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Magnus Öberg

@magnusoberg.bsky.social
999 followers 279 following 32 posts

Director of the Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social Posts are personal and do not represent the UCDP or Uppsala University

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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 13h
Now open access www.armscontrol.org/act/2026-09/...
armscontrol.org
A New Arms Control Tool | Arms Control Association
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
New article in Arms Control Today with Siri Jansson introducing the Alva Myrdal Center Data Portal containing datasets, visualisation tools, and an encyclopedia describing 129 arms control agreements since 1817. Visit the portal at amcdata.uu.se/en @uupeace.bsky.social @isaksvensson.bsky.social
New article in Arms Control Today introducing the Alva Myrdal Center Data Portal containing datasets, visualisation tools, and an encyclopedia covering 129 arms control agreements since 1817.
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UNITED24 Media @united24media.com · 07/07/2026
⚡️ The IOC is dropping its ban on Russian athletes, letting sports federations decide if they can compete under their national flag again.
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Seminar today in Visby on the effect of organized violence on civilian population with @erikmelander.bsky.social from the National Defense University and Malin Dahlberg Markstedt from OperationAid. Here are three numbers from my presentation... 1/3 @uupeace.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Pratar om effekter av väpnade konflikter på civilbefolkningen, bla i Ukraina, med Professor Erik Melander Försvarshögskolan, och Malin Dahlberg Markstedt, Generaldirektör, OperationAid @erikmelander.bsky.social Onsdag 14:15-15:00, Sal B24, Cramérgatan 3 almedalsveckan.info/rg/almedalsv...
almedalsveckan.info
Hur påverkas civilbefolkningen av fortsatt höga konfliktnivåer i världen?
Våldsnivån i världen ökat dramatiskt på senare år. Många civila dör direkt av våldet i konfliktdrabbade områden, men många fler påverkas av indirekta effekter. Vad säger forskningen om konflikternas k...
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
At the Data for Peace 2026 conference. Panel on women’s role in early warning
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
📢New UCDP datasets available through our API! Version 26.1 is live across all core UCDP datasets, including a brand new addition: UCDP Organized Violence Country-Year Dataset, which provides country-year aggregations based on the UCDP GED. ucdp.uu.se/apidocs/ ucdp.uu.se/downloads/
ucdp.uu.se
UCDP Application Programming Interface (API)
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
www.dailymail.com/sciencetech/...
dailymail.com
Brink of World War 3? Number of conflicts at highest since WWII
The number of conflicts between states has reached its highest level since the end of World War II, an ominous study has revealed.
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 03/01/2026
All three statements are true at the same time—
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
The datasets covering the year 2025 from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) have now been released. Read more 👉 www.uu.se/en/news/2026... The datasets are available through the UCDP website 👉 www.uu.se/en/departmen... Detailed analysis in Journal of Peace Research 👉 doi.org/10.1093/jopr...
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
Organized violence 1989–2025, and violent political protests academic.oup.com/jpr/article/...
academic.oup.com
Organized violence 1989–2025, and violent political protests
Abstract. This article examines global trends in organized violence from 1989 to 2025 using new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). In 2025
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
www.npr.org/2026/06/09/n...
npr.org
Conflicts on rise globally, highest level since WWII, data shows
Global conflicts surged to the highest number tallied by Uppsala Conflict Data Program. Fatalities were the highest on record since 1994, with approximately 244,600 people killed in conflict in 2025.
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
www.dn.se/varlden/ny-r...
dn.se
Ny rapport: Rekordmånga konflikter mellan stater
Nästan en kvarts miljon människor dödades i krig och konflikter under 2025, som blev det näst värsta året sedan folkmordet i Rwanda 1994,
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Micaela Wannefors @mwannefors.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Excited to join the #DemscoreConference2026💡I present work with @hannahhfrank.bsky.social and Thomas Schincariol on predicting true onset and close calls using their #ShapeFinder. 📉 On the same panel as David Cunningham, @desireenilsson.bsky.social & @magnusoberg.bsky.social 🎯 @demscore.bsky.social
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The Economist @economist.com · 01/06/2026
Political leaders, despite all the evidence, still seem in thrall to the dangerous delusion that tech will provide the knock-out blow on the battlefield econ.st/43D62Ne Illustration: Patrick Ledger
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Scenic vistas today. A wellcome contrast to world affairs.
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 18/03/2026
We do not have to live in a world where over 1,300 children die from a preventable disease every day. Malaria is one of the leading causes of child deaths, but progress is possible — and you can contribute to it.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
V-Dem Dataset v16 is out! The dataset includes several hundred indicators along with five indices that measure a country’s overall degree of democracy, according to different definitions of democracy. V-Dem Steering Committee comments on the new data and U.S. ratings: v-dem.net/release-stat... 1(2)
A graph showing a comparison of V-Dem's Electoral Democracy index scores in 2015 and 2025. The graph shows that there are many more countries that have lower scores in 2025 compared to 2015 than there are countries with higher scores. The graph also shows that most countries are about as democratic in 2025 as they were in 2015.
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V-Dem Institute @vdeminstitute.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026 💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d... 📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications... 📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra... #PoliSky #PoliSciSky 1/3
Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025. 
In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.
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Seanan McGuire @seananmcguire.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
It's easy to be concerned about vaccines when you stop being concerned about viruses. You can only stop being concerned about viruses in a world with vaccines.
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.
Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.
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Our World in Data @ourworldindata.org · 31/01/2026
William Foege and his colleagues’ contributions are credited with saving millions, if not tens of millions of lives. (This Data Insight was written by @hannahritchie.bsky.social.) Read more about the history of smallpox on our dedicated topic page: ourworldindata.org/smallpox
ourworldindata.org
Smallpox
Humanity eradicated this infectious disease globally. How was this possible?
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
www.dn.se/debatt/har-a...
dn.se
DN Debatt. ”Här är det snabbaste sättet att hindra Rysslands expansion”
DN Debatt. EU kan finansiera Ukrainastöd genom liten avgiftshöjning enligt nationalekonomen Daniel Waldenström.
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
In an article for the Telegraph, Magnus Öberg and Therese Pettersson, both from @ucdp.bsky.social, discuss how indirect deaths from war far exceed the fatalities recorded in conflict datasets. www.telegraph.co.uk/global-healt...
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
🎉 UCDP Research Coordinator Therese Pettersson has been named to Clarivate’s 2025 “Highly Cited Researchers” list. This is likely the first time a researcher from our department has received this distinction. Congratulations Therese and the entire @ucdp.bsky.social team on this achievement! 💪
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Anton Gerashchenko @antongerashchenko.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Completely agree. The fates of Ukraine and Europe are linked. European security system will be destroyed without Ukraine.
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Marcus Larsson @skolinkvisition.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
Ny rapport om högskolornas budget: Det statliga "produktivitetsavdraget" innebär effektiviseringskrav på 1-2 % av budgeten/år. Idag har högskolorna 40 % mindre resurser per elev än för 30 år sedan, vilket minskat den lärarledda undervisningen drastiskt. tankesmedjanbalans.se/ny-rapport-o...
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Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Coming very soon! DEMSCORE v6 offers new updates from UCDP, REPDEM, and VIEWS, and a new thematic dataset. @ucdp.bsky.social @qoginstitute.bsky.social @vdeminstitute.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org ‬‬ @repdem-org.bsky.social #polisky #PoliSkyData #PoliSciSky #SocialScience #SocialScienceData 1(3)
Decorative image of an ocean shore with the text Coming soon: Demscore version 6.
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Staffan I Lindberg /V-Dem Institute @silindberg.bsky.social · 21/09/2025
www.svd.se/a/gw5WxB/for...
svd.se
Efter beskedet: ”USA inte längre en demokrati”
Trump vill styra hur medier rapporterar om försvarshögkvarteret Pentagon. Beskedet ses som ett i raden av exempel på hur pressfriheten undermineras. ”USA befinner sig väl ungefär där Erdogans Turkiet ...
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
Mapping global violence: The Uppsala Conflict Data Program: One Earth www.cell.com/one-earth/fu...
cell.com
Mapping global violence: The Uppsala Conflict Data Program
This Primer presents the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), a leading source of data on armed conflict. It describes UCDP’s core data and the types of source materials used, highlighting key constr...
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UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
Since we first advertised these postdoctoral positions, the project looking at political violence in democracies has unfortunately become even timelier. Apply now to join this important project led by distinguished Professor @hannefjelde.bsky.social. Apply by 1 October: www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 17/09/2025
Top three most read articles in Journal of Peace Research right now😃
List of most read articles in Journal of Peace Rsearch right now, showing the top three articles being from Uppsala Conflict Data Program
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Israeli military's own data shows 83% of deaths in Gaza were civilians. UCDP's Therese Pettersson calls the ratio "unusually high", comparable to Rwanda 1994 and Mariupol 2022. This article highlights immense civilian suffering and raises questions about the reliability of wartime casualty data.
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Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
🏆We are happy to announce that #DEMSCORE has received the 𝗟𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗼𝗰𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘆 & 𝗦𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗶𝗰𝘆 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟱 Award, in the framework of Acquisition International’s Non-Profit Organisation Award 2025🎉 #SocialScienceData #SocialScience #PolDataSky #PoliSkyData #PoliSciSky #PoliSky #AcademicSky 1(3)
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Allard Duursma @allardduursma.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
Armed conflicts involve governments, rebel groups, militias, communal factions, and foreign forces — all interacting in complex ways. The result? A web of violence that can feel overwhelming to understand. That's why we launch the Conflict Networks Explorer peaceobservatory.com/conflict-networks
peaceobservatory.com
Peace Observatory
Peace observatory website.
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Hanne Fjelde @hannefjelde.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
I am hiring! 1-2 post-docs to join my project on political violence in democracies at @uupeace.bsky.social!
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Research & Politics @respol.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
What drives differences between the conflict events datasets UCDP and ACLED? Contrary to previous claims, @magnusoberg.bsky.social and Mert Can Yilmaz find most differences are due to auxiliary coding rules and standards for source evaluation, not sourcing strategies or inclusion thresholds.
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
… we show that most of the differences are due to auxiliary coding rules, standards for source evaluation and misrepresentations of UCDP data in the Raleigh et al article (4/4)
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
… and how strategies for dealing with uncertainty and ambiguity impact the data. Contrary to Raleigh et al claims, the differences between ACLED and UCDP are not primarily due to differences in sourcing or inclusion thresholds. Analyzing the same cases … (3/4)
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
In the article, we investigate their claims about what drives differences between UCDP and ACLED. In the process we address some general issues arising in event data collection, including the importance of stable definitions, how demands on sourcing varies with the type of data collected, … (2/4)
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 30/07/2025
My new article with Mert Can Yilmaz out in Research & Politics! An investigation into what does drive differences between UCDP and ACLED data and a response to a series of unfounded claims made by Clionadh Raleigh et al in a 2023 article. (1/4) Read it here doi.org/10.1177/2053...
doi.org
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
Presenterade den dystra omvärldsutvecklingen, de ökande konfliktnivåerna med data från Uppsala konfliktdataprogram @ucdp.bsky.social , och diskuterade framtidsutsikter med @erikmelander.bsky.social i Almedalen. #Almedalen
Bild av Magnus Öberg & erik Melander i Almedalen som presenterar utvecklingen av organiserat våld i världen
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 17/06/2025
Since 2010, the number of conflicts involving states has almost doubled, and the total number of deaths has increased five-fold. Read more about the new UCDP data in this @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social open access article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Organized violence 1989–2024, and the challenges of identifying civilian victims - Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg, Magnus Öberg, 2025
This article examines global trends in organized violence based on new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP). In 2024, the number of state-based ar...
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U.S. Institute of Peace @usip.org · 13/06/2025
👋 Hello, we're the United States Institute of Peace (USIP)! We are very happy to join @bsky.app, and thrilled to announce that our website, www.usip.org, is back online! We look forward connecting here and bringing you useful content, resources and opportunities for peacebuilders around the world.
Message and screenshot of the www.usip.org homepage, featuring a photo of the USIP headquarters building.
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Magnus Öberg @magnusoberg.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
www.dn.se/varlden/rapp...
dn.se
Rapport: Svårare att avgöra om dödsoffer är civila eller stridande
Det har blivit allt svårare att avgöra om dödsfall i konflikter är civila eller stridande, visar en ny rapport.
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Journal of Peace Research @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
The full analysis by Shawn Davies, Therése Pettersson, Margareta Sollenberg and @magnusoberg.bsky.social (all @uupeace.bsky.social) is open access in Journal of Peace Research – read it here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
New data from UCDP shows the highest number of active conflicts ever recorded, press release found here: www.eurekalert.org/news-release...
eurekalert.org
UCDP: Sharp increase in conflicts and wars
The number of armed conflicts in the world reached a historic high in 2024. This is shown by new data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) at Uppsala University. Despite a marginal decrease i...
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Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · 10/06/2025
Right now at the #DemscoreConference: Final panel - How to deal with uncertainty in #conflict data collection and forecasting? @uupeace.bsky.social @ucdp.bsky.social @viewsforecasting.org‬‬‬ @uupeace.bsky.social ‬ #SocialScience #Polisky #PoliSciSky #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky 🧵1(3)
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Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
#DemscoreConference Panel 3: Measurements, Methods, & Infrastructures @paulbederke.bsky.social, @magnusoberg.bsky.social, & Melina Liethmann (@demscore.bsky.social) discuss current problems and solutions for data merging, with examples from #PartyFacts, #UppsalaConflictDataProgram, and #Demscore 1/2
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Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
My institution will not concede to the lawless and unwarranted retaliation of the Trump administration. In addition to terrorizing our students, this is just the latest in a string of actions meant to destroy Harvard and reshape all of US higher ed in Trump's image. www.harvard.edu/president/ne...
harvard.edu
Supporting Our International Students and Scholars
We have just filed a complaint and a motion for a temporary restraining order will follow. As we pursue legal remedies, we will do everything in our power to support our students and scholars. We have...
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