Sign in

Giuseppe Spatafora

@gspataf95.bsky.social
547 followers 284 following 255 posts

Analyst for transatlantic relations 🇺🇸 at @euiss.bsky.social 🇪🇺. PhD International Relations @politicsoxford.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk. Formerly at NATO Policy Planning Unit, ISF fellow 2025

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
How could Canada’s "associate membership" benefit Europe? "The most significant impact would be in the energy sector," @gspataf95.bsky.social tells Euronews. Canada’s raw materials could also help the EU develop strategic industries. www.euronews.com/2026/09/29/w...
euronews.com
What is an EU "associate member"? Why is Canada the first?
European Commission's Ursula von der Leyen formally invited Canada to become the EU’s first-ever “associate member”. What is an “associate member” and what does this mean for Canada and the EU? #EuXl
151
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
International interventions in conflict will remain relevant in years to come - many framed as support to local warring parties. My @routledgebooks.bsky.social book "Explaining support escalation in civil war" (out on Sept 15) deals with this key subject. 🧵 1/
142
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Glad to speak to @opinion.bloomberg.com @lionellaurent.bsky.social on this:
000
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
The 🇺🇲🇩🇰🇬🇱 deal is an example of how Europe reduced a transatlantic confrontation: deterrence early in the year and negotiations for future cooperation later. More ideas for keeping transatlantic relations working in my latest brief @euiss.bsky.social:
092
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
What could the ‘associate membership’ for Canada proposed by @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu look like in practice? @gspataf95.bsky.social argues for an association agreement going beyond trade, covering defence, economic security, technology, energy & foreign policy. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
iss.europa.eu
The EU's first associate member? How to make EU-Canada ties stronger and tighter
The momentum is there for Europe and Canada to take their partnership to a new level. A political agreement shaping the vision for 'associate membership' status, together with stronger sectoral cooper...
041
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
🇨🇦 Could Canada become the EU's first "associate member"? Cooperation is growing, but several obstacles stand in the way. @gspataf95.bsky.social maps the possible models for closer integration, what each would entail and whether both sides would want to pursue them. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
New EUISS Commentary by Giuseppe Spatafora | The EU's first associate member? How to make EU-Canada ties stronger and tighter
253
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
An addition to the @euiss.bsky.social contributions to #SOTEU: how can Canada and the EU elevate their partnership? What could 'associate membership' look like? Where can practical cooperation expand further? My latest commentary: www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
010
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Today’s #SOTEU touched on several questions EUISS has been working on closely: Europe’s security architecture, how to sustain support for Ukraine & the strategic enablers Europe still lacks. Some of our proposals ↓
1107
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
1/ Will the US midterms bring transatlantic relations back to normal? Europe should not count on it. My new @euiss.bsky.social Brief looks at the outlook beyond November—and at the more versatile playbook Europe will need for the next two years. 🧵
100
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Europe shouldn't bank on the midterms to fix the transatlantic relationship. Tensions are likely to persist & Europe needs a more versatile playbook: pushing back against coercion while preserving cooperation where interests converge, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social shorturl.at/1otY8
084
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
1/ One week until book launch!🔔 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗶𝗴𝗻 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝗘𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗖𝗶𝘃𝗶𝗹 𝗪𝗮𝗿: 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗦𝗽𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽 𝘁𝗼 𝗜𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 will be out with @routledgebooks.bsky.social on September 15! 🧵
110
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
Forbes @forbes.com · 01/09/2026
“Potentially millions of American voters may not receive their mail-in ballot this election cycle in a timely manner, or at all,” the whistleblower warned.
forbes.com
USPS Whistleblower Warns New Rule Could Keep Voters From Getting Ballots—What To Know
“Potentially millions of American voters may not receive their mail-in ballot this election cycle in a timely manner, or at all,” the whistleblower warned.
46867133882
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
How to seize the moment - a key feature of transatlantic relations today:
000
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
000
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
The war with Iran has sharply reduced US weapons supplies to Europe, including Ukraine, exposing a critical vulnerability. To deter Russia with less America, Europeans must take charge of all aspects of conventional deterrence, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. 🔗 shorturl.at/b19GB
195
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
🗨️ Ukraine's experience is extremely important to NATO & Europeans. Its solutions, particularly regarding the battlefield-to-industry innovation loop, will be key to preparing European armed forces for modern conflicts, said @gspataf95.bsky.social to Telegraf. news.telegraf.com.ua/ukr/mir/5946...
news.telegraf.com.ua
Напад Росії на НАТО не за горами? У Брюсселі розкрили справжні плани Кремля
Україна розуміє агресора краще за більшість європейських армій.
061
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
NATO endorsed a new strategy to improve industry’s access to the Alliance. But "the key limitation is funding" warns @gspataf95.bsky.social in @euractiv.com. NATO provides limited financial support compared with the EU’s recent defence funding initiatives. www.euractiv.com/news/nato-se...
euractiv.com
NATO seeks bigger industry role in capability planning. Here’s how. | Euractiv
Some of the challenges will be to ensure smaller players have access to NATO too
062
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
We publish today a set of new @euiss.bsky.social ideas on how to support Ukraine (led by @ditrych.bsky.social). I contributed w. 2 transatlantic suggesions: 1⃣ How to facilitate reconstruction while deconflicting EU and US approaches 2⃣ How to turn Trump’s pro-Ukraine moment into concrete action
130
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Glad to speak to the @washingtonpost.com on the challenges of Europeanisation of deterrence after the #NATO summit. "“The biggest problem, in my opinion, is continued U.S. uncertainty" & a withdeawal "not in a coordinated fashion but in haphazard manner"...
121
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
It was a true pleasure to brief @andriuskubilius.ec.europa.eu and his cabinet on our @euiss.bsky.social work. Grateful that the commissioner finds the time to engage with the think tank community. @sbeverts.bsky.social @lscazzieri.bsky.social @joristeer.bsky.social
041
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
📢 Following NATO's Summit, Europeans need to move beyond capability development. Europe must replace the US 'backbone' in deterrence and turn political commitment into genuine European leadership in defence, argue @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
New EUISS Commentary by Luigi Scazzieri & Giuseppe Spatafora | After the NATO summit: The road to European leadership in defence
074
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
If you listened to US radio @marketplace.org you may have heard my voice! I joined host Sabri Ben-Achour to discuss the following question: "As NATO leaders meet this week, how much is Europe boosting defense spending?" www.marketplace.org/story/2026/0...
marketplace.org
As NATO leaders meet this week, how much is Europe boosting defense spending?
The leaders of NATO are meeting in Turkey, and one of the biggest issues on the agenda will be defense spending.
120
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
US commitment to NATO is once again under scrutiny ahead of #NATOSummit. Rather than waiting for Washington's plans, Europe should actively shape the transition towards greater responsibility for its own defence, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ shorturl.at/b19GB
064
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
🛡️ Civil preparedness and resilience are central to deterrence, yet Europe's efforts remain fragmented. Nad’a Kovalčíková & @gspataf95.bsky.social argue an EU resilience planning mechanism can improve threat assessment and guide coordinated capability development. www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
New EUISS Brief written by Nad’a Kovalčíková & Giuseppe Spatafora | Not just an addendum: Making resilience a key pillar of Europe's defence
031
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
(1/10) Europe faces its most dangerous security environment in decades. Intelligence assessments suggest Russia may attack an EU Member State in the coming years. As US engagement in Europe becomes less certain, how can Europe strengthen deterrence? 🧵
2169
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
As E5 leaders met ahead of the NATO Summit, @gspataf95.bsky.social argues Europe must stop waiting for Washington to define burden-sharing and instead take the lead in shaping the transition beyond US-led deterrence. shorturl.at/b19GB
shorturl.at
Defending Europe, deterring Russia: Resources, readiness and resolve
Europe is facing years of maximum danger. In an era of reduced US engagement, strengthening deterrence against Russia requires strengthening three interlocking foundations: resources, readiness and re...
052
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
We start the week with a banger: the new @euiss.bsky.social paper on "Defending Europe, Deterring Russia: Resources, Readiness and Resolve" is out. 🧵
100
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Nice to be featured in @nytimes.com over US asset reductions from Europe
100
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
The Caribbean may seem distant, but political shifts in the region will affect Europe as the US reasserts its dominance in the Americas. EU security projects in the region are one of the tools that can help safeguard European interests, argues @gspataf95.bsky.social. shorturl.at/pOENG
021
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Yesterday, the US indicted Raul Castro. Will a repeat of the Maduro playbook take place? In this @euiss.bsky.social brief I explain the possible evolution, the way actors in the region are adapting, and the stakes & options for the EU. Hint: it's directly linked to European security @ec.europa.eu
022
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
My latest brief on the major changes taking place in the Caribbean - why they matter to Europe, and where the EU can take meaningful action: @euiss.bsky.social
000
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
China’s critical raw material export squeeze has proven a powerful geo-economic weapon. What began as retaliation against US tariffs & tech restrictions is now a broader strategy to advance Beijing’s core interests. We propose an emergency plan ⤵️ 🔗 www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
1147
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Honored to contribute to the European Security Strategy. Together with @eudiplomacy.bsky.social & DG IDEA, we gathered experts yesterday to develop concrete recommendations for the EU to build the readiness, resilience & partnerships needed for a new security era.
274
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
My take for @euiss.bsky.social on the US posture changes announced over the weekend:
000
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
How the war in Iran impacts #EUdefence @gspataf95.bsky.social & @lscazzieri.bsky.social break down the risks, & what the EU should do now ⤵️
064
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
The war in Iran creates political, technical & economic pressures on Europe's rearmament, deepening a window of vulnerability that could encourage further Russian aggression, warns @lscazzieri.bsky.social & @gspataf95.bsky.social. ➡️ ow.ly/IQqN50YGtpu
022
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
@lscazzieri.bsky.social and I wrote a short commentary for @euiss.bsky.social assessing the damage of the US-Iran war for Europe - and suggesting a way to enhance the resilience of the continent's defence build-up. Read below:
011
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Pentagon & NATO say arms to Ukraine via PURL will keep flowing. But a prolonged Middle East war could strain US capacity to fulfill orders - posing serious risks for Europe & Ukraine, warns @gspataf95.bsky.social in Libertatea. Read the interview: www.libertatea.ro/stiri/giusep...
151
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Great to see my @euiss.bsky.social piece on "Foreign Policy First Presidency" in the @eucouncilpress.bsky.social Think Tank Review, among many other great reads :)
000
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Trump continues to speak of NATO as a separate entity rather than an alliance the US belongs to - "we helped NATO with Ukraine - now they need to help us." @gspataf95.bsky.social speaks to @npr.org about Trump's call for Europeans to help secure the Strait of Hormuz. www.npr.org/2026/03/17/n...
npr.org
Trump says Europeans should help secure the Strait of Hormuz. So far, they've refused
European leaders are rejecting President Trump's demand they send military assets to the Middle East to help open the Strait of Hormuz, which is being obstructed by Iran.
163
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
Kurt Bassuener @kurtbassuener.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
@gspataf95.bsky.social - good statement on US treating NATO as an external toolbox rather than an Alliance in which it is a member on @npr.org's Morning Edition and Brussels correspondent Teri Schultz. www.npr.org/2026/03/17/n...
npr.org
Trump says Europeans should help secure the Strait of Hormuz. So far, they've refused
European leaders are rejecting President Trump's demand they send military assets to the Middle East to help open the Strait of Hormuz, which is being obstructed by Iran.
112
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
A pleasure to host the #COTRA Working Party at @euiss.bsky.social HQ in Paris on Friday.
011
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
My latest thoughts on #EU-#NATO relations for @euiss.bsky.social :
020
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
Kori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
“The war with Iran is little more than the joint targeting process unleashed. The Frankenstein’s monster that is the operational level of war, unsatiated after eating strategy, is now feasting on policy”. @bafriedman.bsky.social
open.substack.com
Orphaned Tactics
Oops we did it again
13416115
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
#China is often seen as an unstoppable economic power. But Beijing is also increasingly fragile. New Chaillot Paper by @aligarciaherrero.bsky.social & @ruehlig.bsky.social argues the EU has more leverage than it thinks - and should use it strategically ➡️ ow.ly/1p0650Yq7EC
1114
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
EU Institute for Security Studies @euiss.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
⚙️ In 2025, Europe remained a major buyer of US weapons, but purchases fell significantly from 2024, suggesting early signs of reduced reliance. Individual EU countries, however, still top the rankings. Read more in @gspataf95.bsky.social's scrollytelling analysis: iss.europa.eu/publications...
Stacked bar chart titled "US Foreign Military Sales" showing annual major arms sales (in $ billions) by region from 2017 to 2025. The y-axis ranges from 0 to 160 billion dollars. Each bar is divided by region: Europe (largest share in yellow), Indo-Pacific (light green), MENA (green), Americas (blue), Africa and Central Asia (smallest segments at the top). Europe and the Indo-Pacific account for the largest portions in most years. Source: Major Arms Sales (via FMS) Notification Tracker 2026
0148
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
#MSC was better than last year for Europe, but many now openly say that trust in🇺🇸 is down. We have entered the age of low trust - which doesn't mean open tensions all the time, but a different benchmark
020
Reposted by Giuseppe Spatafora
YouGov @yougov.co.uk · 13/02/2026
🧵/ Our February European Political Monthly survey once again finds attitudes to the USA hitting new lows Net favourability of the USA in... 🇩🇪 -56 (down 5 from Jan) 🇫🇷 -52 (down 18) 🇮🇹 -43 (down 5) 🇪🇸 -41 (down 4) 🇬🇧 -41 (down 7) 🇵🇱 -5 (new) yougov.co.uk/internationa...
25121
Giuseppe Spatafora @gspataf95.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
I'm not going to the @munsecconf.bsky.social - but the 2026 #MSCreport is featuring @euiss.bsky.social CP "Low Trust: Navigating Transatlantic Relations under Trump 2.0" as part of its recommended reading list: securityconference.org/assets/02_Do...
000