borderlands, the market for #mercenary labour and the market for #weapons interact to entrench a regionalized economy of insecurity.. networks in which weapons, fighters, fuel and [ICT] move together' globalinitiative.net/analysis/imp...
globalinitiative.net
Collateral circuits: The impact of the Sudan's war on arms markets and mercenary networks in Chad and Libya
The war in Sudan has transformed far more than its own frontlines. It has reshaped the security economies of its neighbours, activating new supply nodes and embedding weapons and combatants into cross...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
Highly recommend this excellent new report by @emadbadi.bsky.social on the UAE's supply lines to the RSF via Libya and Chad to ayone interested in the regional conflict complex in which the war in Sudan is enmeshed, and in the networks serving UAE interests. globalinitiative.net/analysis/imp...
globalinitiative.net
Collateral circuits: The impact of the Sudan's war on arms markets and mercenary networks in Chad and Libya
The war in Sudan has transformed far more than its own frontlines. It has reshaped the security economies of its neighbours, activating new supply nodes and embedding weapons and combatants into cross...
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
How did the UAE supply the RSF & sustain its war effort in Sudan for 2+ years? What dictated the reliance on Amdjarass, Kufra or other nodes? More broadly, how did Sudan's war affect arms trafficking & mercenary networks in Chad & Libya? My in-depth report: globalinitiative.net/analysis/imp...
globalinitiative.net
Collateral circuits: The impact of the Sudan's war on arms markets and mercenary networks in Chad and Libya
The war in Sudan has transformed far more than its own frontlines. It has reshaped the security economies of its neighbours, activating new supply nodes and embedding weapons and combatants into cross...
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Yezid Sayigh @yezidsayigh.bsky.social · 15/07/2025
Huge kudos to @data.ft.com for putting together this forensic mapping of the utter vileness of the Israel-US "Gaza Humanitarian Foundation" Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ www.ft.com/content/6c74... via @data.ft.com
ft.com
Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’
A US-backed scheme forces hungry Palestinians to trek kilometres for food aid. Many never make it back
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
My latest, with a view from the ground in #Tripoli: Ankara’s quiet intervention to rein in the GNU reveals a deeper shift - from assertive influence to cautious containment - as #Turkey recalibrates its role in an increasingly unstable capital.
emadbadi.com
Still in the Game: Ankara’s Quiet Pivot in Libya - A View from Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Tripoli, the evening of June 4, 2025. Around sundown, I stood on the corniche of Treeg al-Shat near the Waddan Hotel, watching as a convoy of armored pickups moved hastily toward the Radisson Blu “al-...
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New Lines Magazine @newlinesmag.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
A failed power grab has eroded trust and deepened rivalries, leaving Tripoli in a state of suspended conflict primed for renewed violence, write @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social‬ for @newlinesmag.bsky.social
newlinesmag.com
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
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Umberto Profazio @profazio.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
'With trust eroded and rivalries deepened, #Tripoli is in a state of suspended conflict, primed for renewed violence.' @emadbadi.bsky.social @wlacher.bsky.social @newlinesmag.bsky.social #Libya newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
newlinesmag.com
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
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Allison West @allisonrwest.bsky.social · 29/05/2025
Excellent, must-read analysis of unfolding events in Libya by @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social 👇
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Hanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Excellent review and analysis of the recent fighting and shifting power dynamics in #Tripoli #Libya @wlacher.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate. newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...
newlinesmag.com
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
After a gambit by #Libya's Dabeiba to consolidate control in #Tripoli backfired, the capital has entered a state of suspended conflict - a tenuous standoff unlikely to hold. In our latest @newlinesmag.bsky.social , @wlacher.bsky.social & I trace the breakdown, aftermath, & potential paths forward.
newlinesmag.com
A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli
Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong
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Aron Lund @aronlund.bsky.social · 26/05/2025
Haaretz’s Yaniv Kubovich reports that Israel plans to seize 75% of Gaza and relocate more than 1,3 million Palestinians in the upcoming offensive, ultimately forcing the entire population into three military zones with food supplies strictly controlled by GHF/Israel. www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
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René Wildangel @realwildangel.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
Literally every experienced humanitarian or medical professional coming out of Gaza says: „this is the worst I have seen, anywhere, anytime“
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake. International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.
mecouncil.org
In Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of Militias
A recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset.
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Hanan Salah @hanansalah.bsky.social · 15/05/2025
Granular analysis of events unfolding in Tripoli, Libya. recommend reading ⬇️
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Precious analysis of events in Tripoli over the past 24 hours, by @emadbadi.bsky.social emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
emadbadi.com
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics. It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires. emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...
emadbadi.com
The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi
Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/05/2025
Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare. The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
For an excellent analysis of Ghnewa's rise, see this @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social paper written under a pseudonym by @emadbadi.bsky.social - Emad outed himself as the author last night. www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/pol...
smallarmssurvey.org
A Political Economy of Tripoli’s Abu Salim: The Rise of the Stability Support Apparatus as Hegemon
Once a hotbed of pro-Qaddafi resistance, Abu Salim is now a stronghold dominated by Abdelghani al-Kikli (widely known as ‘Ghaniwa’) and his Stability Support Apparatus (SSA). Ghaniwa has consolidated ...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
And you know who is in no position to comment on these plans? The EU and its member states, who have been seeking to trap migrants in Libya for the past eight years.
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Heartbroken at the passing of Pope Francis, a man who may not have been perfect but who consistently used his immense platform and his influence not only to say what was right in the face of political power, but also to model the behavior that brought those words to life. (1)
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natasha iilov @natasha-iilov.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
Excellent recap of the recent crisis in the Libyan economy short, concise, and well done. Please give it a read
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 16/04/2025
My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.
atlanticcouncil.org
Solving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensus
If the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 06/04/2025
In one world, Libya's Central Bank begs for help - calling out graft, diverted oil revenues, and wild spending that's sinking Libya; all while passing policy that makes ordinary people foot the bill. In another world, Libya is “stable” and “open for business.” Only one of these worlds is real.
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Leila Molana-Allen @leilama.bsky.social · 24/03/2025
Al Jazeera Correspondent Hossam Shabat was killed by Israeli forces today in a targeted strike on is car. He was 23 years old. His final social media post reported fellow journalist Mohammed Mansour’s killing an hour earlier. ≈200 of our colleagues have now been killed in Gaza.
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
The parallels between Libya and Iraq thoroughly explored in this groundbreaking comparative study. Stellar cast of authors incl. @wlacher.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social @timeaton.bsky.social @renadmansour.bsky.social Inna Rudolf Salam Said Tamer Badawi
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
#Libya’s post-2011 trajectory has been defined by the entrenchment of armed groups within state structures, raising a critical puzzle: how have militias wielded state power while remaining autonomous from it? In my contribution to this volume, I take the first steps in unraveling this paradox
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
"My parents came here from Syria. They believed living in the US would bring a sense of safety and stability. But here I am, 40 years after my parents immigrated and just weeks before I'm due to give birth to our first child and I feel more unsafe and unstable than I have in my entire life."
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Reuters @reuters.com · 11/03/2025
A US judge ordered that Palestinian Columbia student Mahmoud Khalil not be deported for now as part of US President Donald Trump's crackdown on some anti-Israel protesters, and set a court hearing for the case for Wednesday reut.rs/3FhAseZ
reut.rs
Judge temporarily blocks deportation of arrested Palestinian Columbia student
Trump publicly denounced Mahmoud Khalil and said more arrests would follow.
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Andrea Cellino @andreaterenzio.bsky.social · 02/03/2025
La dipendenza del generale #Haftar dagli aiuti della Russia La fine del regime di Assad in Siria ha spinto i militari russi a trasferirsi nella Libia orientale, scrive @irpimedia.eu commenti di @tmegrisi.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social irpimedia.irpi.eu/libia-dipend...
irpimedia.irpi.eu
La dipendenza del generale Haftar dagli aiuti della Russia
La fine del regime di Assad in Siria ha spinto i militari russi a trasferirsi nella Libia orientale. Il generale Haftar guadagna sì in appoggio militare, ma è sempre più dipendente dal Cremlino
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 27/02/2025
"Contacted by AFP, the Elysee declined to confirm or deny the meeting" Remarkable how a warlord instrumental in Russia’s power plays across the Sahel - undermining France at every turn - still gets the red-carpet treatment in Paris. Jupiterian foreign policy at its finest...
barrons.com
Libya's Haftar Meets French President Macron In Paris
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
In the post-Assad era, #Turkey's maneuvers in #Libya and #Syria reflect a calculated strategy to reshape Mediterranean dynamics & cement influence. My latest with @syrianzo.bsky.social @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social unpacks how Ankara weaves these theaters into its broader regional ambitions.
atlanticcouncil.org
Turkey’s Syria and Libya strategies add up to a Mediterranean power play
By aligning its strategies in Libya and Syria, Turkey seeks to consolidate influence and amplify its leverage across both theaters.
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Abdo Jabassini @syrianzo.bsky.social · 13/01/2025
#Turkey’s manoeuvres in #Syria and #Libya are key chapters in its bold strategy to strengthen its position and secure long-term leverage in the #Mediterranean —but the path is full of challenges. My latest with @emadbadi.bsky.social for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social bit.ly/4jaAqVR
bit.ly
Turkey’s Syria and Libya strategies add up to a Mediterranean power play
By aligning its strategies in Libya and Syria, Turkey seeks to consolidate influence and amplify its leverage across both theaters.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
As #Russia shifts its gaze from Assad to Haftar, the Mediterranean once again becomes a theater of fragile power plays and unlearned lessons. My latest @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social examines the echoes of #Syria’s collapse in #Libya’s uncertain future: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
atlanticcouncil.org
Russia is making a fragile pivot from Syria to Libya. The West should beware falling into a new trap.
Moscow’s rising influence over the Haftar family’s operations underscores its role as a key arbiter of its survival as a political dynasty. By controlling critical military assets and logistical netwo...
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Wolfram Lacher @wlacher.bsky.social · 03/01/2025
US Libya policy is largely limited to courting Haftar to compete with his Russian backers. But the US will never be able to give Haftar what he gets from Russia. As @emadbadi.bsky.social argues, it is futile to play catch-up in a game already lost. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
atlanticcouncil.org
Russia is making a fragile pivot from Syria to Libya. The West should beware falling into a new trap.
Moscow’s rising influence over the Haftar family’s operations underscores its role as a key arbiter of its survival as a political dynasty. By controlling critical military assets and logistical netwo...
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Centre on Armed Groups @armedgroups.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
What happens when foreign actors fuel a war but don’t bear its cost? Centre Expert @emadbadi.bsky.social analyzes the devastating toll of external interference in Sudan and the urgent need for global action 👇
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Beneath #Sudan’s suffering lies a tangled script of power and plunder—foreign actors write the war, but Sudanese people pay the price. My latest for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social tackles the geopolitics fueling this devastation & suggests ways out: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...
atlanticcouncil.org
Sudan is caught in a web of external interference. So why is an international response still lacking?
Sudan needs a unified international strategy, combining economic, political, and diplomatic pressure.
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 16/12/2024
Khaled Nabhan has been killed by Israeli strikes on Nusairat. Khaled, who referred to his granddaughter as the "soul of [my] soul" and who captured the attention of the world with his softness at a time when that softness was being denied to Palestinian men, has been killed.
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Aric Toler @aric.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Since he's not on this site, I'll post this here. Younis Tirawi found that the IDF has turned north Gaza's only water desalination plant into a military base. It's located just north of Gaza City, and satellite imagery confirms the presence of military vehicles. www.dropsitenews.com/p/gaza-water...
dropsitenews.com
Israeli Troops Have Turned North Gaza’s Only Desalination Station Into a Military Base
Israeli troops hung a sign announcing northern Gaza’s only desalination station is now an "operational compound"
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Bassam Khawaja @khawaja.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Israel has wounded more than 100,000 Palestinians in Gaza, many of whom now live with horrific, life-altering injuries. This is almost certainly a significant undercount. www.nytimes.com/card/2024/11...
nytimes.com
Out of Gaza
We photographed badly wounded Gazans who made it out for treatment. Many can think of little but the dead they left behind. “We wanted to go with them, too,” one child told us.
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Emadeddin Badi @emadbadi.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
Like many in the past few days, I'm going to try and migrate here given the other platform is simply becoming a cesspool managed by an openly racist Trump crony... Thanks for following!
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