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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹

@raquelrguima.bsky.social
4K followers 1.9K following 75 posts

Demographer 📊 & Development Economist 🌍 Research Scholar @ International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Exploring: 👥 Population Dynamics 🌱 Environmental Change 🌊 Risk & Resilience 📈 Econometrics UFMG & Stanford Alumna 🎓

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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Turning research into policy and practice is one of the hardest parts of our job. At the Global Learning Event 2026 in Birmingham, we traded ideas with practitioners worldwide on building resilience in a multi-hazard world, with equity and justice kept at the centre. Looking forward to what's next!
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
What the effect of perceived social protection mechanisms on changes in adaptive capacity? Drawing on rich survey data by the @zcralliance.bsky.social, results show that perceived access to government/NGO aid is positive for communities with lower levels of adaptive capacity. @egu.eu @iiasa.ac.at
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
After validating the Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities (FRMC) in 300+ communities across 20+ countries, one key result is clear: communities with higher resilience scores experience fewer flood losses. Read more: #IIASAInsights @iiasa.ac.at @zcralliance.bsky.social
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
This week we’re happy to host @iiasa.ac.at Profs. Alisson Barbieri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Mumuni Abu & Samuel Codjoe at IIASA, supported by WUN’s Climate Mobilities project. If you’re in Laxenburg, join us for their flash talk at 11:00 in the Levien Room!
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Daniel Huppmann @danielhuppmann.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
"Das CO2-Budget ist quasi aufgebraucht, wir werden die 1,5 Grad erreichen", sagen Reinhard Mechler & Keywan Riahi vom @iiasa.ac.at in einem Hintergrundgespräch zur #COP30. Um die Klimaveränderung zu stoppen, braucht es Erneuerbaren-Ausbau und Ausstieg aus Öl, Gas und Kohle. #WissenSchafftKlimaschutz
derstandard.at
Klimaforscher zu COP30: "Wir dürfen das 1,5-Grad-Ziel nicht aufgeben"
Wissenschafter analysieren die Fallstricke, die einer Abschlusserklärung bei der Weltklimakonferenz im Wege stehen könnten – und wo es überraschende Einigkeit gibt
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Excited to participate in the Wittgenstein Centre Conference on Demographic Perspectives of Migration in the 21st century. Migration is a pressing topic in Demography and I'm looking forward to learning more on climate migration.
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 17/11/2025
Against the backdrop of negotiations at #COP30, leading climate scientists have released the Búzios Scientific Statement, offering a clear assessment of the world’s remaining options to return to 1.5°C of warming by the end of the century. 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/nov-202...
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 11/11/2025
Yesterday’s highlights: 💬 Making international mechanisms fit for adaptation & loss & damage 💬 Understanding Resilience & M&E of interventions, with insights from the @zcralliance.bsky.social, featuring Reinhard Mechler, @raquelrguima.bsky.social & Jung Hee Hyun.
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
💬 It’s happening today: don’t miss it!
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
🌎 Our talk at #COP30 - Evidence for Climate Action Pavilion! “Understanding Resilience and M&E of Interventions: Insights from the Climate Resilience Alliance” (Virtual) 📅 Nov 10 | 12:15–12:45 Belém | 16:15–16:45 CET 🔗 Register: tinyurl.com/IIASACOP30 @iiasa.ac.at @zcralliance.bsky.social
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
It took me some time and energy, amid mourning, to write this post - but I believe this reflection is necessary. Note: This text solely reflects my personal views and does not represent the position of the institution where I work. open.substack.com/pub/raquelrg...
open.substack.com
Em Luto pelo Rio: Quando a Violência Substitui a Justiça / In Mourning for Rio: When Violence Replaces Justice
[Note: English version below]
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Part of the IIASA team attending the International Climate Resilience Conference #iCARE2025 in Munich, Germany.
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 28/10/2025
To quote my friend @drkatemarvel.bsky.social, climate change won't make humanity extinct but we can do better than "not extinct". Raise your standards people!
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Samuel Rufat @srufat.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
As currently measured, resilience, social vulnerability, and the five capitals might not translate into flood-related mortality reduction #iCARE2025 @raquelrguima.bsky.social Session 11 Climate change & (un)inhabitability of places #iCARE conference in Munich
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 27/10/2025
Having such an inspiring time at the International Climate Resilience Conference #iCARE2025 in Munich 🌍 Tomorrow at 8:30 am I’ll be presenting in Session 11: Climate change, community resilience and the (un)inhabitability of places. Stay tuned!
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Excited to join the IIASA team at the International Climate Resilience Conference in Munich! I’ll be presenting our research on the health impacts of flood events and how community resilience can make a difference. iiasa.ac.at/events/oct-2...
iiasa.ac.at
From Understanding Risk to Fostering Resilience? International Climate Resilience Conference (iCARE) at LMU Munich
Climate change research has been dominated by narratives of vulnerability and risk often overlooking the significant efforts made by human systems to build and sustain resilience.
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 20/10/2025
We would like to welcome you at IIASA 😀
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Florian Scheuer @florianscheuer.bsky.social · 10/10/2025
I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ.uzh.ch at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics. 🧵 1/7
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 07/10/2025
🌊 New paper out in Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences! We explored how community resilience and DRM stages shape health impacts after floods. Building resilience isn’t just about resources, but timing and action. 🔗 nhess.copernicus.org/articles/25/3803/2025/ #ClimateResilience #Floods
nhess.copernicus.org
The effect of community resilience and disaster risk management cycle stages on morbi-mortality following floods: an empirical assessment
Abstract. Practice and policy have emphasized the need for building resilience to climate-related events in a further warming world. Scholarship has studied resilience largely in terms of process, lat...
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 06/10/2025
🎉 Happy Birthday, IIASA! For over 50 years, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis has united science and policy to tackle global challenges - from climate and energy to data-driven sustainability - connecting the Global North and South through systems thinking. 🌍
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 30/09/2025
💥 Just back from the Systemic Risk & Climate Extremes Conference & Workshop in Hamburg: 3 intense days of exchange on systemic risk in an increasingly fragile world. 🚀Grateful to connect with brilliant researchers, practitioners, and policymakers across disciplines. #SystemicRisk #ClimateExtremes
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Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) @demographyvienna.bsky.social · 22/09/2025
📢 Registration is open & the agenda is now available! Participate in the Wittgenstein Centre Conference on "Demographic Perspectives on Migration in the 21st Century", taking place from Nov 19–21 2025 at @oeaw.bsky.social in Vienna and online. 🔗 www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/news-eve... #WICVienna #demography
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
In Hamburg this week for the Systemic Risks & Climate Extremes Conference & Workshop! 🌍 Systemic risks are central to today’s resilience challenges. Excited to exchange ideas and connect. #SystemicRisk #Resilience 📷 Image by Dominic Wunderlich from Pixabay
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 17/09/2025
IIASA is proud to be part of @zcralliance.bsky.social, building resilience to climate hazards worldwide. Their new report, Adaptation finance and the private sector, explores why relying on business alone to close the adaptation finance gap won’t work. 🔽🔽🔽
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 02/09/2025
🌍 First international conference on climate overshoot at IIASA! 📅 30 Sep–2 Oct 📍Laxenburg, Austria As we edge closer to the 1.5 °C limit, understanding the implications of overshoot has never been more urgent. Join leading experts to explore this critical risk. 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/sep-202...
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 26/08/2025
The @ipcc.bsky.social has announced the authors for its Seventh Assessment Report (#AR7). With 3 Coordinating Lead Authors & 10 Lead Authors, IIASA will play a key part in delivering the best available knowledge to guide effective and equitable climate action. 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 20/08/2025
Join us to explore “One Health” at "Science in Action: Five Global Challenges, One Shared Future". Discover how human, animal & environmental health connect and learn strategies to tackle the climate–health nexus. 📆 9 Sept @royalsociety.org @ukri.org 🔴register now: iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2...
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 18/08/2025
📅 Save the Date: 9 Sep at @royalsociety.org 🌍 Five global challenges. One shared future. ⚠️ Places are limited and filling quickly – register now to secure your seat. 👉 More info: iiasa.ac.at/events/sep-2... @ukri.org
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 28/07/2025
Mining does not deliver the sustained economic benefits often claimed, while informal mining is a major driver of deforestation, according to a comprehensive new study that analyzed the environmental and economic impacts of mining in Brazil. 👉 iiasa.ac.at/news/jul-202... @natureportfolio.nature.com
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 25/07/2025
✍️ On the blog: IIASA researcher Pratik Patil reflects on how researchers and research institutes can respond more effectively to the emerging polycrisis with transformative approaches and frameworks to facilitate public understanding and policy. Read the article 👉 iiasa.ac.at/blog/jul-202...
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 24/07/2025
Today at the @nationalacademies.org I had to pay my respects to Einstein. Timely words of that great refugee, carved there in stone: “As long as I have any choice in the matter, I shall live only in a country where civil liberty, tolerance and equality of all citizens before the law prevail.”
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Adaptation Futures 2025 #AF2025 @adaptationfutures.bsky.social · 24/07/2025
👉🏽 Watch this historic judgment here: webtv.un.org/en/asset/k1c... #ICJ #ClimateChange #ClimateAdaptation #Adaptation #AF2025
webtv.un.org
THE HAGUE – The International Court of Justice (ICJ) delivers its Advisory Opinion on the Obligations of States in respect of Climate Change
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) delivers its advisory opinion on the Obligations of States in respect of Climate Change.
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
📘 New paper out! We validated the Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities (FRMC) using data from 19,900+ households in 320+ communities across 20 countries. Open access: link.springer.com/article/10.1... @iiasa.ac.at @zcralliance.bsky.social
link.springer.com
Assessing Community Resilience: Validating a Universally Applicable Flood Resilience Measurement Framework and Tool - International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
Understanding and strengthening community-level resilience to natural hazard-induced disasters is critical for the management of adverse impacts of such events and the growth of community well-being. A key gap in achieving this is limited standardized and validated disaster resilience measurement frameworks that operate at local levels and are universally applicable. The Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities (FRMC) is a foremost tool for community flood resilience assessment. It follows a structured approach to comprehensively assess community flood resilience across five classes of capacities (capitals) to support strategic investment in resilience strengthening initiatives. The FRMC is a further development of an earlier version (the FRMT, the Flood Resilience Measurement Tool). The FRMT has been developed and applied between 2015 and 2017 in 118 flood prone communities across nine countries. It has been validated in terms of content and face validity as well as in terms of reliability. To reduce redundancy and survey effort, the FRMC holds a lesser number of indicators (44 versus 88) and has now been applied in over 320 communities across 20 countries. We examine the validation for the revised resilience construct and the new community applications and present a comprehensive overview of the statistical and user validation process and outcomes in both practical and scientific terms. The results confirm the validity, reliability as well as usefulness of the FRMC framework and tool. Furthermore, our approach and results provide insights for other resilience measurement approaches and their validation efforts. We also present a comprehensive discussion about the dynamic aspects of flood resilience at community level, and the many validation aspects that need to be incorporated both in terms of quantification efforts as well as usability on the ground.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 24/05/2025
Sebastião Salgado, a celebrated Brazilian photographer whose striking images of humanity and nature in the Amazon rainforest and beyond won him some of the world’s top honors and made him a household name, has died at 81.
nytimes.com
Sebastião Salgado, Acclaimed Brazilian Photographer, Is Dead at 81
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Carl Zimmer @carlzimmer.com · 02/05/2025
Nature reports that the National Science Foundation has stopped awarding new grants and allotting funds to existing ones. All of them. @colincarlson.bsky.social says that unless the freeze is lifted, it “is going to destroy people's labs.” 2/10 www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
Exclusive: NSF stops awarding new grants and funding existing ones
US science funder also plans to screen grant applications for compliance with ‘agency priorities’.
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 01/05/2025
Congratulations to IIASA Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program Director, Petr Havlik, who has been awarded an honorary doctorate by @kuleuvenuniversity.bsky.social for his exceptional contributions to agricultural, climate, & environmental economics research. 🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Drop by the @iiasa.ac.at booth at @egu.eu and get to know more about our institute! #EGU25 #IIASA
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
Had a great time presenting at @egu.eu! I shared research from #IIASA on how specific resilience capitals and disaster risk management cycles can help prevent deaths and injuries from floods, based on data from 66 communities around the world. The work is supported by the Z Zurich Foundation.
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IIASA @iiasa.ac.at · 29/04/2025
IIASA at #EGU25: Visit us at the IIASA booth in Hall X2 (next to the coffee—coincidence? We think not ☕). Among today's sessions: 🙋🏽‍♀️ 08:30 Citizen science @dilekfraisl.bsky.social 🏅 10:45 Award lecture @kornhuber.bsky.social 🌡️ 14:00 Tipping points 🌐 17:10 Risk management iiasa.ac.at/egu25 #EGUToday
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
It was a pleasure to join the first @riskkan.bsky.social symposium in Laxenburg! The event offered a great overview of the network and its working groups, along with insightful panel discussions. I’m looking forward to staying engaged and contributing to the network’s work!
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RiskKAN @riskkan.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
First day of @egu.eu and we have kicked off our first symposium @iiasa.ac.at! With an opening by @kornhuber.bsky.social and now Martha Vogel is introducing the disasters, diseases, health, and well-being working group.
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Looking forward to present my work at the @egu.eu General Assembly next week. If you're attending in Vienna, let's connect!
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Guy Abel @guyabel.bsky.social · 17/04/2025
The @nytopinion.nytimes.com today features a #dataviz of our new global migration flow estimates. nytimes.com/interactive/... Using privacy protected records from three billion Facebook users, we estimated country-to-country #migration flows at monthly granularity for 181 countries.
nytimes.com
Opinion | To Understand Global Migration, You Have to See It First
These estimates, drawn from the location data of three billion Facebook users, provide a view of human migration in extraordinary detail.
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Raquel Guimaraes 🇧🇷 🇦🇹 @raquelrguima.bsky.social · 18/03/2025
I am thrilled to announce that I'll be presenting at the @egu.eu General Assembly 2025! 🎉 🔍Title: The Effect of Community Resilience Measures on Morbi-Mortality Indicators Following Floods: An Empirical Assessment​
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Scientists4Future Österreich @s4fat.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
📢 🗣️ WissenSchafft Vertrauen - Wir rufen auf zum March for Science am 7. März 13 Kundgebung vor der Uni Wien, danach Demozug zum Ballhausplatz 👇👇👇 at.scientists4future.org/2025/02/24/7...
at.scientists4future.org
7. März: Weltweiter March for Science - WissenSchafft Vertrauen - Celsius - der Klimablog von Scientists for Future Österreich
Lesedauer 2 Minuten.    March for Science in Wien Wann: Freitag, 7.3.2025, Kundgebung um 13 Uhr Wo: vor der Uni Wien (Universitätsring 1), gefolgt von einem Demozug zum Ballhausplatz Am 07. März 2025 ...
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Kees van der Geest @keesvandergeest.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
📢📢 Only two weeks left to submit your abstract for the ECMN conference in Bonn (8-10 July 2025)! 86 colleagues have already submitted theirs! Here is a FAQ page and the submission form: www.climatemobilities.network/ecmn25/ Hope to see you along the Rhine River in Bonn this summer!!!
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David A. Jaeger (econ) @davidajaeger.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
It's a very sad day. Just notified that @iza.org is closing its doors as of 31 December 2025. At a time when labor is under attack and technological change moves at an ever-faster pace, I can't help but think that this is a short-sighted decision. My heart goes out to those folks who work there.
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Atul Gawande @agawande.bsky.social · 06/02/2025
Rubio claims that @USAID lifesaving assistance for health and humanitarian needs will continue. But his team just communicated that the entire agency will be imminently reduced from 14,000 to 294 people. Just 12 in Africa.
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Marina Andrijevic @andrijevic.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
Have you ever wondered if the global leadership on climate would be less depressing if we had more Luisas and fewer Elons? With gender equality backsliding everywhere, it’s super important to stress its role in addressing the climate crisis. A 🧵 on our new paper on gender equality & scenarios:
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APDU @apduorg.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
NEW: Census Bureau working papers on poverty measurement--research the public paid for and has a right to access--have been removed. Example analysis of "Alternative School Lunch Valuation in the 2022 Supplemental Poverty Measure" is missing www.census.gov/content/dam/...
census.gov
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