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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler

@rdbressler.bsky.social
1.7K followers 887 following 99 posts

Assistant Professor of Economics @BentleyU | Formerly Climate Staff Economist @WhiteHouseCEA, PhD @Columbia @SipaSusDev

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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I enjoyed doing this interview with probably good about my career journey. probablygood.org/interviews/d...
probablygood.org
Mortality Impacts of Climate Change: Danny Bressler
Economist Danny Bressler on studying climate mortality, lessons from consulting, and how he went from Harvard Research Assistant to the White House to academia.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
This reinforces a general point: climate change seems to be, as much as anything, a story of inequality, both within and across countries. (5/5)
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
However, the worst impacts are expected in poorer hotter places (rdanielbressler.com/s/JMP.pdf) where a large share of workers are in ag/manual work. I am worried they will struggle to adapt, especially when they have less ability to make investments to protect workers. (4/5)
rdanielbressler.com
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
In high/middle income countries, historical trends have reduced manual/ag work. Our results suggest this is good news. These places also have the resources to invest in worker protection. But this is not automatic, and climate change itself could alter these trends. (3/5)
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
This study is in Mexico, which has super rich data that allows us to address these kinds of questions. One of the key things I take away: if similar results hold in other countries, I think this has important implications for the future impact of climate change. (2/5)
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
🚨New paper alert!🚨 I continue to be surprised by how much heat and cold impact different groups in society differently. We find heat deaths are way more concentrated among young manual/agricultural workers, while cold deaths are more concentrated among older non-workers. (1/5)
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Andrew Wilson @ajsw.info · 29/01/2026
Was your train delayed or cancelled this weekend? Mine was. Do you crave research that speaks to this particular experience? Look no further. In a new paper, @xinmingdu.bsky.social and I quantify how much rail safety and operations are affected by the weather.
A screenshot of the first page of the linked published article from the Journal of Public Economics.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
The best, clearest article I've read yet on recent regulatory changes. The crucial bigger picture, that I agree has been overlooked, is that the health benefits from regulations are no longer being quantified. Lives are being valued at zero de facto because they are being ignored.
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Alistair Munro @alistair-munro.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Call for papers: HISTORY OF CLIMATE ECONOMICS Details at: journals.openedition.org/oeconomia/19... Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Deadline for abstracts : January 15th, 2026
journals.openedition.org
History of Climate Economics
Editors of the Special Issue Christophe Cassen (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Béatrice Cointe (CNRS, CSI Paris) Antoine Missemer (CNRS, CIRED Paris) Call for Papers In 2018, the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Eco...
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
They provide some qualitative discussion of the health impacts of NO_x and SO_2, but they spend similar amounts of words criticizing past RIAs for providing false precision as they do actually qualitatively discussing the health impacts.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Yep one could reasonably do that. The analytical difference between this and what the Admin is now doing is that the Admin is not providing any estimates of impacts on premature deaths at all.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
...But that would mean that they would be providing estimates of premature mortality that they would then be choosing not to monetize, which seems to be a worse look than just criticizing the past approaches and then subtly assuming a point estimate of exactly 0.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
...If they were serious about addressing this point about false precision, they would show confidence intervals for premature mortality impacts and could show how the impact on premature deaths varies across multiple lines of evidence...
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
...They use the benefits section (4) to criticize past RIAs for using uncertain point estimates for providing a false sense of precision, but then their response seems to be not providing any estimate at all, thus implicitly assuming a point estimate of 0...
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Digging into the new RIA under this guidance www.epa.gov/system/files... the bigger issue to me seems to be that they are not providing any estimate for the changes in premature deaths caused by the policy...
epa.gov
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Jack Lienke @jacklienke.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
I love that the justification for assigning zero quantitative value to health benefits is that they're uncertain. Because there's obviously no uncertainty on the compliance-cost side of the ledger. No need to worry about "false precision" there. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/12/c...
nytimes.com
E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved When Setting Rules on Air Pollution
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Paul Kelleher @paulkelleher.net · 04/12/2025
Apparently this marks the end of a 13 year blogging hiatus. www.paulkelleher.net/blog/2025/12... @madisoncondon.bsky.social @alybatt.bsky.social @lissaharris.bsky.social @lpeblog.bsky.social
paulkelleher.net
Coase, Invariance, and LPE – PK’s blog
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Anna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
This is a fascinating paper. It's the first (afaik) to actually document food&drink&retail scheduling unpredictability using actual firm data. It illustrates v clearly why unpredictable scheduling makes these jobs so difficult:
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Mary Quiroga @maryquiroga.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Hi! I’m Mary and I’m on the #EconJobMarket this year. Extreme heat doesn’t just affect students, it affects the people teaching them. JMP 🧵:
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Analysis based on work by @rdbressler.bsky.social on the mortality consequences of climate change, including our co-authored paper on country-level climate damages www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Estimates of country level temperature-related mortality damage functions - Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports - Estimates of country level temperature-related mortality damage functions
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Noah Kaufman @noahqkaufman.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
Here's a few things I learned digging into electricity affordability and decarbonization in Connecticut 🧵
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Really well-done article by @fastlerner.bsky.social that estimated temperature-related mortality impacts from recent climate rollbacks, drawing in part on my 2021 Nature Comms paper and my job market paper (bsky.app/profile/rdbr...). Check it out!
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Adrien Fabre @adrien-fabre.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
Should the carbon price be the same across countries and sectors? Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices: 1. Different growth rates 2. Market power in trade 3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes 4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
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Nicholas Emery-Xu @nicholaskemery.bsky.social · 11/08/2025
A lot of Americans like to blame the Reagan Administration for the rise of market power and oligopoly in the US. But markups have been rising globally (except in South America) since 1980. Seems likely that other causes were at play: drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
drive.google.com
DLE_global.pdf
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
We build on the small literature on this topic, e.g., the pioneering work of John Broome www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1... wwnorton.com/books/climat... to discuss where population ethics issues will show up in benefit-cost analysis, and to explore what analysts might do to address them.
journals.uchicago.edu
University of Chicago Press Journals: Cookie absent
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
The paper doesn't have all the answers. Our goal is to identify and discuss major issues in this new frontier of regulatory benefit-cost analysis.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
We show that, as benefit-cost analysis is increasingly used to assess phenomena that impact life and death many years in the future, such as climate change, making choices around how to deal with critical population ethics issues becomes unavoidable.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Population ethics poses a number of difficult questions that have been largely ignored in the practice of regulatory benefit-cost analysis.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
🚨New Paper🚨 Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics" My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics
Policies subject to BCA sometimes prevent premature deaths. If survivors would later have children, those policies not only prevent deaths; they cause…
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
We had an all-star group of job market candidates this year and an all-star job market coordinator @rmetcalfe.bsky.social . Great set of placements in a really tough year. Proud to be a part of this group!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 01/05/2025
"The uncertainty that is baked into this crisis is all the more reason to take urgent and decisive action to address it."
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Thank you, Jake!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Yes! Let me know when you’re in town!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
Haha deal! Sounds intriguing…
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Thank you, Manuel!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Yes! My new department head!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 22/04/2025
Thank you, Fran!
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
Job Market Done ✅ I'm thrilled to announce that I will be an Assistant Professor in Economics at Bentley University this fall. I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
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Alexander Berger @albrgr.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
New preprint finding that eliminating US global health funding over the next fifteen years would cause: - 15.2m deaths from AIDS - 2.2m deaths from TB - 7.9 additional child deaths
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Todd Jones @toddrjones.bsky.social · 21/03/2025
Mississippi State Univ. is hiring a tenure-track Econ Assistant Prof w/ August start! Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall). Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768 Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
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Kelton Minor @keltonminor.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
There are days in life that shake you. I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University & academic career... 1/🧵
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
Essential reading for folks interested in the economics of climate change. Check it out!
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Catie Hausman @catiehausman.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Planning your climate or environment syllabus? I like to show short videos so students & I can visualize some of the things we're talking about. Here are some of the ones I like:
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 10/12/2024
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems. We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."
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Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 23/12/2024
What’s important about this piece is economic theory, when translated into practice, needs to overcorrect for the actual impacts to people’s lives that efficiency driven by theory create. It’s not “winners COULD compensate losers” it’s “winners DO compensate losers”. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | What Economists Could Learn From George Costanza
Their economic models produced a disaster, but they doubled down.
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 23/12/2024
You might be interested in my article on this topic with Geoff Heal: www.nber.org/papers/w30648 as well as my JMP: rdanielbressler.com/s/JMP.pdf
nber.org
Valuing Excess Deaths Caused by Climate Change
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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ClimateFran @climatefran.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Excited to announce a new @pnas.org publication on the Social Cost of Carbon. We integrate evidence from the literature and expert survey to provide an SCC distribution inclusive of both parametric and structural uncertainties. Our mean 2020 value is $283 per ton CO2 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
pnas.org
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties | PNAS
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of CO2—termed the social cost of carbon (SCC)—requires connecting a model of the climate system with a re...
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R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler @rdbressler.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
Yep! bsky.app/profile/rdbr...
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