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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH

@nswartwood.bsky.social
113 followers 84 following 91 posts

infectious disease modeller at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health an academic who barely has their life together mathematical models 🧮 bayesian statistics 📈 TB 🦠 & a sprinkle of random trivia 📚 and photos 📸 🌺 all opinions are my own 🍅

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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Peter MacPherson @petermacp.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
We found that #TB epidemics are becoming increasingly urbanised. Important implications for supporting effective public health interventions to end tuberculosis epidemics. 🧪 #MedSky @uofgshw.bsky.social @kchorton.bsky.social @nswartwood.bsky.social journals.plos.org/plosmedicine...
Graph of model predicted urban-to-rural TB prevalence between 2000 and 2024Graph showing predicted percentage of TB cases that were urban and rural between 2000 and 2024
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Ever had a day where you question your fundamental understanding of a basic concept you use near daily. I'm down a rabbit hole with different log/exp transformation in models. Throw your best articles/book chapters/anything else at me. 🛟
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
I am particularly curious what phrases academics across disciplines and career stages use to describe an individual with their HIV status attached (both + and -). 🛟 Do you use PLWH and PLWoH? PLWH and person living without HIV? HIV+/- population? Something else entirely? #AcademicSky
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
TIL you are supposed to write a new cover letter when submitting manuscript revisions. I've been a professional in academia for 8.5 years. Apologies to every editor who has received my submission cover letter and thank you for still accepting my manuscripts. 🫠 #AcademicSky
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Thank you to @troytassier.bsky.social for highlighting our work on COVID-19 waves (esp wrt the Strugis rally). Fun fact: I accidentally ended up at Sturgis once (pre-COVID) and I have the tattoo to prove it. It was so cramped and chaotic; I will never understand how 2020 attendees justified it.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Alt title: A love letter to anyone who tried to minimize concerns regarding Trump's reelection by claiming, "It's only four years." www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
The cover of lancet academic journal with the quote, "The destruction that Kennedy has wrought in 1 year might take generations to repair, and there is little hope for US health and science while he remains at the helm"
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Three years ago we set out to visualize and quantitatively examine the movement of SARS-CoV-2 leading up to the first two major COVID-19 waves in the US. Today all that hard work "hit the shelves" at PLOSCompBio. 🛟 Watch the spread (we have movies) and read more here: dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...
dx.plos.org
Quantifying the spatiotemporal dynamics of the first two epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States
Author summary In this work, we developed a set of tools and methods designed to produce high-resolution visualizations, as well as to quantify the complex and intricate patterns associated with the s...
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Anyone know why the GBD 2023 covariate files end at the letter "R"? Having trouble tracking down updated smoking and underweight prevalence data for a revision due too soon. 🛟 ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-...
ghdx.healthdata.org
Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (GBD 2023) Covariates 1980-2023 | GHDx
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
#ELI5 PhD applications in the US for applied math, biostatistics, and/or epidemiology. I'm in my 3rd application cycle with only a single interview over all years. I feel either I am fundamentally misunderstanding something or there's something about my profile that torpedos my chances. 🛟
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
every time I receive an email addressed to Dr. Swartwood another tiny piece of my soul dies.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
how many years in a row does one need to be rejected from all PhD programs before they can completely spiral out? Asking for a frenemy. (it’s me, I’m my own best advocate and enemy).
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I'm author on some upcoming systematic review manuscripts. Systematic reviews are often limited by language of the reviewers, but is AI the answer? Is its use going to improve public health? Below, I describe my experience and why I don't think it's the answer. 🛟🧪
aljazeera.com
AI’s growing thirst for water is becoming a public health risk
AI’s rapid expansion is placing growing pressure on water supplies and public health.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Any BRMS gurus out there that can help me with my covariate analysis using a multivariate model? #stats #stan discourse.mc-stan.org/t/covariate-...
discourse.mc-stan.org
Covariate impact on the ratio of dependent variables in BRMS multivariate model
I am using a multivariate specification in brms to model two correlated outcomes, (y_1, y_2) jointly. However, the outcome of interest is actually y_1/y_2, which is calculated after model run. I am in...
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 14/12/2025
In case anyone needs last minute gift ideas for the public health academic in their life: cognitive-surplus.com/collections/...
cognitive-surplus.com
A Prayer for Grant Funding Cocktail Candle
You’ve filled out stacks and stacks of paperwork, you’ve submitted more proposals than you can count. You’ve stayed up into the wee hours of the morning to just revise your submission one last time be...
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
Does anyone in US public health🛟 or @iddjobs.org world have any part time work? I'm looking for at least 9 hours of work at a non-profit or university so I don't lose my progress toward Public Student Loan Forgiveness.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
we have to bring TB into the discussion of climate change and climate change into TB programs. The vulnerabilities are shared. We should be designing interventions that improve resilience to both. A huge thank you to Matthew Saunders for his fantastic presentation at #UnionConf2025
PowerPoint slide illustrating three plots showing the relationship of country-level climate change vulnerability and tb incidence
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Gretchen McCulloch @gretchenmcculloch.com · 21/11/2025
Heepity jeepity Curated poetry Makes LLMs do what- Ever you want Single-turn jailbreaking Vulnerability Bypass your guardrails and Serve us some cunt
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
come learn how TB varies across urban and rural areas via estimates based on data across the last three decades! #UnionConf2025
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
“Tuberculosis has become a metaphor for everything wrong with…and everything right about Public Health today.” - @johngreensbluesky.bsky.social #UnionConf2025
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
come stop by my ePoster today at the #UnionConf2025 to find out if men or women experience TB at a higher rate in LMICs. The answer may just surprise you… 🛟
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Only I could go chasing hygge in Copenhagen, going so far as picking a cafe that bans laptops, and end up wedged between two groups discussing graduate school aspiration and professional resume building. I hear you universe, I’ll get my act together.
Traditional Danish plate on a cafe table next to a sticker that says, “no fucking laptops”
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Washington State Department of Health @doh.wa.gov · 29/10/2025
Impacts to food access can have severe effects on public health. Find the latest #SNAP updates from DSHS. www.dshs.wa.gov/sites/defaul...
nfographic on the impact of a federal government shutdown on SNAP (food assistance) in Washington State. It states that nearly 1 million Washingtonians are at risk of losing assistance starting November 1. It breaks down the affected population: 930,000 total, 1 in 3 are elderly or disabled, 33% are children, and 30,000 are veterans. The infographic also shows the strain on the emergency food system, noting a record high of 13 million visits to food pantries in Washington in 2024 and that 1 in 4 residents visited a food pantry in the last year.Infographic detailing the negative economic impact of the SNAP cutoff on Washington's economy. It projects a loss of more than $285 million in economic activity, with every $1 of SNAP spending generating $1.54 locally. A map shows the state's most-impacted areas are the deep interior and rural regions. A table lists the Estimated Loss in Economic Activity by Congressional District, with District 4 losing $29,712,000 and District 10 losing $30,655,000. It also notes other impacts, including increased food insecurity, longer wait times for public assistance, and potential staffing issues at DSHS offices starting November 4.
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Ruth Ann Crystal @drruth.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
NEW: Vaccine Preventable Disease Outbreaks, Global Tracker Shanghai: RSV Moscow: Chicken pox & Measles Prague: Hep A Mexico City: Measles (>5,000 cases) Southern US: Measles, Pertussis Alaska: Pertussis Peru: Pertussis h/t @angierasmussen.bsky.social @monscience.bsky.social #medsky #pedsky 🛟😷🧪
Map showing vaccine preventable diseases across the world. See text above for more information.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Matthew Saunders @mjsaunder.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
“Wow, I saw in the last GTB report undernutrition is much less important for TB than we previously thought” I hear you say… Well, no. We think this is an underestimate, & as much as 28% of TB could be attributable to undernutrition – see our latest comment here: www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
thelancet.com
Tuberculosis and undernutrition: improving estimates to reinforce the policy imperative
Undernutrition is a key driver of the global tuberculosis epidemic, increasing the risk of people developing tuberculosis disease and of poor outcomes in those who do.1 Each year, WHO publishes estima...
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 08/10/2025
I wonder if this push will expand to three vaccines over three visits, resulting in two additional revenue generating visits for the same protection…
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Public health and science professionals in the US - what are some small actions you've taken to feel less hopeless in the current political climate? I've started a few small reoccurring donations, but looking to move beyond monetary contributions. 🛟🧪
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Hello #IDsky - as PhD application season (in the US) rolls around, I'm asking for any leads for mathematical modeling labs that may be looking for students. I've got 8 years professional experience in transmission modeling and strong Bayesian background. Please let me know if you know of anything! 🛟
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
John Skiles Skinner @skiles.blue · 17/08/2025
A terrorist targeted federal workers last week. There wasn’t much reporting on it. But I’m not finished thinking about it! 🧵 An anti-vaxxer fired more than 500 gunshots into CDC Atlanta, shattering 150 “blast-proof” windows on 6 buildings. Employees were pinned down in terror.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Melanie A. Kiechle @melaniekiechle.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
While I would prefer that my historical research have less relevance, please read and consider what it was like to fall ill and die before germ theory. #histmed 🗃️ nursingclio.org/2025/07/21/d...
nursingclio.org
Dying Before Germ Theory
As RFK questions germ theory, and measles ravages unvaccinated children, Americans need to know what is at risk. Americans died at higher rates and younger ages before the introduction of germ theo…
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
TRAstonDrs @castltrastondrs.medsky.network · 22/07/2025
#Medsky🧪 #IDsky #Neurosky #Neurocovid #immunology #publichealth @nature.com A study of nearly 1,000 people revealed that brain ageing was not associated with viral infection status, particularly #SARSCoV2 virus, but cognitive decline was. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
People’s brains aged faster during the COVID pandemic — even the uninfected
Study of nearly 1,000 people showed that brain ageing was not linked to infection status, but cognitive decline was.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
MJ of Everything is Public Health Production @everythingisph.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
crime is a public health issue and should be treated as such. police respond to crime, they do not lower it.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Scott McGrath @smcgrath.phd · 22/07/2025
🧪 New research confirms climate change is a primary driver of worsening forest fires. The likelihood of extreme fire weather has doubled since the preindustrial era, contributing to a dramatic increase in burned forest area globally. #Climate #Fires
nytimes.com
Climate Change Is Making Fire Weather Worse for World’s Forests
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Onyi Arah, MD, DSc, PhD @oacarah.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
www.nature.com/articles/d41... #papermills #openaccessdata #AI #publichealth
nature.com
Low-quality papers based on public health data are flooding the scientific literature
The appearance of thousands of formulaic biomedical studies has been linked to the rise of text-generating AI tools.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Stand Up for Science! @standupforscience.net · 18/07/2025
The Trump admin is erasing critical federal data - including climate trends, water quality, wildfire risk, public health stats, and pollution monitoring. When the data goes dark, the American lives are at risk. This is how To Sabatoge A Nation👇 zurl.co/slECM
zurl.co
Trump’s Cuts Are Making Federal Data Disappear
Online tools that professionals use for everything from diagnosing diseases to calculating insurance payouts are going dark.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Jennifer Nuzzo, DrPH, SM @jennifernuzzo.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
There is evidence that 100 year hazards, like floods, are now happening more like every 1 to 30 years. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Climate change exacerbates hurricane flood hazards along US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts in spatially varying patterns - Nature Communications
Tropical cyclone-induced coastal flooding will increase under climate change. Here the authors estimate the effects of sea level rise and tropical cyclone climatology change on late–21st–century flood...
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
NPR @npr.org · 08/07/2025
The deadly floods in Central Texas were caused by extremely heavy rain. Climate change is causing even more rain to fall during the heaviest storms.
n.pr
Floods are getting more dangerous around the country, not just in Texas
The deadly floods in Central Texas were caused by extremely heavy rain. Climate change is causing even more rain to fall during the heaviest storms.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Amy Diehl, Ph.D. @amydiehl.bsky.social · 07/07/2025
In a study of professors, women got 378 new work requests over 4 weeks vs 118 for men. Women spent more time on service, advising & teaching; men on research. Orgs should track who is taking extra duties & ensure they are rewarded and distributed fairly. www.forbes.com/sites/kimels...
forbes.com
Being Too Helpful At Work Can Hurt Your Career—Here’s How To Say No
Women are more likely to take on behind-the-scenes duties at work—extra tasks like onboarding or event planning—and it's hurting their careers. Here's how to say no.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Maxwell Smith, PhD @maxwellsmith.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
"This country has lost the most basic of all freedoms: the freedom that comes from being healthy." - RFK You know what protects and promotes people's health? Public health. Access to health care/health insurance. Health research. The very things the Trump administration is gutting.
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Kathleen Bachynski @bachynski.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
“Over the past several months, the project has engaged more than 80 stakeholders, including clinicians, academics, public health officials, insurers &industry leaders, to assess how nongovernmental actors can defend vaccine science&use at a time when official public health channels are under stress”
statnews.com
The U.S. government is failing on vaccine policy. The Vaccine Integrity Project is here to help
The Vaccine Integrity Project will convene experts to assess the evidence on influenza, RSV, and Covid-19 to equip clinicians with reliable, evidence-based information.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 04/07/2025
As I cook my camping breakfast over and open fire, I find myself reflecting on the millions of women who use indoor cookstoves daily for their food preparation. These stoves are a source of indoor air pollution, a risk factor for many diseases, including TB.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
shout out to the car rental person in Eau Claire airport who just casually dropped „that’s our free health care” while the blue angels were doing their test flights for this weekends air show. #whereisthelie
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
logging off 💕
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
I think this means there should be absolutely no debate at my #SMDM25 presentation this afternoon, right?
Fortune cookie fortune reading you are the very definition of trustworthy.
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 15/06/2025
only 24 hours behind our original departure time but Miss Lemma and I are on our way to #SMDM25 Ann Arbor here we come!
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Reposted by Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH
Stand Up for Science! @standupforscience.net · 09/06/2025
(5/5) 🚨 It’s time to flood the zone. NIH scientists just took a huge risk speaking out. Now it’s our turn. 📜 Read the Bethesda Declaration ✍️ Sign the Public Letter of Support 👯‍♀️Follow NIHers doing the work: @nihvigils.bsky.social Read and sign here 👉 www.standupforscience.net/bethesda-dec...
standupforscience.net
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Nicole Anne Swartwood, MSPH @nswartwood.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
This is absolutely not normal. not okay. Protesting is not insurrection.
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twolf10 @twolf1.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
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TBFighters @tbfighters.org · 09/06/2025
Need help calling your representatives about the rescissions package? Join one of our advocacy sessions this week! These sessions are open to anyone as a space to get help contacting your representatives or get support doing other forms of advocacy. tbfighter.link/calendar
"Join an advocacy session to tell Congress to vote ""NO"" on codifying foreign aid cuts. Monday, June 9th at 9pm ET. Tuesday, June 10th at 7pm ET. Wednesday, June 11th at 7pm ET. Thursday, June 12th at 9pm ET. Friday, June 13th at 7pm ET. Join using the link above."
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Saint of Faggotry @omegalevelthreat24.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
This pride month, start throwing bricks again.
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