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Michel Grosz

@michelgrosz.bsky.social
1.7K followers 685 following 17 posts

Economist at FTC. Studying higher ed, labor, and consumer protection. Views are my own. www.michelgrosz.com

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Reposted by Michel Grosz
Austin Slaughter @austinslaughter.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
New survey data from the Philadelphia Fed shows that financially-distressed borrowers deprioritize student loans relative to housing, auto loans, and credit cards www.philadelphiafed.org/-/media/FRBP...
Dot plot showing the difference in payment probability of auto loans, credit cards, and student loans relative to housing. The probabilities are approximately -10pp for auto loans, -30pp for credit cards, and -50pp for student loans.
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Jan Marcus @janmarcus.de · 04/09/2026
📢 New paper out in the #JournalofHumanCapital with #AgataGalkiewicz and #ThomasSiedler Can starting an exam with a difficult question hurt students’ performance? We find no evidence that it does — even in incentivized assessments under time pressure.
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Daniel Kuehn @dkuehn.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
I'm quoted on apprenticeships in Inside Higher Ed this morning: www.insidehighered.com/news/tech-in...
insidehighered.com
The Apprenticeship Wish List
Apprenticeships are growing. But experts say that without more funding, updated laws and better data, the U.S. is still far from the system they know is possible.
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Paul Bruno @paul-bruno.com · 26/05/2026
Nice "Takeaway" from EFP here: aefpweb.org/files/Bruno_...
aefpweb.org
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 21/05/2026
The Economics of Education Review has been killing it recently. The latest issue is chock full of interesting articles worth reading and citing. Kudos to the editorial team! www.sciencedirect.com/journal/econ...
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Tom Swiderski @tswid.bsky.social · 02/05/2026
New pub in EFP! Using NLSY + ONET, we compare mid-career job characteristics of 2-year vs 4-year college starters, examining not only their wages but also their job's sector, skill, & ed requirements, deepening insight into how college level shapes job & life course pathways. doi.org/10.1162/EDFP...
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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
Forthcoming in the JEL: "Early Learning across Decades: Advances in Measuring Head Start Effectiveness" by Chloe R. Gibbs.
aeaweb.org
Early Learning across Decades: Advances in Measuring Head Start Effectiveness
(Forthcoming Article) - The Head Start program, launched in 1965 and targeted to children from disadvantaged backgrounds, remains the largest early childhood care and education (ECE) program in the United States and the only one deployed at the federal level. As such, the Head Start literature spans several decades and now allows for synthesis of findings from different contexts, time periods, and research designs. This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of the rigorous evidence measuring Head Start’s effects on children, their families, and society. The focus is on how (1) the contrast between program and counterfactual conditions, (2) takeup of the program among eligible populations, and (3) treatment–effect heterogeneity inform interpretation and applicability of key findings. The paper presents implications of the evidence for the modern-day Head Start program and an adjacent, policy-relevant research agenda.
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Cameron Blevins @cblevins.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
📣 New historical data visualization! "How Fast Was the Mail?" is an interactive map showing how long information took to travel across the US between 1882-1908: cblevins.github.io/mail-time/ +
cblevins.github.io
How Fast Was the Mail?
Explore mail transit times via railway between major U.S. cities, 1882–1908.
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Andrew Foote @afoote-econ.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
🚨 Pre-Doc Opportunity at LEHD 🚨 Do you know graduating seniors or recent graduates in economics, math or statistics? The LEHD group at Census is hiring up to 2 positions in this category. Apply following the instructions here: www.census.gov/about/census... If you have questions, DM me!
census.gov
Economic Measurement and Research Internship (EMRI) Program
The EMRI program seeks to hire interns in economics, accounting and related fields to support the nation’s growing demand for information.
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Jordan Matsudaira @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Headed to @aefpweb.bsky.social? Find me to chat about @peerresearch.bsky.social! We help fund and support #highered scholars to translate timely & relevant higher-ed and workforce research to policymakers. Learn more about our priorities at peer-center.org. We'd love to hear what you're working on!
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Riley Acton @riacton.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Happy to have this descriptive piece with @camilantmorales.bsky.social, Kalena Cortes, @julia-turner.bsky.social, & @loismiller.bsky.social out! Look for more causal work on this topic from our team in the near future 👀
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Robert Kelchen @robertkelchen.com · 19/01/2026
A new NBER working paper by @riacton.bsky.social and colleagues finds economic benefits to a community college baccalaureate relative to an associate degree, but that an earnings penalty still exists in tech fields relative to a traditional bachelor's degree.
nber.org
Community College Bachelor’s Degrees: How CCB Graduates’ Earnings Compare to AAs and BAs
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Robert Kelchen @robertkelchen.com · 15/01/2026
Overall enrollment in higher ed is back to pre-pandemic levels, but international graduate students and private colleges were notable weak spots this fall.
insidehighered.com
Fall Enrollment Increased 1%, International Students Declined
U.S. college enrollment reached pre-pandemic levels this fall. But despite overall growth, some populations, such as adult learners and international graduate students, declined.
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Jordan Matsudaira @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
@dubravkaritter.bsky.social Tomas Monarrez and I explore the credit profile of graduate students likely to need private loans after OBBBA’s new loan limits take effect next July. A bit over 1/3 have thin or poor credit and may struggle to get a private loan under typical underwriting practices.
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Jo R. King @jo-r-king.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
🚨New publication alert #econsky🚨 Thrilled to have “Suspended from Work and School? Impacts of layoff events and unemployment insurance on student disciplinary incidence” forthcoming at Labour Economics with @riacton.bsky.social and Austin Smith Paper thread incoming 🧵 tinyurl.com/susp-ws
tinyurl.com
Suspended from work and school? Impacts of layoff events and unemployment insurance on student disciplinary incidence
We examine the impact of local labor market shocks and state unemployment insurance (UI) policies on student discipline in U.S. public schools. Analyz…
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 04/12/2025
The FTC is hiring economists! Applications due 12/17 so it’s a quick turnaround! Happy to chat with anyone interested in the position, especially if you have a non-IO background like me…
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John Fallon @john-fallon-econ.com · 24/11/2025
I'm John Fallon, a labor economist on the job market. My JMP uncovers something wild: when chiropractors got licensed in the early 1900s, medical boards responded by making it HARDER to become a doctor. Why would competition lead to stricter regulations? 🧵 john-fallon-econ.com (1/9)
Line graph showing cumulative state adoption of chiropractic boards over time
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 12/11/2025
Joe Winkelmann & I have released a new @wheelockpolicybu.bsky.social working paper: "Labor Market Strength and Declining Community College Enrollment" We show stronger labor markets since 2009 explain most of the decline in community college enrollments. wheelockpolicycenter.org/high-quality...
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Shaun M. Dougherty @doughesm.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
🚨There is a lot of policy movement to expand career & technical Ed but little evidence of what to expect from such expansion. Our WP provides evidence from MA on take up & ➕impacts in the first 5 yrs after HS. #cte
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 13/09/2025
The FTC is hiring Statisticians in the Bureau of Economics! This is a great opportunity for seniors or recent grads interested in antitrust and consumer protection economics, and applied microeconomics research. Come work with me! Happy to answer any questions. www.usajobs.gov/job/845835200
usajobs.gov
STATISTICIAN
The Bureau of Economics seeks candidates for the position of Statistician. Statisticians work directly with BE staff economists to (1) provide economic analysis in support of antitrust and consumer pr...
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CJ Libassi @clibassi.bsky.social · 30/06/2025
New at @pseocoalition.bsky.social, @julia-turner.bsky.social & I have a new report on grad school debt & earnings over the medium term. For some key professional fields (🩺⚖️🦷💊🐾), we show the varied patterns both within & across areas of study, looking at the first decade of earnings after graduation
Scatter plot comparing median program debt (x-axis, $50k-$300k) vs 10-year cumulative earnings (y-axis, $0.5M-$2M) for professional programs. Medicine MD programs (pink squares) cluster in upper right with high debt ($150k-$250k) and high earnings ($1.4M-$1.8M). Law programs (blue circles) cluster in the bottom left corner with lower debt and lower earnings, though some elite programs show medicine-level earnings and somewhat higher debt than other law schools. Veterinary Medicine (green diamonds), Dentistry (plus signs) and Pharmacy (X marks) are distributed across middle ranges of earnings, but across wide ranges of the distribution of debt, with almost all pharmacy programs having lower debt than almost all dentistry programs. Physical therapy and veterinary programs have law-like earnings (between half a million and a million over 10 years), and while PT has law-like debt as well, veterinary debt is generally much higher and closer to medical school.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 30/05/2025
For those interested in education policy and the economics of education, I've put together 4 starter packs: Faculty and researchers 1: go.bsky.app/GHJzy4L Faculty and researchers 2: go.bsky.app/TeqwuKM PhD students & postdocs: go.bsky.app/FUjWT5E Journalists and writers: go.bsky.app/3XhYmo3
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
Excited to share this new Philly Fed working paper with Tomas Monarrez: We study how the Great Recession affected college enrollment, student loan borrowing, repayment, and default. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
The Effect of the Great Recession on Student Loan Borrowing and Repayment
We study the long-term effect of the Great Recession on federal student loan borrowing and repayment. Using detailed longitudinal data on federal student loan b
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CJ Libassi @clibassi.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
There's lots more in the report to dig into, so take a look! This is work with @michelgrosz.bsky.social, Sophie McGuinness, @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social, and Raj Darolia, and you can find the full report and data, along with other OCE releases, here: sites.ed.gov/ous/office-o...
sites.ed.gov
OCE Staff Working Papers | Office of the Under Secretary
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 17/01/2025
Really exciting to have this work on graduate borrowing out. See @clibassi.bsky.social thread with the excellent summary…and better yet take a look at the underlying data!
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
My paper with Devesh Raval is now out at Marketing Science! We find that when the FTC redesigned its complaint website: -Complaints increased by 40%, -included more useful and detailed information -increased most for older consumers and those with less tech savvy
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Megan Stevenson @meganstevenson.bsky.social · 09/12/2024
Can anyone recommend papers that compare RCT and quasi experimental estimates for the same research question? #econsky
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Andrew Foote @afoote-econ.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Today, we released our first Quarterly Workforce Indicator Highlights! content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USC...
content.govdelivery.com
Quarterly Workforce Indicators: Quarterly Data Highlight
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Esteban J. Quiñones, Ph.D. @estebanjq.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
The American Society of Hispanic Economists (ASHE) is here 🦋🦋🦋 Follow @asheassa.bsky.social ‼️
Screenshot of the ASHE account
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CJ Libassi @clibassi.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Okay, I made an updated version of the guide "Python Packages for Applied Economists" to reorganize a bit, incorporate suggestions, and put it on Github like a grownup: github.com/clibassi/pyt... Comments welcome!
github.com
GitHub - clibassi/python-packages-for-applied-economists: A curated collection of Python packages for applied economists, organized by functionality to support econometric analysis, data management, v...
A curated collection of Python packages for applied economists, organized by functionality to support econometric analysis, data management, visualization, and specialized tasks. - clibassi/python-...
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Kevin Shih @kevinshih.bsky.social · 15/11/2024
#EconSky #EconTwitter UC Davis Economists starter pack is here. Faculty, Alumni, even Ag Econ. Got everyone I could find so far, but surely missing others. Hit me up and I'll add you. Thank @afoote-econ.bsky.social go.bsky.app/7hAGUoa
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Carl Gergs @cgergs.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Hello #EconSky 👋 excited to share my JMP! ❓What are the impacts of offering student finance as a grant or a loan? In the paper, I... 🎓 Study individual university enrolment, subject choice & career motivations ❗️Explore aggregate outcomes e.g. access to university & the occupational structure 🧵👇
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Kevin Rinz @kevinrinz.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
It’s WALES submission/registration time again! One of the best days of the late-winter if you’re a labor-adjacent economist around DC - check it out!
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 18/11/2024
Allowing students to use Pell Grants for short-term occupational training: - increased their use of such training but - did not benefit their employment or earnings. Great to see a high-quality evaluation of a promising policy idea. Good to know! ies.ed.gov/ncee/pubs/20...
Pell Grants are the cornerstone of federal financial aid for students with low income who are
enrolled in postsecondary education. Currently, these grants are available only to those who seek
an initial undergraduate degree or credential requiring at least a typical semester of instruction.
Because these rules may restrict access to programs providing skills needed for new or better jobs,
in 2011 the U.S. Department of Education (ED) began pilots of two experimental expansions to Pell
Grant eligibility. The first experiment allowed income-eligible students with a bachelor’s degree to
obtain Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs. The second experiment allowed
income-eligible students to obtain Pell Grants for very short-term programs lasting as little as eight
weeks. This report updates earlier results from a rigorous evaluation of the experiments conducted
by ED’s Institute of Education Sciences (IES), adding new information about the experiments’
impacts on labor market success. This fuller picture could help Congress as it considers legislation
to make Pell Grants for short-term occupational training permanent policy.
Key Findings
• Offering Pell Grants for short-term occupational training programs to students with low income who
have a bachelor's degree increased program enrollment and completion by about 20 percentage
points.
• Offering Pell Grants for very short-term occupational training programs increased program
enrollment and completion by about 10 percentage points.
• More than half of students offered experimental Pell Grants used them, receiving an average grant
amount of $1,800; they were just as likely as those not offered the grants to also use federal student
loans.
• Despite boosting program enrollment and completion, offering experimental Pell Grants did not
increase employment or earnings in the medium to long term.
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Santiago Sanchez-Pages @sanpages.eurosky.social · 07/11/2024
He vuelto a actualizar el starter pack de economistas de habla hispana. Ya somos mas de 90. Ideal si acabas de aterrizar o si piensas que Bluesky todavia no ha despegado. Si quieres añadir tu nombre, no tienes mas que decirlo. go.bsky.app/8tkeVED
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Santiago Sanchez-Pages @sanpages.eurosky.social · 01/10/2024
He creado este starter pack que reune a economistas de habla hispana en Bluesky para conectarnos mejor. Si quieres incluirte, solo tienes que decírmelo go.bsky.app/8tkeVED
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Kevin Rinz @kevinrinz.bsky.social · 13/11/2024
Not that econ JMCs need more things to worry about, but there was a very poorly timed hiring freeze in 2017. It came down during flyout season and really threw off the market for people interested in government work. Think about your preferences and alternatives while there’s still time.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 13/11/2024
I'm thrilled to see this site building a serious community of researchers, writers and policymakers focused on education policy and economics. Below are links to 3 Starter Packs I've made to help you connect with such folks. Please let me know if I've missed you. The volume of requests has been 😮
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Formerly Richard Mayhew @dmaanderson.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
This is a starter pack for #APPAM2024 @appam.bsky.social @donmoyn.bsky.social @davidslusky.bsky.social If you want on it, please leave a comment and I will add you over the course of the day go.bsky.app/9o7Jiar
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Jonathan Smith @jonisaacsmith.bsky.social · 24/10/2024
Does anyone have publicly available data from a populous state (eg CA, TX, NY, FL) with detailed variables about each high school? I’m aware of National data from CCD and PSS and in fact, I want to link the state data to them, so an NCES school identifier is required. Thanks!
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 24/10/2024
I've created a starter pack I'm calling "Education economics and policy", based on folks I follow in this area. Please let me know if I've missed you! go.bsky.app/GHJzy4L
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Bernhard Ganglmair @ganglmair.bsky.social · 19/10/2024
I'd say it was a big success www.ftc.gov/news-events/...
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Andrew Foote @afoote-econ.bsky.social · 30/09/2024
If I have a *very preliminary* project that will definitely have results by March (because it is very descriptive), but it is about a topic that is very new - should I apply for a flash talk for AEFP or a full presentation? We are linking college graduates to their business applications from IRS.
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
Thanks for the shoutout! Been meaning to spend more time here.
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Chris Bennett @chrisbennettedu.bsky.social · 08/05/2024
The U.S. Department of Education’s Office of Civil Rights is looking for a statistician (AKA data analyst) to support the Civil Rights Data Collection and help assess compliance. Remote position, GS-13 ($103k-$167k, depending on location). Application due 5/20 at www.usajobs.gov/job/790083200
Statistician GS-1530-13, FPL 13 (Direct Hire)
(Remote Eligible)
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
Office for Civil Rights

Summary
This position is remote work and telework eligible consistent with the Agency's telework and remote work program policy.
This remote position is assigned to the U.S.
Department of Education, Office for Civil Rights (OCR) headquarters in Washington, D.C. The incumbent works under the general direction of the Program Legal Group Director with the Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC)
Team.
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Riley Acton @riacton.bsky.social · 10/04/2024
Super happy to have this work (coauthored with Wenjia Cao, Emily Cook, @imbernomics.bsky.social, & Mike Lovenheim) forthcoming at JHR! 🥳
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Michel Grosz @michelgrosz.bsky.social · 02/02/2024
Call for papers is out for the FTC’s conference on marketing and public policy! Submit your projects by July 31 www.ftc.gov/about-ftc/bu...
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Robert Kelchen @robertkelchen.com · 12/01/2024
The Biden administration announced an executive action to cancel early the remaining debt of students who took out less than $12,000 in debt more than ten years ago. This will likely end up getting challenged in court after last year's Supreme Court decision.
whitehouse.gov
Statement from President Joe Biden on Early Student Debt Cancellation for Borrowers Enrolled in SAVE...
From Day One of my Administration, I vowed to fix the student loan system and make sure higher education is a pathway to the middle class – not a barrier to opportunity. Already, my Administration h...
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 12/01/2024
We have a great, new BLS commissioner! Thanks for your service, Commissioner @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social! 📉📈#️⃣#️⃣
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Jordan Matsudaira @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social · 18/11/2023
Nice CCRC write up of data our Office of the Chief Economist at ED released on transfer student success across institutions: ccrc.tc.columbia.edu/easyblog/new... You can find the data (and see our other work) here: sites.ed.gov/ous/office-o...
ccrc.tc.columbia.edu
New Federal Transfer Data: Which Colleges Are Serving Community Colleges Transfers Best?
The U.S. Department of Education recently released data on community college student transfer and outcomes. What do the data reveal about how well colleges and universities are serving community colle...
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