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Moritz S. Graefrath

@moritz-graefrath.com
259 followers 317 following 34 posts

AP International Security @ou.edu | NRF @defpriorities.bsky.social Great Power Politics, Grand Strategy moritz-graefrath.com

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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 18/09/2026
We are hiring for an open-rank, tenure-track position holding the ConocoPhillips Endowed Professorship of Chinese and Asian Studies! If you work on on Chinese politics/political economy, Chinese foreign policy, and/or China’s role in IR, send us your file: apply.interfolio.com/192490
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Foreign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 28/08/2026
“Europe will not take responsibility for its own conventional defense unless the United States withdraws troops,” write Jennifer Kavanagh and Justin Logan.
foreignaffairs.com
Leave Europe to the Europeans
The case for a U.S. military drawdown.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 28/08/2026
Accommodation is an important strategy in a great power’s toolkit and can be a prudent choice under the right circumstances. On both Ukraine and Taiwan, Washington has good reason to embrace it. See my latest policy paper for @defpriorities.bsky.social here:
defensepriorities.org
Accommodation: An underutilized strategy for great-power rivals - Defense Priorities
Key points Accommodation—making concessions to rival powers in order to avoid conflict—is an underappreciated great-power strategy, not the strategic folly […]
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World Politics Review @wpr.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Chancellor Friedrich Merz has pledged to build Europe’s strongest conventional army, with a target of 460,000 troops by 2035. But with volunteers scarce, Berlin now faces a choice between mandatory service and scaling back, @moritz-graefrath.com writes.
wpr.pub
Germany’s Military Recruitment Crisis Is About to Test Berlin’s Rhetoric
Germany wants Europe’s strongest army. But with its voluntary recruitment drive failing, Berlin now faces two unattractive choices.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 14/08/2026
Germany's voluntary military service model has proven ineffective. What comes next is far from obvious—and will reveal more about Berlin’s view of the world than any speech or strategy document. See my latest briefing for @wpr.bsky.social:
worldpoliticsreview.com
Germany’s Military Recruitment Crisis Is About to Test Berlin’s Rhetoric
Germany wants Europe’s strongest army. But with its voluntary recruitment drive failing, Berlin now faces two unattractive choices.
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Gesine Weber @gesineweber.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
"The real issue is that the administration is not serious about disengaging from the continent." warontherocks.com/misguided-an...
warontherocks.com
Misguided and Misunderstood: Trump’s Approach to U.S. Troops in Europe
For many observers, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s speech on the future of NATO, delivered in Brussels on June 18, 2026, constituted a perfect
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 04/07/2026
In our latest, @benjaminfriedman.bsky.social and I argue that the Trump administration has the wrong approach in Europe—not, as many say, because it pushes to withdraw from the continent, but precisely because it is *not* serious about disengaging from Europe. warontherocks.com/misguided-an...
warontherocks.com
Misguided and Misunderstood: Trump’s Approach to U.S. Troops in Europe
For many observers, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s speech on the future of NATO, delivered in Brussels on June 18, 2026, constituted a perfect
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
The Trump administration has the wrong approach to Europe, not because troops are heading home, but because they're leverage in a spending fight. warontherocks.com/2026/07/misg...
warontherocks.com
Misguided and Misunderstood: Trump’s Approach to U.S. Troops in Europe
For many observers, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s speech on the future of NATO, delivered in Brussels on June 18, 2026, constituted a perfect
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Jeff Colgan @jeffcolgan.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
The war on Iran was the right idea and USA just needed to bomb harder. That's the wrongheaded conclusion Bret Stephens comes to, continuing a Vietnam War-like tradition of refusing to learn from experience or evidence www.nytimes.com/2026/06/16/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | Iran Found Trump’s Bone Spur
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Micah @rincewind.run · 21/04/2026
surely no army in military history has ever been laid low by disease, a famously uncommon problem among people living in enforced close quarters
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 24/02/2026
Europe can defend itself without the United States. @gesineweber.bsky.social and I call on European leaders to overcome their defeatism and nostalgia for a transatlantic past that won't return—and lay out a path to strategic autonomy. warontherocks.com/2026/02/brea...
warontherocks.com
Breaking Europe’s Trans-Atlantic Habit: The End of the Senior Partner Myth
When U.S. President Donald Trump floated the possibility of taking Greenland by force, European leaders reacted with outrage — and then, almost
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Gesine Weber @gesineweber.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Remember when Rutte said Europe should stop dreaming about defending itself? Moritz Graefrath and I wrote an answer to that claim in @warontherocks.bsky.social. warontherocks.com/2026/02/brea...
warontherocks.com
Breaking Europe’s Trans-Atlantic Habit: The End of the Senior Partner Myth
When U.S. President Donald Trump floated the possibility of taking Greenland by force, European leaders reacted with outrage — and then, almost
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 27/01/2026
I participated in this summer institute, put together by Peter Harris, last year and can wholeheartedly recommend it. Don't hesitate to reach out with questions!
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 26/11/2025
The German government is too afraid of public backlash to strengthen its military, writes @moritz-graefrath.com for @wpr.bsky.social. But right now is a particularly opportune moment to pursue decisive change. Three takeaways from his latest piece.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 24/11/2025
See my piece in @wpr.bsky.social for an overview of the recent military service debate in 🇩🇪 and why its resolution does not provide much ground for optimism ⤵️
worldpoliticsreview.com
Germany’s New Military Service Model Is Less Than Reassuring
While Germany’s decision has been widely praised, it raises concerns about the country’s commitment to European security.
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World Politics Review @wpr.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Germany’s ruling coalition agreed to a new conscription framework. It doesn’t provide much grounds for optimism, @moritz-graefrath.com writes.
worldpoliticsreview.com
Germany’s New Military Service Model Is Less Than Reassuring
While Germany’s decision has been widely praised, it raises concerns about the country’s commitment to European security.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Trump's embrace of war is leading America to repeat past failures, writes @moritz-graefrath.com in his latest for The Critic. He argues that America best leverages its military strength when force is used sparingly.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
1/ More nuclear weapons wouldn’t be such a bad thing, write Mark Raymond and IGA’s @moritz-graefrath.com in @foreignaffairs.com. This is, if US allies are the ones getting them, they explain. Three takeaways from their piece.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 19/11/2025
Canada, Japan, and Germany should get the bomb. Selective proliferation will benefit both the United States and its allies. My debut in @foreignaffairs.com w/ @profmarkraymond.bsky.social ⤵️
foreignaffairs.com
America’s Allies Should Go Nuclear
Selective proliferation will strengthen the global order, not end it.
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Mark Raymond @profmarkraymond.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
My colleague @moritz-graefrath.com and I argue in @foreignaffairs.com for selective nuclear proliferation to Canada, Germany and Japan. We make the case it will benefit all three, as well as the USA, and that it will also strengthen the increasingly brittle global order.
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Stefanie Walter @stefwalter.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
🗓️🗓️🗓️ EPSS Deadline is this week: Submit your proposal by November 7
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Jeff Colgan @jeffcolgan.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Come work with me and the great climate community at Brown University, incl @jenniferhadden.bsky.social @timmonsroberts.bsky.social Please share widely! Deadline Jan 9, 2026.
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Ben Friedman @benjaminfriedman.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
Blowing up a boat and killing 11 people and in the name of stopping a drug shipment is a depraved act of needless violence. If it's a drug shipment, stop it with the Coast Guard. www.reuters.com/world/americ...
reuters.com
US military kills 11 people in strike on alleged drug boat from Venezuela, Trump says
The U.S. military killed 11 people on Tuesday in a strike on a vessel from Venezuela allegedly carrying illegal narcotics, President Donald Trump said, in the first known operation since his administration's recent deployment of warships to the southern Caribbean.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 25/08/2025
Von ND nach Michigan, ist das erlaubt?! Congrats, und viel Erfolg im neuen Kapitel.
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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 25/07/2025
Is it time for the United States and Europe to part ways? As public support for a US presence in Europe wanes, it’s time to rethink the relationship, writes IGA’s Moritz Graefrath. 3 takeaways from his new piece for The Critic 👇
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 24/07/2025
We are witnessing the end of the transatlantic partnership. But breakup was long overdue. Check out my debut in The Critic ⤵️ thecritic.co.uk/the-end-of-t...
thecritic.co.uk
The end of transatlanticism | Moritz Graefrath | The Critic Magazine
Most partnerships — even those that once stood as beacons of harmony and unity to those around them — ultimately find an unceremonious end. As priorities change and plans for the future diverge…
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Jennifer Mitzen @jennifermitzen.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
Please share widely! IR Theory Colloquium (IRTC) 2025-2026 Call for applications / Due July 31 IRTC is a monthly, 90-minute Zoom workshop for early career researchers, aimed at improving theoretical arguments and expanding the IR Theory community. More info below:
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 10/07/2025
Power vacuums are a real thing. But Europe won’t be one. warontherocks.com/2024/09/u-s-...
warontherocks.com
U.S. Troop Withdrawals from Europe Won’t Benefit Its Rivals - War on the Rocks
The U.S. troop presence in Europe was never meant to be permanent. Overseeing preparations for an Allied landing on the continent to defeat Adolf Hitler’s
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 09/07/2025
Great to have my @ipq.bsky.social piece on why Europe should embrace, not fear, U.S. retrenchment featured on this list. Find it here: ip-quarterly.com/en/europe-us...
ip-quarterly.com
For Europe, US Retrenchment Is Not a Threat, but an Opportunity
Europeans should embrace, not fear, a post-American Europe. US disengagement will take time and offer the continent a window of opportunity.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 20/05/2025
In 1945, American leaders prevented Europe from being overrun by the Red Army. Their strategic thinking provides a vital perspective on the current debate about US military presence on the continent. Read my latest in @engelsbergideas.bsky.social ⬇️
engelsbergideas.com
Eisenhower's vision of European security
In 1945, American leaders prevented Europe from being overrun by the Red Army. Their strategic thinking provides a vital perspective on the current debate about US military presence on the continent.
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Engelsberg Ideas @engelsbergideas.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
Eisenhower’s vision of European security | @moritz-graefrath.com engelsbergideas.com/notebook/eis...
engelsbergideas.com
Eisenhower's vision of European security
In 1945, American leaders prevented Europe from being overrun by the Red Army. Their strategic thinking provides a vital perspective on the current debate about US military presence on the continent.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 13/05/2025
Europe should embrace, not fear, U.S. retrenchment from the continent. Read my argument in @ipq.bsky.social ⬇️ ip-quarterly.com/en/europe-us...
ip-quarterly.com
For Europe, US Retrenchment Is Not a Threat, but an Opportunity
Europeans should embrace, not fear, a post-American Europe. US disengagement will take time and offer the continent a window of opportunity.
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Internationale Politik Quarterly @ipq.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
The latest in our Europe's New Reality series: Europeans should embrace—not fear—a post-U.S. Europe, which offers the continent a window of opportunity, @moritz-graefrath.com argues. ip-quarterly.com/en/europe-us...
ip-quarterly.com
For Europe, US Retrenchment Is Not a Threat, but an Opportunity
Europeans should embrace, not fear, a post-American Europe. US disengagement will take time and offer the continent a window of opportunity.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 08/05/2025
What's next, "No Jump Zones"?!
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 01/04/2025
Excited to be a panelist at the OADII 2025 Symposium today. Looking forward to my conversation with Gen. Bussiere (Commander AF Global Strike Command) on the national defense landscape.
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Jim Goldgeier @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
When @profsaunders.bsky.social and I wrote about the national security nightmare DOGE was creating, we did not have a powerful enough imagination www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
foreignaffairs.com
Does DOGE Pose a National Security Risk?
Uncertainty about access and authority will worry allies and tempt adversaries.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 10/03/2025
Spring break? Eisenhower archives!
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Lawfare @lawfaremedia.org · 27/02/2025
Germany’s prospective chancellor wants to invest in European security but will have to overcome legislative opposition and navigate a strained relationship with Washington, writes @moritz-graefrath.com in the Foreign Policy Essay.
lawfaremedia.org
The German Election and the Future of U.S.-European Relations
The prospective chancellor wants to invest in European security but will have to overcome legislative opposition.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 27/02/2025
What do the results of the German election tell us about the future of U.S.-European relations? Find my analysis for @lawfare.bsky.social here: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/the-...
lawfaremedia.org
The German Election and the Future of U.S.-European Relations
The prospective chancellor wants to invest in European security but will have to overcome legislative opposition.
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Dan Froomkin/Press Watch/Heads Up News @froomkin.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Brave to @jeffstein.bsky.social, WaPo's chief economics correspondent, for not wasting any time in stating what must be stated. Hopefully the first of many.
Massive encroachment by Jeff Bezos into The Washington Post’s opinion section today - makes clear dissenting views will not be published or tolerated there

I still have not felt encroachment on my journalism on the news side of coverage, but if Bezos tries interfering with the news side I will be quitting immediately and letting you know
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 09/01/2025
Thank you!!
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 04/01/2025
William & Mary, EUI, Harvard's Belfer Center, MIT SSP, the Notre Dame International Security Center, and the Nanovic Institute for European Studies.
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 04/01/2025
There are more people to thank for their support than I could possibly list here. I'm most indebted to my advisor Sebastian Rosato, my committee members Joe Parent and Victoria Hui, and a huge number of colleagues and mentors—including especially the amazing @stephofmann.bsky.social—at ...
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 04/01/2025
Beyond excited to announce that I will be joining the University of Oklahoma's (@ou.edu) College of International Studies as the Wick Cary Assistant Professor of International Security in Fall 2025! I can't wait to join my incredible future colleagues and work with CIS's amazing students!
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Global Studies Quarterly @gsqjournal.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
🚨New Article🚨 “Political Spaces Beyond the Nation State: The Global Commons in International Security Studies” by Moritz S Graefrath & Marcel Jahn Read OPEN ACCESS here: academic.oup.com/isagsq/artic...
academic.oup.com
Political Spaces Beyond the Nation State: The Global Commons in International Security Studies
Abstract. The global commons have come to play an increasingly prominent role in the field of international security as scholars seek to better understand
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International Theory @internatltheory.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Where not #OpenAccess, the articles in our 2023 volume are free to read until the end of this year - cup.org/3Vo2Ph1 With papers by @moritz-graefrath.com, @janinadill.bsky.social, @aysezarakol.bsky.social, @drjohnnygilmore.bsky.social, @victoriahui.bsky.social & more
International Theory graphic with subtitle
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 27/11/2024
The correct answer is Pils for any weather. @miketierneyir.bsky.social
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 26/11/2024
smbc-comics.com/comic/chosen-2 Great powers declining and leaving behind power vacuums? Someone should write a book about that 😉
smbc-comics.com
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal
Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal - Chosen
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Moritz S. Graefrath @moritz-graefrath.com · 25/11/2024
Does retrenchment regularly pave the way for rival gains? In my new article "The False Peril of Great Power Retrenchment," published in EJIS, I argue that it does not: doi.org/10.1017/eis.... #polisky
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