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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

Buitenhof @buitenhof.bsky.social · 15/06/2025

'Netanyahu, wetende dat de VS ondanks alles zal blijven steunen, doet wat hij wil, dat is bijzonder verontrustend', @koertdebeuf.bsky.social in #buitenhof. @paulvanhooft.bsky.social van @randeurope.org waarschuwt: als op alle punten het systeem onder druk staat: 'op bepaalt moment stort het in'.

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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

Buitenhof @buitenhof.bsky.social · 15/06/2025

Wat drijft Iran? Hoever gaat Israël? Welke rol speelt Amerika en wat kan Europa doen? Luister naar deze #buitenhof met correspondent Ralph Dekkers, dem. ministers Ruben Brekelmans en Eelco Heinen, hoogleraar @koertdebeuf.bsky.social en @paulvanhooft.bsky.social ➡ npo.nl/luister/podc...

npo.nl

Buitenhof

Buitenhof is het wekelijkse politieke discussieprogramma van VPRO, AVROTROS en BNNVARA met interviews, opinies en debatten.

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

I wrote for @uk.theconversation.com on what French and British nuclear deterrents can mean for European deterrence, the need for increased intra-European coordination, and the role of advanced conventional weapons in raising costs for Russian aggression early on: theconversation.com/nuclear-dete...

theconversation.com

Nuclear deterrence: can Britain and France take on America’s role in defending Europe against Russian aggression?

For the foreseeable future a conventional approach to defence, perhaps backed by British and French nuclear assets, remains the most realistic option for Europe.

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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

Bureau Buitenland @bureaubuitenland.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

Vanwege grote onzekerheid over de eigen veiligheid, werkt Europa hard aan het versterken van de eigen defensie. En omdat ook aan de Amerikaanse nucleaire paraplu wordt getwijfeld, zijn kernwapens daarbij geen taboe. Daarover @paulvanhooft.bsky.social en Tom Sauer. Luister: bit.ly/m/Bureau-Bui...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Gesproken met @derk.cda.nl over het Franse kernwapen, de Russische dreiging, en wat Frankrijk en het VK kunnen doen om Europese afschrikking te versterken.

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

Deze week in @nrcnl.bsky.social geschreven over Franse/Britse kernwapens en afschrikking in Europa; hoe Nederland en andere bondgenoten die kunnen versterken dmv samenwerking met FR en investeringen in conventionele wapens voor strategie van ontzegging tov Rusland. www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

nrc.nl

Opinie | Rusland moet snappen: escalatie zal kostbaar zijn

Kernwapens: Nederland en andere Europese landen kunnen Frankrijk helpen zijn afschrikking te versterken, schrijft Paul van Hooft.

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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

Charge Wetenschappelijk Platform Volt @charge-volt.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

Op de Veiligheidsconferentie in München werd het opnieuw pijnlijk duidelijk: Europa moet op eigen benen gaan staan. Hoe? Luister de podcast met Haroon Sheikh en @paulvanhooft.bsky.social over de rol van Europa en de noodzaak tot meer defensiesamenwerking. 🎧 Luister hier: tinyurl.com/bdezduc6

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

... needed some generational change for a while.

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

SecDef: US no longer “primary guarantor of security in Europe” was predictable and reflection of realities of US priorities that have been shifting for decades. But frustrating because older generation of EUR/NL policymakers/"experts" refused to listen. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

theguardian.com

US no longer ‘primarily focused’ on Europe’s security, says Pete Hegseth

US defence secretary says Europe should lead in defending Ukraine and that restoring pre-2014 borders is unrealistic

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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

98% of Italy's #ArmsImports come from the US. The Netherlands: 99% Denmark: 70% Germany: 63% A radical shift away from the US is unlikely as it would mean restructuring the entire market, explains @gspataf95.bsky.social 👉 www.sestry.eu/pl/artykuly/...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

Following up on @hfayet.bsky.social @andrewfutter.bsky.social Ulrich Kuhn's Survival piece On France, UK, and Germany from last Fall, w/ Lukasz Kulesa en Kristin ven Bruusgaard we add Polish, Norwegian, and Dutch perspectives. 2/2

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 11/02/2025

Out in Survival: my contribution to debate on European nuclear deterrence after Trump, including discussion of French and UK alternative arrangements and what is needed for those to work (or "work"). 1/2 www.tandfonline.com/eprint/DYJST...

tandfonline.com

Forum: European Nuclear Deterrence and Donald Trump

Despite Donald Trump’s return, complete US disengagement from Europe is not inevitable. America will continue to have strategic interests in Europe. Building a separate European nuclear deterrent i...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

We believe this has clear implications for access to real-time intelligence for long-range precision strike, which is a central concept in the Western way of war. 3/3

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

In the article, we argue that despite lowering launch-costs leading to proliferation of smaller satellites, both kinetic and non-kinetic means to attack or temporarily dazzle satellites still give an edge to the attacker. 2/3

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

Though online already last summer, the Journal of Strategic Studies published the article, co-authored with Ivan Oehlrich and Stephen Biddle, on anti-satellite warfare and the consequences for real-time military surveillance. 1/3 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

tandfonline.com

Anti-satellite warfare, proliferated satellites, and the future of space-based military surveillance

Will proliferated satellites enable a transparent battlefield in a way that might transform continental warfare? Many now think so. We argue, however, that anti-satellite (ASAT) capabilities will l...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Great opportunity for any students, researchers, or early-mid career practioners to think and discuss ongoing issues of arms control, deterrence, and technology. Thank you for the invitation Francesca Giovannini Steven Miller and Carlo Schaerf! 2/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

A little late, but I tremendously enjoyed again being given the opportunity to lecture on NATO and extended nuclear deterrence with the new US administration at ISODARCO - International School on Disarmament and Research on Conflicts in the lovely mountains. /1

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 01/12/2024

Enjoyed talking in the Finabel podcast about European defence and deterrence, as well as Ukraine war, in light of the changing US-European relationship: shows.acast.com/strategicall...

shows.acast.com

European Deterrence and the Changing U.S. Strategy | StrategicALLY

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

In @nrc.nl betoog ik dat blind vertrouwen in de VS altijd cruciale zwakte was voor Europese veiligheid. Daarom moet nu zsm geinvesteerd worden in conventionele afschrikking en moet Franse en Britse nucleaire afschrikking een grotere rol krijgen in Europese orde: www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2024/...

nrc.nl

Opinie | Europa zal nu merken wat het echt kost om de veiligheid op orde te krijgen

Defensie: Europa is voor zijn verdediging meer op zichzelf aangewezen, ongeacht wie president van de VS is, zegt Paul van Hooft. En dat vergt serieuze investeringen, ook organisatorisch, in nucleaire ...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Questions that should impact Dutch policy as the Dutch navy (with the Tromp) again travel through the Indo-Pacific in 2024. 12/12. marineschepen.nl/nieuws/Tromp...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Leads to a series of questions on which regional partners European states can best collaborate and with on which policies areas outside of purely naval powers. 11/ hcss.nl/report/guard...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

As we argue (w/ Tim Sweijs), small and middle powers in both the Euro-Atlantic and the Indo-Pacific share a view of a multilateral maritime order that maintains the freedom of the seas and stability; one that goes further than the Sino-American rivalry. 10/ hcss.nl/report/why-s...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Where we (w/ Benedetta Girardi) highlight the valuechain as it passes through maritime chokepoints, to underline why both European states and their Indo-Pacific partners should join efforts to guard the commons that connect their regions: 9/ hcss.nl/report/what-...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

The study for the Royal Netherlands Navy builds on other Hague Centre for Strategic studies work on the European role in the Indo-Pacific: 8/ hcss.nl/europe-in-th...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

There is thus a need for the NL navy (and other EUR navies) to expand naval capabilities to protect these seas, which is a matter of both building ships and attracting and keeping talented personnel. 7/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Threats to navies and commercial shipping have increased due to widespread access to and improvements of missiles and UAVs. Whether in NATO Europe or further abroad, this creates difficulties for the marines as well when they land on hostile shores. 6/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

As the attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea show, even non-state actors like the Houthis (backed by a non-great power like Iran) can significantly raise the costs and risks to commercial shipping to redirect trade flows and inflict economic costs. 5/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Taking both threats and limited capabilities together, we argue that the NL (and other EUR) navies should prioritise NATO commitments in the Euro-Atlantic, and then the maritime routes that lead to and include the Western Indian Ocean. 4/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

We note a disintegrating maritime security environment where the Dutch and other European navies - after cuts over the past thirty years - have insufficient capabilities to safeguard interests and guard the commons. 3/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

The study looks to clarify choices for the Dutch navy (and implicitly other European navies) after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the intensification of the Sino-American rivalry, specifically on how to prioritise between the Euro-Atlantic and the Indo-Pacific. 2/

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 25/01/2024

Our new HCSS study (w/ @davisellison.bsky.social and Frederik Mertens) study for the Royal Netherlands Navy is out: 1/12 hcss.nl/report/marit...

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 20/12/2023

And a welcome to the blue skies for my colleague, the illustrious @davisellison.bsky.social !

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 02/11/2023

Concrete results any time soon are not likely, but excellent news that China and US look to meet for nuclear arms control talks. Strategic instability in EUR and ASIA threat to everyone; superpowers don't need to like each other, but they do need to talk www.theguardian.com/world/2023/n...

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Reposted by Paul van Hooft

Henry Farrell @himself.bsky.social · 10/10/2023

So Abe and I have a website, weaponizedinterdependence.com, both to plug the book (keep track of related articles etc, on which there is plenty of incoming) and the broader issues around it. Feel encouraged to read, link and circulate!

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 09/10/2023

Thanks, Jon! ... Next time, I do need to hear more about late 70s early 80s NYC punk scene : )

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Paul van Hooft @paulvanhooft.bsky.social · 09/10/2023

Thanks, Jon, I appreciate the call-out! The piece is part of a series of projects and papers, including guest contributions, we have been putting out: hcss.nl/report/guard...

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