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Micaela Wannefors

@mwannefors.bsky.social
69 followers 58 following 3 posts

PhD student at the Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University. Prevention, prediction, causal inference.

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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Corinne Bara @corinnebara.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Valerie and I jokingly called this “our Nature article” when we first had the idea. And then it actually became one. With an absolute A-team of co-authors, we show what we gain when we integrate satellite-derived data with news-based data for conflict research. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Advancing conflict research and response through satellite-derived data - Nature
Integrating satellite-derived war-damage data with text-based fatality records through improvement, enrichment and fusion mitigates limitations inherent in each source, revealing complex vio...
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Corinne Bara @corinnebara.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
New publication in @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social with @realmps.bsky.social. Do ceasefires live up to the hopes placed in them to stop civilian suffering? We find they can reduce civilian targeting. This, however, mostly happens when at least one side gets military support... doi.org/10.1093/jopr...
doi.org
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Micaela Wannefors @mwannefors.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Excited to join the #DemscoreConference2026💡I present work with @hannahhfrank.bsky.social and Thomas Schincariol on predicting true onset and close calls using their #ShapeFinder. 📉 On the same panel as David Cunningham, @desireenilsson.bsky.social & @magnusoberg.bsky.social 🎯 @demscore.bsky.social
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
🎓 Today, our research community had the joy of hearing Maxine Leis impressive defence of her dissertation ‘Signals of Violence, Patterns of Flight: Predicting and Explaining Conflict-Related Mobility’. Please join us in congratulating Maxine! Read 60-page summary (kappa): urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=...
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Graham Macklin @grahammacklin.bsky.social · 02/11/2025
New article on “The Relational Dynamics of Violence Escalation and Inhibition During Far-Right Protest Waves” by Joel Busher, Julia Ebner, Zsófia Hacsek, Gareth Harris and myself in the latest issue of “American Behavioral Scientist”:
journals.sagepub.com
The Relational Dynamics of Violence Escalation and Inhibition During Far-Right Protest Waves - Joel Busher, Julia Ebner, Zsófia Hacsek, Gareth Harris, Graham Macklin, 2025
This article examines how interactions between far-right protestors, counter-protestors and other actors, including the police, lead towards and away from viole...
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Dagens Arena @dagensarena.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
DEBATT | Det är vårt ansvar att yttra oss, skriver 122 experter inom fred, säkerhet, utveckling, folkrätt och mänskliga rättigheter. www.dagensarena.se/opinion/sver...
dagensarena.se
Sverige lever inte upp till internationella åtaganden att förhindra folkmord | Dagens Arena
Det är vårt ansvar att yttra oss, skriver 122 experter.
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Associate Professor Johan Brosché testified for a full day in a historic war crimes trial – the Lundin Oil trial. Johan discusses this experience in a new interview. 👉 www.uu.se/en/news/2025... 📷by Mikael Wallerstedt
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
🎙️In an interview for Swedish radio P1, Professor Erik Melander discusses how we can build a durable #peace in Europe. What can we learn from the end of #WW2 in #Europe 80 years ago? 👇
sverigesradio.se
Så bygger vi en hållbar fred - P1 Morgon
Det har gått 80 år sedan andra världskriget tog slut och det firades på gatorna i stora delar av Europa. Men trots paroller som Aldrig mera krig och FN:s ...
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Emma Elfversson @emmaelfversson.bsky.social · 24/04/2025
Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? Me and @rokon-uddin.bsky.social study this question in a newly published article in @intlinteractions.bsky.social. A key takeaway: Postwar urban violence is not just a continuation of war. doi.org/10.1080/0305... (1/5)
doi.org
Unpacking Urban (Dis)Continuities of Postwar Violence
Which cities become arenas for violent contestation after war? A growing literature has documented how conflict-related violence often continues after the formal end of armed conflict, and also tha...
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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 23/04/2025
You are here. We've breached 430 ppm CO2. #climatechange
Graph of CO2 concentrations for the past 800,000 years from the Antarctic ice cores, showing current CO2 levels of 430 ppm are far, far higher than any level over this period, which never exceeded 300 ppm. Also shown is the emergence of Homo sapiens around 200,000 years ago -- so CO2 levels are higher than we've ever experienced.
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Sebastian van Baalen @sebastianvanbaalen.se · 19/03/2025
One of Bluesky’s great advantages are the many creative feeds that exist. This one is a new favorite: it shows you posts about new papers and articles from accounts you follow. An academic’s dream! Thanks for creating this @paper-feed.bsky.social 🌟
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Micaela Wannefors @mwannefors.bsky.social · 12/03/2025
Two PhD positions 🎓🎓 at our department announced - best place to be! 🎯✨
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
We are now receiving applications for one fully funded PhD position in peace and conflict research, with a focus on political violence in democratic countries. Read more 👉 www.uu.se/en/about-uu/... Applications are also open for our general PhD position👉 www.uu.se/en/about-uu/... #PhD #Democracy
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 21/02/2025
Our Professor @isaksvensson.bsky.social was interviewed on Swedish national radio P1 yesterday. Isak drew on his expertise in negotiations to discuss the pre-negotiations in Ukraine and Trump's previous negotiation attempts. 👇 www.sverigesradio.se/artikel/trum...
sverigesradio.se
Trumps sändebud träffar Zelenskyj - Studio Ett
Idag ska Donald Trumps Ukraina-sändebud Keith Kellog träffa landets Volodymyr Zelenskyj. Detta sker ungefär ett dygn efter att Donald Trump kallade Zelenskyj ...
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 18/02/2025
In the latest episode of Researching Peace, we look at current threats to democracy and ask if the internet and social media have turned against democracy. Joining us from Norway is Espen Geelmuyden Rød. 🎧 Listen 👉 www.podbean.com/eas/pb-636j6...
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Jonas Tallberg @jonastallberg.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
We are advertising a PhD student position in polisci for research on democracy, autocracy, and international cooperation. Come join a great team on a critical question of our times! Deadline: 6 February👇 www.su.se/english/abou...
su.se
PhD Student Positions - Stockholm University
PhD Student Positions
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 01/02/2025
I just posted a new notebook: Causal Inference with the 𝚖𝚊𝚛𝚐𝚒𝚗𝚊𝚕𝚎𝚏𝚏𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚜 📦 for #Rstats. It introduces the idea of G-Computation and tries to demystify the differences between ATE, ATT, and ATU. This is a first draft and I would looove any feedback! marginaleffects.com/chapters/gco...
marginaleffects.com
8  Causal inference with G-computation – Model to Meaning
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Micaela Wannefors @mwannefors.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
One of the guiding starts at our department 🌟 @johanbrosche.bsky.social
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
UCDP Candidate Events Data are now available for the full year 2024 at ucdp.uu.se/downloads/ This map shows lethal events of organized violence at the PRIO-GRID level (download pdf for better resolution) tinyurl.com/2yrz97va
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Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 19/12/2024
Stockholm University's Political Science department is hiring two PhD students: one open position and one project position with an orientation towards International Relations and Comparative Politics. The deadline is February 6th! Join us! Open position: www.su.se/english/abou...
su.se
PhD Student Positions - Stockholm University
PhD Student Positions
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Ashok Swain @ashoswai.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
We are hiring a Senior Lecturer (tenured Associate Professor) and an Associate Senior Lecturer (tenure-track Assistant Professor). Our department is the oldest, largest, and the leading department of peace and conflict research in the world. www.uu.se/en/about-uu/... www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...
uu.se
Associate Senior Lecturer in Peace and Conflict Research - Uppsala University
Associate Senior Lecturer in Peace and Conflict Research, Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, Uppsala University
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Reposted by Micaela Wannefors
Hanne Fjelde @hannefjelde.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
So incredibly happy and grateful to the Wallenberg foundation for the opportunity to pursue this research agenda for the next five years! More news to come! 🥳
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Glad Lucia! 🕯️ Happy Saint Lucy's Day! Yesterday, our first-year master's students received a mid-lecture Lucia procession. In accordance with department tradition, members of our staff surprised the students with song, goodies and cheer! 🍬
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