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Matteo Nebbiai

@matteonebbiai.bsky.social
349 followers 757 following 120 posts

tech & political economy & EU regulation | PhD King's College London | GPEP Fellow at Georgetown University | previously at Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna matteonebbiai.site matteonebbiai.substack.com

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Reposted by Matteo Nebbiai
ae @aelkus.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
the problem really is that, even if you accept their claims about their technologies, it simply doesn't make them experts on politics or the outside world in general
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Daphne Keller @daphnek.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
This is... insane. The EU spent untold hours of human labor and political effort to create the DSA's intricate system of rules for platforms. And the CJEU is just smashing it, like a toddler.
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Tom Roberts @tpgroberts.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
This is just an invasion by any other name. In a just world, Israel would face the same treatment as Russia.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Wake up babe, another form of structural power just dropped
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
#Trump is a window of opportunity to advance new bilateral and regional trade agreements. Promoters of digital regulation should use it to move beyond a defensive posture and pivot toward globalising digital rules. open.substack.com/pub/matteone...
open.substack.com
Counterattack: Is It Time to Make Digital Regulation Global?
How Trade Politics Could Globalise Digital Rules
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
AI agents discovered trolling, another step towards the superintelligence apocalypse.
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Éamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
I learn this morning that Péter Magyar is neither Leon Trotski nor even Clement Attlee. Horror of horror! That he's not in Putin's pocket and wants to be a normal EU member will do for me, for the moment
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Facing the reality that brutality and cruelty also have tradeoffs and are not a secret weapon that facilitates an easy victory, they are furious at being embarrassed by their lessers and seeing their theory of the world publicly discredited (not that they would ever acknowledge that)
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IWM Vienna @iwm.at · 02/04/2026
We are delighted to welcome seven new fellows to the IWM in April: Khalid Bencherif, Richard Cockett, Naja Dyrendom Graugaard, Milorad Ivanovic, @matteonebbiai.bsky.social, @thomasseifert.bsky.social, and John C. Swanson. 👉 Learn more about their work on our website: www.iwm.at/news/new-fel...
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News Eye @newseye.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
Two of the journalists assassinated in South Lebanon this morning by Israel were Lebanese correspondents Ali Shoeib and Fatima Ftouni. They become the 252nd and 253rd journalists killed by Israel in the last two years. Unprecedented. (📸 Cradle Media)
A photo of Ali and Fatima in their press vests and hats, smiling at the camera with Lebanon in the background
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Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · 28/03/2026
www.ft.com/content/4f09... Genuinely hard to overstate how much of a strategic defeat it would be for the United States if the war ends with effective Iranian control of the Strait.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/con...
phenomenalworld.org
Conscious Uncoupling | Phenomenal World
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has declared a "rupture" in the liberal order. Can US allies organize themselves apart from the US?
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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
1/ Disruptions mean countries will rush to exit US-led oil order Worst case scenario for oil companies (best for rest of us) is that people permanently shift...what they call “demand destruction“ i.e short term pain but Long: Iran war will accelerate ongoing STRUCTURAL shift to solar+EVs+batteries
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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Put the Strait of Hormuz on the blockchain. by Andrew Yang
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Prasad Jallepalli, MD, PhD @prasad.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
we are losing so much talent, progress, and hope for no good reason www.vox.com/future-perfe...
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Chris Murphy @chrismurphyct.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public. I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are. 1/ Here's what I can share:
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Francis Fukuyama @frankfukuyama.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
North Korea Was Right About Nuclear Weapons open.substack.com/pub/persuasi...
open.substack.com
North Korea Was Right About Nuclear Weapons
Yes, really.
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Yusuf @yusufimaadkhan.com · 07/03/2026
Why the US is facing strategic defeat @policytensor.bsky.social “The Trump administration needs to understand that there are no military solutions here. Talk to the Omanis. Find a diplomatic solution before this brings the whole house down on your heads.” policytensor.substack.com/p/why-the-us...
policytensor.substack.com
Why the US is facing strategic defeat
Drone, Missiles, THAAD
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Drew Harwell @drewharwell.com · 28/02/2026
The government wants to Huawei any company that pursues a radical woke ideology like "no domestic mass surveillance" except it has no legal basis to do so and its rules for compliance are gobbledygook www.wired.com/story/anthro...
In its Friday blog post, Anthropic said a supply chain risk designation, under the authority 10 USC 3252, only applies to Department of Defense contracts directly with suppliers, and doesn’t cover how contractors use its Claude AI software to serve other customers.

Three experts in federal contracts say it’s impossible at this point to determine which Anthropic customers, if any, must now cut ties with the company. Hegseth’s announcement “is not mired in any law we can divine right now,” says Alex Major, a partner at the law firm McCarter & English, which works with tech companies.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
"long-range high-precision munitions are completely useless without targeting data: if you don’t know what you need to strike, high-precision is no longer an asset" bindinghook.com/data-really-...
bindinghook.com
Data really is the new ammo
As Europe aims for defence sovereignty, access to US data remains a thorny topic.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
"it’s a little disturbing how closely this discourse follows climate-debate patterns set down 20 years ago by the right. Either a man-made phenomenon isn’t happening or, if it is, it’s not important". open.substack.com/pub/transfor...
open.substack.com
The left is missing out on AI
As a movement, it has largely refused to engage seriously with AI, ceding debate about a threat and opportunity to the right
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Problem about the loneliness epidemic is, it's everywhere except in representative survey data. Let's look at where the claim comes from. 1/
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John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
The EV debate in one picture: Even the smallest, most efficient gas car has a higher life-cycle footprint than the largest BEV. Size matters. Power matters. Powertrain matters more. This figure comes from this great paper: www.nature.com/articles/s44...
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
This effort to curry favor by acting like an insult comic will be forgotten within the Trump administration in a day, but will make headlines and be remembered for decades in the countries being insulted.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Given Trump's mental health status, maybe newspapers are 4D chessing to let Trump believe he actually made that commitment. World order by performativity
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
A good explainer of what might happen domestically if Trump chooses the military option on #Greenland
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
"Restaurants are opening in DC" - Trump, 2026. "Restaurants are full" - Berlusconi, 2011, right before Italy's debt crisis.
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Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
1/Its easy to write off Trump as a mad king on Greenland. But it is as much about Court politics -- Trump and his insiders -- than simply a tantrum. Like any King, it is about makeup (hint: Estee Lauder). www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
theguardian.com
How a billionaire with interests in Greenland encouraged Trump to acquire the territory
US president’s friend Ronald Lauder – who first proposed Arctic expansion – is now making deals in the island
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
"there's a third possible response to tariffs, one that's just sitting there, begging to be tried: what about repealing anticircumvention law?" pluralistic.net/2026/01/01/3...
pluralistic.net
Pluralistic: The Post-American Internet (01 Jan 2026) – Pluralistic: Daily links from Cory Doctorow
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Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 20/01/2026
Carney: "American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods, a stable financial system... this bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition... recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as a weapon. Tariffs as leverage ... "
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Paige Bailey (webpaige.dev) @dynamicwebpaige.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
🧵 Thread on beautiful data centers: MareNostrum 4 (Barcelona SCC): Often called "the most beautiful data center in the world," this facility is housed inside the Torre Girona Chapel, a deconsecrated 19th-century church. When fully installed, it will have a peak performance of 13.9 Petaflops.
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Abe Newman @abenewman.bsky.social · 04/01/2026
5/This is not a world marked by spheres of interest in the traditional sense because the focus is not about competing blocks. It is about extraction and dominance for the insider elite clique. www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/u...
project-syndicate.org
The Trump Doctrine in Venezuela
Richard Haass explains why the US military intervention and arrest of Nicolás Maduro will play well in Beijing and Moscow.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Good point, also connected to the fact that Trump doesn't seem to have a particular plan for elections/democratic institutions. I feel neoconservatism was at least worried about what "good institutions" should be exported after intervention.
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Cristian Farias @cristianfarias.com · 03/01/2026
Best thing I’ve read this morning, from a human rights lawyer in Mexico. Translation is in the ALT-text.
Twitter thread in Spanish by José Mario de la Garza, a human rights lawyer in Mexico, translated using Google Translate:

1. Overthrowing a dictator sounds morally right. No one mourns a tyrant. But international law wasn't built to protect the good, but to restrain the powerful. That's why it prohibits force almost without exception: not because it ignores injustice, but because it knows that if each country decides whom to "liberate" by force, the world reverts to the law of the strongest.

2. The problem is not Maduro. The problem is the precedent. When military force is used to change governments without clear rules, sovereignty ceases to be a limit and becomes an obstacle. Today it is “overthrowing a dictator”; tomorrow it will be “correcting an election,” “protecting interests,” “restoring order.” The law does not absolve dictatorships, but neither does it legitimize unilateral crusades.Cont’d:

3. The uncomfortable question is not whether a tyrant deserves to fall, but who decides when and how. Because history teaches something brutal: removing a dictator is easy; building justice afterward is not. And when legality is broken in the name of good, what almost always follows is not freedom, but chaos, violence, and new victims. The law exists to remind us of this, even when it makes us uncomfortable.Maduro isn't the problem: he's the face of the problem. Removing him from power would be merely opening the door. Behind him is the machine: Rodríguez, Cabello, the military command, the operators of repression and plunder. If you only change the person at the top and leave the system intact, what follows isn't democracy: it's a reshuffling.

And there's something even more difficult: Chavismo didn't just capture institutions, it captured daily life. Economy, media, bureaucracy, employment, fear, favors, blackmail. A country can't be "de-Chavistaized" by decree or by an electoral miracle. The real transition begins when that network is broken without setting the country ablaze.

The challenge is enormous, and it's also a moral one: to unite without vengeance, but without impunity. Targeted justice for those most responsible, truth for the victims, guarantees that the rest will dismantle the system, and a plan for people to live again—not just survive. Because freedom doesn't come with a new president: it comes when the state ceases to be a threat.
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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
A deluge of work on regime change after the 2003 invasion of Iraq yielded strong (and rare) agreement in IR: it doesn't work & has terrible consequences. @profdownes.bsky.social's book Catastrophic Success lays it out, but it's right there in the title. www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...
cornellpress.cornell.edu
Catastrophic Success by Alexander B. Downes | eBook | Cornell University Press
In Catastrophic Success, Alexander B. Downes compiles all instances of regime change around the world over the past two centuries. Drawing on this impressive data set, Downes shows that regime change....
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Adam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Among the many reasons you don’t kidnap a foreign head of state at gunpoint even if you have the capability, is that it sparks consequences you can neither control nor anticipate.
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Rwanda-Albania model in full spree?
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Now let’s see how many Iraq war "critics" are doubling down on Venezuela 😬
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Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Im seeing discussions about consultations with congress, authorizations of force etc. I have to say this transcends any of what I would call sub constitutional technicalities. The president has gone to war with a foreign power and, it seems, kidnapped a foreign head of state on the basis of nothing.
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Daniela Gabor @danielagabor.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
you could say unbelievable, our European leaders will not condemn Trump's flagrant breach of international laws, but we've all watched them cower on US/Israel impunity in Gaza.
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Federica Genovese @fgenovese.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
Venezuela is an important oil producer (~top15 in global ranking), with some of the world's largest proven oil reserves. Supply chocked last year but export to 🇨🇳 was picking up. The current uncertainty will be profitable to other fossil giants (🇷🇺) Unless, just an idea: we take renewables seriously
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Paul Fairie @paulisci.bsky.social · 01/01/2026
A List of Predictions Made in 1926 About 2026 🧵
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Nute @nutedawn.bsky.social · 29/12/2025
Wow, seems terrible. If only they put a Smart Businessman in with near-total, unconstitutional remit over federal spending, I bet he could find out and then stomp it all out easily!
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Matteo Nebbiai @matteonebbiai.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
"it can’t be overstated what an own-goal supporting this whole dumb thing was for Democrats, who not only helped Trump’s friends steal partial ownership of #TikTok, they saber-rattled over a ban during an election season where they desperately needed young people to vote".
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Quinn Slobodian @quinnslobodian.com · 19/12/2025
I wrote about a conference marking the culmination of tens of millions of dollars of philanthropic spending to transcend neoliberalism. lpeproject.org/blog/post-ne...
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David Higham @oldtrotter.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
This is excellent on the fundamental incompatibility between Starmer’s focus on “growth” and his determination to reduce the number of migrants. As Ben concludes, something will have to give and that’s likely to Starmer’s time in government app.prospectmagazine.co.uk/story/71810/...
app.prospectmagazine.co.uk
Labour’s Mr Micawber politics
The government hopes that ‘something will turn up’ to produce growth, but curbing immigration will only harm the economy
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Borderlex @borderlex.net · 16/12/2025
2026 in 🇬🇧 trade policy: Labour Party’s undercurrents may well be leading to breaking taboos over post Brexit red lines in relation to EU. Read @davidheniguk.bsky.social for more (no 🔏)
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Perspectives:  UK trade policy sets sights on Brussels - Borderlex - European trade policy
The United Kingdom’s post-Brexit ‘global Britain’ trade policy has not delivered the expected results nor offered a good alternative to deep ties with the European Union. In the British debate, ten years after the referendum, all roads are leading back to Brussels.
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Lucas Guttenberg @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social · 16/12/2025
Is Germany again dragging its feet and undermining a "simple" solution to the Ukraine financing problem, instead pushing the ubercomplex reparations loan? It's a tempting eurocrisis reflex that if only there were a will in Berlin, there would be a better way. But there isn't. Here is why:
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Gabriel Zucman @gabrielzucman.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
It has become received wisdom in Brussels and Washington that there is a new “euro-sclerosis”: that the EU economy is lagging the US This view is wrong A little primer on the measurement of productivity – and why reports of the economic death of Europe are greatly exaggerated🧵
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