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Reposted by Regine Schwab

PRIF @prif.org · 26/02/2026

📢 New #PRIFblog: Syria's political transition is driven by gradual institution-building rather than revolutionary zeal. As @reginesonja.bsky.social, Ammar Hassan and Samer Massoud argue, this approach’s success will be decisive for the country's stability. ➡️ blog.prif.org/2026/02/26/m...

blog.prif.org

More Gradualism than Shock? Observations on how Syria’s New Islamist Rulers Are Building a State - PRIF BLOG

When Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and its allies swept into Damascus in December 2024, many observers feared a replication of the Taliban’s takeover of Afghanistan. After all, HTS was a group with roots...

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 26/02/2026

📣 Explore the TraCe publication highlights: In @coco-journal.bsky.social, Frederik Schissler, @hannapfeifer.bsky.social, Constantin Ruhe, @reginesonja.bsky.social & Jonas Wolff take a closer look at the trend of internationalized intrastate armed conflicts. 🔗 www.trace-center.de/en/publicati...

TraCe Highlight Publication: The internationalization of intrastate conflict: A network perspective on empirical evidence and theoretical explanations, in Cooperation and Conflict, forthcoming

TraCe Highlight Publication: In this paper, TraCe researchers from Goethe University and PRIF introduce a network-based framework to conceptualize the internationalization of intrastate armed conflict.
Empirically, they show that intrastate conflicts have indeed become more internationalized in recent years and identify and evaluate likely
drivers of this trend. A preprint version of the forthcoming paper has been published as TraCe Working Paper No. 7.

TraCe Highlight Publication: Read more on our website.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 19/02/2026

📣 Explore the TraCe publication highlights: In her forthcoming monograph, @reginesonja.bsky.social takes a closer look at the complex relationships between rebel groups in multiparty civil wars. 🔗 www.trace-center.de/en/publicati...

Sharepic Highlight Publication: Armed Group Constellations: Patterns of Cooperation and Conflict in Multiparty Civil Wars.

Highlight Publication Sharepic: Internationalized multiparty civil wars are an increasingly relevant phenomenon, but we lack understanding of the internal dynamics of these conflicts. Based on in-depth field work of the Syrian conflict and case studies of Ethiopia and Myanmar, this book develops a new understanding of the complex relationships between rebel groups in multiparty civil wars that goes beyond binary notions of cooperation and conflict.

Highlight Publication Sharepic: read more on TraCe website.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 30/01/2026

Intrastate armed conflicts have increasingly internationalized. In TraCe Working Paper No. 7, Frederik Schissler, @felixbethke.bsky.social, @hannapfeifer.bsky.social, Constantin Ruhe, @reginesonja.bsky.social & Jonas Wolff systematically assess this trend. 👉 www.trace-center.de/publikatione...

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 17/02/2026

📣 Explore the TraCe publication highlights: In the Journal of Conflict Resolution, @reginesonja.bsky.social, Werner Krause & Samer Massoud show how targeting civilian infrastructure in Syria backfired and caused rebels to respond with increased violence. 🔗 www.trace-center.de/en/publicati...

Sharepic Highlight Publication: The Bombing of Hospitals and Rebel Responses in Civil War. Evidence from Syria.

Highlight Publication Sharepic: This publication researches an increasingly prominent form of political violence, the targeting of civilian infrastructure, and its effects on local violence dynamics. Concretely, the paper shows that the targeting of medical facilities by pro-government forces in the Syrian civil war leads to increased rebel violence rather than suppressing resistance.

Highlight Publication Sharepic: read more on our website

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Hanna Pfeifer @hannapfeifer.bsky.social · 30/01/2026

Out now: Working paper on the trend of intranationalization we see with regard to armed conflict. It manifests notably in WANA. Thanks for another great collaboration, @reginesonja.bsky.social, @felixbethke.bsky.social and dear other colleagues at @goetheuni.bsky.social and @prif.org!

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

📢 #New article in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. In this paper, we demonstrate that pro-regime forces’ targeting of hospitals in Syria backfired, as rebels responded with increased violence. #polisky #MENAsky #IRsky journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Lisel Hintz @liselhintz.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

Ok, last final call. We host these once a year. And working on/from the Middle East is tough now for lots of reasons. So I'm over-posting. @pomeps.bsky.social workshops are designed to support MENA scholars in turning working papers into published articles. Apply today, and please share!

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 11/06/2025

Join us for a book talk with Wendy Pearlman (Northwestern University) @prif.org on July 1, 2025. She will present her book “The Home I Worked to Make: Voices from the New Syrian Diaspora”, moderated by @reginesonja.bsky.social. More information & registration: www.trace-center.de/veranstaltun...

Left side: Cover of the book (dark blue background with yellow highlights), right side: Text reading: Book Talk. The Home I Worked To Make. Voices from the New Syrian Diaspora | book talk with author Wendy Pearlman (Northwestern University) | moderated by \nRegine Schwab (PRIF & TraCe) | Venue: Conference Room PRIF, Baseler Straße 27-31, 60329 Frankfurt | more info & registration: trace-center.de/en/events/wendy-pearlman.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 02/06/2025

Interested in Middle Eastern Policy and EU Relations? 👉 This week, join our FREE #webinar unpacking current governance challenges, refugee return, and geopolitical dynamics in #Syria 🗣️ @reginesonja.bsky.social & Peter Seeberg 📅 Thursday 5 June 🕑 14:00–15:00 BST #MENAsky #IRsky #polisky #migcitsky

buff.ly

ECPR Webinar: Navigating Syria's Transitional Landscape: Governance, Refugee Return, and Geopolitical Dynamics

Thursday 5 June, 14:00–15:00 BST / 15:00–16:00 CEST

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 09/05/2025

🚨 NEW webinar🚨 Syria stands at a pivotal juncture after the ousting of Bashar al-Assad 💻 Join us to explore the challenges of governance, refugee return, and geopolitical dynamics 🗣️ @reginesonja.bsky.social & Peter Seeberg 📅 Thu 5 Jun, 14:00–15:00 BST #MENAsky #IRsky #polisky #migcitsky @prif.org

buff.ly

ECPR Webinar: Navigating Syria's Transitional Landscape: Governance, Refugee Return, and Geopolitical Dynamics

Thursday 5 June, 14:00–15:00 BST / 15:00–16:00 CEST

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

مع السلامة، يا سوريا الجميلة، يا حزينة ويا فرِحة في آنٍ واحد. ما رأيتُ في العالم أكرم من ناسِك.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

PRIF @prif.org · 13/12/2024

In #Syrien haben die Aufständischen das langjährige Assad-Regime besiegt. Doch welche Zukunft ist für das Land zu erwarten? @reginesonja.bsky.social und Thorsten Gromes ordnen die Aussichten durch einen Vergleich mit anderen Konflikten ein. Neu auf dem #PRIFblog ⬇️ blog.prif.org/2024/12/13/a...

blog.prif.org

Aussichten für Syrien nach dem Sieg der Rebellen - PRIF BLOG

Mehr als dreizehn Jahre litten die Menschen in Syrien unter den Folgen des Bürgerkrieges. In den letzten Wochen ging es dann schnell. Rebellen rückten weiträumig vor und veranlassten Assad zur Flucht ...

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

PRIF @prif.org · 10/12/2024

Blitzoffensive der islamistischen Rebellenallianz stürzt Assad in Syrien – Was sind die Hintergründe? Was bedeutet das für die Zukunft des Landes? @reginesonja.bsky.social & Masood Al Hakari analysieren im #PRIFBlog die aktuellen Entwicklungen. blog.prif.org/2024/12/10/s...

blog.prif.org

Syrien: Blitzoffensive der islamistischen Rebellenallianz stürzt Assad - PRIF BLOG

Eine Blitzoffensive der islamistischen Rebellenallianz markiert das Ende des Assad-Regimes. Ende November 2024 erobern die Rebellen mit rasantem Tempo große Städte, und Anfang Dezember fällt auch Dama...

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 10/12/2024

Meine 5 cent zu den Hintergründen der dramatischen Ereignisse in Syrien: www.radiodrei.de/content/rbb/... (kleine Versprecher inklusive 😅)

radiodrei.de

Was sind die Hintergründe und wie geht es weiter in Syrien?

Ein Gespräch mit Dr. Regine Schwab, Peace Research Institut Frankfurt

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

الشعب السوري العظيم حر اخيرا !!!!! 💔

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Wissenschaft und Frieden (W&F) @w-und-f.bsky.social · 20/11/2024

Neu erschienen! W&F 4/24 „Eskalationen im Nahen Osten“. Beiträge von @hannapfeifer.bsky.social (@ifshhamburg.bsky.social), Jari Bertolini et al. (#BICC Bonn), @ Mustafa Karahamad & @reginesonja.bsky.social (@prif.org) uva. zu komplexen Hintergründen der akuten #Konflikteskalationen im #NahenOsten.

Karte eigener Entwurf Redaktion W&F; Basemap: Stadia Alidade Smooth; QGIS World Shapefiles; Datenpunkte Gewaltereignisse Naher Osten: Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), acleddata.com, Juli-November 2024, Stand: 11.11.2024.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Mittelweg 36 @mittelweg36.bsky.social · 25/06/2024

Im Beitrag von @reginesonja.bsky.social wird der besorgniserregende Trend im Kriegsgeschehen der letzten Jahrzehnte diagnostiziert, dass verstärkt zivile Einrichtungen angegriffen werden & die Zahl indirekter Opfer militärischer Gewalt wächst. Mehr Infos zum Beitrag und Heft 3/24: shorturl.at/mIYQ3

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Hendrik Simon @hendrikpsimon.bsky.social · 12/06/2024

Ausgehend von Reemtsmas "Vertrauen und Gewalt" argumentiere ich @mittelweg36.bsky.social, dass es Konflikte sind, in denen Vertrauen in das internationale Gewaltverbot verhandelt wird. Das lässt sich an Praktiken der Kriegslegitimation empirisch untersuchen. cc @prif.org

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

TraCe @trace-center.de · 13/06/2024

Im #Friedensgutachten 2024 analysieren u.a. @ndeitelhoff.bsky.social, Jonas J. Driedger und Thilo Marauhn die institutionelle Friedenssicherung in der Ukraine. Weitere spannende Beiträge aus dem #TraCe Netzwerk stammen von @cdaase.bsky.social, @hannapfeifer.bsky.social und @reginesonja.bsky.social.⬇️

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Mittelweg 36 @mittelweg36.bsky.social · 12/06/2024

Die jüngsten militär. Konflikte in der Ukraine & im Nahen Osten haben die Auseinandersetzung um die Bedeutung des Völkerrechts neu entfacht. Worin besteht seine Funktion in einer Welt, deren fragile Ordnung immer wieder durch Grenzüberschreitungen herausgefordert wird? Mehr Infos: shorturl.at/KkUlm

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Das Friedensgutachten @friedensgutachten.de · 10/06/2024

Alle Einschätzungen und Empfehlungen des #Friedensgutachten 2024 „Welt ohne Kompass“ können ab sofort über unsere Website abgerufen werden. friedensgutachten.de/2024/ausgabe

v.l.n.r. Conrad Schetter (bicc), Christopher Daase (PRIF), Ursula Schröder (IFSH), Tobias Debiel (INEF) mit dem neuen Friedensgutachten 2024

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Kai Thaler @kaimthaler.bsky.social · 06/06/2024

New article from me on civil war violence in Nicaragua, focusing on violence by FSLN govt forces in 1980s, the need to look at violence committed by more restrained groups, & need to consider different explanations at different levels of analysis. polisky conflictsky academic.oup.com/jogss/articl...

academic.oup.com

Levels of Analysis and Variation in Civil War Violence and Restraint: Ideology and Contestation in Nicaragua

Abstract. How can we analyze violence against civilians in civil wars over time and with attention both to local context and international comparability? I

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Kai Thaler @kaimthaler.bsky.social · 04/06/2024

Applications now open for the Centre for the Comparative Study of Civil War's 2024-25 non-resident fellow program. A low-obligation way to build your network among conflict scholars, with events & opportunities for blog posts/presentations www.civilwarpaths.org/fellowship-s... polisky conflictsky

civilwarpaths.org

Fellowship Scheme Application 2024-2025 - Civil War Paths

Notice: JavaScript is required for this content.

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Dave Levitan @davelevitan.bsky.social · 12/02/2024

Rafah is a city of 170,000. 1.3 million people have tried to seek shelter there. It takes up this little corner of Gaza. All of Gaza is the size of Philadelphia.

A map drawing of Gaza, with a small piece in the southwest filled in red indicating Rafah

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Abu Aardvark @abuaardvark.bsky.social · 18/01/2024

Gaza’s internet has been shut down for the last week. For context, check out my new podcast and review essay with Anita Gohdes on her fantastic new book on digital repression and state violence. abuaardvark.substack.com/p/repression...

abuaardvark.substack.com

Repression in the Digital Age

A new book explores the connections between censorship and violent repression

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Thomas Hegghammer @hegghammer.net · 20/12/2023

Are we measuring terrorism right? Neil Ketchley and I have a new article in the Journal of Conflict Resolution showing that you can get different answers to the question "what causes terrorism" depending on how you operationalize terrorist activity. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

journals.sagepub.com

Plots, Attacks, and the Measurement of Terrorism - Thomas Hegghammer, Neil Ketchley, 2023

How should we measure terrorism? Political scientists typically use executed attacks as the dependent variable and test covariates to identify factors that prod...

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Reposted by Regine Schwab

Abu Aardvark @abuaardvark.bsky.social · 16/12/2023

Still shaking my head over casualty counts in Gaza that explicitly assume that all adult males are Hamas fighters, which seems to really raise questions about the widely quoted percentages. More thoughts on my conversation with Sarah Parkinson. abuaardvark.substack.com/p/counting-c...

abuaardvark.substack.com

Counting casualties in Israel’s war on Gaza

My Good Chat with Sarah Parkinson digs deep into what's really going on with those estimates being cited in the media.

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Abu Aardvark @abuaardvark.bsky.social · 04/12/2023

“Virtually everyone would agree the bombing of hospitals is uniquely barbaric (at least until Israel’s campaign against Gaza, at which point for many people it became complicated); this paper shows how it’s also counterproductive.” @reginesonja.bsky.social abuaardvark.substack.com/p/mena-acade...

abuaardvark.substack.com

MENA Academy Weekly Roundup #14

New research on the targeting of hospitals in war, race and COIN, and so much more.

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Anita Gohdes @argohdes.bsky.social · 30/11/2023

My book “Repression in the Digital Age” is out tomorrow with OUP! ✨✨✨ You can order it here (and there is a lil' savings code in the picture they sent me 😊): global.oup.com/academic/pro...

Flyer showing the book cover for "Repression in the Digital Age" by Anita Gohdes. includes a promo code to get 30% off when ordering the book (code: ASFLYQ6).

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/11/2023

Please read and share widely. Feedback very welcome. It is sad that we have to write an article on the deliberate and systematic targeting of hospitals in 2023!

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/11/2023

We leverage unique qualitative evidence derived from interviews which shows that hospital bombings induce rebels and civilians to resist more fiercely.

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/11/2023

Next to the clear violation of international law, the targeting of hospitals is thus militarily and politically counterproductive.

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/11/2023

Combining matching methods with a difference-in-differences estimation, we find that the bombing of hospitals leads to a short term, but marked increase in insurgent violence.

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 29/11/2023

We develop an argument why violent actors (in this case pro-government forces) target medical infrastructure and how it may be distinct from the direct targeting of civilians.

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 28/11/2023

I can’t take it anymore. How much more pain?

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Regine Schwab @reginesonja.bsky.social · 28/11/2023

No but that is a great suggestion. Thanks!

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