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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 22h

The first AI war? IGA Program Director Jonathan Guyer joined C-SPAN earlier this week to discuss how the US is using AI in the conflict with Iran and the extent to which Americans are aware of it. www.c-span.org/program/wash...

c-span.org

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Two authors, two decades apart, on the same subject. Stephen Walt and Eli Clifton join Jonathan Guyer on the pod to discuss how pro-Israel advocacy in US politics has changed, and how the Gaza war has shaped the debate over it.

noneoftheabovepodcast.org

The Israel Lobby, Explained — None Of The Above

Eli Clifton & Stephen Walt on the role of foreign influence in US foreign policy

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

NEW: The Iran Trap. Six months into war with Iran, our latest poll finds a public wary of a conflict many believe the US is not winning, unlikely to achieve its stated objectives, and not worth the costs. Survey of 1,000 US adults, fielded Aug 11–14. 🧵1/

Report cover: a painting of the US flag in a gold frame, leaning against a wall among empty frames. Title: War President — The Iran Trap. Institute for Global Affairs, September 2026.

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Reposted by Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group

ian bremmer @ianbremmer.com · 17/09/2026

do americans think the iran war is a mistake? 52%: yes 30%: no 18%: undecided - @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

This map shows where the Trump administration has deported immigrants and refugees to countries that aren't their own. Third-country deportations send people to countries they may have never been. Today, Liberia agreed to accept 1,200 third-country deportees from the United States.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 28/07/2026

This 2023 map shows the route Iranian drones take to Ukraine's frontlines, according to the US. Last weekend, Ukraine for the first time struck an Iranian cargo ship on the Caspian Sea, which it claims was carrying lethal drones bound for Russia.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

This map shows where liquid natural gas is produced, stored, and transported across the Middle East. 8% passes through Bab el-Mandeb, near the coast of Yemen. Yemen's Houthis recently began to attack container ships, as the Iran war continues.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

This map shows trade chokepoints in the Middle East. As the Iran war continues, Yemen's Houthis have recently begun to attack coammercial shipping in and around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. 30% of global container traffic passes through the strait, which leads to the Suez Canal.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

The World Cup is heating up in the quarter finals. It has been controversial: immigration crackdowns, pricey tickets, and a cozy relationship between FIFA and Trump. @alexshephard.bsky.social, senior editor at @newrepublic.com and co-founder of @goldengoalmag.bsky.social joins to discuss.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 07/07/2026

This map shows the pipelines and facilities used to import Europe's natural gas. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, European countries decreased their import of Russia's gas in favor Norway's. In 2025, imports of Russian gas further declined to 12%.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

This chart shows defense spending of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) alliance countries. The United States is the largest spender by far, dwarfing the spending of every other NATO country combined. In 2025, it accounted for ~60% of alliance military spending.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

This map shows the intensity of the twin earthquakes which struck Venezuela last week. At least 1,700 people have died and thousands left homeless. As many as 50,000 buildings may have been damaged, according to reporting by the Associated Press.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

It feels like American dominance is coming to an end. But how is this moment viewed around the world? Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by @mmschwartz.bsky.social, editor-in-chief of @thedialmag.bsky.social, to reflect on perspectives from Canada, India, Palestine, and more.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

70% of Americans support Congress's war powers, according to IGA survey data. That includes almost all Democrats, the vast majority of independents, and many Republicans.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 10/06/2026

Wealthy Gulf countries are some of the United States’ closest partners. But the US-Israeli war with Iran has pushed them into a conflict they did not choose. Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by @omarrahman.bsky.social to discuss how the Gulf has navigated Trump, Iran, Israel, and Palestine.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

This map shows the most recent escalations in the Iran war. The Israeli and Iranian strikes were the first since the April ceasefire went into effect. Both countries have since ceased fire.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

This map shows Hezbollah and Israel's attacks since the April 7 ceasefire. Since the start of the war in early March, Hezbollah has killed 29 Israeli people. Israel has killed 3,500+ Lebanese people.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Congress is doing as most Americans believe it should. 70% believe the president should NOT be able to launch military operations without congressional approval, according to IGA's latest report. That includes a third of Republicans and nearly all Democrats.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

This map shows Israeli strikes across Lebanon during the first month of the ceasefire with Hezbollah. A new, partial ceasefire was announced yesterday. But although the ceasefire has held so far, clashes have continued in southern Lebanon today. in southern Lebanon today.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Nearly half of Americans say the relationship with Israel does more to hurt than help the US. That's according to recent IGA polling, available via the link below.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

"Fears of an America First revolt by Trump’s MAGA base also seem to have been overblown," writes Joshua Keating for Vox. He cites IGA's latest polling data - 73% of Republicans approve of Trump's handling of the Iran war.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

For decades, American air power dominated the skies. But now cheap drone technology is rapidly changing that dynamic. Jonathan Guyer is joined by Kelly Grieco (@kellygrieco.bsky.social) to discuss how the war with Iran has challenged entrenched beliefs about air war and American power.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

What can you learn about geopolitics by observing a single neighborhood? On this week's episode, host Jonathan Guyer is joined by journalist Suzy Hansen to discuss her new book, "From Life Itself: Turkey, Istanbul, and a Neighborhood in the Age of Erdoğan."

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

IGA was delighted to host National League of Cities' Athens, OH Mayor Steve Patterson and NLC CEO & Executive Director Clarence Anthony for a discussion about how US cities of all sizes can strengthen global partnerships and local communities through international engagement.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

This graphic compares the size of China's military force with Taiwan's. Taiwan is much smaller than China, with a population of ~23 million, compared to China's ~1.4 billion. Trump says he will discuss US military aid to Taiwan during his meeting with Xi in China this week.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

This map shows the outbreak of the Andes strain of Hantavirus onboard an Antarctic cruise. 3 people have died of the rare disease, which World Health Organization experts say poses relatively low risks to the general public.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

This map shows how oil moves across the United States. Although the US has produced more oil than it consumes since 2020, prices are still dictated by international markets. Today, US warships sank 6 small Iranian boats, as Trump struggles to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

China has received surprisingly little attention under Trump 2.0. As the US becomes less reliable, China has positioned itself as a stable partner. This week, IGA's Jonathan Guyer is joined by @kaiserkuo.bsky.social, host of Sinica. They discuss China's perspective on Trump's America.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

This map shows where oil is extracted, refined, and stored across the Middle East. Today, the United Arab Emirates announced it plans to leave OPEC this Friday. The rift comes amid disagreements among Gulf States on the approach to Iran and Trump's efforts to lower oil prices.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

"This war has set a dangerous precedent," IGA's Sahar Khan (@khansahar1.bsky.social) tells Al Jazeera English (@aljazeera.com) , "that if you have nuclear weapons, you can attack a state you believe has the intention to develop them."

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

"Even if these talks fail, Pakistan still suffers no loss," IGA's @khansahar1.bsky.social tells BBC Urdu. "Hosting the talks has proven that Pakistan understands everyone's point of view and has the ability to convince people to talk to each other."

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 16/04/2026

This map shows how long ships have been stuck in the Persian Gulf. Most have been there since the first US-Israeli attack against Iran, 47 days ago. On Monday, Trump initiated a blockade of Iranian ports, via US naval vessels in the Arabian Sea.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

Amid war in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and an unpredictable American president, how can we begin to make sense of things? Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by friend of the pod Tyler McBrien (@tylermcbrien.com) managing editor at Lawfare to discuss. Listen now.

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Reposted by Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group

Tyler McBrien @tylermcbrien.com · 15/04/2026

A huge thanks to Jonathan Guyer, Eloise Cassier, and everyone at @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social for having me on the show, listen here: www.noneoftheabovepodcast.org/episodes/s7e...

noneoftheabovepodcast.org

The Limits of Monitoring the Situation — None Of The Above

Tyler McBrien on prediction markets, open-source sleuthing, and Trump’s big war

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Reposted by Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group

Tyler McBrien @tylermcbrien.com · 15/04/2026

I went on @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social None Of The Above podcast to talk to the great Jonathan Guyer about Trump's One Big War™️, the unholy alliance between open source situation monitoring and prediction markets, and why former Biden admin officials keep getting questions on Gaza

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

This map shows American naval and air assets around the Strait of Hormuz, after Trump announced a blockade Monday morning. The US military clarified that the blockade would only impact traffic which attempted to leave or enter Iranian ports.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

This map shows the early results of Hungary's elections, which took place yesterday. Viktor Orbán, Hungary's semi-autocratic prime minister, was voted out of office after 16 years in power.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

"At this point, one almost wishes the White House were running foreign policy like a business — that is, like a real business," says IGA's Jonathan Guyer in his latest for @nytimes.com. Read the full article, linked below.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

Trump’s trade whiplash and the Iran war have pushed India away from the US. This critical relationship is now in peril, argues IGA CEO Mark Hannah. It can still be corrected. Read the full piece in @newsweek.com.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

“A sustainable settlement is only achievable if Israel stops attacking," said Sahar Khan, a nonresident fellow at IGA. "Ultimately, it’s up to the US: abandon the ceasefire and attack Iran or tell Israel to abide by the ceasefire or else.”

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

This map shows vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, waiting to cross as the Iran ceasefire remains uncertain. Only about 12 ships have passed through the strait since the ceasefire was declared. That's far fewer than before the war, when 100+ vessels crossed daily.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

This map shows Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon yesterday. The Israeli military killed 300+ people and left 1,165 wounded in just 10 minutes. Netanyahu today announced that Israel would negotiate with Lebanon to reach a ceasefire "as soon as possible."

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

This map shows the areas of Lebanon that Israel has ordered to evacuate. Israel has stated that Lebanon will not be included in the US-Iran negotiated ceasefire. Iran announced today that it would close the Strait of Hormuz until attacks against Lebanon cease.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

This map shows how countries across Africa and Asia have curbed energy usage since US-Israeli war against Iran began. In Sri Lanka and the Philippines, governments have introduced 4-day work weeks for much of the public-sector to conserve energy. Oil prices remain $100+.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 06/04/2026

Despite broad disapproval of the war against Iran, Spain has largely stood alone among US allies in rejecting the use of joint bases for attacks against Iran. @david-vine.bsky.social and IGA’s @khansahar1.bsky.social argue more countries should do the same. Read in @counterpunchmedia.bsky.social.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

"But I'd also caution against wholesale leaning into the 'China has it all figured out and they're rolling out their master plan' narrative." Dr. Viola Rothschild on China's export of its policing tactics. Listen to her full conversation on the US-China Nexus Podcast.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

This map shows Kharg Island relative to Iran and US military positions. Although US troops are likely capable of taking the island, holding it may prove difficult. Kharg Island is home to 8k+ people and close enough to Iran that it can be attacked from the mainland.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

After Venezuela and Iran, Trump has said Cuba is next. The island is already under an oil blockade, and has endured rolling blackouts and basic goods shortages. This week on None Of The Above, host Jonathan Guyer is joined by journalist Ed Augustin, to unpack the situation on the ground in Havana.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

This map shows strikes in the first month of the Iran War. Many of Iran's attacks have been intercepted by missile defenses. But the US-led coalition may soon deplete its long-range interceptors if current trends hold, according to reporting in RUSI.

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Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

This map shows how many people have been displaced by US-Israeli attacks against Iran. Up to 3.2 million Iranians have fled their homes amid the bombardment, primarily from Iran's capital of Tehran to the countryside. Smaller numbers have left the country, particularly to Afghanistan.

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